U&D Group D

Bomber
      Expected score: 4.65-0.35 (sets: 4.65-0.35)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 100.00%
      Most likely place: 1st (100.00%)

ByuL
      Expected score: 3.55-1.45 (sets: 3.55-1.45)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 100.00%
      Most likely place: 2nd (100.00%)

HerO
      Expected score: 2.00-3.00 (sets: 2.00-3.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 4th (78.13%)

Byun
      Expected score: 2.35-2.65 (sets: 2.35-2.65)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 3rd (80.15%)

Genius
      Expected score: 1.45-3.55 (sets: 1.45-3.55)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 6th (55.27%)

sOs
      Expected score: 1.00-4.00 (sets: 1.00-4.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 5th (55.27%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
          HerO:            18.94%   78.13%    2.93%                  
          Byun:             6.31%   13.54%   80.15%                  
        Bomber:                                               100.00%
        Genius:   55.27%   19.48%    8.33%   16.92%                  
          ByuL:                                      100.00%         
           sOs:   44.73%   55.27%                                    

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
          HerO:                    100.00%                           
          Byun:                     65.00%   35.00%                  
        Bomber:                                       35.00%   65.00%
        Genius:            55.27%   44.73%                           
          ByuL:                              44.73%   55.27%         
           sOs:           100.00%                                    

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
          HerO:                                      100.00%                                                      
          Byun:                                       65.00%            35.00%                                    
        Bomber:                                                                           35.00%            65.00%
        Genius:                     55.27%            44.73%                                                      
          ByuL:                                                         44.73%            55.27%                  
           sOs:                    100.00%

Genius vs. ByuL

Genius wins (44.73%):
1-0: 44.73%

ByuL wins (55.27%):
1-0: 55.27%

Most likely winner: ByuL (55.27%)
Median outcome: Genius 0-1 ByuL

details, data source, code

Elite_

United States4259 Posts

January 09 2013 13:41 GMT

#2187

I hope I come home to HerO winning tiebreakers... Please make them happen, Genius and Bomber... ~.~

Dodgin

Canada39254 Posts

January 09 2013 13:42 GMT

#2188

On January 09 2013 22:40 letian wrote:

Show nested quote +

kespa don't give a fuck unless it's PL

I think they care since OSL disappeared, unless you're gonna say no one ever gave a fuck about starleagues in BW because PL existed.

NovemberstOrm

Canada16217 Posts

January 09 2013 13:42 GMT

#2189

not 1 kespa player has made it through the up and downs since they have entered the GSL O_o
fantasy is the last hope this season for a kespa player to make it through the up & downs

nimbim

Germany986 Posts

January 09 2013 13:42 GMT

#2190

Genius v ByuL on Entombed Valley
Genius bottom right, ByuL top left
byul did a 10overlord and no gas trick, a slight frown on his face
14pool vs nexus first

X3GoldDot

Malaysia3840 Posts

January 09 2013 13:42 GMT

#2191

gogo byul