EPTTL Mafia LXVIII: Fanfic Crossover Edition - Page 215
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Fecalfeast
Canada11355 Posts
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Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
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Lord Tolkien
United States12083 Posts
N1: Yamato tracks HF. HF visits JAT. N2: Yamato is roleblocked. JAT dies and is blue. Now if HF is indeed wanderer, he has only a 4.6 (well, 4.54545454~)% chance of having visited JAT N1. Awfully coincidental, as JAT dies as a blue role N2. This is the core basis of Yamato's initial case. What convinces me is that if I were scum I would shoot both masons N2, esp. since Poofter's activity was picking up again end of D2, as it would removed our two effectively confirmed town. JAT, townie as he may have been, was NOT confirmed town. So I would advise everyone to reread HF's filter through the eyes of a mafia rolecop and see if it makes sense. I'm starting to see it. And as a note, we do not have confirmation of Yamato's claim, so again, Yamato could be scum trying to get us a mislynch today, which would effectively mean town loses unless we get x2 JK/medic saves. | ||
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Lord Tolkien
United States12083 Posts
On September 21 2014 09:23 Holyflare wrote: it's not so black and white as ^^^^^ we are both most likely town Well yes, this could be a complete fuckup for town. <_<; On September 21 2014 09:27 Fecalfeast wrote: I was thinking you are both town, which draws my attention back to storr who isn't really making me ill anymore. What do you guys think of hopeless? Why? | ||
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Blazinghand
United States25552 Posts
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Fecalfeast
Canada11355 Posts
If we hit the ~4.6% chance that they are both town and it's all a coincidence, we may have another geript/palmar situation which makes me very scared | ||
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Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
What convinces me is that if I were scum I would shoot both masons N2, esp. since Poofter's activity was picking up again end of D2, as it would removed our two effectively confirmed town. JAT, townie as he may have been, was NOT confirmed town. so what would you save as jailkeeper and then why would you not dodge that as mafia and shoot someone who was pretty towny?? This is full of so much wifom and is a literal waste of your time because i just explained that a tracker is the likeliest role in a wanderer setup and lo and behold someone claims tracker. | ||
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Fecalfeast
Canada11355 Posts
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Lord Tolkien
United States12083 Posts
On September 21 2014 09:36 Holyflare wrote: so what would you save as jailkeeper and then why would you not dodge that as mafia and shoot someone who was pretty towny?? This is full of so much wifom and is a literal waste of your time because i just explained that a tracker is the likeliest role in a wanderer setup and lo and behold someone claims tracker. because I'm bad mafia, I probably wouldn't play around JK. See my last mafia game where I didn't hunt for cop and lost what might've been an epic run because of that Q_Q As for jailkeep, I would probably save a probable townie to play around scum, or Haru since scum would expect a JK on Poofter. | ||
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Lord Tolkien
United States12083 Posts
On September 21 2014 09:37 Fecalfeast wrote: WIFOM and OMGUS are things I don't understand. WIFOM: http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=WIFOM Alternately. OMGUS: http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Oh_My_God_You_Suck | ||
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Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
a) it's a 5.2% chance  b) jat is the 8th towny to die or something and he's pretty good at looking towny so he was very very likely to be saved and the 2 events are not related in any shape or form c) there are also 4 nk's i could have been rng'd onto that would have made me look 10x worse so the odds aren't ever really in my favour | ||
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Fecalfeast
Canada11355 Posts
That clip really does this game justice wow. | ||
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Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
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Lord Tolkien
United States12083 Posts
On September 21 2014 09:41 Holyflare wrote: and that math is bad because: a) it's a 5.2% chance b) jat is the 8th towny to die or something and he's pretty good at looking towny so he was very very likely to be saved and the 2 events are not related in any shape or form c) there are also 4 nk's i could have been rng'd onto that would have made me look 10x worse so the odds aren't ever really in my favour a) Well, actually 4.8% (22 people alive N1, 1/21 instead of 1/22). b) possibly c) Maybe, but I would see no point for vanilla elfscum to carry out NKs. | ||
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Lord Tolkien
United States12083 Posts
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Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
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Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/466211-tl-mafia-lxviii-fanfic-crossover-edition?user=Holyflare&page=10 this page outlines what I want to do today | ||
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Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
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Fecalfeast
Canada11355 Posts
On September 21 2014 09:53 Holyflare wrote: anyway back to the actual game http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/466211-tl-mafia-lxviii-fanfic-crossover-edition?user=Holyflare&page=10 this page outlines what I want to do today So you still have eyes on storrzerg and GB, who do you feel worse about? I will look at GB again. I have terrible memory | ||
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Fecalfeast
Canada11355 Posts
On September 20 2014 06:17 GlowingBear wrote: This. Thank you, Robik. I'm voting damdy. I don't believe he is in his town play here. I really didn't like him asking random questions, trying to lead reads and avoiding when I started inquiring him. ##Vote: Damdred This reasoning is really bad and I don't see him asking damdred too many questions On September 19 2014 11:58 GlowingBear wrote: You clearly said "you look for people (...) like palmar". What am I taking out of context? He just gets on damdred about one question, doesn't get the responses he wants and votes for him, after saying that voting palmar is a bad idea. On September 20 2014 06:57 GlowingBear wrote: I'll vote palmar because there is no way we are switching the votes and I don't want a no lunch ##Vote: palmar He then switches to palmar 3 minutes before the deadline because he didn't want a no lynch but when he voted in the voting thread, palmar was at 12/11 votes and the only way a no-lynch would go through is if 2 people changed votes in less than 3 minutes. bad evidence inside + Show Spoiler + possible mafiaxmafia inside joke? | ||
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