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On September 17 2015 06:19 marvellosity wrote: hihi, just got home
not sure i have time to catchup, is there stuff i should really be looking at?
lynch moosy, lynch jat, shennanie onto onegu who no1 has a read on
that's pretty much the current state of the thread. with geript being a distant option.
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On September 17 2015 06:21 marvellosity wrote:Show nested quote +On September 17 2015 06:20 ritoky wrote:On September 17 2015 06:19 marvellosity wrote: hihi, just got home
not sure i have time to catchup, is there stuff i should really be looking at? lynch moosy, lynch jat, shennanie onto onegu who no1 has a read on that's pretty much the current state of the thread. with geript being a distant option. has Wile redeemed himself then? question is for anyone
he isn't a town read for me, but he did some catchup stuff as he read the thread that made me reluctant enough to lynch him.
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alright rayn, i'll go down the rabit hole....i hope you're smarter than me on this one.
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i am a firm believer in the onegu shennanie, am moosy over jat cuz rayn says so.
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bleh...but a miller who was acting likely lynch bait later is actually not the worst outcome.
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On September 17 2015 06:45 Damdred wrote:Nobody likes sheeping me. IDK why I'm never sheepable ![](/mirror/smilies/frown.gif)
you wouldn't sheep me onto onegu either. pot -> kettle.
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the following people need to do shit during this night phase so i can get a solid read on you: scott, geript, onegu, jat
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On September 17 2015 07:01 Palmar wrote: I'm off.
@ritoky what is your current read on me?
you're not on the list above is my current read on you.
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On September 17 2015 07:15 Damdred wrote: But you have a scum read on me and I'm not on the list
i'll read your filter again at the end of the night and finalize my stance on your alignment. i am confident i can get a read on you with your current level of content, less on those other 4.
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On September 17 2015 08:21 geript wrote:Show nested quote +On September 17 2015 05:23 geript wrote:On September 17 2015 05:17 Damdred wrote:On September 17 2015 05:15 geript wrote:On September 17 2015 05:10 ritoky wrote:On September 17 2015 05:07 geript wrote:On September 17 2015 05:00 ritoky wrote:On September 17 2015 04:58 geript wrote:On September 17 2015 04:45 raynpelikoneet wrote: But i am really sure geript is mafia. He is almost definitely mafia.
marv is the ONLY player EVER who can accurately read me when i post enough. Even if geript thinks i might be mafia (which he kinda doesn't even do - he says he can't get a read on me), if he thinks marv is mafia he should totally trust marv's read on me. 100%. I'd point out that in the big game where I tracked Damdred, there were lots of people who didn't think it was so. I forget who else was in that game but I think Marv and Palmar were in it. Both of whom I think disagreed w/ me on damdred then too. Me disagreeing on a read with Marv/other strong town reads doesn't make me mafia. I'm more than happy to push what I think is right as town even if I accede to follow their lead on lynches lacking other information. you got enough time to explain to me why JAT is mafia? I can't read jat worth a fuck. so i don't even know why he would be mafia. okay, what about the question i just asked rayn. both the top 2 wagons come in and vote on coyote, say anything about their alignments? I don't think moosy is a real wagon except perhaps in rayn's world. Overall, it's an interesting thought. But meh. I don't think it's really related to either of their alignments. hiws moosey not a real wagon when he's tied for lead I believe in votes b/c I think rayn wants to lynch him basically over bs and I dont' think that type of wagon really ever stays together. Like Moosy is either excluding the other current game, which means he's telling the truth most likely regardless of his alignment in this game. Or Moosy is telling the truth because he's town in the other current game, which is completely NAI for this game. Or moosy is lying because he's mafia in the other game, which is completely nai because it's something you'd have to lie about if he's mafia in that game or else you out yourself in one game to save yourself in another. So I don't see how people don't see that and not decide to move elsewhere. Especially when there's lots of random reasons to think Moosy is town this game. This is why.
can you expound on this over the course of the night phase, and also who else is mafia/town.
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On September 18 2015 02:10 scott31337 wrote: So I still have a lot of reading to do in the thread - but I'm caught up from night 1 till now- (still have pages 20-70? to do) but let me at least post my thoughts - another swamped day of shit breaking - I was able to break free for a few to write this up.
Palmar - normal townie Palmar from what I've seen so far
raynpelikoneet - normal town rayn - posts his thoughts - goes after his scum he believes in (although wrong on MD)
ritoky-townlean, getting information, asking related questions
justanothertownie - he was gone for a bit, and looked worse day 1 - and I was thinking Moosy was townier at the time. but his night 1 has impressed me, although he's got that normal JAT chip on the shoulder-townlean
Damdred-I'm thinking he's town, but has a lot of "not sure idk etc" - ?
Koshi-feels like town Koshi - I welcome your return.
marvellosity - just seems off, but I'm not sure how - others can read him better then I - null for now
geript-another one who just seems off - quite a few reads are opposite of where I am right now - lower null
Wile E. Coyote - Probably sicklucker for what JAT said, and SL never uses caps/looks like his style of writing. Defends Ceph - looks like he's trying to survive and not scumhunt - scumlearn
Cephiro - survival seems to be his agenda, not finding scum - scumlean
these are kinda LHF and thread sentiment reads; they are also kinda meh and unoriginal.
can you explain the marv one?
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in the event i die or it doesn't go through. i shot onegu.
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bleh, not knowing his alignment is shit though....rayn is conf town.
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should i have held that shot? i kinda felt like i might have softed too hard and was gonna die tho
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rayn was also conf town. which means 2 guaranteed town voted on moosy
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On September 18 2015 06:38 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On September 18 2015 06:34 ritoky wrote: should i have held that shot? i kinda felt like i might have softed too hard and was gonna die tho you shot inactive trash that was always going to get lynched anyway. That's exactly how you play vig. it sucks to not know if he was mafia though, but I genuinely think it's quite likely. Just take a look at how super uninterested everyone was last night when I was trying to do something about him.
even if he is likely or slightly likely mafia, better to play assuming he wasn't for the time being and that we are closer to lylo and need to hit.
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On September 18 2015 06:41 justanothertownie wrote:Show nested quote +On September 18 2015 06:40 ritoky wrote: rayn was also conf town. which means 2 guaranteed town voted on moosy Which is important why exactly?
well first cuz we know rayn's alignment as well as mine, and second for vote logic in the future.
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dunno, plan to read his filter when i get to my home comp; he was out of the pool of people i was going to shoot just cuz i am confident on my read on him so i kinda just ignored him last night and planned to read him today. all i remember was he was doing the things he does as mafia, then i called him mafia, and close to the deadline he tonally shifted
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On September 18 2015 06:49 Wile E. Coyote wrote:Show nested quote +On September 18 2015 06:41 justanothertownie wrote:On September 18 2015 06:40 ritoky wrote: rayn was also conf town. which means 2 guaranteed town voted on moosy Which is important why exactly? Like I said yesterday its very stupid for mafia to vote a claimed vt. I would wager all the mafia were on the ceph wagon or you if your not mafia.
Maybe in a straight 2 horse race on day 1 in a maf vs town wagon the mafia would consolidate, but on this site, recently in particular, mafia are way more likely to split and bus than play straightforward consolidation.
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