|
On December 04 2015 08:10 Koshi wrote:
and mylo is worth shit due to not voting for no lynch.
SL, Koshi confirmed
TT, Chrom top tier town or top tier mafia
OO, GB town or mafia
Scott, Onegu trash town or trash mafia
Scott voting for Snow to put him in the lead vs OO does not make OO more mafia, it just means that if it was town vs town mafia scott was more afraid that Snow could prove himself town and that OO was more lynchbait in the future. Ofc it also could be OO is mafia and scott tried to save him.
Dnu. OO is pretty null from all these votes.
That's a good point, but that fact that both FF and scott (or GB for that matter) picked Sno over OO does make it slightly more likely that OO is mafia, even though it's clearly possible in a world where OO is town.
In an oversimplified mathy way:
If scott mafia and OO town: 50% vote OO 50% vote Sno
If scott mafia and OO mafia: 100% vote OO 0% vote Sno
2 out of the 3 worlds where scott votes OO, OO is mafia -> 66%
Obviously it's not nearly that simple but the basic point is that the fact that 2 mafia (assuming scott) voted against him does make it more likely that he's mafia.
|
The point does still stand that FF+scott+Onegu and FF+scott+OO are both very viable teams.
|
I don't see where the 3 worlds are. There are 2 worlds. And in 1 you totally disregard the point I made.
In an oversimplified mathy way, but actually adding the fact mafia would really really really really really really really really really really really really prefer to keep OO in the game over Snow:
If scott mafia and OO town: 0% vote OO 100% vote Sno
If scott mafia and OO mafia: 100% vote OO 0% vote Sno
1 out of the 2 worlds where scott votes OO, OO is mafia -> 50%
In an oversimplified mathy way, but actually adding the fact mafia would really really prefer to keep OO in the game over Snow:
If scott mafia and OO town: 20% vote OO 80% vote Sno
If scott mafia and OO mafia: 100% vote OO 0% vote Sno
Both worlds combined the chance OO is mafia is 60% vs 40% where he is town
I don't remember the thread sentiment precisely. But I think people wanted to kill snow over OO because we thought snow was more likely mafia for doing nothing. Wasn't based on any reasoning at all.
|
ahh I understand where you get your 3rd world.
It is world 1 in which he 50/50 votes snow or OO. That suddenly becomes 2 worlds.
I am not sure your math is right.
|
I would think further about it and proof it but it just feels dirty. I don't like dirty math.
|
Why do mafia prefer to keep OO over Sno though? I don't think it really seemed like Sno was planning to do more later at all.
It is pretty dirty math, no argument. The math was just to illustrate the point that all mafia voting against someone is still a point against them, even though it's possible that it was only coincidental.
|
oh oops I said OO mafia -> 100% vote OO, should be 100% vote Sno ofc
|
Abstimmung - Tag 4
scott31337 (4): Koshi, Chromatically, sicklucker, Benevolent ghosts
ObviousOne (1): Tictock
Nicht abgestimmt (5): Onegu, ObviousOne, GlowingBear, scott31337, Vengeful spirits
Im Moment werden wir scott31337 von der Tour ausschließen!
Dieser Tag endet in um 22:00 GMT (+00:00).
Bitte geben Sie ihre Stimme hier ab.
Wir werden nur Stimmen berücksichtigen die von dem Stimmzähler erfasst wurden.
(Only votes in the voting thread will be counted.)
Beachten Sie bitte die Wahlfrist! Wenn nicht Sie nicht abstimmen, werden sie vom Spiel entfernt werden.
(Please mind the deadline. Failure to vote will result in a modkill.)
|
blood for the blood god
##vote: scott31337
|
Something tells me this is the pace things will be at today...
Yay! Day off!
|
Abstimmung - Tag 4
scott31337 (6): Koshi, Chromatically, sicklucker, Benevolent ghosts, ObviousOne, GlowingBear
ObviousOne (1): Tictock
Nicht abgestimmt (3): Onegu, scott31337, Vengeful spirits
Im Moment werden wir scott31337 von der Tour ausschließen!
Dieser Tag endet in um 22:00 GMT (+00:00).
Bitte geben Sie ihre Stimme hier ab.
Wir werden nur Stimmen berücksichtigen die von dem Stimmzähler erfasst wurden.
(Only votes in the voting thread will be counted.)
Beachten Sie bitte die Wahlfrist! Wenn nicht Sie nicht abstimmen, werden sie vom Spiel entfernt werden.
(Please mind the deadline. Failure to vote will result in a modkill.)
|
|
|
Onegu does a great job of making me really want to policy lynch him
|
|
|
oh me too. infact I dont care about winning at all I want him to die
|
Like thisi s probably the mafia qt right now featuring scott and gb. you know were really screwed but on the plus side onegu is the most scummy and dumb person of all time we cant give up yet
|
On December 05 2015 03:46 sicklucker wrote:
Like thisi s probably the mafia qt right now featuring scott and gb. you know were really screwed but on the plus side onegu is the most scummy and dumb person of all time we cant give up yet
Wow did you get the link to it???
|
|
|
On December 05 2015 03:46 sicklucker wrote:
Like thisi s probably the mafia qt right now featuring scott and gb. you know were really screwed but on the plus side onegu is the most scummy and dumb person of all time we cant give up yet
LOL I could actually see that
|
You guys have any acutal questions for me to try and figure out my alignment?
|
|
|
|
|
|
EPT
