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Newbie Mini Mafia LIV - Page 3

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 28 2014 05:18 GMT
#532
A late switch makes you more likely town because doing so attracts a lot of attention, something mafia don't want focused on them. Yes this can be wifomed but it's a pretty solid heuristic.
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 28 2014 17:25 GMT
#567
First off Robik you're completely wrong. Everyone should night talk. If only one person night talks and starts voicing suspects during that timeframe then the only guy who's willing to contribute to discussion the entire time gets shot and the thread dies. The way you talk it's almost as if you're saying that once you have one read you can't go back and change it due to new information which is just stupid.
If it's true that as you write, you're "willing to reevaluate everyone" then what's wrong with evaluating people now and then reevaluating after someone dies (or doesn't)?

I don't understand why everyone is being such a complete pussy about talking in the night. "B-b-but I m-might get shot and d-d-d-d-die!" Yeah you might get shot and die anyway, doesn't mean you shouldn't contribute or stop being a good townie out of fear of being NKd.

On March 28 2014 21:06 Eden1892 wrote:
OnceKing: why did you townread sqrt for his vote on Cavalinho, do you still scumread Valenius and why or why not?

First I'm going to answer the implied question: no, I don't have a town read on sqrt. I said that his vote on Cav is very townie.
It was simple, short and to the point. He voted Cav when he did literally nothing but quote your big post and say "I'll answer in a bit, have some work to do and will get back to you." Isn't this very straightforward of sqrt? He wasn't even sheeping anyone, he has the first post after and immediately said what was on his mind.
Yes I still find Valenius scummy for the same reasons I said before. I'm totally willing to believe that he only looks through the filter to make a case. That's also a terrible way to make a case because it takes all the posts out of context.
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 28 2014 17:40 GMT
#568
... ok nevermind, went through sqrt's filter and Valenius is absolutely right about sqrt LOL
Pixalated even asked him to establish his innocence before he got lynched and all he said was "Hopefully"
On March 28 2014 01:52 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
Here's what I think is really strange. I haven't been posting much, I haven't been acting towny, and yet Robik and Eden have a town read on me. Eden says it's because his scumreads have been after me, but Robik's town read on me is because of early game joke posts. That's strange. I consider people who don't think I'm scum pretty scummy right now.

sqrt - Here in this post you scum read Robik pretty clearly but I'm getting mixed signals as towards your feelings towards Eden. In one sentence you suggest he's scummy but just two sentences prior you justify Eden's town read on you. Tell me, what do you think of Eden?
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 28 2014 23:30 GMT
#580
On March 29 2014 07:06 Valenius wrote:
So.

Sqrt: Why have you been playing like you have? You've been very unhelpful with.. anything.

Pixalated: You've sheeped onto OnceKing's case on me, and when OnceKing looked at his own case he realised it was shit. Did you truly believe in his case? Why?

OnceKing: I'm still confused as to how you thought your case was good in the first place. You've looked over me again and realised i wasn't saying wrong stuff about sqrt.. what was with your original case?

I'm backing off on my read on you. I have you town and I believe your statement that you just went through sqrt's filter in isolation. Was it silly of you to miss the context? Yes, but I definitely agree with the direction you had on sqrt.

The problem with you originally was not that you were saying wrong stuff, it was that you were saying the same stuff I said earlier but fluffily. It's very easy for scum to look like they're contributing by just rehashing old analysis which is what I thought of you. However here's how I consider it:

1. Given your unprecedented attack on sqrt, you're probably not both scum.
2. Both of you were scummy enough so that I believe one of you to be scum.
3. Sqrt is scummier, so I definitely think it's him.

##VOTE: sqrtofneg1
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 29 2014 01:25 GMT
#584
dude LT what are you typing
you just wavered between me being solid town and not being solid town like three times
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 29 2014 02:29 GMT
#588
oh god... the pronouns LOL

so lt if sqrt's super scum why haven't you voted him
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 29 2014 02:41 GMT
#591
Pixalated, RJ - why do you think Eden was shot?
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 29 2014 19:10 GMT
#598
We can't know if sqrt was actually RBed or not... sqrt might be lying and so there might not even be a RB.
On March 30 2014 02:33 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
RolandJarvis is mafia.
This post is the main reason I think he is.
Show nested quote +
On March 28 2014 06:34 RolandJarvis wrote:
I am nervous about who won't be around and the possibility of no accountability vote switches in the name of not lynching the claim.

This is after Cav claimed cop. RJ knows it's the truth, and tries to get people to switch over so that cop dies. Scum play

I don't follow this. If he's scum, shouldn't he want to lynch the cop?
Also, what do you make of the vote counts? I have yet to see anyone other than me post a vote analysis and I want to see what someone else can glean from them.
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 29 2014 22:56 GMT
#608
Valenius, do you think Pix is mafia?
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 29 2014 23:37 GMT
#613
That didn't make any sense.
Yes or no?
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 30 2014 17:42 GMT
#628
Yes I agree.
This is stupid, I don't know why these guys are afk but at least sqrt's trying.
##UNVOTE
##VOTE: RolandJarvis
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 30 2014 20:00 GMT
#652
Why did you take so long to come back? You can't blame us for having no posts on day 2 when you are part of the problem by not posting at all. Who is worse, Robik or Pixalated?
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 30 2014 20:04 GMT
#656
Would you like to answer ANY of my questions?
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 30 2014 20:12 GMT
#661
##UNVOTE
##VOTE: Pixalated
I'll take the Thunderdome. Better than this inactivity. To everyone else: I really dislike this lynch. He's back and at least talking if not trying to figure things out. If Robik and him have it out tomorrow, then we'll have a lot to discuss and gain a lot of useful information. If they don't, then we still learn a lot through the way they're interacting. Pixalated hasn't posted at all today, and even in general only posts when someone calls his name.
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 30 2014 20:17 GMT
#669
Valenius, LT - who are your other mafia suspects?
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 30 2014 23:13 GMT
#703
I think sqrt is mafia. He keeps assuming there's a medic in the setup which would keep him consistent with his convenient claim to have been roleblocked.

Reads atm

Towniest of towns tier
OnceKing

Probably town tier
RJ
LT
Valenius

Sketchy tier
Robik

Scum tier
sqrt
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 31 2014 00:02 GMT
#708
sqrtofneg1

sqrt has made a large number of questionable posts this game.
Let's examine his posts after the short-lived joke phase.
Here is sqrt's first large post. Unfortunately over half of this post is actually just quoting LT, and as noted previously by both Valenius and myself he makes no original contribution in it. Of further interest, however, are the several inconsistencies in this post. In the initial overview, he writes...
Val hasn't been doing much, other than questioning the lurker policy, (kind of like me) so no read on him.

But then he goes and says this:
He demotes Val to leaning town. Maybe he now realizes that he was too obvious in pushing Val for town.
If he's mafia, Val's also mafia.

He also makes a scumtrap that's horribly planned out.
Top mafia in my eyes.

How can Valenius be a null read if he and LT are scum partners, and LT is top scum? It doesn't make sense. After that he continues to parrot things that were already said before.

Later on in response to some questions I ask him he makes this post. Notice how he completely avoids taking sides on Valenius's reads other than the one on him -- here it seems he's very carefully trying to avoid attention or disagreeing with anyone, except for the "obvious" one to say that he's town.

The parroting continues: here observing something Eden, Robik and I already said; here he says something that I stated previously, and even here I directly ask him if he's got anything of his own to add he blatantly says "Other than the ones already mentioned, no." as if to insist those are his own.

Furthermore he keeps talking about town power roles, trying to fish for a doctor claim. Upon realizing that there's a cop he also says that he's been roleblocked knowing full well that especially with the cop dead there's no way we can verify the existence of either a medic or a roleblocker, and repeatedly subtly nudging discussion towards setup. Here's another example:
On March 31 2014 07:27 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
Okay, time to start analyzing.
This next night kill is crucial for mafia.
Who could it be? Who does it make sense for mafia to kill?
Coming into D2, I thought that the next obvious choice is Robik. But the problem is, he hasn't posted a whole lot lately.
I'm inclined to believe the birthday party excuse for Robik because he's in another game, and he hasn't posted lately on that game either.
Anyways, back to the night kill.
Who do you think looks the most like the doctor currently? Who does the mafia think is the doctor? Will they even go for the doctor? Or will they go for the top contributing town?

What's the point of all these questions? Do they even serve a purpose towards clearing up the picture? (spoiler: answer is no). He's just asking questions to ask questions.

On day 2 here are his opening posts:
On March 30 2014 10:50 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
Wait a second, wait a second.
Robik is usually very loud and active.
Right now, he's not.
Suspicious.

On March 31 2014 01:39 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
I'm gonna go for RJ.
#Vote RolandJarvis

So Robik's suspicious, but he votes for RJ without explanation? He only posts again at the end of day to hop onto Pixalated instead, and then has this piece of gold:
On March 31 2014 07:17 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
Well, this makes me look bad, doesn't it?

Here sqrt demonstrates a concern about what people think of him or how what he posts looks. Let's consider a townie's perspective: he wants to get his point across no matter what and push for what he thinks, regardless of how unpopular the opinion is. Therefore he's not worried about blending in, or if things make him look bad because he posts with the conviction of being correct.
On the other hand a mafia member's posting is much more fearful. He doesn't want to say things that too many people disagree with because then people will start asking questions and pressuring him, and the last thing he wants is to have to deal with pressure. He is overly concerned with his appearance, wanting to stay on everyone's good side so that he doesn't get lynched. And he doesn't want to add new information to the town because every piece of the puzzle town finds is a step closer to his death.

Which does sqrt's posting sound like? Which is sqrt's alignment? sqrtofneg1 must be scum.
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 31 2014 19:05 GMT
#719
Robik, who are your top suspects? I don't give a damn if it's night or not.
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 31 2014 22:08 GMT
#728
based off of my previous analysis,
##VOTE: sqrtofneg1
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 31 2014 22:49 GMT
#736
Ah, right.
No I'm not doc.
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
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