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Okay. Let me explain why a no-shot is always the incorrect play as mafia, and why I would never do it if I were mafia.
Yesterday it's 4v1v1, 4v2, or 5v1 (GB could have been mafia, now confirmed to be false). Agreed?
Now let's paint this in where I'm mafia, because my 2nd kp would change the math and we can make some assumptions because copcake flipped mafia due to my shot.
If I'm mafia, it's 4v1v1 or 5v1, unless I KP my partner (hint: nope).
So, if I am to no shoot, the following can happen:
1. It's 5v1, and there is no KP from mafia.
2. The Shining is mafia and there is no KP.
3. Other mafia holds their shot and there is no KP.
4. Mafia goes on my CPR target (very, very unlikely).
So, there's a actually pretty good chance that there is no KP. What does this mean?
We go to the following scenario:
3v1v1 OR 4v1.
What happens then? We sleep and I have to shoot the shining to prove myself. So let's examine the worlds then.
In a 4v1 it can only get reduced to a 3v1 or a 2v1 at best. AND town gets a the shining flip for free. Great reduces my chances if I'm mafia. (This would also be the likely world because I CPRed copcake, and a scum is likely to flip).
In a 3v1v1 I literally give the other mafia another chance to KP me during the night. So I basically turn the game into a coinflip. Yeah. No.
So yes, if I am mafia then no-shooting something I would never do.
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Like what town thinks like this fuck this game i might sheep tt afterall because im not sure and he tried so hard ^_^
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For post game cred. super just stacked palmar and ticktock is wrong about everything except that he made super play really bad today. kappa
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why do you only try to convince tt your town and not shining
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i nkwo you shut him out can you give actual evidence why
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You guys are going to laugh about what my tie breaker is post game
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On February 04 2016 08:40 Superbia wrote:Show nested quote +On February 04 2016 08:39 sicklucker wrote:
why do you only try to convince tt your town and not shining Do you even see what I have to deal with!? Like there is literally no communicating here. Everything I say is scum according to him. EVERYTHING
then why dont you think its more likely the guy that jumped on tts tunnel and wont budge is scum rather then tt himself
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"I shoot because I have 0 confidence in the town between you and the shining to make the correct play. I can honestly see you guys just lynching SL in final 3 after these shenanigans."
so if i dont vote you you say your going to shoot but your not trying to figure out who to shoot?
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he you say your gonna shoot.. but you told me you wont shoott... hurm..
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Its not fucking ticktock so i might fucking lynch you since you will probably shoot ticktock...
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like i dont understand your scum reading logic. shining is mafia from your pov like everytime
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The only thing saving you right now super is you saying something like "kita said ff was on his team" like its so fucking dumb for a mafia to have said that
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fuck it im flipping a coin
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i didnt pull the trigger afgkk baby seals
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sad days aint even made ##unvote ##Vote: Superbia choked
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super you played insanely well UNTILL LYLO then you just screamed scum but I didnt wanna pull the trigger
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On February 04 2016 09:02 GreYMisT wrote:
He didn't stack, Copcake chose not to shoot
ROFL
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EPT
