EPT[M][T] Secret Hitler, Act I, Take II - Page 4
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
P(3 fascist) = 33.94% P(2 fascist 1 liberal) = 50.91% P(1 fascist 2 liberal) = 14.55% P(3 liberal) = 0.61% | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
On November 04 2018 02:33 byj wrote: What do you guys think the reason is? Among hitler you mean? 2 fascists know hitler. They don't know each other and Hitler doesn't know them, so mafia could be a lot less coordinated than I was thinking. You're busy? You don't feel like playing the game? You don't like playing as mafia? I really can't tell you why you aren't talking in thread but if you aren't going to talk then you won't be selected for anything. I don't know why you're even asking this question. If you're town then you need to be open with your thoughts about the game rather than trying to act as cryptically as possible. | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
On November 04 2018 03:27 raynpelikoneet wrote: Can you open up this post a bit more, i don't understand what you are trying to say here? I thought the 5-3 vote with me voting no was evidence that the team would be a scum team because it must be getting scum support, and later I thought it's possible that scum could have voted yes just because they're also clueless about my/prplhz alignment but apparently mafia has more information than I realized. | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
On November 04 2018 08:59 raynpelikoneet wrote: yes, sc2, shit game but serral is playing so... lol Finnish phenom. The Serrall ZvZ's were sick. All of the TvP's were super disappointing. | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
On November 05 2018 05:46 prplhz wrote: Who will you elect for chancellor kita? Will you vote for yourself or vote no for the towncred? Cute. | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
Anyway, what are your thoughts on the current team. | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
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Grackaroni
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We could just pass through Kita and Rels and elect Rayn as the next president. | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
On November 07 2018 07:09 raynpelikoneet wrote: Basically your town ppl are; you, me, conversion, rels, kitaman right? No I'm pretty close to the same page as Rels. I think the most likely team is Prplhz/Kitaman/HK | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
On November 07 2018 07:15 raynpelikoneet wrote: Can you elaborate here a bit more. Why does Conversion's gov pass if this is the case? Or even your gov? Kitaman/HK were both pushing against Conversion which aside from you was why I ended up choosing Prplhz, so I didn't like that. If this is town/town then maybe you are right and Rels/Byj are scum downvoting and one scum upvoted. But if prplhz is scum then I'm much more suspicious of Kita/HK who passed the mission when it was going to be a close vote. (Also if I was mafia then this is like your entire mafia team down voting a scum mission and all town upvoting.) On November 03 2018 07:03 [UoN]Sentinel wrote: 1. happykrogan - Ja! 2. Grackaroni - Nein! 3. Conversion - Ja! 4. kitaman27 - Ja! 5. Rels - Nein! 6. raynpelikoneet - Ja! 7. byj - Nein! 8. prplhz - Ja! Honestly I haven't put much effort into analyzing anything recently though and I may be completely wrong just from looking at the second vote count. I recall Happykrogan kind of wavering his way into voting yes on this and being kind of suspicious of it but I don't see remember anything about Prplhz here and I don't see why scum prplhz would upvote this mission if you/conversion are both town. On November 06 2018 10:32 [UoN]Sentinel wrote: 1. happykrogan - Ja! 2. Grackaroni - Ja! 3. Conversion - Ja! 4. kitaman27 - Nein! 5. Rels - has been warned for not voting 6. raynpelikoneet - Ja! 7. byj - Nein! 8. prplhz - Ja! | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
On November 07 2018 07:26 kitaman27 wrote: lol I got crucified for suggesting a Grack + Conversion team, yet HK said that he was going to nominate me about 5 times, before he ended up with rayn. That team really doesn't make sense. Plus each of the last two votes reached majority with a single vote being able to swing things. On day two, I announced that I was passing your grack + conv team and then krogran decided to switch his vote to pass afterwards as well. There is really no reason for us to send it through. Plus there was the whole prpl throwing my name out at the start of the game for no good reason thing, which I think shows that it's pretty obvious we're not buddies either. I don't think it shows that you're not obviously buddies and also that's not a bad thing for scum to do imo. If You/Conversion go on mission one and it's sabotaged then that is really bad for mafia. It's not a bad strategy to aim for scum president/town chancellor. | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
On November 07 2018 07:32 raynpelikoneet wrote: I can't figure out your conclusion here. Can you put some effort at some point into well.. making a conclusion. Because to me it feels like you aren't really saying anything like "this is why i think this is true" instead of "this might be or this might not be". Yeah I haven't really done my homework for this game to make a conclusion. Those are just my thoughts after you asked me to look at the votes. My feelings about this game are effected a lot by assuming Prplhz is scum. I did check HK's meta just now and he hasn't actually even played a game as mafia yet, so he's probably not scum this game after all judging from how well he started off the game. | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
On November 07 2018 08:05 raynpelikoneet wrote: I dont understand this either since if you just look at the votes the scumteam is "obviously" byj/Rels/kitaman for you at least. lol well idk what to tell you my scum team thought was Prplhz + the two town votes on that mission. That might be because Byj/Rels have both been very pro-Grackaroni and I'm dumb lol. | ||
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Grackaroni
United States9846 Posts
I think the team may actually be Prplhz/Kitaman/Conversion from reading the interactions between them. Lots of little snipes against each other without much coming from them that reads a lot like scum distancing to me. (If this is the case then Conversion got 2 liberal cards) Rayn also mentioned the possibility of a Kita/byj/Rels team from the votes but that doesn't feel right to me. Regardless that team won't be able to win if that is the team. I think Prplhz is very likely scum since the only thing he's done this game is try to convince people that I'm scum after voting for me to choose the cards. If we don't have the votes for me/Rels then I'll upvote me/Kita if that's what Rayn wants me to do but I'm also ok with letting the investigative ability go to HK. I'm going quote some of the interactions in a second. | ||
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Grackaroni
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Grackaroni
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But now starting from the top of the filters: This call out from Kita is actually quite good. Conversion voted no on HK/Rayn because he wanted to play it safe and not just choose the first team, but his response to Kita's question about Prplhz seems pretty suspicious to me. + Show Spoiler + On November 02 2018 22:32 Conversion wrote: I'm chill with passing this government I'm assuming I want to pass krogan or rayn into chancellorship-- is it going to pass though? On November 02 2018 23:07 kitaman27 wrote: What's your opinion of prpl? I don't see him mentioned in your filter. Since you failed the pair yesterday, but are willing to pass today's team, does that mean that your original policy is no longer necessary? If you're voting yes today and you're on board with selecting rayn or krogan next cycle, does that mean you think the facist team is myself/Rels/byj? On November 02 2018 23:38 Conversion wrote: I'm not actually going to just be anti-liberal for the sake of it. I think enacting governments is a good way to get information, especially if we are up one right now and have a guaranteed +1 liberal policy barring any unlucky draws, or if one or both of krogan/rayn played us and passed a liberal card, in which case we won't be incredibly behind and it'll give us a look into getting more information as liberals. In terms of who's the most liberal in my eyes (as in, I'd elect them Chancellor), it'd be rayn = krogan > everyone else, even if I'm salty about krogan doing nothing but calling me a liar just from how government 1 went. On November 02 2018 23:49 kitaman27 wrote: Fair enough. Do you have any opinion of prpl specifically? On November 02 2018 23:53 Conversion wrote: Let me take a look into his filter. I recall him being pretty neutral (and I historically can never read the dude correctly..) On November 03 2018 00:06 Conversion wrote: oof.. I really don't like the second part of his filter. His first part was just a lot of defending himself. IDK if that makes him a facist though? what other things were you thinking about prplhz? confused as to why you didn't just post what your thoughts were and instead went straight back into one liners for a bit after | ||
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