[Code A] RO24 Day 3 2012 GSL Season 4

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

October 18 2012 05:14 GMT

[Code A] RO24 Day 3 2012 GSL Season 4

Thursday, Oct 18 9:10am GMT (GMT+00:00)

http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2012_Global_StarCraft_II_League_Season_4/Code_A

TL Preview: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=376170 by stuchiu

Casters: Wolf & Khaldor
GOMTV | GOMstreamer

Sirius vs. (Z)

Sniper

sHy vs.

Seed

BoguS vs.

Happy

Trap vs.

GuMiho

+ Show Spoiler [Spoiler-Free] +

+ Show Spoiler [Overall Results] +

Sirius vs. Sniper
(Z)

Sirius <Cloud Kingdom> Sniper
(Z)

Sirius <Antiga Shipyard> Sniper
~~Sirius <Daybreak> Sniper~~

Sniper wins 2-0!

sHy vs. Seed
sHy <Entombed Valley> (P)

Seed
sHy <Whirlwind> (P)

Seed
~~sHy <Abyssal City> Seed~~

sHy wins 2-0!

BoguS vs. Happy
BoguS <Entombed Valley> (T)

Happy

BoguS <Ohana> Happy
BoguS <Daybreak> (T)

Happy

BoguS wins 2-1!

Trap vs. GuMiho
(P)

Trap <Whirlwind> GuMiho
(P)

Trap <Abyssal City> GuMiho
~~Trap <Ohana> GuMiho~~

GuMiho wins 2-0!

+ Show Spoiler [kpop] +

+ Show Spoiler [Live Reports] +

Sirius vs. Sniper Game 1
Sirius vs. Sniper Game 2
Sirius vs. Sniper Game 3

sHy vs. Seed Game 1
sHy vs. Seed Game 2
sHy vs. Seed Game 3

BoguS vs. Happy Game 1
BoguS vs. Happy Game 2
BoguS vs. Happy Game 3

Trap vs. GuMiho Game 1
Trap vs. GuMiho Game 2
Trap vs. GuMiho Game 3

+ Show Spoiler +

+ Show Spoiler [Sirius vs. Sniper] +

Poll: Recommend Sirius vs Sniper game 1?

No (6)

86%

If you have time (1)

14%

Yes (0)

0%

7 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Sirius vs Sniper game 1?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Poll: Recommend Sirius vs Sniper game 2?

No (5)

83%

If you have time (1)

17%

Yes (0)

0%

6 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Sirius vs Sniper game 2?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Poll: Recommend Sirius vs Sniper game 3?

Yes (5)

71%

No (2)

29%

If you have time (0)

0%

7 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Sirius vs Sniper game 3?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

+ Show Spoiler [sHy vs. Seed] +

Poll: Recommend sHy vs Seed game 1?

Yes (6)

50%

No (5)

42%

If you have time (1)

8%

12 total votes

Your vote: Recommend sHy vs Seed game 1?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Poll: Recommend sHy vs Seed game 2?

Yes (7)

58%

No (3)

25%

If you have time (2)

17%

12 total votes

Your vote: Recommend sHy vs Seed game 2?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Poll: Recommend sHy vs Seed game 3?

Yes (5)

45%

No (4)

36%

If you have time (2)

18%

11 total votes

Your vote: Recommend sHy vs Seed game 3?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

+ Show Spoiler [BoguS vs. Happy] +

Poll: Recommend Bogus vs Happy game 1?

Yes (16)

89%

If you have time (2)

11%

No (0)

0%

18 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Bogus vs Happy game 1?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Poll: Recommend Bogus vs Happy game 2?

No (6)

46%

Yes (5)

38%

If you have time (2)

15%

13 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Bogus vs Happy game 2?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Poll: Recommend Bogus vs Happy game 3?

Yes (30)

91%

If you have time (2)

6%

No (1)

3%

33 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Bogus vs Happy game 3?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

+ Show Spoiler [Trap vs. GuMiho] +

Poll: Recommend Trap vs GuMiho game 1?

Yes (27)

93%

No (2)

7%

If you have time (0)

0%

29 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Trap vs GuMiho game 1?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Poll: Recommend Trap vs GuMiho game 2?

Yes (22)

96%

No (1)

4%

If you have time (0)

0%

23 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Trap vs GuMiho game 2?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Poll: Recommend Trap vs GuMiho game 3?

Yes (9)

69%

No (4)

31%

If you have time (0)

0%

13 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Trap vs GuMiho game 3?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

October 18 2012 05:14 GMT

Poll: Sirius vs Sniper?

Sniper (13)

68%

Sirius (6)

32%

19 total votes

Your vote: Sirius vs Sniper?

(Vote): Sirius
(Vote): Sniper

Poll: sHy or sOs

sHy (14)

74%

sOs (5)

26%

19 total votes

Your vote: sHy or sOs

(Vote): sHy
(Vote): sOs

Poll: sHy vs Seed?

Seed (15)

65%

sHy (8)

35%

23 total votes

Your vote: sHy vs Seed?

(Vote): sHy
(Vote): Seed

Poll: Bogus vs Happy?

Bogus (15)

68%

Happy (7)

32%

22 total votes

Your vote: Bogus vs Happy?

(Vote): Bogus
(Vote): Happy

Poll: Trap vs GuMiho?

GuMiho (14)

58%

Trap (10)

42%

24 total votes

Your vote: Trap vs GuMiho?

(Vote): Trap
(Vote): GuMiho

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

October 18 2012 05:14 GMT

I found out my homework is due on the 23rd instead of tomorrow so im making the ill fated decision to run the LR tonight

plasmidghost

Belgium16168 Posts

October 18 2012 05:16 GMT

GuMiho, you can do this!

Hall0wed

United States8486 Posts

October 18 2012 05:20 GMT

Maybe, just maybe, I will actually watch a game or two since there are no zergs playing outside of the ZvZ.

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

October 18 2012 05:26 GMT

How they got here!!

Sirius defeated

Salmosa 2-0 and

MMA 2-0

Sniper fell from Code S Ro32 and defeated

KeeN 2-0

sHy defeated

jjakji 2-0 and

Sparta 2-0

Seed fell from Code S Ro16

Bogus defeated

YugiOh 2-1 and

Bomber 2-0

Happy fell from Code S Ro16

Trap defeated

Oz 2-0 and

SuperNova 2-0

GuMiho fell from Code S Ro32 and defeated

BBoongBBoong 2-1

BLinD-RawR

ALLEYCAT BLUES50127 Posts

October 18 2012 05:45 GMT

lol since everyone is betting against trap i'll bet for him...

Mevious

Canada150 Posts

October 18 2012 06:00 GMT

I'm predicting the KeSPA players to do well today. All three of them have been looking pretty good recently.

Sirius 0-2 Sniper
sOs 2-1 Seed
Bogus 2-1 Happy
Trap 2-0 GuMiho

Hopefully the loser of Seed vs sOs can get through the Up/Downs. I'd like to see them both in Code S next season.

LaaLaaLeevi

200 Posts

October 18 2012 06:34 GMT

So its gonna be INnoVation vs Happy. I'll root for Happy of course but my guess it will be 2-0 for Bogus.

Talionis

Scotland4085 Posts

October 18 2012 06:37 GMT

#10

Can't wait for Trap vs Gumiho, I think Trap can 2-0 it after seeing last round's games.

Yello

Germany7411 Posts

October 18 2012 06:43 GMT

#11

Oh yeah. Got some free time at exactly the time of the games. Awesome : )

bittman

Australia8759 Posts

October 18 2012 06:44 GMT

#12

Oh man come on Gumiho and Seed. I went 1/2 yesterday for players I like but want 2/2 today.

JJH777

United States4408 Posts

October 18 2012 06:45 GMT

#13

Let's go Gumiho, Happy, and Seed!

AbuntuGuntu

United States1972 Posts

October 18 2012 07:29 GMT

#14

Gogo Seed, Gumihio, and Happy!

NovemberstOrm

Canada16217 Posts

October 18 2012 07:32 GMT

#15

GOM players should do well today considering who they are facing.

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

October 18 2012 07:32 GMT

#16

I ran my Elo-based probability script a few times again. Based on the ratings, Sniper is an overwhelming favourite to win, and in the other matches, the ESF players are favoured by about 55-45. (Is Shy really that good?)

+ Show Spoiler [Sirius vs. Sniper] +

Sirius vs. Sniper

Sirius wins (19.422%):
      2-0: 7.975%
      2-1: 11.446%

Sniper wins (80.578%):
      2-0: 51.494%
      2-1: 29.085%

Most likely winner: Sniper (80.578%)
Most likely outcome: Sirius 0-2 Sniper (51.494%)

+ Show Spoiler [sHy vs. Seed] +

sHy vs. Seed

sHy wins (45.585%):
      2-0: 22.140%
      2-1: 23.445%

Seed wins (54.415%):
      2-0: 28.034%
      2-1: 26.381%

Most likely winner: Seed (54.415%)
Most likely outcome: sHy 0-2 Seed (28.034%)

+ Show Spoiler [Bogus vs. Happy] +

Bogus vs. Happy

Bogus wins (44.195%):
      2-0: 21.273%
      2-1: 22.922%

Happy wins (55.805%):
      2-0: 29.028%
      2-1: 26.777%

Most likely winner: Happy (55.805%)
Most likely outcome: Bogus 0-2 Happy (29.028%)

+ Show Spoiler [Trap vs. GuMiho] +

Trap vs. GuMiho

Trap wins (45.692%):
      2-0: 22.208%
      2-1: 23.485%

GuMiho wins (54.308%):
      2-0: 27.958%
      2-1: 26.350%

Most likely winner: GuMiho (54.308%)
Most likely outcome: Trap 0-2 GuMiho (27.958%)

Yello

Germany7411 Posts

October 18 2012 07:36 GMT

#17

On October 18 2012 16:32 TheBB wrote:
I ran my Elo-based probability script a few times again. Based on the ratings, Sniper is an overwhelming favourite to win, and in the other matches, the ESF players are favoured by about 55-45. (Is Shy really that good?)

+ Show Spoiler [Sirius vs. Sniper] +

+ Show Spoiler [sHy vs. Seed] +

+ Show Spoiler [Bogus vs. Happy] +

+ Show Spoiler [Trap vs. GuMiho] +

Hm. I will check this out again after the games. I wonder how accurate this could be ^.^

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

October 18 2012 07:41 GMT

#18

On October 18 2012 16:36 Yello wrote:

Show nested quote +

Hm. I will check this out again after the games. I wonder how accurate this could be ^.^

I tried it with the GSL semis, and it flunked both tests. XD

Though to be honest, the only thing you should read from those numbers is that Sniper will likely win, and the other matches are essentially open (which doesn't mean that they will be close).