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TL Mafia LXIII: Time to Die - Page 6

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Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:00 GMT
#3056
On November 18 2013 22:59 Oatsmaster wrote:
You and BH arent included in SUPERVETS?

Also Marv 100% randoms his setups.

I don't think so, besides I'm confirmed town from Mocsta's flip.
Marv 100% doesn't random his setups. I'm very certain of that.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:00 GMT
#3057
Also I don't think Marv would put BH at the head of a scumteam due to his tendency to troll.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:02 GMT
#3061
On November 18 2013 23:01 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 18 2013 23:00 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Also I don't think Marv would put BH at the head of a scumteam due to his tendency to troll.

Now that's WIFOM, i do not think BH "must be town because scumteam balance".

I'm not saying BH can't be scum, I'm saying I don't think he's the supervet scum. He could very well be scum with one of BC/Mig/VE.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:05 GMT
#3062
Actually, forget I ever said any of this because it's an invitation to discuss stuff unrelated to scumhunting and gives scum a chance to blend in.
Any opinions on Thrawn?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:19 GMT
#3074
I wish those not playing the game would start playing the game.
Stutters, where are you? I don't remember you being this inactive in previous games
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:31 GMT
#3084
Are you going anywhere with this Rayn? I thought of the same answers when I read your post initially, even though I was aware there were no cops in the setup.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:38 GMT
#3087
On November 18 2013 23:36 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 18 2013 23:31 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Are you going anywhere with this Rayn? I thought of the same answers when I read your post initially, even though I was aware there were no cops in the setup.

Koshi is probably town. If he was scum he would know there are no cops, framers & millers and would have given "lol there are no cops" answer most likely.

I am just puzzled why he seems to be implying Grackaroni is scum because that's really bad assumption. I can't figure out why Mocsta would bus the "most likely to be lynched scum on D2" in the game when he has many other options. That's like really dumb and i don't think that was the strategy of the scumteam. It's so surreal i don't even know how anyone in this game could think so.

I don't think that's a reliable method you used because I had just read the OP a bit before you asked it and my gut reaction would've been similar to Koshi's. The human mind responds irrationally to threatening situations, and I wouldn't find it hard to imagine him responding the same way as scum.

I don't think Koshi actually thinks Grack is scum right now, just that a Grack scumteam would include you, unless I'm miscontruing his post.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:43 GMT
#3091
On November 18 2013 23:41 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 18 2013 23:38 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On November 18 2013 23:36 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On November 18 2013 23:31 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Are you going anywhere with this Rayn? I thought of the same answers when I read your post initially, even though I was aware there were no cops in the setup.

Koshi is probably town. If he was scum he would know there are no cops, framers & millers and would have given "lol there are no cops" answer most likely.

I am just puzzled why he seems to be implying Grackaroni is scum because that's really bad assumption. I can't figure out why Mocsta would bus the "most likely to be lynched scum on D2" in the game when he has many other options. That's like really dumb and i don't think that was the strategy of the scumteam. It's so surreal i don't even know how anyone in this game could think so.

I don't think that's a reliable method you used because I had just read the OP a bit before you asked it and my gut reaction would've been similar to Koshi's. The human mind responds irrationally to threatening situations, and I wouldn't find it hard to imagine him responding the same way as scum.

I don't think Koshi actually thinks Grack is scum right now, just that a Grack scumteam would include you, unless I'm miscontruing his post.

Yeah because you are town. Scum tend to be careful about their answers, especailly Koshi. I know this for a fact.

Koshi doesn't strike me as a careful poster. Do you remember a scumgame of his where you felt this was the case?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:46 GMT
#3093
On November 18 2013 23:44 Koshi wrote:
Hey hey hey. I am right here.
Could you guys read page 4 of BC his filter and tell me that is scummy?

imo it is pretty good.

One thing that instantly strikes me is how he changes his read on Storr from scum to null. A possible motivation for that could be knowing that Mocsta's going to shoot him during the night phase, and this way he'll look slightly better.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:54 GMT
#3101
On November 18 2013 23:49 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Artanis i will now explain this in detail.
If Koshi was scum he would know i am town. He would also be aware there are no cops, framers or millers because his scumteam has no framers 100%. I ask him a weird question. He also knows me pretty well. He would therefore know there is something i am trying to achieve with my question. What is rayn after? What's he trying to accoplish with this? What the fuck do i need to answer.

Therefore - as scum - he would most likely give an answer that can't go wrong with, which would be "lol rayn there are not cops in this game".

Fair enough, I believe you. Tried digging into the thread but 850 post scum QT = nothx. I'll take your word for it.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 14:58 GMT
#3102
On November 18 2013 23:50 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 18 2013 23:46 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On November 18 2013 23:44 Koshi wrote:
Hey hey hey. I am right here.
Could you guys read page 4 of BC his filter and tell me that is scummy?

imo it is pretty good.

One thing that instantly strikes me is how he changes his read on Storr from scum to null. A possible motivation for that could be knowing that Mocsta's going to shoot him during the night phase, and this way he'll look slightly better.

Yeah, but do you think scum already knew they would shoot StorrZerg? And do you think scum were the ones making Storrzerg a viable shot for towncred?

Mocsta didn't have to claim and could have easily shot somebody else. Looks more like Mocsta was gathering towncred with that shot, from BC, because he is town.

I'm pretty sure since Mocsta's been setting himself up for that shot quite some time. If he didn't claim it'd look strange. That said, I do see a few things that give me a bit more of a town read on BC, such as his immense anger at SZ and how he starts analyzing Mocsta. His reply towards StorrZerg doesn't suggest that he knows that Storr will die soon. The bit where he still accuses Grack has me clueless though. I can't put a town or scum mindset on that action, just a wtf one.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 15:00 GMT
#3103
On November 18 2013 23:54 OOHCHILD wrote:
gratz you guys have successfully made it nearly impossible for anyone but yourselves to read the whole game. well done.
there's literally no way BC is going to have the time to catch up, and it's way harder to read someone who doesn't read.

So please rayne koshi artanis everyone knows you are all town. Stfu and let other people talk please, and if you have something to say, CONSOLIDATE your thoughts.

Okay, you can start as part of "other people". I'll sit back and enjoy my popcorn.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 18:40 GMT
#3249
On November 19 2013 03:38 LoneMeow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2013 03:26 VayneAuthority wrote:
Slightly town: Koshi, Coag, Pandain, Supersoft


Why is Coagulation even slightly town when he's done pretty much nothing at all the entire game?

Because when he's scum he does literally nothing.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 18:45 GMT
#3253
On November 19 2013 03:43 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Also 2/3 of these people know the truth. They also know it outs scum if they out this in thread. Therefore 2/3 of them has to be scum and BH has to be one of them because he is 100% one of the liars.

The problem is that you're operating from a presumption that these are all the masons there are in the game. What if there are more?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 19:21 GMT
#3267
On November 19 2013 03:45 Hopeless1der wrote:
rayn....you know that spiderman cancer meme? Yeah, that.

Could you please confirm yourself as town instead of doing this?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 19:26 GMT
#3270
On November 19 2013 04:25 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Artanis, could you read my case on HF and tell me what do you think about it. Like really read. Because all the people misread the risen-accusation on D1 and i kinda did not give a shit to explain it better.

I've re-evaluated HF a few times and I can't shake my town read on him. I went into it when Austin asked me about it. You can read that bit if you want.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 19:28 GMT
#3271
I'll post it for you.
+ Show Spoiler [HF] +
On November 18 2013 05:11 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 18 2013 04:50 austinmcc wrote:
Artanis, your assignment is holyflare

I've given my thoughts on Holyflare before as per your request.
Show nested quote +
HolyFlare, I'm more mixed on. I shared his suspicion on Rayn as well as his change in that read and could follow his thought process well, but there have been some good points raised about him, though I can't find them right now. I have a strong feeling he's town based on being able to follow his thought process and I have little interest in seeing him anywhere near the lynching block right now.

To give you a bit more substance, I'll go into it a bit deeper. He started his mayoral election a little bit into Day 1 and got some flak for it from Pandain and Yamato, but it doesn't really phase him. After that, he opens up the offensive on Rayn which ended up producing pretty much the longest shitflinging this thread has seen. However, his initial reasons were sound and ones I shared. His comment of ignoring Risen sparked my interest as well, and he didn't tunnel him. The same post that accuses Rayn also includes a read on Hopeless.

In the middle there's some trolly posts, which although seemingly insignificant indicate he's fooling around and enjoying himself. He's feeling comfortable and seems to be trying to figure the game out. Accuses Matt, and later continues on Rayn. This post in particular I actually find telling for his alignment.
Show nested quote +
On November 15 2013 22:57 Holyflare wrote:
@Mocsta's post/rest of the game (I think artanis said the same things I said about rayn at some point too?)


I'm sorry, what, the past few pages have been literal reitterations of what I've already stated, how is this anything new??

I get if you agree with what I've said

Here for reference:

+ Show Spoiler +
On November 15 2013 12:05 Holyflare wrote:
fml I had to write this out twice because I had so many tabs open ~_~


@ rayn's post earlier: Here

You claim that my case was in fact bad but then you agree with everything that I had specifically laid out within it, what gives? Did you just not read it? Clearly there were no good reads at that present time and for a mayor to be established reads must be thrown around, which is exactly what I was saying. Your choice of mayor is based entirely off if you agree with their reads? Why?

You also debase the entirety of it because of the one line that said if "I failed to lynch my top scum readS". The plurality in reads assumes that one would live past day 1 and be able to use their double voting power as you cannot lynch multiple reads on day 1.


There is also:

Show nested quote +
On November 15 2013 10:41 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Okay ignoring Risen for the rest of D1.



You were scum partners with risen in heavyweight. You know he is crazy and will literally do anything or write anything to win. How can you be so quick to have a town read on him based off of a post? He has won world champs and also has the "best mafia play" award or whatever. To quite openly say you will not read him for the rest of day 1 is making me apprehensive to say the least.

____________________________________________________________________________

@rest of the town
Also some other things that struck me as odd;

Hopeless' start to the game:

Show nested quote +
On November 15 2013 08:26 Hopeless1der wrote:
VE you got some credentials? How many successful mayor campaigns have you run?


I've played one game with this guy and in that game (he was town) at the very start he was trying to contribute to current conversations and get things talking. This games start has been very lackluster from him. After asking VE about his past mayor games VE responds that he has been mayor once and he died night 1.

By no means are they solid credentials in any terms. His contributions were just useless "won't vote for kush" posts. He then drops his mayor vote onto VE after hearing about his 1 game experience and leaves the thread.

_____________________________________________________________________________________

I'm actually leaning a bit more suspiciously towards rayn right now; however I thought it was interesting to see these 2 posts just as I refreshed.


+ Show Spoiler +
On November 15 2013 11:07 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 15 2013 11:05 Risen wrote:
I'll vote anyone who makes their platform lynching rayn.

You get modkilled for not voting. :p

What's wrongwith Oats this game? He's like a bit more dick than usually.



On November 15 2013 11:55 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 15 2013 11:42 Oatsmaster wrote:
So what I dont like about Mocsta's mayor post is that its very staged and rehearsed. Which obviously is scummy because town dont need to make up shit and make sure it sounds nice.

The thing with Storrzerg, like the stuff he says is objectively scummy. Sure. Noob claiming and all that. But town do it too.
On the other hand, he doesnt normally post so reservedly.
So in conclusion, I am null on Storrzerg and null on Mocsta.

Oats baby.

Read my case again

I gave one of stores first posts from Hogwarts. A similar sized game.

He came out guns blazing. The analysis was wrong. But more importantly it was there, unlike this game.


Oats, shy are you so prickly this game.
Normally you are obnoxious, but tidY you feel venomous.


Why so angry? P.s. I'm more referring to your interactions with V.E



Obviously no associative tells between unflipped players yada yada but I find it "psychologically intriguing" when people bring up similarities like that. Obviously if you are scum, the posts that stick out to you the most are your scum partners and so you can subconsciously repeat them etc. However, this is a lackluster point to say the least just something I'd thought I'd note.





but to copy it and make it look like your own thoughts and then ask people for their ideas on it is kind of a pain in the arse, at least give credit where credit is due

Scum knows that the people they're accusing are actually town, but HF sees an opportunity to bring up his suspect and wants to claim credit for it. He's happy to have it scrutinized. He wants to talk about his case.

As the game goes on, his read on Rayn changes around the same time mine does. As scum, emulating a town mindset is one of the toughest things there is. The fact that his thoughts regarding Rayn emulated mine so strongly makes it difficult for me to think he's scum. His comments started all focussing around defending himself from Rayn, in contrast to his earlier game where he participated in a lot of discussions. He feels attacked and it's stifling his game. He's not comfortable under the pressure, which is one thing that has me worried. You could explain it as feeling forced to defend yourself, or it's scum that feels cornered. On its own, I would consider it a mildly scummy thing to go into defensive mode, but considering the rest of the factors I feel town on HF. I'd feel much better once he starts giving original thoughts on other players, though.

Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 19:37 GMT
#3277
On November 19 2013 04:34 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Mig: I think hopeless wanted to say scum instead of town. ^^

Artanis: Holyflare is really contributive and can appear as town as scum too. He did really good job in Hogwarts as looking like town before he made a bad claim and syllogism caught him for it. Even then he survived for some phases because his posting was really good. He is a good scumplayer i think and "tone" and "i think he would not say this as scum" reasons do not make him town.

I do not see anything that explicitly makes him scum though. I've read your original case and I don't think it's strong enough when looking at the overall picture. His read on you and Mocsta mirrored mine too much for me to consider him anything than a town read right now. If he's scum, there's plenty of days worth of material still to come.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 19:45 GMT
#3286
On November 19 2013 04:40 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 18 2013 03:13 raynpelikoneet wrote:
If people can't understand these simple things then my work is done here and i can quit this game:

1) Holyflare says i called Risen town. I didn't, i explained it. After that Holyflare still says i called Risen town. This means he has either not read my posts (which is unbelieveable because he thought i was scum for it) or he has read my posts and arguing about bullshit. If he had read my posts he should have called me out for making up bullshit but he didn't. Instead he twisted the argument into something i have never said - in any case what Holyflare says i did is not true - he is making shit up for some reason and townies do not make shit up.

2) He made a big ass campaign for running for mayor. He never followed those points he brought up and the campaign was shit in the first place. He never did try to convince anyone someone is scum. He never tried to get anyone lynched. He never tried to convince the other candidates someone was scum. He doesn't even have scumreads it seems because he is not talking about them.

3) His read on me changed for no reason. None of the reasons he called me scum for "went away". The only thing that happened was i made some reads (which he did call bad).

4) That's all he has done this game.


1) If HF is as good as you say he is, I doubt intentionally misrepresenting your case after you've clarified it is something a scum HF would do. It seems more like the arguing of a frustrated HF trying to explain what went down and missing some of the details, which I'd consider more town than scum. I don't think he intentionally messed this up regardless of his alignment.

2) I was planning on making a big campaign too, but he realized it was pointless when some veterans started throwing their weight around. He got engaged in the thread. He tried to convince people you were scum, and has attacked BC, Mattchew, Hopeless, and Grack in his filter. Perhaps he hasn't pushed them as strongly as you would've liked, but there are plenty of people who haven't tried convincing others.

3) My read changed at similar times as his did. I had the same reasons, but they dissipated as I saw the change in your quality of posting. In fact, how he changed his read on you makes me feel more townie on him than before.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 18 2013 19:49 GMT
#3290
On November 19 2013 04:48 raynpelikoneet wrote:
My point on (1) is Holyflare is twisting my words and banking on other people not understanding what he is doing.

This does not correspond with considering him a good player, or you presume that he doesn't think you're a good player. It seems suicidal for scum to do something like this.
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