so in all likely hood there will be 8 people after tonight.

If thats the case we basically get 1 more ML.

Koshi/shapelog are legit the only people i think are town at this point so I dont foresee us winning but i guess we can try.

With tumblewood flipping that is yet ANOTHER blue.

Extra scrutiny must be placed on damdred, SL, Scott, obviously one is scum there. there isnt 8 blues in this game.

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 21:24 GMT

#4801

On April 05 2016 06:15 Damdred wrote:

Show nested quote +

Yes there could be

a 21 player game with some sort of 3rd party and 8 blues? Do you just assume that the setup is extremely unbalanced for scum then?

I don't get why you're playing dumb the last few phases.

Now you suddenly want to lynch superbia after wasting our lynch yesterday. We'll see what happens tonight though.

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 21:35 GMT

#4808

hmm 26 people in storm 2 but the flips arent shown so I can't really verify it either way

but if as you say there were 8 blues in a 26 player game

then 7 I guess is reasonable (although still ridiculous in my opinion) for a 21 player game. Which backs up the assumption then there is a mafia/3rd party in the 3 "blues" left.

The problem is that they are all suspicious in some way. Definitely a mafia in there imo

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 21:49 GMT

#4812

Well here's my thought process as I run it through. A mafia vig hasn't flipped yet so a day vig is definitely possible. Tictock was shitting on alakaslam's shot and rsoultin so its possible he was using the same distancing strat for both. That slot cannot be SK.

So if scott is the last scum, a day vig, it would I guess make sense that we have a doctor. Now SL I have no idea. I guess that would mean he is a vet but it seems so farfetch'd to have all this kp blocking but whatever.

Then that basically leaves us with ritoky/superbia/OWS as SK which fits their hands off play this game with just enough to not get lynched. They also have decent voting records but it doesnt matter cause SK.

shape/koshi are town locks for me and I am just going to pray that LS is dumb town can't deal with him now since he wasted that lynch on tumblewood. He can't be dealt with now.

and yea thats pretty much it. With 1 mislynch this will be borderline impossible unless we take out a full KP this next phase. I can't stress enough how important this next lynch is

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 21:51 GMT

#4813

oh I remember guys why LS can't be SK.

RSOULTIN WAS SHOT BY 3RD PARTY. LS WOULDNT KILL RSOULTIN

there we go.

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 21:58 GMT

#4819

Like I said at the end of last deadline, i assume you and shapelog die but we'll see.

REMEMBER THAT IF THE LAST MAFIA EVER FLIPS AND ITS NOT A ROLEBLOCKER DAMDRED IS EXTREMELY SUSPICIOUS

SO SCOTT/DAMDRED CONFIRM EACHOTHER BASICALLY

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:06 GMT

#4823

sweet vindication

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:09 GMT

#4826

This is pretty concerning though. It means mafia either feared being killed (possible being townread right now) or they are not paying attention to the game at all. not sure which one.

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:12 GMT

#4830

clears SL basically. So we have ritoky, scott, damdred left basically from my POV.

If we can get clarification on how shots work it could be even easier...if the SK died would his shot still go off? if it did then damdred is confirmed.

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:13 GMT

#4832

oh shit I forgot about obi, thanks for posting and remind me.

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:15 GMT

#4835

their RB is dead, remember the rebel doctor is RB. so not possible. im asking palmar right now hold on

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:20 GMT

#4841

well palmar wont answer it, so damdred is still possible mafia.

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:21 GMT

#4842

On April 05 2016 07:18 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
Fuck ritoky probably actually is mafia.
What have I been doing this game.

what makes you say that? with SK being out ritoky's town chances go pretty up but lets hear what you are thinking

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:22 GMT

#4846

On April 05 2016 07:22 Damdred wrote:
Idk why I would help make shenanigans happen on Tt as scum if tumble is town.

you need to explain your role in full, right now. secrecy doesnt matter at this point and you havent been dying. full disclosure please.

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:24 GMT

#4849

For now I am gonna vote scott as his slot is the most suspicious of the 3 claimed blues now. With superbia dying we can do this lynch np

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:29 GMT

#4855

On April 05 2016 07:26 Koshi wrote:

Show nested quote +

I don't believe that in this set-up town only gets 1 vigi with sandroba.

hard to tell because i dont know what half these roles do. wtf was tumble's role? who knows. Town has a lot of defensive roles though. RB, potential doctor, vet, etc... all i know its too many blues and theres no reason to townread him. I also have to hear damdred's explanation

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

April 04 2016 22:32 GMT

#4858

On April 05 2016 07:31 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
No, ritoky isn't a high-priority target for the SK because a large number of people wanted to lynch him.
That theory is probably out and I might be looking too skin-deep again.

thats why I said it implies either some one is very good standing (damdred, koshi, shapelog) or some one not paying attention at all (scott....yea thats it lol)