Or SK.

Therefore he didn't give reads because he knew he wasn't going to be shot. Or he even has vest.
I will check how many times toad gives reads when town on the night deadline.

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 19 2014 19:21 GMT

#1636

If rayn is scum I am going to be really sad. Oo
imho he isn't. It doesn't make any sense. It feels like town rayn to me and the 2 guys that are dead.

Toad, why did Kush and thrawn die?

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 19 2014 19:36 GMT

#1642

##unvote
##vote: Toadesstern

/agreed. This is just desperate.

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 19 2014 20:26 GMT

#1676

The question is. Is the claim true?

The way he talked about the miller thing early game makes me believe him. That's how I badly crumb my roles. imo we shouldn't lynch him because he should be shot this night? Not shot = 100% liar.

##unvote

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 19 2014 20:30 GMT

#1678

Yeah that kinda looks bad...

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 19 2014 21:23 GMT

#1680

The only problem is that normally you do the scumhunting and then there is marv that nods and we lynch scum. This time there is no marv and Mig is awol and probably scum so I am scared.

What about Kush theory that Cephiro bussed Mig and that Mig is angry? Sounds so perfect.

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 19 2014 22:07 GMT

#1689

On January 20 2014 07:02 Mig wrote:

Show nested quote +

Did you ever check this koshi?

Toad is not the player I expected. :D Like his previous games are just mayhem. Some games he is constantly pushing somebody writing his name in different colors. Some games he lurks. Meh. Got nothing from there.

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 19 2014 22:09 GMT

#1691

But to answer the question. He is not the guy that makes lists and posts them.

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 19 2014 22:51 GMT

#1702

On January 20 2014 07:21 Mig wrote:
koshi you said earlier that oats being aggressive/in your face does not make him town because he has done it as mafia. Do you have any examples of games where that is true?

PYP LoL mafia

He survived till Day 7 because he had very active first couple of days.

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 19 2014 22:58 GMT

#1707

Mig, can you comment on the Cephiro case?

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 20 2014 11:59 GMT

#1728

I think I solved this game. Let me gather my thoughts. It just came to me.

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 20 2014 13:22 GMT

#1729

The easiest solution is just Toads scum. Mig/Cephiro with him.

Because I promised it, if you really want my theory here it is in short version:
+ Show Spoiler +

It contained Toads as SK. Oats/Cephiro/Skanjab/Mig as scums.

Kush died by mafia. (Skanjab, + last post)
Thrawn by Toads. (The entire theory by Toad is to misdirect mafia)

Then there is Mig/Oats/Cephiro and I can't decide which ones are scum.

Also I think that 7 town 3 scum 1 SK is quite insane. But the RB on mafia enforces SK theory. I was thinking maybe 2 mafia but that is close to impossible, a 2 man team is so low...

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 20 2014 13:24 GMT

#1730

I can call all of them scum but it is so based on association and because I have 4 scums it doesn't even make sense. On top of that there is an SK.....

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 20 2014 13:25 GMT

#1731

Also. Where is the Evil Snowman? It's "normal" that he is awol when it is weekend. But this is getting silly.

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

January 20 2014 15:18 GMT

#1735

Why not? Let's say scumteam is Mig/Cephiro/Skanjab.
Kush knows Skanjab and had the theory around Mig/Cephiro bus.

He was a good shot.

Look at how Mig plays:

On January 20 2014 06:36 Mig wrote:
Regardless, Toad is not the best lynch.

Todays lynch. --> Toad is not best lynch but I don't give a better solution. I give you this though:

On January 20 2014 07:04 Mig wrote:
1) If vayne/toad are not mafia together then seems pretty likely that vayne is town. He had obviously considered the possibility of multiple parity cops. If he were mafia he would be thrilled with the possibility of a potential counter claim. It would probably end the game for town.

2) Rayn is like 99% town. So if we ignore toad/vayn. Probably should be ignoring hopeless just based on the fact that 0 blues have flipped and if town doesn't have any medics (I am assuming this unless they are retarded and didn't protect thrawn/kush. Guess it is possible they protected rayn). But anyway would make sense for town to have vets. Possible that hopeless could be sk and took the bp option still btw but useless to consider for now.

3) So what we have ceph/sno/skan/koshi/oats.

I am just going to be honest, I don't really know who is mafia. I looked back through skan's games and he doesn't have any as mafia so wasn't a lot of help.

Rayn are you confident koshi is town? I asked you this earlier and don't think you answered it.

1) VA is not scum because he is not on the same scumteam with the guy I think is town. what???
2) Hopeless is town or SK with vest. Why not mafia that lies if he is possible SK? The reasoning that Hopeless is town is because of no blue flips, but if you trow that theory out of the window there is 0 reasons for Hopeless to be SK over mafia.
3) So 3 out of these 5 are mafia. Doesn't give any probability who it is but asks for the millionth time "is Koshi town?" After that still doesn't know who the 3 mafia are between 4 candidates. Like, you can't go wrong anymore, just pick one and vote him......