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Auction OSL - Ro16 Day 4 Preview

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Auction OSL - Ro16 Day 4 Preview

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byHawaiianPig
September 5th, 2012 05:03 GMT
Photo: dailyesports.com

Check out the Auction OSL on Liquipedia



Round of 16 Day 4: Previews

By: Pokebunny


(Z)DongRaeGu vs (P)By.Rain -(Wiki) Entombed Valley

As the opening match of an exciting day four, DRG vs Rain features an impressive clash between two titans of their respective worlds, and could be a great chance for the rising KeSPA star to take a win from one of the best GSL competitors.

While I wouldn't go so far as to say his skill has declined, DongRaeGu has definitely looked vulnerable lately. Everyone knows of his unfortunate streak of losses in the GSL, GSTL, and WCS Korea, but it's important to note that it wasn't a very large sample size of games. We're so used to DRG performing in high-pressure situations, and it's a testament to his track record that just a few losses to fantastic players has whispers of "slump" heard 'round the forums. However, it's worth remembering that while DRG looked bad in his past few games, at the top level of play, a few small mistakes can be the difference between a superstar and an average Code S player. He's still at least a top 3 Zerg, and a smashing of JangBi last week was enough to stop us from worrying too much.

On the other side, if there's anyone from the KeSPA stable that should worry DRG, By.Rain is that player. Undoubtedly one of KeSPA's best representatives to date, Rain's track record includes a top eight* finish at WCS Korea and a stellar 15-8 record against KeSPA competition. Perhaps even more important to note is that Rain's WCS finish was entirely a result of four PvZ series wins against some of the best Zergs around - horror, Leenock, Jaedong, and Curious. While none of these players are quite up there with DRG, you could make a case for a couple being very close, and of Code S level at the very least. On the flip side, this means that Rain may have exhausted most or all of his PvZ playbook, and being completely unpredictable could perhaps have been a cause for some of the KeSPA players’ success thus far.

The map, Entombed Valley, clearly tips the balance a bit towards Rain, as it is possibly the best Protoss map currently in the pool. For me, that's enough to ride Rain's hype and impressive showings to predict a victory - the conditions are about as favorable as it gets for Rain, and this will be a perfect chance for the KeSPA elite to prove their worth.

DongRaeGu < By.Rain

*While he did technically finish top 6, his Ro8 match was a walkover over HerO, so it's hard to give him much credit for that.

(T)Fantasy vs (P)Oz- (Wiki)Ohana LE

Oz will be part two of Fantasy's proving grounds challenge and Fantasy will be riding high into this match after passing his first test over NesTea with flying colors.

Having participated in the most recent OSL finals, Fantasy's SC2 expertise is all the more impressive. Showing all the brilliance, multitasking, and mechanical skill of a Code S champion, Fantasy flattened NesTea last week in a fashion that was reminiscent of his spectacular Brood War TvP. This ability will certainly come in handy in a TvP this week against Oz, with a multitasking-heavy drop style having potential here as well. Even better, Fantasy boasts a scary 8-1 Proleague record, with the only loss being a bit of a surprise against to Stork in his second match. While Fantasy has ridden somewhat under the radar despite his success, all eyes will be on him to perform in this important group stage match, with a victory likely to ensure his advance to the Ro8.

His opponent, FnaticRC's Oz, will have the unfortunate task of attempting to halt the stampeding elephant. Oz's PvT hasn't exactly impressed as of late - falling to TheStC, Ryung, YoDa, and teammate Rain since his victory over Mvp in the ODT. PvT has never been a strong suit for Oz and he'll certainly be preparing hard to not embarrass himself in a scary and important match here in week two. A loss wouldn't be totally crushing for Oz as his week one match was postponed due to troubles returning home, so he'll still have plenty of opportunity to make it through, but he certainly won't be taking this lightly.

The map, Ohana, shouldn't be too much of a factor in this match, despite it being Bo1. Oz clearly has his work cut out for him, and I'd have to pick Fantasy as the favorite coming into this match. Fantasy's SC2 play has shown little weakness thus far and he's an extremely dangerous opponent for a Protoss player that has shown more than his fair share of weaknesses as of late. Expect Fantasy to come out with guns blazing and Oz desperately doing what he can to put out the fire.

Fantasy > Oz

(P)PartinG vs (P)Flying - (Wiki)Antiga Shipyard 1.2

PvP between KeSPA and GSL players is perhaps the hardest thing to predict in SC2 currently, with the gameplay being stylistically unique between the two sectors and the matchup continuing to be as volatile as ever.

PartinG's PvP has been, well, as good as you can expect of the average Code S player as of late. Honestly, it's hard to stand out from the field of Korean PvPers, with them trading series and rarely distancing themselves from the pack. A third place finish at WCS Korea was indeed impressive from PartinG, but it's almost impossible to guess what he'll bring to this match.

Flying is, if anything, even more of a mystery. With a 3-3 PvP record thus far in KeSPA competitions, it's impossible to say whether Flying will fall to a difficult Code S competitor or rise to the occasion with something special. A win over Mvp last week certainly was impressive, as is his 5-0 PvT record, but PvP is still quite unpredictable between the best players in the world. It would be interesting to see something new or unique out of Flying, and it certainly isn't out of the question considering the KeSPA players' ability to prepare for a Bo1.

Overall, PartinG has to be favored purely based on his track record, but it wouldn't surprise me to see Flying take a victory and advance 2-0 over two solid Code S GSL players.

PartinG > Flying

(P)BeSt vs (T)Flash - (Wiki)Daybreak

A marquee matchup for the KeSPA fans, OSL closes day four with a clash of Brood War titans who have met many times before on the battlefield. Two of the best from the final few years of Korean BW, Best and Flash are no strangers, with fourteen encounters leaving an 8-6 score-line in favor of the KT Terran. Both known for macro heavy styles, meetings between the two have often spanned the entire map, with multiple armies trades a feature of many exciting games.

BeSt has looked solid thus far in SC2 competition, holding his own in Proleague and through the OSL qualifiers, despite not qualifying for either WCS or WCG Korea. It's still hard to say what he truly brings to the table, as he's relatively unproven in KeSPA competition and almost completely untested against GSL opponents. On current evidence Best can most generously be described as good, but nothing spectacular.

Flash, on the other hand, has shown both flashes of brilliance and plenty of weakness. Despite underwhelming Proleague performances and a failure to qualify for WCS and WCG Korea, Flash dominated the KeSPA invitational at Anaheim and is still often sent out as KT's ace. Cited as one of the scariest players, a solid victory over San last week showed that he does have what it takes to keep up with GSL players, despite San not being the toughest of competition. We still are giving Flash the benefit of the doubt and expecting that his RTS greatness will shine through in SC2; his talent and dedication is unquestionable.

The map, Daybreak, is the perfect battleground for these two macro-oriented players. If they live up to their potential, we could see a sensational game of back-and-forth PvT that will extend the legacy of these fantastic players and excite us about what is to come. The KeSPA mystique hasn't entirely worn off despite a few months of broadcast games, so it's still hard to pick a clear favorite, but I’ll still give Flash the benefit of the doubt with both players having very similar track records.

BeSt < Flash

Jangbi Carrier by Kiett
Brought to you by the Auction OSL team: GMarshal, kiett, kjwcj, Pokebunny, and SirJolt
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TL+ Member
BlueBoxSC
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States582 Posts
September 05 2012 05:12 GMT
#2
Those are some very bold predictions.
BwCBlueBox.837
Pokebunny
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
United States10654 Posts
September 05 2012 05:15 GMT
#3
On September 05 2012 14:12 BlueBoxSC wrote:
Those are some very bold predictions.

First one is pretty bold, other than that I wouldn't say so particularly
Semipro Terran player | Pokebunny#1710 | twitter.com/Pokebunny | twitch.tv/Pokebunny | facebook.com/PokebunnySC
ReketSomething
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States6012 Posts
September 05 2012 05:17 GMT
#4
I agree with all the predictions except the third game!
Jaedong :3
rice_devOurer
Profile Joined July 2012
United States773 Posts
September 05 2012 05:23 GMT
#5
:o what is this with the first prediction?
IN SOVIET RUSSIA ノ┬─┬ノ ︵ ( \o°o)\ Table Flips you
endy
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Switzerland8970 Posts
September 05 2012 06:06 GMT
#6
Three SKT players in a day, sweet
ॐ
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10126 Posts
September 05 2012 06:14 GMT
#7
FLASH HWAITING! skt sucks Heh.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
aRyuujin
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States5049 Posts
September 05 2012 06:27 GMT
#8
woot sun, knew he was something special. Even if no SC2 transition, he'd have gotten good fast. Him, Bisu, and BeSt pretty much hauled SKT last season

its funny to see fantasy doing well in the bio focused sc2 world, but as some people said, he really does seem suited for sc2.


and most importantly:

FLAAAAAAAAASHHHHHHHHH
AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
SAVIOR OF THE UNIVERSE

BeSt's crazy macro is a lot less effective in sc2, where protoss just feels more micro heavy than macro heavy, but he's still incredible. the problem for him, though, is incredible isn't enough to stop GOD.
can i get my estro logo back pls
GolemMadness
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Canada11044 Posts
September 05 2012 06:53 GMT
#9
God will not be stopped. -_-;
http://na.op.gg/summoner/userName=FLABREZU
Ktk
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Korea (South)753 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-09-05 07:03:35
September 05 2012 07:03 GMT
#10
neoghaleon55
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7435 Posts
September 05 2012 07:10 GMT
#11
you'll hear from me once DRG wins!
*shakes fist!
moo...for DRG
Cink
Profile Joined April 2010
United States93 Posts
September 05 2012 07:16 GMT
#12
It's weird seeing people favor KeSPA players already, but I can't say I really disagree with any of these predictions. It seems about right to me...happened pretty quick though...
Samsung KHAN| Stork4Lyfe
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
September 05 2012 07:23 GMT
#13
I would like to see Rain take down DRG. I think he's pretty good and will get out of his Code S group, too!
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Doubting
Profile Joined August 2012
Canada981 Posts
September 05 2012 08:36 GMT
#14
Stupid OSL BO1. DRG is screwed on Protoss valley, he just can't catch a break these days.
Life: The New Champion!!
X3GoldDot
Profile Joined August 2011
Malaysia3840 Posts
September 05 2012 08:39 GMT
#15
On September 05 2012 16:16 Cink wrote:
It's weird seeing people favor KeSPA players already, but I can't say I really disagree with any of these predictions. It seems about right to me...happened pretty quick though...


honestly its more becuz rain is like 1 of the best kespa sc2 players atm, and drg is in a slump, also oz have not been performing up to even code S standards, looking more like an average code A player recently, and fantasy is pretty fucking good...
prime/startale/[SexComaZerg, RoyalRoaderZerg, SirLifealot] ingame ID = GoodGame
snailz
Profile Joined April 2011
Croatia900 Posts
September 05 2012 08:43 GMT
#16
pokebunny writing previews, is that new or was i missing something all along ? :D
"I am saying that there are 300 current pros and semi-pros that have the potential to come in and dominate SC2 at any moment, with a latency of a few months from the day they switch." - intrigue
0dem
Profile Joined January 2012
Germany129 Posts
September 05 2012 09:12 GMT
#17
Cant wait! 100% my predictions as well!
readytorock
Profile Joined May 2012
129 Posts
September 05 2012 10:29 GMT
#18
FLASH FIGHTING!!!!!!!!!
Wooooooooooooah!!!!!!!!!!
Targe
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom14103 Posts
September 05 2012 10:43 GMT
#19
Gogo fantasy! Gogo flash!

Elephant reigns!
11/5/14 CATACLYSM | The South West's worst Falco main
.vid
Profile Joined July 2011
Croatia227 Posts
September 05 2012 10:54 GMT
#20
ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM
eujjjjj
KoBlades
Profile Joined April 2011
Austria248 Posts
September 05 2012 11:24 GMT
#21
On September 05 2012 19:54 .vid wrote:
ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM


ya sure... It's rather GSL players playing badly than KeSPA players playing so well when they win.
"What do you know about fear?" -"Everything."
-Hitman-
Profile Joined September 2012
56 Posts
September 05 2012 12:06 GMT
#22
Tramble on brave elephants!
Hryul
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Austria2609 Posts
September 05 2012 12:20 GMT
#23
I really hope Fantasy is able to bring back and establish multipronged attackstyle. Loving it.
Countdown to victory: 1 200!
-Hitman-
Profile Joined September 2012
56 Posts
September 05 2012 12:29 GMT
#24
On September 05 2012 21:20 Hryul wrote:
I really hope Fantasy is able to bring back and establish multipronged attackstyle. Loving it.


yeah me 2!!
Greenei
Profile Joined November 2011
Germany1754 Posts
September 05 2012 13:15 GMT
#25
wow so much text for 50% correct results. next time just throw a coin, you'll save some work.
IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA
TheShimmy
Profile Joined January 2011
United States1808 Posts
September 05 2012 13:40 GMT
#26
Flashhhhh!

Ohhhhhoooooohhhhh

Savior of the universe.
Hyvaa #1 Fan. Gogo STX, Dear, Bogus, Classic, and Mini! Always a BW fan!
Citherna
Profile Joined October 2011
United States33 Posts
September 05 2012 14:07 GMT
#27
No way. DRG > By.Rain.


...please. T_T
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
September 05 2012 14:43 GMT
#28
On September 05 2012 23:07 Citherna wrote:
No way. DRG > By.Rain.


...please. T_T


I have some bad news for you...
Condor Hero
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States2931 Posts
September 05 2012 15:40 GMT
#29
On September 05 2012 22:15 Greenei wrote:
wow so much text for 50% correct results. next time just throw a coin, you'll save some work.

You know that old saying... if you don't want to read, might not want to open a newspaper?

Actually I just made that up but it seems to fit the situation.
Pokebunny
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
United States10654 Posts
September 05 2012 15:54 GMT
#30
On September 05 2012 22:15 Greenei wrote:
wow so much text for 50% correct results. next time just throw a coin, you'll save some work.

6 for 8 over two days is pretty good I'd say, considering how hard to KeSPA players are to predict.
Semipro Terran player | Pokebunny#1710 | twitter.com/Pokebunny | twitch.tv/Pokebunny | facebook.com/PokebunnySC
Zhivago
Profile Joined June 2011
7 Posts
September 05 2012 19:42 GMT
#31
Oz will not lose to Fantasy
GO GO GO -muhreen
Ettick
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States2434 Posts
September 05 2012 21:33 GMT
#32
Rain is such a fucking beast, beating MKP and DRG!
neoghaleon55
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7435 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-09-06 00:56:13
September 06 2012 00:55 GMT
#33
On September 06 2012 06:33 Ettick wrote:
Rain is such a fucking beast, beating MKP and DRG!


winning pvz on entombed is not very impressive.
I would have liked to see them on Daybreak instead.
moo...for DRG
Flamingo777
Profile Joined October 2010
United States1190 Posts
September 07 2012 08:37 GMT
#34
Gogo flash!
rice_devOurer
Profile Joined July 2012
United States773 Posts
September 08 2012 05:23 GMT
#35
MKP vs DRG elimination match. oh dear...
IN SOVIET RUSSIA ノ┬─┬ノ ︵ ( \o°o)\ Table Flips you
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