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On October 08 2013 06:35 Oatsmaster wrote: Watch me lose the game AGAIN VE. IF YOU CONTINUE BEING KIND OF A DICK. I'm not being a dick, I'm trying to keep myself FROM being a dick by removing pretty much the only circumstance that would CAUSE me to be a dick, which is you not hearing what I say in spite of me saying it clearly the first time. I promise I'll do everything I can to help you win Oats, because you're on my team.
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I KNOW YOUR POSITION AUSTIN YOU FUCK
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I mean uh.....thanks for that austin, but the confTown are speaking.
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On October 08 2013 06:59 austinmcc wrote:Show nested quote +On October 08 2013 06:57 VisceraEyes wrote: I KNOW YOUR POSITION AUSTIN YOU FUCK WELL NOBODY IS COMMENTING SO AT LEAST THE SECOND POST IS SOMEWHAT WORTHWHILE. Sorry. And this is something I've been poking at for...72 hours now. And it's finally going to get poked at a little more. So you're gonna have to excuse me commenting/getting hype. No it's fine I was mostly joking anyway. I did open up CR's filter and I disagree. The biggest thing in his filter that I see tying him to the Bangers is his insistence that Palmar and SnB are NOT on the same team, like calls it impossible. So like...why would he say that knowing Palmar has scrutiny on him and COULD be lynched? I'm not saying it's impossible just really unlikely.
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Well I can certainly see scum motivation for it to be sure, but I fail to see why that makes him any more likely to be their partner. And furthermore, as Wave pointed out earlier, he literally said "I'm voting FT to save Palmar". Like....dude. Palmar was about to flip and show his colors. Why would CR say that if he knows Palmar's alignment and team? It doesn't make any sense, and Wave is right in suspecting you for pushing this as likely.
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On October 08 2013 07:21 austinmcc wrote:I GOT PULLED BACK IN NOW. Here's that post - Show nested quote +On October 04 2013 12:35 Chairman Ray wrote:Hey I'm back now, and I did a quick read through the thread. Definitely impressed by all the reads and information people have been giving. You guys are definitely carrying me here  . Anyways, my personal opinion, I think it's best to go after people that have a possibility to be on a scumteam with SnB. If we can get rid of one scumteam, then the KP goes down. Reading through the filters, I think the strongest disconnect with SnB is probably Palmer. For this reason, even though Palmer might be a good lynch candidate, I wouldn't vote him myself just because I want to get rid of SnB's scumteam first.After a quick analysis, I don't think that there's much of a chance that VA and FT are on the same scumteam, and Palmer and FT are on the same scumteam either. There's a weak disconnect between VA and palmer, but that can go either way. So using the four people - VA, SnB, FT, and Palm, I will try to see if I can map out their alliance. Scenario A Scumteam: SnB, VA FT and Palmer cannot occupy third spot, and they are also disconnected, so one must be other scumteam, one must be town Scenario B Scumteam: SnB, FT VA and Palmer cannot occupy third spot. They can both be other scumteam, or one of the is scum, one is town. Among the three people VA, FT, and Palmer, here's the information that we will get from lynching them: VA - If he flips scum with SnB, then either FT or Palmer must be town. If he flips opposite scum, then FT is likely scum, or else both FT and Palmer are town. If he flips town, then FT and Palmer can be scum on opposite teams, or one is scum, one is town. FT - If he flips scum with SnB, then out of VA and palmer, one or both is on the other scumteam. If he flips other scumteam, then, Palmer is town, and VA is can either be town or scum with SnB, more likely scum with SnB. If he flips town, then we don't know much about Palmer and VA. Palmer - I don't want to lynch him, but if he flips other scumteam, then it doesn't say much about VA and FT, and if he flips town, it doesn't say much either.There's also solstice, which some people are pushing to vote. I think the only disconnect that can even be drawn with him is with Palmer, but it's not a very strong one. I also doubt he's gonna be lynched today, so there isn't much of a point trying to piece him in. I will do that tomorrow. Right now, I think I'm gonna put my vote on FT since there isn't that big a benefit lynching VA over him, and plus, I wanna save Palmer.##Vote: FirmTofu I agree that his explicit statement that he wants to save Palmar looks non-MCB. But in context of the post as a WHOLE, (I)I think that townieness fades. The parts where he reads Palmar or talks about Palmar's alignment are in red. The post, in summation says: (1) Palmar might be a good lynch candidate, I wouldn't vote him myself just because I want to get rid of SnB's scumteam. Indicating that CR finds Palmar scummy. He MIGHT be a good lynch candidate (we lynch scum). And he shouldn't be lynched because we want to clear out SnB's team (i.e., Palmar would be on the other team, but still scum, not "Palmar is town so don't lynch"). (2) Palmar might flip scum, might flip town. (3) I wanna save Palmar. While he DOES say he wants to read Palmar, that post as a whole just sort of skirts giving any kind of actual READ on Palmar. Whereas WoS explicitly says can't read can't read can't read, CR manages to post about Palmar, Palmar's alignment, and why he's not lynching Palmar, without ever really taking a stance. (II) It's clear that he doesn't want to lynch Palmar. It's clear he wants to save Palmar. But the way that post ADDRESSES Palmar, he's scum but on the other team, might be town, might be scum, let's save him, is scummy imo. (III)And for the rest of the cycle, despite dropping a couple other posts, CR never addresses Palmar. Pre-switch, post-switch, while asking whether FT will get modkilled, CR stays entirely to the side of the issue of Palmar's alignment.
I. It never looked townie, it looked non-MCB...and it doesn't STOP looking non-MCB just because he's wifflywaffly about Palmar's alignment. He said the words "I'm voting FT because I want to save Palmar". That is not likely to come from Palmar's scummate. Full Stop.
II. Wave is equally, if not more suspicious, for what you cite here. Except Wave actually goes back on a townread he gave Palmar in order to espouse the sentiment that he can't read Palmar.
III. It IS scummy, you're right. But it doesn't make him any more likely Palmar's partner.
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On October 08 2013 08:04 Pandain wrote:One of my biggest things with CC is he's literally not doing shit, but it doesn't mean he's playing scummy. 1. Koshi 2. VisceraEyes 3. Mr. Cheesecake 5. Oatsmaster 7. raynpelikoneet 9. Chairman Ray 12. WaveofShadow 13. VayneAuthority 15. JarJarDrinks replaced by austinmcc 16. Pandain Assuming there are three shots tomorrow and they all hit town, we will be at 4-2-1, no? Scum will have to go after Koshi or Confirmed people. This is Koshi, VE, Oats, and Rayn . Confirmed Town should all use their vests tonight to try and avoid a scenario where scum and town numbers are even and there aren't any confirmed town. Then scum can use their numbers and win with even a single misplaced vote. + Show Spoiler + Admittedly it's more tricky then that assuming scum aren't in contact with each other It's important especially if you're confirmed town so we can win in end game. Unconfirmed people Do not use vests there is no reason to use vests . Koshi should not or at least scum can't really tell what he's aiming to do, so allow him the possibility to shoot one of the unconfirmed. If you use a vest and he shoots you, then you're scum and we lynch you. Anyone disagree ? I doubt scum will go after each other until they're numbers are close. If they are in contact I can't see the MCB guy winning given 2 v 1. I think a lot of this is common sense but I want to get this out there. Still have to read Austin and WoS sigh. I don't disagree here. I would love for scum to shoot into unconfirmed people and make me find the Banger out of the remainders.
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Also if any further scum were contemplating claiming scum, I'm all for that too.
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I'm not holier than anyone. I trust rayn because he's confirmed. You're not confirmed and I found ample reason to be suspicious of you after looking in your filter.
But sure, if you want to fuck off to prove some sort of point by all means - you know I'm not gonna judge you, as that's one of my signature moves.
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Wave so mad at me...like, I didn't even do anything. LOL
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On September 30 2013 00:40 Palmar wrote: Probably Town
Koshi - Probably town, if scum he played getting hit by the RNG pretty well. VisceraEyes - Keep an eye out on how much of a leadership role he takes. He was very townie early on in day 1, but I'm somewhat unsure how much of a role he truly played in the yamato lynch. I need to re-read. If he starts fading into the background reconsider, but for now town. Oatsmaster - Confrontational and an asshole, completely useless too, so that kinda fits him being town Blazinghand - Probably town, needs to be more in the forefront. WaveofShadow - Too active, too free-flowing and engages easily with people to be scum. Pandain - His case was ok. If he keeps trying he's town. Pandain is awful as scum anyway so he'll fuck up sooner or later if he is.
Haven't analysed/read at all:
Chairman Ray Mr. Cheesecake VayneAuthority austinmcc
Only done a quick read/null:
strongandbig - if I die he's less likely (only slightly) to be scum (unlikely his scumteam would shoot me after he spends time creating a case on me), but I have no idea really, I think his case was wrong because of bads, not because of malicious.
ShiaoPi - One of the best candidates for re-reading. He hasn't done anything worth noting all game, at least that I noticed. I'm going to look into him when I have time.
raynpelikoneet - Don't really know. Grackaroni - Again, read some, no conclusion
Scummy people
hiro protagonist - His start was awfully conservative. I still haven't spent time looking at his later posts, but yeah. RebirthOfLeGenD - Said he'd catch up, didn't. FirmTofu - See my earlier analysis. Haven't paid attention to him since.
This was Palmar's big reads post. Posting it for my benefit.
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I specifically asked for Rayn's input because he's confirmed town. When Austin gave me his input, yes, I joked that I didn't want it...but I then went on to discuss CR with him. Did you skip that part? Or were you just looking for something to discredit me with? Or what?
The fact of the matter is that the rest of this game is going to be difficult, and I'm trying to explore ALL options.
I made a post that explains why I think you're more likely Banger than CR and Pandain. If I'm wrong then fine, but at least I know that I was wrong after reading and coming to my own conclusion. Association is HOW you find mafia, so no I'm not going to just 'drop the association cases' because that's fucking dumb. If you think they should hold less weight, then that's your prerogative. Right now we have three flipped scum, so I'm going to look through their filters and the filters of everyone in the game to see how they all line up because that's how the fucking game is played.
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On October 08 2013 09:23 VayneAuthority wrote: funny that you bring up weird relationships....cough pandain/austin cough
hard defending each other this entire game and both tunneling me. 2 scum left. interesting There are three scum left. Not quite as interesting as you thought, maybe.
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What was going on when s0L claimed scum? Like, not to Cheese, I mean in the thread. What was happening when he decided "You know what, this has gone on long enough"?
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On October 08 2013 10:02 WaveofShadow wrote: And Austin was attacking him. This was the part I was interested in.
s0Lstice put a LOT of effort into that claim. Go back and look at it - not for info, just to gaze upon its glory. It was everything I've ever wanted any of my fake-claims in the past to be.
So WHY did he claim scum all of a sudden?
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On October 08 2013 10:05 Pandain wrote: I assume VE it's because he messaged someone he thought was mafia and that person revealed him. Nonono, he claimed COP because of that. I mean why did he claim SCUM in the thread?
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Okay peace out then. I don't know why I bother.
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OF COURSE IT'S FUCKING IMPORTANT HE CLAIMED SCUM IN THE THREAD JESUS
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That makes YOU the MCB and Vayne a member of the opposite team. Thanks Pandain, you're a bro.
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Nah if he's not MCB he town.
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