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rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 10 2015 22:44 GMT
#1047
ExO maybe I'm dumb but I don't get it -_- My question to you was definitely after the flip.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 10 2015 22:48 GMT
#1050
On January 11 2015 07:38 ExO_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2015 06:20 rsoultin wrote:
On January 11 2015 03:23 rsoultin wrote:
On January 10 2015 08:46 ExO_ wrote:
I am. and at least for me, I think it's a sign he's scum.

If he flips scum it'll be easy to see that scum all bussed him because they were afraid. And since he had a bit of attention on day 1 as well, I think it'll be easy to work out who might be scum.

Compare this to day 1, in which we lynched a town. The votes where everywhere. It'd be surprising to me if all the mafia ended up on the same town wagon.


On the other hand, if he flips town then this gets really hard. it could be that LS has had too much momentum on him all of day 2, but when Tube and I were both pushing Celestial nobody else even tried to get another wagon going, or jumped on Celestial....which now that I think about it might be revealing.

Still, we'll have a much better idea in 15 minutes.


Where were you going with this? You apparently had an idea that you failed to address after flip even though LS did in fact flip town. But all you wanted to talk about was game mechanics?


That.


Nobody tried to disturb the status quo, meaning I might've been on the wrong track about LS. However I really did think LS was going to flip scum, and that mafia were heavily bussing.



So all that statement meant was that you could be wrong? Then why did you say we'd have a "much better idea" in 15 minutes? Again, it's not to be super picky about wording, but that implies you actually thought that there was some sort of significance to LS flipping town and you and Tube pushing Celestial earlier.

We'd know in 15 minutes whether LS was town or scum. We'd have a much better idea of what?
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 10 2015 22:50 GMT
#1051
It doesn't make any sense that with your vote parked on LS and trfel saying he was voting for LS, that you started arguing with him that the WW wagon had merit.

That's bugging me. It's like you wanted him to settle there even though your choice was LS.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 10 2015 23:13 GMT
#1053
On January 07 2015 06:59 ExO_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2015 06:54 Trfel wrote:
I apologize to everyone (well okay, just the townies), I don't have time to read everyone and choose the ideal lynch target based on only my own analysis. My fault. I will do better next time.

The bandwagon on TheWarWaffle feels like a policy lynch. The read on Half the Sky is extremely weak, but others have done the same thing. Still, I like the fact that he is analyzing wording and constructing an argument, even if I disagree with said argument.


I'm not sure I agree that it's a policy lynch. Go read his big read post. None of it makes any sense whatsoever. Its blatantly wrong about a lot of players thus far. Read it and then come back and say it's still just a policy lynch.


That's the post I'm referring to. Am I misinterpreting it?
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 10 2015 23:18 GMT
#1055
-squints at-

It just read to me like you had somewhere to go, some sort of read, analysis, something, that would have followed from an LS town flip. I mean...what really did that lynch by itself say? At least looking at the votes it just says everyone piled on LS when we shouldn't have -_-.

So I was expecting some sort of follow-up that never came :/
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 10 2015 23:22 GMT
#1058
Eh, I don't know. I could just be misreading things in general, or it could be as simple as LS' reads being decent even when his cases aren't, and he has me paranoid. I did promise I'd at least look into his scumreads.

Do you have any reads now? A possible way ahead? LS was your main push, and Celestial you were scumreading Day 2, so who would be your possible lynch(es) Day 3?
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 10 2015 23:23 GMT
#1059
On January 11 2015 08:21 ExO_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2015 08:18 rsoultin wrote:
-squints at-

It just read to me like you had somewhere to go, some sort of read, analysis, something, that would have followed from an LS town flip. I mean...what really did that lynch by itself say? At least looking at the votes it just says everyone piled on LS when we shouldn't have -_-.

So I was expecting some sort of follow-up that never came :/


What I really thought was going to happen, is LS flips scum. This would've meant mafia bussed him heavily. Then we could've gone back and looked at where the votes ended day 1 and figured out who was bussing.

On day 1 it looks like the mafia spread their votes out, then day 2 piled them all on the same target. I thought based on day 1, mafia would try to spread their votes out again, and we'd only see a pileup like that if they were bussing.


Gosh this is eating at me. You said that his flipping town would be telling though ><

And yeah, of course if he flipped scum it was a massive buss. Every single player was on him o.0.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 10 2015 23:57 GMT
#1062
What are you even talking about, ExO? Are you really trying to say that no one else is scum-hunting this game? I'm not nitpicking you. You legitimately said in your own post that if Tube flipped town that would be telling, in the same sentence that you mentioned Tube and yourself as pushing the same counterwagon.

I am not making it up it's right in what you said:

On January 10 2015 08:46 ExO_ wrote:

[...]

On the other hand, if he flips town then this gets really hard. it could be that LS has had too much momentum on him all of day 2, but when Tube and I were both pushing Celestial nobody else even tried to get another wagon going, or jumped on Celestial....which now that I think about it might be revealing.

Still, we'll have a much better idea in 15 minutes.


This looks like you're going to go somewhere with it and isn't lining up with your explanations now. Am I supposed to just drop it when you're not making sense?
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 10 2015 23:59 GMT
#1064
Okay, well...we're running out of time for the night phase, so I'm going to put my thoughts into one post.

Town reads: HTS, Tube, JarJar (less certain on my brother and almost completely certain on the other two, but he legitimately does predictions based on statistics for a living and his voting patterns have been logical and in-line with his reads)

Nullish/Do Not Lynch Day 3: -Celestial-, Scott (doc claim/breadcrumbs and AFK replacement respectively)

Would Lynch:
- ExO (90% certain) his scumhunting seems more like throwing darts at a board (at the risk of sounding hypocritical) and his read progression/interactions with Trfel at EoD Day 1 especially, including the rage!fit after the flip, seem insincere to me...a good idea would be to check if his pushes start up after thread sentiment has already begun to swing that way (I know the Celestial one did)

- Shining (70% certain) for his start that I think I've mentioned a few times now, but also this oddity of completely dropping any pressure on ExO after WW flipped for no apparent reason...even goes so far as to say that there might be scum on the LS wagon but still gives ExO a bye when the only other one there was WW, says he's taking the game seriously after Day 2 but mostly just posts defensive posts and a push on -Celestial-, then finally ends with his only post of Night 2: a WIFOM game balance argument that Celeste must be scum cause this game can't possibly have a doctor (why when we don't know the set-up at all?)

- Silver (least certain) she never stepped up. could be newb play, but all I see from her filter is sheeping and I'm not getting the feeling that she cares to find scum, especially since she dropped the people she was scumreading to sheep me Day 1 (which is sad to say cause I <3 my silver ^^)...her big posts only come after she's prodded for them, contain a lot of fluff, and the rest are mostly excuses


Final Comment: With the breadcrumbing, I think that Celestial is a likely mislynch. Please, if I am not here to provide my input, whatever you decide, be really certain before you lynch an un-CCd role.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 11 2015 00:05 GMT
#1068
I can't reply to ExO unfortunately. You have my last will and testament.

GG! GL TOWNIES!
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 13 2015 00:07 GMT
#1208
lol I officially suck at this game xP

gj guys, especially HTS
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 13 2015 00:10 GMT
#1211
>> also Celestial

thank God you were scum cause if you were that much of a twit as town I was gonna yell at you post-game

my one good read all game >< and I convinced people not to auto-lynch you day 3. talk about playing poorly on my part lol
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 13 2015 00:16 GMT
#1220
-flicks ExO-

it wasn't bullshit. his inputs just weren't good

town was constantly wrong so basing his model on the flipped town votes :/
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 13 2015 00:19 GMT
#1233
lol LS wasn't sure what it meant either in the obs qt

YES SL YOU GOT US xP

Nice mafia theme song
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 13 2015 00:42 GMT
#1247
thanks, geript. That did help
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 13 2015 00:45 GMT
#1249
lol >>

daaaamdred, don't you know i'm the honorary mafia member in every game? I need a screaming GB for four days to get on the right track...and that's saying something -_-
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 13 2015 00:47 GMT
#1250
also, just putting it out there

the only one who scumread HTS for realz that I recall was LS, so a shoutout to him ^^
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 13 2015 00:55 GMT
#1257
Yup ^^ One thing I'm good for as town is not being an easy mislynch. Now if I can just get the rest down...
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 13 2015 04:48 GMT
#1284
On January 13 2015 12:01 -Celestial- wrote:
Some thoughts from my perspective. Bloody hard to play as mafia side in your very first game of forum mafia.

Anyway...I have to give a shoutout to rsoultin. You were the only person I actually felt pressured on my actual scum moves from. I wasn't lying in that mafia QT...everything I did D1 was basically 100% what I'd have done as town; although admittedly I probably was slightly less likely to move off the JJB vote in response to the blue claim than I would have otherwise been (that being said...I'm not sure I'd have changed or not even so, I was very much with LS on that point in that it just didn't feel right). Ok...it might not have been very GOOD town play but I can honestly say its pretty much what I would have done for my first game. Frankly I had zero reason for not playing as I would have played as town because honestly everyone seemed on the wrong tracks D1.

For D2 rsoultin put some nice pressure on me to the point where I genuinely felt threatened, all credit to you there. That was kinda scary. What totally threw my game and made me want to give up though was the bloody six-hour inquisition I was later subjected to. It felt meaningless as it felt like 95% of what I was being called out on was stuff that I would have done whether mafia OR town (because basically all of my D1 filter is what I'd have said as town). After that point I literally didn't give a damn about the game and I flat out wanted out. I was on the point of getting myself modkilled just to get away. I was pissed off and utterly fed up of playing. On top of the being called out for what I'd do as town thing there was the outright lies about my post progression. That was unbelievably frustrating and frankly I didn't want to play anymore. Though I eventually decided that I wasn't going to throw HtS under the bus like that by just outright giving up but I didn't have an out, so I thought about how to do damage.

Honestly without HtS there I WOULD have forfeited so thanks. Sincerely.

I'd been toying a little in the mafia QT with the idea of claiming a role (I mention claiming doc at 436 and cop at 462) but nothing serious. At that point I was just looking to throw out whatever I could to do as much damage as possible since the train felt fairly solid. Then Geript gave me the push to claim doc at 481 and...well the rest is history. It kinda blew the game open.

Honestly I wasn't expecting anything at all to come from that claim and I was exhausted. I was surprised that I'd apparently survived the train on D2, so I figured I'd just stick to posting like I was sulking. It gave me a reason for just keeping the hell out of the thread honestly, even if it made me look terrible. I figured I wouldn't last another day either way plus everyone had massive suspicion on me so absolutely everything I posted wouldn't be believed except to analyse for clues for mafia. Basically I was fatalistic...I knew I'd flip red on D3 and frankly it seemed an auto-lynch so I wanted to absolutely minimise the damage that flip would do by just basically not talking. I think we'd discussed as an outside possibility the idea of playing it as "mafia left me alive because they can just nullify me" but I honestly didn't believe that was a saving move. I was 100% dead as far as I could see. But as time went on everyone got on the "lets not lynch him D3 because its what the mafia would want!" train and I absolutely wasn't going to oppose that but I was pretty blown away that was actually happening.

It honestly still felt I was under a serious risk of a last minute train right up to the end. With that in mind I decided to just stay quiet, post minimally, and with my last set of reads (because I had to post SOMETHING) I figured that the best play was to vote on Shining whilst citing JJB as town. Doing those pretty heavily implicates JJB as mafia because people think I'm mafia and it just comes across as sloppy and desperate mafia play to anyone watching me, when in reality I was just trying to keep anyone from deciding to train on me (since by this point I'd pretty much outed myself, but nobody outright decided to lynchtrain me for it apparently). Ultimately though I felt it was a good setup if the game went further. By voting for Shining after wasting a vote on JJB D1 I tried to make JJB look really bad, so even if everyone decided last minute to switch and string me up, I might at least take JJB down the day after with me.

I absolutely should have been lynched D3 to be honest. No question. I'm actually pretty blown away that I survived.


Oh and a quick note to geript's analysis:
@geript: I put a reasoning down for a save on rsoultin because according to the role descriptions people are not informed if they're RBd. So I felt like I had to explain how I knew I'd been RBd. Probably unnecessary on reflection but still.


Wrapping up thoughts are that rsoultin really picked away at the scummy parts of my play D2 but then I got hammered by stuff that felt totally unrelated to that. Or more specifically either addressed stuff I'd have done as town anyway, rehashed arguments that rsoultin made and flat out lied about what I'd done. That was exhausting and outright depressing and frankly has made me feel like I don't think I'm going to play another game. I should have pushed to get back in the game more after D2 but honestly I was almost totally spent and sick of it all. I actually got chest pains as a result of that six hour session, broken only by dinner, it was horrible; and whichever side I'd been on you WOULD have found me scummy at that point because I was totally exhausted and posting garbage. So yeah, I pretty much gave up on trying to convince anyone of anything and was ultimately extremely surprised to find myself given a free pass from a simple destabilisation claim.

Also I think I had a tendency to get somewhat wrapped up in planning ahead. On D1 I had two or three different plans that had developed from what had been happening in thread as a way to get rsoultin mislynched because right throughout we (mafia team) were scared of a medic save on rsoultin, her seeming the obvious target. In the end it didn't matter because there wasn't a medic. But I was very caught up in the whole "getting her to look guilty" and perhaps a little tunnel visioned on that objective.



Anyway. My thanks:
- rsoultin. Out of everyone you genuinely threatened my more scummy actions and attitude on D2. Good reads, even if the medic claim totally threw you for a loop. My D1 play was pretty genuine, but I started losing control of the situation somewhat when you started picking away at the genuinely scummy stuff I was starting to post D2 after the lynch. Also trying to NK you was SCARY because we were terrified of a wasted kill.

- HtS. For keeping me in the game. I outright would have just quit if you'd not been around to chat to at that point. Also my confidence that you could have carried even if that lynch had gone through is unshaken. You're a better player than you give yourself credit for.

- kitaman27. Thank GOD you found us a replacement because I was looking to be lynched and a lynch and a modkill on two of the mafia would have really hurt after a great start of a blue lynch. Also to scott for stepping up for us.

- geript. For giving me the push I needed to actually go through with the idea of claiming something, and for recommending it be a doc claim. When I posted those thoughts I was just throwing out ideas, wouldn't have actually done it without encouragement because at that point I was just spent to be honest.

- sicklucker. Just there tons and provided a ton of good advice to the whole mafia team. Much love.



Still not sure I want to play ever again (that D2 stuff really, really got me down honestly; I don't know what to do about this whole thing now). But it was nice to win the game more or less on my birthday.


@Celestial...sorry, man. Played as scum in video mafia and it was so friggin hard I didn't even defend myself lol, just WIFOM'd them with my vote into mislynching. It was like...I can't get out of this so I'll see if this works instead.

Yeah, I did see some of those cases/arguments and some of them were just...really strange. I meant it about the doc claim, though. Great move as mafia. And honestly...I can't guarantee it cause this is me we're talking about and I get so turned about it's nuts, but with that cop claim I definitely would have been a danger to you Day 3. So good call on the NK.

Would love to play with you again. You won't be raged at for claiming medic as scum . This is a game about people trying to trick each other, though, so it gets pretty competitive and heated. I promise we like you. I do anyway lol. (It's probably way more fun as town not having to worry about getting lynched/scumread constantly. Play a town game before you decide it's not for you?)
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 13 2015 04:55 GMT
#1286
On January 13 2015 13:23 Trfel wrote:
This game made me really sad

I played horribly. Really sorry to everyone for my lack of contributing anything useful.

Still, definitely a lot of very strong newbie performances. In particular I did really like WarWaffle's play. Taking inactivity as a given, the rest of it wasn't bad at all. Especially that blue generic claim. The lynch was too bad.

Not blaming this one on anyone other than myself though.... oh well, hopefully I will play better next time.

Edit: How could I forget, thanks a ton to kitaman and Templar for hosting, as well as all of the coaches (especially GlowingBear, you #1!)

And Half the Sky, as expected, you play a really brutal mafia game. For the record, I was intentionally not attempting to read you, since I really badly wanted to call you scum but on D1 I just couldn't see any reasons for it.


Lol, beg to differ, Trfel. Your post on Celeste's opening was noted and you didn't like any of the wagons. That puts you head and shoulders over the rest of us muddling townies. ^^
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
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