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mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
June 20 2014 22:55 GMT
#681
I can definitely get behind a Snickers lynch. Since VE is will not be lynched today my vote on him would just be wasted. I don´t want bh to be lynched either because I had a townread on him and, he´s not as townie to me anymore but he is driving discussion forward.
Snickers on the other hand I´ve found suspicious for some time. The case Release made is also bringing up some good points. This seems like a way better lynch than bh.

##vote Snickers
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
June 20 2014 23:20 GMT
#701
On June 21 2014 08:01 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
mderg, does the fact that no one other than Chezinu scumread VE after his case on you not give you pause to re-evaluate VE's lynch or ask questions about why other people aren't scumreading him? Why do you not care about your main scumread getting lynched and only drop in to vote for an easy lynch on Snickers now?

I honestly never thought about asking why people are not scumreading him. I don´t think I´ve done something like that in any game so far. I really don´t think someone who has a convincing reason to not scumread someone would just keep quiet about it when a case is made.

It´s not that I don´t care but I don´t think there´s any way he´s getting lynched today and he also didn´t post much of value today. So it´s impossible to bring anything new to the table.

I also don´t think this is a vote for an easy lynch because it´s still kinda close between Snickers and bh and I think my vote may actually be of relevance. As scum it would probably be easier to just afk for the rest of the day and let the lynch progress, unless bh and me were both scum.




Also @ bh: I never voted a townread.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
June 20 2014 23:33 GMT
#711
On June 21 2014 08:21 Release wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 21 2014 08:08 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Release, what are your thoughts on mderg's vote just now? You had similar reservations to him being scummy as I did.

I think the most important rule in mafia is to vote for mafia. His filter does not indicate an inclination for voting Snickers, which is why I think its awful, but not as awful as completely afking.

His play gave us information. This information can be very easily used against him. To be honest, complete afk so blatantly is also information too.

I think Mderg just shoved his way past YKZ on my scumlist, and now, I'm fine lynching Mderg or Snickers, but will still be voting snickers pending further information.


+ Show Spoiler +
On June 18 2014 06:42 mderg wrote:
My vote stays on bunnies today. Nothing today that changed my mind and I need some sleep now.

We should definitely look into VE and Snickers, though.

+ Show Spoiler +
On June 19 2014 04:44 mderg wrote:
I´m not even remotely interested in talking about the life, the universe and everything with you.

I don´t have any other clear scumreads but Snickers seems suspicious with how he asked these "newbie questions" but still knows his shit. he also focused on very small pieces of information and bad wording. Spoilered examples.
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 16 2014 12:44 Snickers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 16 2014 12:35 27ninjabunnies wrote:
On June 16 2014 12:32 Snickers wrote:
On June 16 2014 12:14 27ninjabunnies wrote:
On June 16 2014 12:12 YouKnowZhou wrote:
On June 16 2014 12:03 27ninjabunnies wrote:
On June 16 2014 11:59 slOosh wrote:
What is this "limited information" that you guys are getting at?


On June 16 2014 09:37 YouKnowZhou wrote:
I'm a vt.

I'm not really replying to 27ninjabunnies for making a bad judgement call about any of the lynches. That would be unfair since he has limited information. I will be just trying to clarify some things so you, and everyone else here, could get a better impression about me. Of course, you would have to trust me on that.

What I'm trying to say is, YKZ good, lynching YKZ bad, mmkay?


What's truly amazing here is what an awesome example this is for Kenpachi Rule Extended. Even after I call it you're still doing it. Assuming you do in fact flip scum I'll have to write a post game analysis just on the first few pages of this game. Maybe I could tie it in with a general Kenpachi and Kenpachi Rule Extended / Zephirdd Rule tutorial. I'm getting more excited by the minute!


BH I thought you were some amazing mafia player?

Obviously not because YOU ARE WRONG ON ME!

And I'll disprove your kenpachi rule by the end of the game.



See the statement is suspicious to me "i'll disprove your kenpachi rule by the end of the game." why the end of the game. It could easily be prove "wrong" the first night. "wrong" as in if your lynched and shown as town. Or if YKZ is lynched and showed scum.

I am just trying to show where I think 27nb is thinking in a strange way. Maybe she just thinks that way normally.

I do not think the kenpachi rule can be proven wrong. I think it can be proven to not be 100% right though. I think saying it is wrong is stating it has no merit at all. I already explained why i thought a scum could potentially claim VT day one to attempt for an advantage.

Also sloosh thanks for posting. I think this kenpachi rule should still be discussed a little more, but I see where you think we should stop the seeming rigmarole.


I'm saying by the end of the game because I'm not getting lynched today! Straight up!

And if I do, I'm going down swinging.

And if that's the case, I will prove it's not 100% right as you say.

And how am I thinking ina strange way?

I've blatantly and straight forwardly laid out my case for you.


I think you are thinking in a strange way because of my post you are responding to. I said that YKZ could be lynched and showed as scum. That would also prove the kenpachi rule as not 100% right. You responded to that and still did not understand that you could not be lynched and the rule could be shown as not 100% right at day one, not the end of the game.

Also it think it is weird how confident you were with saying "Obviously not because YOU ARE WRONG ON ME" but then you say by the end of the day. If i was being confident about proving someone wrong. I would have said, I could prove you wrong, even by day one with these one of these two lynches showing these respective outcomes, but will for sure prove you wrong by the end of the game.

On June 16 2014 15:02 Snickers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 16 2014 10:49 YouKnowZhou wrote:
On June 16 2014 10:47 goodkarma wrote:
On June 16 2014 10:36 YouKnowZhou wrote:
On June 16 2014 10:33 goodkarma wrote:
On June 16 2014 10:21 27ninjabunnies wrote:
On June 16 2014 10:16 goodkarma wrote:
On June 16 2014 10:12 YouKnowZhou wrote:
On June 16 2014 09:50 27ninjabunnies wrote:
I don't like that he wants to ignore me completely. And that he has to immediately come out and say he is vt.


On June 16 2014 09:52 27ninjabunnies wrote:
So ##Vote: YKZ


Kenpachi Rule

##vote 27ninjabunnies


Kenpachi rule?


So rumor has it, There is a guy, called Kenpachi, and at the game start, he says "hi, i am Kenpachi and i am a townie."

The first guy casting doubt on that dude is always scum, that's the "Kenpachi rule"

It's a stupid rule, and has no basis to why I am reading YKZ as scum.


On June 16 2014 10:27 YouKnowZhou wrote:
On June 16 2014 10:16 goodkarma wrote:
On June 16 2014 10:12 YouKnowZhou wrote:
On June 16 2014 09:50 27ninjabunnies wrote:
I don't like that he wants to ignore me completely. And that he has to immediately come out and say he is vt.


On June 16 2014 09:52 27ninjabunnies wrote:
So ##Vote: YKZ


Kenpachi Rule

##vote 27ninjabunnies


Kenpachi rule?


The Kenpachi rule, named after its author Kenpachi, is a TL adage reflecting the idea that without a clear and better motivation for a vote, it is almost certainly a scumtell when a player votes a player who claimed VT at the start of the game.

Kenpachi's rule, in broader form, is:

      Without a blantant display of humor, a vote on a vt claim comes almost always from a scum player.

The core of Kenpachi rule is that a vt claim by its nature is not suspicious to a town player, who isn't hunting for blues. Without a clear motivation for a vt claim, it looks odd to scum, who want to attack someone safely. A corollary of the Kenpachi rule is the reverse phenomenon: the first vt claim is almost always sincere.



These definitions don't exactly match up...


You can search it on TL for urself, but it's not about claiming townie, as 27ninjabunnies asserts. The rule is about claiming vanilla townie. Basicly, scum want to jump on something, and a VT claim looks basicly not intresting to a townie who isn't hunting for blues. It looks unique though to someone who is hunting for blues: scum.


But knowing all of this, couldn't you say you're VT regardless of alignment, bait someone's suspicion and then claim Kenpachi rule?

I'm having trouble understanding why at the very start of the game scum would be more prone to jumping on something that looks scummy. I mean if scum's job is to blend in, why be the first to vote and make a case? There's always scrutiny that comes with doing so...


I understand your concern. Let me elucedate: Kenpachi's rule actually works. Your concerned bcuz you assume a townie would vote a vt claim so scum could claim vt then a townie votes and gets "baited". Your concern is wrong bcuz a townie would never do this. this is part of the kenpachi's rule.

the next part is that you assume it looks scummy, which it isn't. scum would never claim vt bcuz scum wants to be able to fakeclaim blue at lylo or sumthing. scum wants to blend in but they are jumpy silly folk. kenpachi rule always works, bcuz it never fails. tyvm


Also thought it should be pointed out that YKZ says the kenpachi rule "almost always" works and then says it "always works" without showing that his knowledge of the ruled changed between the posts.

When we make posts we should try to stop assuming things. Thanks everybody for helping me with my posting and questions.

On June 17 2014 16:07 Snickers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 17 2014 09:11 mderg wrote:
I almost forgot about this due to the world cup

The whole thing with YKZ and bunnies is really strange. It feels like they´re both wrong, bunnies more so thab YKZ, though. I don´t think bunnies case was well substantiated at all, scumslips just almost never happen in forum mafia. I also don´t think the Kenpachi rule is as foolproof as YKZ said. It has some solid reasoning behind it but claiming that it always works seems stupid.
They´ve kinda been repeating themselves quite often, so there´s not that much to get from this.

I think YKZ is town because of the follow up on bunnies
On June 16 2014 12:30 YouKnowZhou wrote:
On June 16 2014 12:16 slOosh wrote:
Alright, let's cut it out with the "Kenpachi Rule" and associated nomenclature. It isn't immediately clear to everyone and is muddling up the discussion.

Let's get this straight.

Bunnies, you think YKZ is scum because of the phrase "limited information"? His post paraphrased as "I'm not listening to you because you are town"?

YKZ, you think bunnies is scum for her initial call out of your post "I'm vt"?

Please try to be a bit more clear with your posts please.


Look at all the scummy stuff I've posted since my original post. Any real townie would be all over me for things like "I'm allowed to lie" and my blanatant lying etc but all YKZ is on is my OG post because he is scum. Any real townie would be all up on dis, think about it

I don´t think scum would so blatantly say that he acted scummy and someone should have pointed it out. This feels like a trap made by town. He´s also claimed vt early on which I find weird but unlikely to be scum play.

So I think out of bunnies and YKZ only bunnies can really be scum. It certainly is possible. Especially the heavy focus on YKZ´s "scumslip" seems suspicious. Not calling out YKZ´s scummy posts is not really alignment indicative. Not immediately noticing things that might look scummy to some can happen as both alignments.
I also dislike how she agrees with Artanis that Release is scummy but doesn´t think he´s scum because she wants to be right about YKZ and her association read.
On June 17 2014 01:45 27ninjabunnies wrote:
On June 16 2014 22:45 goodkarma wrote:
On June 16 2014 22:11 VisceraEyes wrote:
On June 16 2014 17:25 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I find this discussion about YKZ/27nb and its origins really boring and I can't believe we've written so much about such bullshit. Biggest perpetrator of it is Release. He's just rehashed everything that's already said but made it more wordy.
##Vote Release

I kinda like this vote. And I kinda like Artanis' face.

Release sounds a lot like he's trying to justify feeling the way he does rather than explaining honestly WHY he feels the way he does. Does anyone else think so?


I agree Release is looking scummy, but I wouldn't use that exact wording. He seems heavily invested in his case, but is only leaning towards ninja's side of this debate. These two statements especially didn't sit right with me from Release's post on 21:10 15 June 2014:

"As the situation between 27bunnies and YKZ currently stands, I am leaning on the side of 27bunnies."

And yet he ends this same post:

"I think 27bunnie has the right idea, but has not manifested clearly (or in enough detail) what needs to be said to properly incriminate YKZ."

Release doesn't seem that interested in what may develop from YKZ. He already has the verdict in mind... This is a HUGE inconsistency from how he starts his post.


You have a point here I really like.

Which makes me wonder if scum defending a town here.

He's not even considering in what YKZ could or could not do.

But then if that's the case, and Release is scum, then YKZ is town, and I don't like that.

I really really want to be right that YKZ is scum.

It also feels like townreading Artanis is some kind of "You´re scumreading me, so I´ll townread you".

I think Snickers has been posting strangely. As if he wanted to play the newbie card without stating that he´s new. His general thought process doesn´t show a scum mindset, though. I didn´t really like where he talked about associations between bunnies and VKZ. IMO pre-flip associations are bad most of the time.


Release had a not so perfect entrance to this thread. At first glance his case on YKZ seemed good but it basically comes down to the few points bunnies has made on YKZ and that he stuck to the Kenpachi rule for so long. That´s not very much considering the length of his posts. What kinda speaks in his favor is how suddenly several people jumped on him after Artanis made his case on him. Still kinda neutral on him, maybe a bit scummy.

I´m having a townread on sloosh right now. Mainly because his posting feels different from Detention where we were scum together. He´s asking questions and seems to be trying to get behind the reasons from the others.

I think Artanis´case on Release made sense but slooshs case on him also made sense even though it´s not that strong. The fact that he almost completely ignored the back and forth between YKZ and bunnies is slightly suspicious. But it´s true that the back and forth was repetitive and I don´t think there was anything that´s really scummy in it. I agree with his reason for scumreading bunnies, it´s something I´m also sumreading her for. Slight townread on him.

Not much on the others, yet. I´ll hopefully post more tomorrow.


##vote 27ninjabunnies


gk what is your read on mderg?

I think its weird how he has only posted one thing. He sorta offers an excuse for that. The thing i find most weird is "I'll hopefully post more tomorrow". ..... I do not think somebody that is town would say hopefully i will post more after posting one post.


Other than that I only have null and townreads.


+ Show Spoiler +
On June 20 2014 18:30 mderg wrote:
I´m not sure what to think of bh. I did read him as town but over the last days I didn´t get the impression that he was really trying to help town here which would normally lead me to believe he´s scum. But he has put himself so much into the spotlight in an obviously negative way that I find it hard to believe he could be scum. I guess I have to wait for his awesome case.


Show nested quote +
On June 20 2014 11:27 Snickers wrote:
##Vote mderg

For admitting he said something that he did not, plus his scum play from day one.

Got questions for me? Look at my filter.

Good Luck see you after lynch.

Can you quote that, so I know what you mean?

Show nested quote +
On June 20 2014 07:00 Snickers wrote:
When I look at the thread 4 to 5 hours from now and I continue seeing dumbness. I'm going to make one more post to vote someone then afk till lynch. I already contributed enough , especially compared to some players.

Do I understand it correctly that you´re leaving for the rest of day 2 because you think that you contributed enough already? What kind of shit reasoning is that?


I think you could come to the conclusion that I find Snickers to be suspicious from my filter.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
June 20 2014 23:36 GMT
#713
On June 21 2014 08:26 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 21 2014 08:20 mderg wrote:
On June 21 2014 08:01 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
mderg, does the fact that no one other than Chezinu scumread VE after his case on you not give you pause to re-evaluate VE's lynch or ask questions about why other people aren't scumreading him? Why do you not care about your main scumread getting lynched and only drop in to vote for an easy lynch on Snickers now?

I honestly never thought about asking why people are not scumreading him. I don´t think I´ve done something like that in any game so far. I really don´t think someone who has a convincing reason to not scumread someone would just keep quiet about it when a case is made.

It´s not that I don´t care but I don´t think there´s any way he´s getting lynched today and he also didn´t post much of value today. So it´s impossible to bring anything new to the table.

I also don´t think this is a vote for an easy lynch because it´s still kinda close between Snickers and bh and I think my vote may actually be of relevance. As scum it would probably be easier to just afk for the rest of the day and let the lynch progress, unless bh and me were both scum.


Also @ bh: I never voted a townread.

So no one agrees with or responds to your VE read which is your strongest scumread and you never get back to it? This is not how I've experienced watching you in Cell Mini. There, you cared about the lynch and actively tried to get your suspect killed. Here, it just feels reactionary. I have never gotten the impression that you actually want the guy you're scumreading lynched.

As for just afking for the rest of the day, this makes you look just as scummy. I am also keeping the you being scum with bh open as an option.

You could call that the holyflare effect.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
June 20 2014 23:51 GMT
#724
On June 21 2014 08:43 Chezinu wrote:
mderg, if you are special - now is the time to say it. If your just a regular townie, now is the time to accept your fate.

I won´t accept that fate... Also not "special". Gonna vote bh since I think it gives me the best chance to survive, and I don´t want to die. bh at least has a chance to be scum.

##unvote
##vote YouKnowZhou
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