EPTOn July 05 2014 14:40 ObviousOne wrote:
I think exo is the lynch tomorrow. Then decide between Haru and Cav.
I think exo is the lynch tomorrow. Then decide between Haru and Cav.
Why am I the lynch tomorrow exactly?
World Cup Mini Mafia - Page 8
| Forum Index > TL Mafia |
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
Why am I the lynch tomorrow exactly? | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
On July 05 2014 15:31 ObviousOne wrote: I'm not sure yet maybe you can help me pick from the other two while I sleep I'd say Harurh still feels scummy to me. | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
I'm still thinking HaruRH though. | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
| ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
On July 06 2014 18:57 Vivax wrote: I'm not sure if you realize how crazy your reads look all the time to a majority of people who keep reaching entirely different conclusions than you. This could be cause you can't get behind a townie's perspective and is one of the reasons you look scummy. You could also be a downright awful townie but I have a kinda hard time believing that. For some reason you take the cop check at face value without drawing conclusions from it. Cause then that means they roleblocked OO to kill kush at any cost, taking the risk that the alleged cop checks 1 of them. Try to draw conclusions from that. If I'm assuming cop check is legit, wouldn't I also assume that OO's claim isn't legit? (making him mafia). There's no need to roleblock OO if he's mafia I'm not sure exactly what you are trying to get at, could you explain it to me? | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
| ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
| ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
I have no idea which is lying. For a cop Cav has been entirely worthless, but if hes scum and calling rainbows town im inclined to believe him. Harurh hasnt posted in forever, and I dont know what to make of it. if cav was lying then we only had a 1-shot vigi and a doctor? That doesnt sound good to me. Why again cant we have kush the 1-shot vigi, a doctor and a cop? is it more plausible that we only have a doctor? | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
| ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
"Nobody will be notified of any medic saves, rb's, jk's etc. If you are a vig and you get rb'd your bullet will be refunded." While it could just be for the doctor, this to me suggests there is indeed a mafia role blocker. And I don't know, I think Kush D1 was a decent check. If I remember correctly he was claiming vigi and on day 1 I think it's impossible to get a very good read. Hindsight being 20/20 it's easy for you to say it was obvious he was town, but I'm not so sure it was. If not rainbows on N3 then who? Who would be the better target, except actually maybe for you (unless he inherently believes you about being medic) | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
| ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
| ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
On July 07 2014 13:58 Rainbows wrote: ExO's posts went from day 3: KILL VIVAX/HARU/RAINBOWS GOGOGO to day 4: shrug, i dunno. Dat scum lynch so demotivating huh? I backed off towards the end of day 3 because I started thinking I might be wrong. Now I'm not sure how to interpret everything. I mean look at the way poofter went out, I couldn't read that at all and up until the moment he died he was insisting he's innocent. So without kush I don't have a clue who could be town or mafia. The closed setup is messing with my mind :/ | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
You better hope to God that Harurh is mafia, because if you kill me and he isn't, the game is over. I'm town, and while I think Harurh is mafia his absence is weird. He just might be town. Whoever the mafia is here is manipulating everybody, wouldn't surprise me if it was Vivax/Rainbows. | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
On July 07 2014 14:22 Rainbows wrote: Cav don't vote haru. Either you or ExO dies today. and if haru gets modkilled thats a bonus. So guess where I want your vote. Voting wise, On poofter he's the 4th lynch vote. This doesn't really mean much as that can swing either way imo. Normally I'd say the more suspicious votes are myself and cav, but I don't think it's that simple at this point. I voted late because I didn't think he was mafia, what if Cav did the same? As far as cav, I'm having a hard time believing he could make a fake claim like that day 1 and get away with it if he were mafia. This is a lot of meta reading in a sense, but I can't imagine the host making a game without a power role like cop. I can imagine a game with a cop/doctor/1-shot vigi and 2 regular mafia 1 roleblocker. So without any other claims, and nobody contesting his claim, I can't see him as mafia. It just doesn't add up to me. The alternative in which he is mafia, leaves us with 1 doctor/1-shot vigi and 3 regular mafia. Is that a more balanced setup? I can't say it is. However this all leads us to Cav saying rainbows is town. So if I believe Cav is town, rainbows is town, I'm town, that leaves OO, Vivax, and harurh. Considering this possibility leads to the idea that OO is lying about his claim. And I guess lack of a doctor makes more sense to me than lack of a cop. Based on the votes of today, Rainbows is town. If Cav isn't lying, that's confirmed with his claim: if he is lying then why is Rainbows really pushing for his death. So I can't see Cav and Rainbows together. This means Rainbows is town. I feel like if I'm going with my gut about the cav read, this leaves Vivax/OO or OO/Harurh, or Vivax/Harurh. I'm going to say Vote:Lynch OO But really there's just so many possibilities. What if I've been fooled by cav? If that's the case then it could be Cav/? It could be anybody. With Harurh dying to inactivity presumably (even with this vote I think) then we need to get it right tonight. So I think OO is the best bet, but I'm so full of doubts that I can't say it with conviction. | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
That shouldn't be struck through, only the part about rainbows. | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
On July 08 2014 02:00 Rainbows wrote: And ExO the development of your reads made no sense when Poofter flipped scum. I don't see how you went from VIVAX/HARU 100% scum +1, and then when poofter flips scum, you shrug and say I don't know. It doesn't make a lick of sense to me if you're town. because I didn't think poofter was scum. I was sure it was Vivax Harurh + you or an off chance of somebody like OO, but I didn't think poofter. It meant that my reads were wrong to some degree, and that meant I might be wrong about the whole thing. It's like believing 100% in something, then having it turn out not true. Makes you question everything else you believe in. | ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
| ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
| ||
|
ExO_
United States2316 Posts
| ||
| ||
