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[M][N]Oil Futures Mafia - Page 6

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 05:58 GMT
#912
On May 02 2020 14:55 Trfel wrote:
Yes, sorry, I was talking about Fecalfeast's filter.

I've honestly no clue who is mafia this game


I thought you had a scumread on Shockeyy. You even called out one of his posts as being a whole load of nothing this day.
I'd lynch him today.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 06:33 GMT
#918
On May 01 2020 02:50 Trfel wrote:
##unvote
##vote ShoCkeyy


Underwhelming filter. I like Vivax's (?) point about ShoCkeyy saying he voted Koshi only for a pressure vote, but also saying that Koshi's opening was a mafia opening. He's yet to give any other reasons to suspect Koshi. And more importantly, he's just saying recently "I like GlowingBear more than Koshi" while voting for Alakaslam, while GlowingBear is leading the lynch and Koshi or Alakaslam aren't really in contention.

Not sold on it but maybe it'll work?


So this was a zero conviction vote?
Why mention him not voting GB then as if it was a reason for him to be mafia?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 07:06 GMT
#921
Was Koshi a low conviction suspect too?

When comparing your reads to what you said earlier about people, first Shockeyy and now Koshi don't seem to fit much into what you're saying now.

You listed a bunch of reasons for Koshi to be mafia, but the night kill made you paranoid about him, and then he ends up with me and rayn in maybe town.

Kinda hope I'm wrong here and Trfel didn't evolve his scum game into sounding like an innocent child.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 07:09 GMT
#922
Actually I'll banish that thought for now. Doubt I'd lynch Trfel today anyway.

Gonna wait on this instead.

On May 02 2020 11:05 Jockmcplop wrote:
RIP Fefe.
I have some rethinking to do in the morning.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 07:49 GMT
#924
On May 02 2020 16:19 Trfel wrote:
Koshi wasn't a low conviction suspect, I just re-evaluated. His response to my push felt towny to me, his defense was unexpected and understandable. He has felt invested in the game. At least for now I'm backing off. Still suspicious, but there is reason to townread him (especially viewing GlowingBear as mafia).

Vivax, are you sure GlowingBear is town? I know he didn't vote, and that can seem towny, but outside of that his play reads like mafia to me. I'm on my phone so it's hard to elaborate, but if it's only one thing that makes you think someone is town, IMO you'd better be really really freaking sure about that one thing. Mafia can do surprising things sometimes.


Yeah, you may be right that I'm giving too much importance to that, but when as mafia you just want to survive, voting someone else to save yourself for another cycle is really a nobrainer. He was here at EoD 100%.

I think I'll chill for now and see what GB brings to the table to get rayn and Koshi lynched. Because it's kind of bold to be in a line of thinking where the mafia are Koshi, rayn and one of me or Slam and I want to see how he justifies that.
.
It's not an impossible combination, but kinda like assuming mafia hit the active vet jackpot. Though rayn to me doesn't feel like the same rayn from yesterday before EoD, so there's that.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 17:21 GMT
#945
On May 03 2020 02:01 ShoCkeyy wrote:
Fefe and I had great conversations, for Fefe to die, and them try to pin me as mafia isn't going to go so well when Koshi actually reads Fefe's filter and notices he hardly scum read me at all.

FecalFeast and I had our run ins, but I always answered him, and he answered me. When I posted my scum list, he was one of them, so of course naturally we talked it out.


You sound a bit like Trump.
That'd be enough to lynch you already but the current activity levels are boring me to death.
I'll come back to this post when it doesn't feel like I'm talking to myself in the thread.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 17:29 GMT
#946
Let's pretend you're town. Who's scum and how does that relate to the wagon argument you made on D1, are you still following that logic?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 18:26 GMT
#949
On May 03 2020 02:45 ShoCkeyy wrote:
Of course, I personally think that scum is easily in Koshi/Slam. Even if they're both not mafia, one of them is 100%.


That's a great, no, a tremendous case. I want to thank myself for being so concise, and I am sure everyone will agree.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 20:41 GMT
#951
On May 03 2020 05:37 Trfel wrote:
I take it people were very underwhelmed by my post on GlowingBear


Hard to think of something I'm not underwhelmed from.
Which people btw.

##Vote rayn
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 20:47 GMT
#952
I'm not going to read much into cases until rayn plays or is on the chopping block.
If that's how he decides to play through D2, he's mafia. Simple as that.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 21:03 GMT
#953
I guarantee you he's watching the thread and deliberately decides not to post because he pretends to be mad for some BS that someone did.
That's textbook scum rayn.
As town he'd still care enough to try and give guidance, not just talk to Grack like that and fuck off.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 02 2020 21:41 GMT
#955
On May 03 2020 06:19 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2020 05:41 Vivax wrote:
On May 03 2020 05:37 Trfel wrote:
I take it people were very underwhelmed by my post on GlowingBear


Hard to think of something I'm not underwhelmed from.
Which people btw.

##Vote rayn
Just no one commented on it. Maybe I need to rewrite it.

Voting raynpelikoneet if he doesn't play makes sense? Except for a lot of people aren't playing currently


Yeah I'm sorry if I don't pay too much attention to your case right now. I'm also kinda triggered that today to me feels like a circlejerk between you and me.

But if vets I'm used to like Koshi and rayn basically put 1% of the effort they did on D1, coupled with the FF kill, then odds are at least one of them is mafia. And I'm putting my money on rayn, also because of his voting shenanigans yesterday.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 03 2020 07:58 GMT
#983
I reread Koshi, and I'm NOT lynching him. But I feel like lynching Chez for that vote.

On May 03 2020 10:14 ShoCkeyy wrote:
Vivax, if rayn wasn't town, then why would he vote for Kurumi even though he was confirmed town with his posts and was most likely going to get modkilled or replaced? Like the way I see it is if rayn was mafia, he would of voted GB out instead because GB would definitely been his biggest opponent, and his biggest problem until N1 kill or something.

GlowingBear: (3) Koshi, Vivax, Alakaslam

If you're town, which I hope you are based on your game play, then that means Kosh or Slam have to be mafia. Trfel seems to be sheeping Rayn or just willing to vote Kurumi based on the same information Rayn had, and he at least is also trying to play the game as well.

Rayn seems to only not be playing recently because people are scum reading him. He did the same thing last game I played where Hap was really pushing he was mafia.



You're still following wacky logic in my book. Like, mafia only lynches their bigges threats, so rayn is town. Or that the only reason you and GB were the wagons is because mafia was on them. The thought you could have been wrong on one of them never even crossed your mind?

I dislike using the word, but your post is really just about wifoming yourself into a rayn townread.

What's your argument for lynching Koshi before Slam?
Why did you never post a read on Jock except weird posts hinting at interaction based reads, but not even really.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 03 2020 10:59 GMT
#992
##Unvote


Jock who do you want to lynch?
What is this entire conversation about? Do you want to find mafia?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 03 2020 11:08 GMT
#995
On May 03 2020 20:01 Jockmcplop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2020 19:59 Vivax wrote:
##Unvote


Jock who do you want to lynch?
What is this entire conversation about? Do you want to find mafia?


My PoE currently:

Slam
Koshi
Chezinu
Trfel
Vivax


I'm in your PoE?
Trfel?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 03 2020 11:42 GMT
#1020
On May 03 2020 20:14 Jockmcplop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2020 20:08 Vivax wrote:
On May 03 2020 20:01 Jockmcplop wrote:
On May 03 2020 19:59 Vivax wrote:
##Unvote


Jock who do you want to lynch?
What is this entire conversation about? Do you want to find mafia?


My PoE currently:

Slam
Koshi
Chezinu
Trfel
Vivax


I'm in your PoE?
Trfel?


Yep. I think you've been pretty scummy except for your meta which makes me doubt my read on you. I really hate the push against rayn, and shockeyy for that matter. I can't just ignore that stuff because you are posting enough to be town vivax.

Trfel is basically a null read which puts him in my PoE. I have alot of townreads and people i won't lynch this game. Trfel never did anything to make me think he's town. He's making cases but they are all kind of weak. Doesn't make him mafia, but stops me from townreading him.


If you found my push on rayn weird I'd expect you to mention it somewhere before, because it's quite a hipster read to have.

I'm also not in your scum list from your previous post.
Dunno, I find your poe hard to believe. It's like you're reading a different game.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 03 2020 11:50 GMT
#1029
On May 03 2020 20:45 raynpelikoneet wrote:
No this is the right answer:
##vote jockmcplop


Probably. Feels very disconnected from the game.

##Vote Jock

Chez can you cut to the chase?You're giving off headless chicken vibes.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 03 2020 11:53 GMT
#1036
It feels like the game went from Heidi to Mad Max within an hour as soon as Jock Koshi and Chez arrived.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 03 2020 12:11 GMT
#1054
On May 03 2020 21:06 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2020 19:22 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I still think the following people are town.
Vivax, Trfel, Koshi. I mean like i am just going to assume they are town.

The next important thing is the votecount and GB's alignment. If GB is town, mafia didn't care about the lynch. If GB is mafia, mafia still didn't care about the lynch. I kind of agree with Vivax that GB not voting for the counter wagon -- while incredibly stupid, most likely makes him town. The only person from the "not taking a stance on lynch" by the eod was Slam who was swapping his votes after Kurumi started posting. I don't think that looks townie and i think Slam is the only person aside from the people who were on Kurumi and GB can actually be mafia.

I don't think either of Shockeyy and Grackaroni were reading either of Kurumi/GB mafia. I actually think Shockeyy tried to make people switch to Slam, i think that's minor town points for him. I kind of thought Grack has to be mafia based on him not wanting to do anything about the lynch, especially when his biggest scumread is voting for Kurumi the most obvious decision to make is to try make people vote for either Slam, or join the opposing wagon. However, i have zero understanding of why Grack continued like he did after D1. Basically if Grack is mafia, he built up a scumread on me all game jsut to throw it into the trash for whatever reason come D2??? I don't think that makes any sense at all from mafia perspective.

So GB goes to probably town pile and Grack goes to town pile, Shockeyy goes to possibly town pile and Slam is like ????? maybe scum?

The thing to note is that i still think there is a possibility of GB being mafia, just because FF suspected him, and while he writes a lot of posts pretty much everything he votes for is "because he didn't post in X amount of time" and i think that's super weak. Wasn't it for the eod i would definitely think GB is mafia and i don't think it's completely out of the possible universes that he is in fact mafia. Hell it's definitely in his range of mafia plays to even be mafia with Jock, or Slam.

Anyways the most likely answer based on the above there is, is that:
One of GB/Jock is mafia (my preference is Jock)
One of Slam/Shockeyy is mafia (prefer Slam)
Chezinu is mafia.

The problem i have with Slam is his read change with me and Shockeyy. I switched my vote from Jock to GB to Shockeyy to Kurumi. Sure Slam can think that somehow makes me mafia (it shouldn't), but for that he has some weird association that this ALSO makes Shockeyy town. I dont think he should ever have that association based on what i did. I think this is more likely trying to get Shockeyy back off from him, based on that at the point this happened there were two votes on him (aka possibility of him being lynched -- especially if Shockeyy and Grack are town as i assume if Slam is mafia). Furthermore if this was his genuine thought process i don't have a slightest clue why he changes his vote to vote WITH his biggest scumread rayn???? I know he voted GB in the end but at that point it probably didn't matter anymore and he shouldn't have voted for Kurumi in the first place at all if what he said before that was genuine.

I know some people are saying Jock is re-evaluating the game after the FF flip but i don't really see it. I honestly first thouhg Jock is town because why would he kill FF, his scumread (unless GB is mafia too -- but right now i don't expect that to be true). Just look at Jock's re-evaluation:
- First he says he needs to re-evaluate things because FF his scumread died
- He never evaluates GB, which is the first thing he should do
- The he says he need to reread Shockeyy because "a lot of alignments depend on Shockeyys" (i dont even understand why he thinks that because he never explains anything about it)
- But he doesn't really reread Shockeyy on any level, he just comes back with some random posts and says that Shockeyy is town because ??? and Koshi and Shockeyy are opposing alignments and because of a BAD post Shockeyy made on Koshi that could make him think Shockeyy actually could be mafia but without no investigation on that ever in the game he just ends up on Shockeyy being town again and Koshi being mafia.
- Basically he never re-evaluated anything and just ended up with whatever he had before the night kill. That's literally ALL his posts during D2 so basically he hasn't done anything lol...

Chezinu kind of always has to be mafia unless the mafia team is exactly Jock, Gb and Slam. But i don't think that's the most likely answer anyways. Noone is willing to even CONSIDER Chezinu as mafia aside from Vivax and Trfel (who are basically town anyways), so yeah.... I don't think not considering Chezinu mafia as mafia, if Chezinu is not, is a good play for mafia because he is probably almost a free lynch. So i think Chezinu has to be mafia.

##vote Chezinu

Many words.

The question is: Is this guiding town into the wrong direction or actually rayn his mibdset in the game that he wants to tell us.


I think there is a fair bit in this entire post that is speculative guiding. To be deciding in which direction.


If you are town and in your gut you feel this is the bible and you need to follow this you should consider this instead as Satans seduction into the pits of Hell.


It is kinda what I wanted to hear.
But Chez also went ham after this post and Jock looks like he really cares about rayn's opinion on him so if we lynch either of them and one or two flip scum there's not really a point worrying about rayn.

It's a bit insane to want to lynch rayn over one of them.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
May 03 2020 12:26 GMT
#1079
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