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Winter Warfare Mafia - Page 16

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
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Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 17:49 GMT
#2675
On December 18 2023 02:43 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2023 02:41 Alakaslam wrote:
Wait, I know exactly what to do.

Check the voting thread then ask me why.

Why?

Where does it leave us?

It leaves you able to be saved by either of Rayn or Trfel.

I TR HolyFlare.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 17:49 GMT
#2676
On December 18 2023 02:45 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2023 02:28 Alakaslam wrote:
On December 18 2023 02:25 Palmar wrote:
On December 18 2023 02:22 Alakaslam wrote:
On December 18 2023 02:06 Palmar wrote:
On December 18 2023 02:01 sandroba wrote:
On December 18 2023 01:51 Palmar wrote:
On December 18 2023 01:49 sandroba wrote:
Just had a stupid idea - if mafia has a vigi and somehow the shot on marv got blocked (marv vet or town jailer) then I guess it's somewhat possible HF is mafia if the shots were marv + koshi.

Mafia doesn’t have extra kp

Why not?

Because the game is (due to 12 and not 13 people) already mafia favored. With no blues mafia wins in third mislynch. If mafia has extra kp AND roleblocker town would be swimming in blue roles and we would already have seen claims.

It’s like 99% that there is one more blue in the game, probably an investigation role because we already have seen one survival role and we haven’t seen a vig shot.

This is all completely pointless of course and doesn’t help us today

Helped a bit, you made me not sure again 🤷‍♂️

This post from me is NAI slam….

It is and it isn't

If you are not thinking things through (usually I am not) the earlier remark you made can look like tmi

Then you cleared up how you could estimate such a thing with great certitude.


I’m not stupid enough to make a TMI mistake as mafia. In fact when I corrected HF on day 1 I was hoping to bait out some stupid TMI accusations.

I believe this,

But I also believe it is the weekend
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 18:00 GMT
#2679
On December 18 2023 02:54 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2023 02:49 Alakaslam wrote:
On December 18 2023 02:43 Palmar wrote:
On December 18 2023 02:41 Alakaslam wrote:
Wait, I know exactly what to do.

Check the voting thread then ask me why.

Why?

Where does it leave us?

It leaves you able to be saved by either of Rayn or Trfel.

I TR HolyFlare.


You are so strange.

rayn is not gonna vote me unless he’s mafia and I really really don’t think he is. Town rayn will begrudgingly accept marv’s hard townread on me.

a lot of odd behavior arises from laziness. Mine is extreme.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 18:00 GMT
#2680
On December 18 2023 02:59 Palmar wrote:
Sandroba and HF are another story. Even if they’re town I probably pissed Sandroba off enough by trolling him in the mason QT so he’s tunneled in. HF thinks highly enough of himself to ignore marv.

But it’s still really annoying that 3 strong players who know marv and I read each other well enough to pretty much make playing mafia against each other a complete pain in the ass, just ignore that knowledge.

Dmb has an excuse, a classic pebkac.

HF, Rayn, and who?
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 18:01 GMT
#2681
Oh Sandroba nvm
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 18:04 GMT
#2682
I have a terrible memory for anything I deem less than extremely important, which is decided by my subconscious. That really doesn't help either.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 20:58 GMT
#2764
___
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 21:00 GMT
#2765
On December 15 2023 00:01 Alakaslam wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2023 19:42 marvellosity wrote:
On December 14 2023 19:41 Holyflare wrote:
On December 14 2023 19:40 Koshi wrote:
On December 14 2023 02:51 Holyflare wrote:
Trfel

+ Show Spoiler [posts] +


#72
- This is the beginning of when trfel didn't like sandro. I think the highlighted part of sandro's post is extremely waffley and bad so like that he's picking it out to pre-empt what he's about to say and get a response to it. ++

#74 - Sandro responds and to me, it looks like he should be town reading slam in #73 but somehow in his original conclusion he downplays the town read. Trfel picks up on this in this post and his next post (#75), indicating that Sandro makes absolutely no read on slam whatsoever even though he writes a lot of lines about him so it's just kind of pointless. ++

There's a bunch of questions thrown out in the next few posts and at least he follows up a bit with sandro. Not sure I like that in #118 he just kinda fobs sandro's response off but I like that he expands what he's thinking to DP. Sandro's post is riddled with open-ended unsureness that didn't seem to have a purpose. I like even more that he tries to question Slam over Slam thinking that all the reactions were overblow and it could just be mafia/mafia theatre. I'm not sure I like that Slam post even (will investigate) but Trfel does a good job of trying to dig into someone that looks like they have a thought process incongruent with theirs. ++

#120 Oh, he basically says exactly what I said above and takes back the town read. Pretty good imo. ++
Same kinda vibe with questioning DP in #124

Next few posts are just a bit of back and forth with marv interjecting and talking to DP about the sureity of his sandro read and it not being very sure. I think #136 the ending feels a bit robotic "I'm very interested to see how he follows it up" is just so generic. I also think #143 is also extremely generic in a way that the post is too formulaicly worded. Like he's just going through the motions of scum reading sandro and waiting for the next step of his programming to happen without interjecting real thoughts. --

Actually kind of like the highlighted bits being pointed out in #146, they don't really make any sense to me (DP saying that mafia likes to take strong commitments early ???). I actually hate DP in these interactions lol, good thing I didn't pay enough attention to them. ++ trfel

The next few posts in #156, #157, #159 are all good responses to DP making wtf accusations and then a weird unvote. I like that Trfel wanted it followed up.

Gonna stop linking to posts now, cba. #167 is a good question to vivax. Not sure exactly what vivax was going to achieve with his sandro question and it shows trfel is still interested in interactions in and around sandro.

#169 is basically a scum read on DP without actually saying as much. I'm not sure why he stops short of outright calling DP mafia. Don't really like it. I guess you could say he doesn't really make a conclusion on sandro too although you could argue that's just a feeler content creation case with more poignant accusations. Don't like this post regardless ---

#257 Quite like the initial points on Vivax that trfel talks about but the second half of it seems like something extra tacked on for no reason. If he doesn't know what to make of the order or if it's alignment indicative why does it matter? Feels like adding words for the sake of it and a bit hypocritical in the same respect as his accusation to sandro earlier. --

#262 Think sandro mentioned this in one of his recent posts but I also don't like that he callously threw out the vivax suspicion beforehand, found out it wasn't actually true and then still used it to almost double down on ANOTHER meaningless reason to not like what vivax said. Vivax could have quite easily caught up by skimming and then gone back to poke at questions so seems pretty mediocre. ---

As a caveat to the above, in this post above he mentions that he doesn't like that DP has fallen off after the questioning of him (doesn't bring back up the other DP points he disliked before, at least not yet. Just kinda outs it which is fine imo. Don't hate it.) +

He makes some throwaway question to me asking why I think rayn is mafia, has some follow up with rayn about vivax's posts again in #272 as if that line of thought even means something anymore. Meh. At least he acknowledges that in the same post and is just more concerned with Vivax's lack of involvement.

#287 Points out that I agree with what Vivax is saying (has a overarching view of most of Vivax's posts/stances). Will await to see the conclusion to what I say before questioning whether this is a good post or not because I'd be extra curious about what I said, given my answer was something crap like "I forgot".

#328 tries to get vivax (a scum read) to comment on DP (presumably a scum read but kind of unsaid). Good follow up I guess, shows thinking about the game at least, even if an easy post. +

#335 A correct take but not sure I understand why he's more concerned about my "overall picture of play" when I've made like 2 posts. Here is where he mentions that DP is probably asleep and wants my thoughts too. Mmmm. Questionable post imo. --

#388 No reads list but Vivax/DP/Koshi (first mention)/Sandro are in his suspect list. Not sure where Koshi came from or how.

fuck me I'm bored of investing myself into playing this game it's tedious af, just gonna summarise the rest




lot more back and forth with DP about really silly nitpicking points imo. I don't think trfel's points are that bad that DP fell off after the push on him and did not much (will double check between when DP stopped pushing and went to bed to clarify). I also don't think his point about the marv push was that bad either.

Koshi read is phoning it in but fine. Shared sentiment.

#428 is a bad post (the one talking about DP sleeping with no other push in the thread). ------

his posts about DP calling sandro basically town are correct and DP's arguments are pretty bad faith

voting for vivax is consistent and I don't think #666 is that bad given his posts previously, it's pretty much just a summary of what he's been saying, not a hipster new read thing

I also kinda liked that he stopped interacting with the DP scum read, the frustration seemed real and I dunno if he'd be that frustrated as mafia? Although would he perhaps be more accusatory if he was town and thought DP was mafia and then go after him more? Maybe he's getting frustrated because he's being misrepresented and can't really fight back properly as mafia? One to think about more.

#805 is a whatever defence of marv. Perhaps unwarranted and feels a bit like his defence of me for little reason.

#815 possibly like this post

#823 does mafia trfel really make this post to a town vivax if he knows this to be true? I'm not so sure he actually does.


tl;dr

1) I think Trfel's opening posts on sandro are decent but the suspicion drops off the face of the earth. I don't like that.

2) His argument with DP is extra pointless from DP's side. I don't think the arguments that Trfel presents calling out DP are that bad other than the sleeping thing obviously which is a bit shit but not specifically what he meant. I need to check the timeline here for when DP stopped pushing Trfel and then went to bed because if it's straight away then Trfel's points are bad. If DP stays in the thread a bit aimlessly doing nothing then Trfel's points hold a lot more merit.

3) I think his Vivax suspicion is fine but he throws in a lot of extrenuous details into it that are basically meaningless and he eventually admits that. He defaults to the same kind of argument that he thinks DP is being mafia for (no thread presence or drive) which is an ok read. I actually liked his initial questioning of Vivax over his questions to Sandroba. It shows that he was interested in people interacting with his original scum read.

4) He kind of throws out some free town reads (or at least pressure appeasing reads) on me and marv out of the blue which I feel like I've seen him do before in a previous game, or at least it tickles my brain saying I have somewhere but I can't really get a feel for why he does it. Just seems out of the blue.

5) His argument with DP I think he was mostly correct on and DP was arguing in bad faith. He gets very frustrated with being misrepresented but it doesn't seem like he cares to go the extra step to call DP mafia here or campaign for him. Instead, he leaves and comes back and decides to ignore DP to stop the back and forth (which is fine) but I think he'd be more vocal about suspicions here on his return.

6) I really think that #823 is a post a mafia trfel probably doesn't make to a vivax that he knows is town?

7) I get the overall impression that Trfel is kinda sticking to scum reads and hasn't had much evolution of them? They seem a bit static, even if it appears he's questioning them.




I dunno lol, could genuinely see him being town or mafia. I'd be more inclined to call him town, although I'm fully ready to be burnt by that position. Feel like I've wasted my precious time playing this game now.


I skimmed this a bit too hard. But yeah. Imo if you are voting Tfrel you are setting up a second town wagon or he is the counterwagon.


I thought he was probably townie and then he came out with no scum reads and no real drive to do anything with that. It has since changed after I've put my vote on him but just mulling who to switch to atm.

I am town. I really think Palmar is town. I really think Koshi is town.

It all points to sand.

Palmar has done fucj all

If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 21:04 GMT
#2767
I am really host wifom confident there is at least 1 if not 2 mafia in Palmar // Sandroba.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 21:05 GMT
#2768
Reason for that is mason holding looks like a reset

What are the chances it RNG to me twice?
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 21:05 GMT
#2769
And RNG to the person I had masoned previously?
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 21:07 GMT
#2770
Then again, people win the lottery with a surprising regularity so... I really don't know for sure obviously.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 21:12 GMT
#2772
Also, my ploy fell apart
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 21:13 GMT
#2773
On December 18 2023 06:10 Holyflare wrote:
Oh surely it's random don't read into that lol

B-but I do! I can't help it! It's the kind of hidden dastardly shit I would do as a host!
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 21:20 GMT
#2776
On December 18 2023 06:16 marvellosity wrote:
Are you guys actuallly going to lynch Palmar? You better be right or I am going to be unbearable after the flip.

Then again if I’m wrong it’s massive mafia depression so it’s lose lose really…

Why was Koshi NK before him or you?

Cause you both been feckless this game. How both of you can be so convincingly unconvincing is astounding to most rn I think.

Chezinu is the only member of the team I could see directing leaving the two highest rated players alive over (albeit also good record) feckless whining Koshi who hard defends a mafia until he suddenly doesn't.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 21:21 GMT
#2777
On December 18 2023 06:20 Alakaslam wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2023 06:16 marvellosity wrote:
Are you guys actuallly going to lynch Palmar? You better be right or I am going to be unbearable after the flip.

Then again if I’m wrong it’s massive mafia depression so it’s lose lose really…

Why was Koshi NK before him or you?

Cause you both been feckless this game. How both of you can be so convincingly unconvincing is astounding to most rn I think.

Chezinu is the only member of the team I could see directing leaving the two highest rated players alive over (albeit also good record) feckless whining Koshi who hard defends a mafia until he suddenly doesn't.

This is meant as a compliment overall, by the way. This is a problem that doesn't arise from being bad
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 21:51 GMT
#2780
Essentially, usually Marv and Palm are so good, that one need not think and can just sheep them

This isn't true this game, but there is no evidence of them having gotten any more foolish.

It could be that the rest of us have gotten SO fucking bad that everyone is unreadable, but I doubt this enough to feel it is time to lynch

Of all people

Palmar.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 22:09 GMT
#2781
Also Rayn your input is still important.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 22:10 GMT
#2782
But it is midnight where he is.

Would have to wake up at like 5am to do anything effective at all.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 17 2023 22:11 GMT
#2783
I wonder if he will vote at all this cycle?
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
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