TL Mafia LXX: Guardians of the Galaxy - Page 18
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
On March 27 2015 08:06 Superbia wrote: Don't claim orb. Scrums not dumb super. I have it | ||
Damdred
15669 Posts
Anyway I have a lot of ideas but no comp atm to go in depth XD. | ||
Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
Here is a day one vote count that looks interesting to me On March 21 2015 06:59 Half the Sky wrote: Day 1: Current Vote Count Vivax (8): Toadesstern (4): LightningStrike (3): Bill Murray, sicklucker (3): Bill Murray (2): Holyflare, Eden1892 Not Voting (0): Currently, Vivax is set to be executed. Day 1 ends in at 23:00 GMT (+00:00). Look at that vivax wagon, from my reads which i'll get to in a second its amazing that only one scum was piled up on Vivax at that point in time. I also left several people uncolored because I want to talk more about them later and why i'd push them towards scum or town pile currently. From my perspective at this point scum had little to nothing to do with the vivax wagon at this point especially after the claim by toad. However look at what is probably the final vote count for day one. On March 21 2015 07:59 Half the Sky wrote: Day 1: Current Vote Count Bill Murray (8): Holyflare, Eden1892, rsoultin, Superbia, Vivax, Breshke, raynpelikoneet, Palmar Vivax (7): LightningStrike (3): Bill Murray, Toadesstern (1): sicklucker (1): Not Voting (0): Posting after the deadline and prior to flip is subject to a modkill. Scum wanted vivax to survive for mislynch #2 I believe going into day 2. He was super divisive at the time as the game just didn't believe that there could be two vigilantes. Vivax was narrowed in as toad being the fake and he had to be lynched, Toad thought 100% vivax was mafia and needed to be lynched. And of course the likelihood of them shotting each other was pretty high during the night if true. These facts lead me to believe that while HF wanted the wagon to not lynch into the claims and control the shot that mafia helped push this wagon over the edge with the votes. Eden is the earliest voter that isn't "confirmed". However Edens reasoning for going along with HF (plus the pushing on people and just filter length in general) points to Eden being town in this situation going along with a good plan that could very well help town [spoilter] On March 21 2015 06:29 Eden1892 wrote: [/spoiler]Deal If I have to sheep you to get this happen I'll just do that. Cuz this immediately occurred to me as optimal play. ##UNVOTE ##VOTE: Bill Murray I find Edens response to be towny and understanding and generally Eden was really involved in the lynch up to that point and beyond. So I'm pretty sure that Eden isjust a towny following HF (which I thought anyway) So there is at least one mafia in Breshke, Rayn/Ritoky and superbia at this point on this wagon I think. As i'm looking through Supers filter....this post really...strikes me On March 21 2015 05:52 Superbia wrote: LightningStrike where the fuck you at. I know you're lurking right at this moment. On March 21 2015 07:44 Superbia wrote: Give me your thoughts on SL and LS. Though it's probably a little too late now. Probably put your vote on Bill Murray. This post really really bothers me. Both of these posts really do Especially the comment to Palmar, the sheep onto BM also had really little to do with in the thread, I've read that part of the thread in context and as superbia is posting. And it sort of bothers me Super is soft pushing SL and LS the whole time and just gives up on it and sheeps onto HF for almost no good reason. It really bothers me Rayn and Breshke also have no real explanation why they switch to BM. For rayn he does scream to get toad lynched and its reasonable to expect him to hammer or tie up the votes between Bm and Vivax since vivax is currently being hard town read by Rayn. His lack of reasoning though is what bothers me in this situation, even so theres at least 3 people on the BM wagon that might switch to LS and rayn really doesn't push that angle at this point only halfway mentioned him. Breshke is just void of almost everything at this point in the game. Nothing about Bm at all during that part of the lynch and calls out LS which is a plus... I think theres probably two scum at least between these three and currently I think its a toss up between breshke and Super for one probably. Moving on to what happened today. On March 27 2015 08:03 Blazinghand wrote: [/Blue][/b]Day 3: Current Vote Count Alakaslam (7): Vivax, Damdred, Breshke, Eden1892, Onegu, Artanis[Xp], Superbia Onegu (4): Trfel, sicklucker, FecalFeast, ritoky Superbia (2): Alakaslam, Toadesstern, Posting after the deadline and prior to flip is subject to a modkill. As i'm sure we all are aware most of us were piled up on superbia at the time before we all switched over to slam. (btw its not a bad mislynch it was pretty good at that point and saved us one later more than likely). Now I think Oneg is town. That one post so far this night phase about being confirmed town because of a misread just screams town to me. Also his mason claim that people look at so badly... yes it was a bad play past n1 to keep it going but up until then it was an excellent play. HF saw it and I see it, mafia won't claim mason I believe it is just such a low reward high risk play. Once they find out you aren't a mason its tunnel on and you are dead. If you claim with mafia bud both of you are sacrificed for a day or so of no information about you. Its just a bad play all around, and as such I think both main wagons at EoD were town. Once again both wagons are headed by Townies just like yesterday and mafia just poured on. As such the mafia have to be between Breshke, FF, Superbia and Ritoky. This is the only PoE at this point that makes sense to me. Now FF hard pushed LS, if you look in slythern mafia he did the same thing for most of the day and after that d1 case I do not think he did another case which is one of the knocks on him here. (I'm mad at you btw FF) Past d1 FF has been playing down but his d1 was really good he pressured people and pushed people, and made a decent case on LS and nothing since. Hes still a light town read at this point and if one of the other three flip town he would fall into the spot I believe. This leaves me in a world where Rayn, Superbia both soft pushed LS day one for bad play or being largely afk. The ninja votes on Bm Ritokys, paranoia at not voting with his scum read when he is scum leaning on the person and well knows that busses happen screams as fake paranoia to me. Breshkes lack of almost anything in the thread and has been in a blind spot all game tone wise hes been ok at points but I don't see much. I think that has to be your scum team, or pretty close | ||
Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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