Wildcard Group

Symbol
      Expected score: 3.12-0.88 (sets: 3.12-0.88)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 84.83%
      Most likely place: 2nd (48.26%)

Jaedong
      Expected score: 3.05-0.95 (sets: 3.05-0.95)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 76.36%
      Most likely place: 1st (52.85%)

Byun
      Expected score: 1.72-2.28 (sets: 1.72-2.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 23.79%
      Most likely place: 4th (42.99%)

Shine
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 12.99%
      Most likely place: 3rd (39.61%)

Center
      Expected score: 0.52-3.48 (sets: 0.52-3.48)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 2.04%
      Most likely place: 5th (72.00%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
         Shine:   20.37%   27.03%   39.61%    9.75%    3.24%
        Symbol:    0.02%    4.40%   10.75%   48.26%   36.56%
          Byun:    5.01%   42.99%   28.22%   16.49%    7.30%
        Center:   72.00%   17.47%    8.49%    2.00%    0.04%
       Jaedong:    2.60%    8.11%   12.93%   23.50%   52.85%

Match score

                     0-4      1-3      2-2      3-1      4-0
         Shine:    7.27%   35.84%   47.91%    8.99%         
        Symbol:                     13.90%   60.52%   25.57%
          Byun:            43.61%   41.95%   13.10%    1.34%
        Center:   54.42%   38.89%    6.69%                  
       Jaedong:    0.29%    3.92%   19.62%   42.57%   33.61%

Set score

                      -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4
         Shine:    7.27%            35.84%            47.91%             8.99%                  
        Symbol:                                       13.90%            60.52%            25.57%
          Byun:                     43.61%            41.95%            13.10%             1.34%
        Center:   54.42%            38.89%             6.69%                                    
       Jaedong:    0.29%             3.92%            19.62%            42.57%            33.61%

Shine vs. Jaedong

Shine wins (18.24%):
1-0: 18.24%

Jaedong wins (81.76%):
1-0: 81.76%

Most likely winner: Jaedong (81.76%)
Median outcome: Shine 0-1 Jaedong

details, data source, code

Weirdkid

Singapore2431 Posts

January 11 2013 10:02 GMT

#367

Will Jaedong fall asleep, that is the question lolol

epicanthic

Hong Kong295 Posts

January 11 2013 10:02 GMT

#368

Jaedong looks exhausted.

Confuse

2238 Posts

January 11 2013 10:02 GMT

#369

On January 11 2013 19:01 Greenei wrote:
center played like a low master player. that was soooo bad after that lead...

kinda harsh considering he killed 30~ drones : P I think it was just a case of overconfidence.

cccc0dy

United States2 Posts

January 11 2013 10:02 GMT

#370

On January 11 2013 19:00 IMPrime wrote:
and that is why when you are already at your opponents base and he goes for the counter, you base race

i think he was trying to do this, but a handful of banelings from symbol's main took out center's entire marine army.

tshi

United States2495 Posts

January 11 2013 10:03 GMT

#371

Wonder if that'll be a strat -- to make a really long-out / drawn-out game.

Orek

1665 Posts

January 11 2013 10:03 GMT

#372

So, the lesson we learn from this game could be... not about micro but about rally point that probably should have been INSIDE depot wall. Then, Center would have held the counter attack much better.

BathTubNZ

New Zealand2556 Posts

January 11 2013 10:03 GMT

#373

"he's tired, look at his hair"

Oh Wolf.