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TL Mafia LXI - Page 5

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Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 15:08 GMT
#1128
Scummy: Yamato, clarity,

Semi-Scummy: Palmar, WoS, OO, BM, ShiaoPi

Null: BC, Rayn, Hopeless, VE

Townie: Everyone else

No medic for me if Oats flips red, thx.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 15:08 GMT
#1129
Can someone be so kind to hammer now.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 15:13 GMT
#1139
On April 24 2013 00:09 Clarity_nl wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 23 2013 23:49 Vivax wrote:
On April 23 2013 11:39 Clarity_nl wrote:
On April 23 2013 11:34 Bill Murray wrote:
On April 23 2013 10:34 Clarity_nl wrote:
I am here now and catching up, did not expect this game to start so soon, sorry.

one hour later has read the entire game and made a case on sharrant?
his case is really tunnely, and reaching, as well
FoS Clarity


Yeah okay I might have started reading and then figured I would read the last two pages and see palmar talking about possibly being the hammervote so figured I'd show my face. interested why you think my case is reaching, though.


I find this quote interesting. Clarity apparently was afraid of not posting anything before the hammer fell, and here he is admitting that his case on Sharrant was something done in haste, and to "show his face", not cause he found the reasons good enough to post them so quickly.


Hi Vivax. When you say interesting, what do you mean? Because pointing out something as interesting and seeing if anyone else jumps on it is interesting.

Erm, yes I wanted to get a couple of posts in before day 1 ended, and I didn't just want it to be "I'm here guys", I do possess some self preservation. I figured if I showed my face maybe people would hold off on hammering and give me a chance to catch up. Turns out palmar wasn't even close to hammering but w/e, I wasn't sure.

And I did find reasons, maybe the case isn't well worded or convincing but it is in essence why I believe he's scum.


When I say interesting, I mean that you seemed to prioritize self-preservation and good-looking stuff over actual involvement and attempts at finding scum.

Your case against Sharrant looks like you bought it at a fastfood-chain. I prefer people who honestly admit that they can't be up to date with the thread information instead of those who cook quick cases which look like they only had the purpose of self-presentation.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 15:17 GMT
#1148
Palmar, can you write us a quick bash script that collects name, post number and time and feeds them to a graph?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 15:24 GMT
#1157
That's cause you looked at my votecount, which isn't correct.

Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 15:25 GMT
#1161
Well they would know it isn't correct if they actually read the thread lol
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 18:56 GMT
#1168
Meh t.t
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 19:03 GMT
#1172
Intentionally misleading?

The votecount was actually a good example of how you and clarity didn't read the thread, cause hopeless pointed out to me that it was wrong.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 19:08 GMT
#1174
Wrong or not, Oats played like scum, and any DT check on him had the potential to seriously fuck up later in the game, and was likely to happen in the even that he didn't get lynched today.

Even if he wasn't scum, removing him from the equation will be of help for later.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 19:16 GMT
#1177
Thanks for the work, Palmar. pretty awesome.
Can you write us something that wins us the game now?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 19:26 GMT
#1179
Alrighty, yamato. I'm listening. Point me where I should look at in your opinion. Your VE case? BC? Ace? CC?

Why were you even trolling during D1?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 19:29 GMT
#1180
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 24 2013 04:26 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2013 04:01 yamato77 wrote:
So why didn't we lynch BC?

And why did Vivax apparently post an intentionally misleading votecount?

And why did people not listen to me and not hammer Oats?

And why did Clarity apparently not care that town was lynching someone he didn't want to lynch?

And why did no one decide to listen to the only person who gave a fuck about who we were lynching yesterday?

uuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuugggggggggggghhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh


You don't lynch BC because he was right about who he pegged. You don't listen to you because you are scum. Clarity is likely not town thus he doesnt give to shits, and I have no clue why no one decided to listen to me.


Can I ask what your schedule is? It'd be nice to know when you're actually in the game. I guess people didn't lynch yamato cause, uh, you weren't there to provide better reasons or at least motivation to lynch him over Oats?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 19:42 GMT
#1182
Thx BC.

Palmar, is yamato still in your "who knows" category? He's next on the list of people who are up for lynch, so it'd be nice if you gave us an opinion with some color.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 19:54 GMT
#1185
On April 24 2013 00:08 Vivax wrote:
Scummy: Yamato, clarity,

Semi-Scummy: Palmar, WoS, OO, BM, ShiaoPi

Null: BC, Rayn, Hopeless, VE

Townie: Everyone else

No medic for me if Oats flips red, thx.


I need to rework on this.
I wrote it cause I thought it was a nightless game, cause instant majority and such.
Reading the OP helps sometimes :|
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 20:13 GMT
#1198
On April 24 2013 05:03 yamato77 wrote:
If you idiots lynch me tomorrow, all hope is lost.

Seriously look at this game. The only argument there USED TO BE against me is that I "wasn't contributing" or whatever, when now, I've contributed more meaningful analysis than almost anyone in the game.

Look at BC's filter for yourselves and be amazed at the complete lack of "give-a-shit" you see in his scumhunting. Realize that I'm his ONLY scum read OF THE ENTIRE GAME.

Stop listening to him. If Ace is going to be blind to BC, then he might well be mafia, too, for all I know, but don't let them bully you into voting me when the obvious proof is in front of you.


People like ace, BC, Palmar aren't good D1 candidates anyway.
The duration of their survival or attempted hits should be awaited before even considering their lynch. I've seen them mislynched as town for some stupid reasons, not Palmar but BC and ace.

I am currently reviewing my read on you.
If I can give you some advice, try to play cooler please, we have plenty of time, and if you have some arguments you think are good, link to them or bring any new ones you can think of.
You have a lot of short and/or emotional posts, and you often sound really emotional, it doesn't help your cause and makes you look bad.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 20:37 GMT
#1209
On April 24 2013 05:33 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Actually Vivax too, why is Clarity mafia in your reads-list?


Read the thread, no, just my filter please. At least that. -.---------


On April 23 2013 20:05 Vivax wrote:
Oats isn't a policy lynch, although he might look like cause he started behaving like a clown when the bandwagon started. Case here and here

Clarity's entrance was horrible. 1 hour to read the thread, forced looking, hasty case at the end of the process?
My earlier opinion on play like his:

Show nested quote +
On April 23 2013 01:32 Vivax wrote:
I'll probably take hopeless out of my scumspects for now. Not every bad idea is necessarily a scum agenda, meh. I do hold in high regard that he actually goes against Rayn, as he's another guy I'd lynch.

On April 23 2013 01:25 TheRavensName wrote:
On April 23 2013 01:15 Vivax wrote:
CC, let's talk a little. Who do we lynch? I do like ShiaoPi as lynch as well, so do we start making cases and stuff or do you think we should stick to a policy?

What policy are you advocating/open to exactly? A lurker lynch or did I miss anoth
er policy that wasn't the miller claim one?



Either Drazak for excusing himself out (ask for replacement if you can't play the game), or people showing up late in the day without some damn good contributions. A damn good contribution isn't a huge post with a vote at the end, like RyuSuzaku in The game™, who rolled scum.


His play:

Show nested quote +
On April 23 2013 11:27 Clarity_nl wrote:
Trending topic is oats, and I honestly have no idea. From what I remember he didn't used to be trolly as either alignment. He could be a policy "you're a dick" lynch but there are better lynches out there, like....

Sharrant

On April 22 2013 08:29 Sharrant wrote:
On April 22 2013 08:17 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Sharrant let's end this incredibly useless shit about the policy lynch. I have told the thread why i'm voting for BM, and i'm expecting him to answer me regarding that. We are getting nowhere before we hear from him and this is really useless.
Call my vote a policy lynch vote or whatever, i really don't care before BM comes in and answers. I have only talked about policy lynch stuff when other people have brought that topic up.


No, I want to sort this out. If you answer this for me satisfactorily, I will give you a reprieve for a bit.

What is your exact reasoning for voting for BM. Give me one paragraph, with your thought process. If it's policy, tell me it's policy and the exact policy. If you have other reasoning for it, please detail that reasoning to the best of your ability.

I will be reading and cooking for a while. I know this is a Sunday, but I would really like more people to be active. There's 25 people in this game, and honestly it feels like a mini to me. Thank you to the people who are being active.


"If you give me the right answer I'll leave you alone"

This irked me, this notion always irks me. If you're "pressuring" by saying exactly what someone should do to get you off their back, then you are not pressuring. This is an easy way for scum to appear to scumhunt with an easy out.

On April 22 2013 08:40 Sharrant wrote:
On April 22 2013 08:33 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Sharrant:
What is your exact reasoning for voting for BM. Give me one paragraph, with your thought process. If it's policy, tell me it's policy and the exact policy. If you have other reasoning for it, please detail that reasoning to the best of your ability.

I think there is no reason for a townie to claim miller for the reasons i explained before. If BM was not in fact claiming miller, he should have a damn good reason why he decided to post what he did, because posting (joking?) that as town does not make any sense.



I see. I'll wait until Bill Murray is back in the thread before I say anything more about this then, if I feel the need to say anything more.

Let's give ourselves another topic then. Pick a player who you would like to discuss with me, and I will read their filter while I cook and eat. I would suggest Mr. Cheesecake, but I would prefer it if you picked the candidate for discussion.


So Sharrant gets his answer, with the answer being the obvious (and as rayn points out, already said before).
"I didn't like the miller claim" That's what Sharrant accept as a satisfactory answer? What other answer could there be? Asking questions that only have one answer, regardless of alignment, is useless. Yet it's easy to skim over these two posts and have it seems as if he contributed.

Who posts in a way that seems like they contribute, but don't? Scum do.

On April 22 2013 10:23 Sharrant wrote:

@Vivax


On April 22 2013 01:05 Hopeless1der wrote:
On April 22 2013 00:52 Vivax wrote:
On April 22 2013 00:43 Hopeless1der wrote:
On April 22 2013 00:33 VisceraEyes wrote:
The idea is that anyone who posted before him is invested enough to at the very least look elsewhere - unless I'm missing something.

That's a terrible heuristic if it is that simple. Simply posting in the thread, especially in the first ~2ish hours does not a townie make.

On April 22 2013 00:31 Vivax wrote:
On April 22 2013 00:21 Hopeless1der wrote:
@palmar's read on vivax:
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 21 2013 19:36 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2013 18:28 Vivax wrote:
Well I don't care that you say no, I'll treat everyone who posted before me as confirmed town for a while.


I think the absurdity and yet strange value of this heuristic makes Vivax very likely to be town. To the point that almost nothing would make me want to lynch him today.

Discuss.


"Absurd" I agree with. "Strange value" however...could you expand on how his heuristic is useful at discerning OTHER people's alignment, because I don't see it.


I would like to know what motivates you to ask Palmar that question. Are you feeling uncomfortable with the fact that he's giving me a townread? Do you see scum motivation in doing so or do you think I'm scum?

Yes I am uncomfortable with him giving you a townread off of something I read as non-indicative. I also want to know why he suggests there is any value in the heuristic you used because it's nonsense imo.


What I regard as important about your question is that you seem to assume that scumPalmar would give me an easy townread, when it wouldn't serve any purpose for him, unless you know of one and want to talk about it.

Your question's whole purpose seems to be attacking Palmar's townread on me, which makes me curious. Cause town's goal is to find reasons for someone being scum, and not for heuristics to get townreads not being correct, that is mafia's goal cause it reduces the pool of people they could get lynched.

So unless you see me or Palmar as scummy for some reason you aren't citing, I see the question you're asking as something that looks like scum agenda, as you criticize someone for issuing a townread on another guy.

Then, why Palmar specifically? CC called everyone in the thread town at a certain point, and I called everyone posting before me town, yet you deem Palmar most interesting for issuing a single townread.

Palmar's explanation for why he gave you a townread doesn't make sense to me and I want to question it. No one is confirmed fuck-all until they flip, but you throw it around based on the fact that they posted in the thread before you. I'd call that as you being reckless. Not scum, not town. Palmar disagrees and has cited some kind of reasoning. I wish to hear it.


This is the most bothersome quote in Hopeless' filter.

It reads to me as if he already knows Vivax is town, so he's not thinking about the play in every possible scenario.

If Vivax is town: The play is indeed somewhat reckless, but it also has some degree of accuracy. Mafia generally will float towards their QT at the beginning to check out their new toy, and coordinate. This is not fool proof, but is at least grounded in logic, and offers a decent way to focus your search during the first day.

If Vivax is mafia: The play is bad. He's given out several townreads (which always sticks in peoples mind as mafia oriented), and he potentially denies himself opportunities for easy mislynches or he has to go back on his town reads. Whether or not that makes him suspicious to everyone else is moot, because it will make him feel like he's being suspicious and less safe.

If Vivax is third party: This is pretty much the same as if he's town as his main goal is just survival, and scum hunting will help in that survival.

That Hopeless does not seem to ever figure out why Palmar can attach town value to Vivax's statement, and that he does not seem to have mentally played out each situation is suspicious.

There's a more I could write, but as is I would A) like to see more from him so I can see if he follows the same patterns I'm seeing B) I would prefer other lynches over him at this point. When I see more from him I will reevaluate again as to whether he should be more of a priority lynch.

I do consider him a good lynch, and likely mafia, but there are others I would lynch before him.


Here Sharrant is saying: "Hopeless is doing this thing that makes him scummy, I shall watch him and see if he keeps doing it"
Another easy out, telling the person you're "pressuring" exactly what they need to do (or not do in this case) to avoid being pressured more.

On April 22 2013 10:51 Sharrant wrote:
Bill Murray, please get in the thread. Right now almost every single read in this thread runs back to the incident that you sparked, so you best get back into the thread and tell us if you were serious about your claim or not so we can start working things out.


More empty threats and easy outs.

On April 22 2013 10:56 Sharrant wrote:
On April 22 2013 10:44 ShiaoPi wrote:
@ObviousOne:
Which post are you referring to? This one: + Show Spoiler +
On April 20 2013 14:20 ShiaoPi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 20 2013 13:56 Ace wrote:
*looks at player list*

*shakes head in a bored way knowing he will lynch Bill Murray with ease Day 1*


but but....he is EVIL??!!!

or this one: + Show Spoiler +
On March 25 2013 17:59 ShiaoPi wrote:
I actually wanted to /in but then I saw grush and BM in the playerlist.....not again...never again...

/obs or if you want a cohost with an East asian timezone, I'd be up for that too


Still got shittons of catching up to do, just saw that as I scrolled over the last page


ShiaoPi, at your earliest possible convenience I would like you to tell me how you feel about Raynepelikoneet, TheRavensName, Hopeless1nder, and one person of your choosing.

I'll accept as low as one sentence on the first 3, but whoever you choose I'd like you to write something of decent size about.


And more.... Not even indicating any read, just asking for reads from another player.
More of this:
On April 22 2013 11:28 Sharrant wrote:
Oatsmaster, who are your top 2 lynch candidates today and why?

On April 22 2013 11:30 Sharrant wrote:
Also, same thing with Yamato, which two people would you lynch right now?


Just scattershot. Ask everyone for their opinion and you'll get everyone's opinion.
It's not pressure, there is no direction or follow-up with these questions, it's simply a shallow attempt to seem involved.


One other thing I'd like to point out is his consistent "I'm here now, I'm leaving now" updates.
The comments about him cooking, the promises to look over players later or that he's waiting for more information, or this gem:
On April 22 2013 13:33 Sharrant wrote:
On April 22 2013 13:26 Bill Murray wrote:
On April 22 2013 00:30 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Sup guys.

On April 22 2013 00:08 Vivax wrote:
Not sure what to make of BM "claiming" snape like that. If I were to make a crazy guess, he's checking whether the real snape shows up contesting the claim, then say he posted some random shit cause he was drunk (cause that's what his posts look like ). And if the real snape doesn't show up, he will claim he's snape.

That'd be pretty ballsy, but effective scumplay. Let's see what BM has to say regarding this.


What's in your opinion the point of doing this as we can't know how many of each roles are in the game? If there is someone who claims snape, why can't BM be another one?

TRN and Palmar are probably town.

i was making a joke about his stupid sounding name
it wasn't a serious claim whatsoever
this is why the internet is not good for tone.


And with that, I'm going to bed... Good night, everyone.


They all scream insecurity, which is in stark contrast with his "pressure" posts which have an air of misguided authority about them.

All his posts scream "look at me I'm active and contributing" without actually contributing, All his other posts scream insecurity. Sharrant is scum.

##Vote Sharrant



If you want to do something pro-town, lynch Oats. Thx.


On April 23 2013 23:49 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 23 2013 11:39 Clarity_nl wrote:
On April 23 2013 11:34 Bill Murray wrote:
On April 23 2013 10:34 Clarity_nl wrote:
I am here now and catching up, did not expect this game to start so soon, sorry.

one hour later has read the entire game and made a case on sharrant?
his case is really tunnely, and reaching, as well
FoS Clarity


Yeah okay I might have started reading and then figured I would read the last two pages and see palmar talking about possibly being the hammervote so figured I'd show my face. interested why you think my case is reaching, though.


I find this quote interesting. Clarity apparently was afraid of not posting anything before the hammer fell, and here he is admitting that his case on Sharrant was something done in haste, and to "show his face", not cause he found the reasons good enough to post them so quickly.


On April 24 2013 00:13 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2013 00:09 Clarity_nl wrote:
On April 23 2013 23:49 Vivax wrote:
On April 23 2013 11:39 Clarity_nl wrote:
On April 23 2013 11:34 Bill Murray wrote:
On April 23 2013 10:34 Clarity_nl wrote:
I am here now and catching up, did not expect this game to start so soon, sorry.

one hour later has read the entire game and made a case on sharrant?
his case is really tunnely, and reaching, as well
FoS Clarity


Yeah okay I might have started reading and then figured I would read the last two pages and see palmar talking about possibly being the hammervote so figured I'd show my face. interested why you think my case is reaching, though.


I find this quote interesting. Clarity apparently was afraid of not posting anything before the hammer fell, and here he is admitting that his case on Sharrant was something done in haste, and to "show his face", not cause he found the reasons good enough to post them so quickly.


Hi Vivax. When you say interesting, what do you mean? Because pointing out something as interesting and seeing if anyone else jumps on it is interesting.

Erm, yes I wanted to get a couple of posts in before day 1 ended, and I didn't just want it to be "I'm here guys", I do possess some self preservation. I figured if I showed my face maybe people would hold off on hammering and give me a chance to catch up. Turns out palmar wasn't even close to hammering but w/e, I wasn't sure.

And I did find reasons, maybe the case isn't well worded or convincing but it is in essence why I believe he's scum.


When I say interesting, I mean that you seemed to prioritize self-preservation and good-looking stuff over actual involvement and attempts at finding scum.

Your case against Sharrant looks like you bought it at a fastfood-chain. I prefer people who honestly admit that they can't be up to date with the thread information instead of those who cook quick cases which look like they only had the purpose of self-presentation.

Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 20:46 GMT
#1214
On April 24 2013 05:40 raynpelikoneet wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 24 2013 05:37 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2013 05:33 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Actually Vivax too, why is Clarity mafia in your reads-list?


Read the thread, no, just my filter please. At least that. -.---------


Show nested quote +
On April 23 2013 20:05 Vivax wrote:
Oats isn't a policy lynch, although he might look like cause he started behaving like a clown when the bandwagon started. Case here and here

Clarity's entrance was horrible. 1 hour to read the thread, forced looking, hasty case at the end of the process?
My earlier opinion on play like his:

On April 23 2013 01:32 Vivax wrote:
I'll probably take hopeless out of my scumspects for now. Not every bad idea is necessarily a scum agenda, meh. I do hold in high regard that he actually goes against Rayn, as he's another guy I'd lynch.

On April 23 2013 01:25 TheRavensName wrote:
On April 23 2013 01:15 Vivax wrote:
CC, let's talk a little. Who do we lynch? I do like ShiaoPi as lynch as well, so do we start making cases and stuff or do you think we should stick to a policy?

What policy are you advocating/open to exactly? A lurker lynch or did I miss anoth
er policy that wasn't the miller claim one?



Either Drazak for excusing himself out (ask for replacement if you can't play the game), or people showing up late in the day without some damn good contributions. A damn good contribution isn't a huge post with a vote at the end, like RyuSuzaku in The game™, who rolled scum.


His play:

On April 23 2013 11:27 Clarity_nl wrote:
Trending topic is oats, and I honestly have no idea. From what I remember he didn't used to be trolly as either alignment. He could be a policy "you're a dick" lynch but there are better lynches out there, like....

Sharrant

On April 22 2013 08:29 Sharrant wrote:
On April 22 2013 08:17 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Sharrant let's end this incredibly useless shit about the policy lynch. I have told the thread why i'm voting for BM, and i'm expecting him to answer me regarding that. We are getting nowhere before we hear from him and this is really useless.
Call my vote a policy lynch vote or whatever, i really don't care before BM comes in and answers. I have only talked about policy lynch stuff when other people have brought that topic up.


No, I want to sort this out. If you answer this for me satisfactorily, I will give you a reprieve for a bit.

What is your exact reasoning for voting for BM. Give me one paragraph, with your thought process. If it's policy, tell me it's policy and the exact policy. If you have other reasoning for it, please detail that reasoning to the best of your ability.

I will be reading and cooking for a while. I know this is a Sunday, but I would really like more people to be active. There's 25 people in this game, and honestly it feels like a mini to me. Thank you to the people who are being active.


"If you give me the right answer I'll leave you alone"

This irked me, this notion always irks me. If you're "pressuring" by saying exactly what someone should do to get you off their back, then you are not pressuring. This is an easy way for scum to appear to scumhunt with an easy out.

On April 22 2013 08:40 Sharrant wrote:
On April 22 2013 08:33 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Sharrant:
What is your exact reasoning for voting for BM. Give me one paragraph, with your thought process. If it's policy, tell me it's policy and the exact policy. If you have other reasoning for it, please detail that reasoning to the best of your ability.

I think there is no reason for a townie to claim miller for the reasons i explained before. If BM was not in fact claiming miller, he should have a damn good reason why he decided to post what he did, because posting (joking?) that as town does not make any sense.



I see. I'll wait until Bill Murray is back in the thread before I say anything more about this then, if I feel the need to say anything more.

Let's give ourselves another topic then. Pick a player who you would like to discuss with me, and I will read their filter while I cook and eat. I would suggest Mr. Cheesecake, but I would prefer it if you picked the candidate for discussion.


So Sharrant gets his answer, with the answer being the obvious (and as rayn points out, already said before).
"I didn't like the miller claim" That's what Sharrant accept as a satisfactory answer? What other answer could there be? Asking questions that only have one answer, regardless of alignment, is useless. Yet it's easy to skim over these two posts and have it seems as if he contributed.

Who posts in a way that seems like they contribute, but don't? Scum do.

On April 22 2013 10:23 Sharrant wrote:

@Vivax


On April 22 2013 01:05 Hopeless1der wrote:
On April 22 2013 00:52 Vivax wrote:
On April 22 2013 00:43 Hopeless1der wrote:
On April 22 2013 00:33 VisceraEyes wrote:
The idea is that anyone who posted before him is invested enough to at the very least look elsewhere - unless I'm missing something.

That's a terrible heuristic if it is that simple. Simply posting in the thread, especially in the first ~2ish hours does not a townie make.

On April 22 2013 00:31 Vivax wrote:
On April 22 2013 00:21 Hopeless1der wrote:
@palmar's read on vivax:
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 21 2013 19:36 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2013 18:28 Vivax wrote:
Well I don't care that you say no, I'll treat everyone who posted before me as confirmed town for a while.


I think the absurdity and yet strange value of this heuristic makes Vivax very likely to be town. To the point that almost nothing would make me want to lynch him today.

Discuss.


"Absurd" I agree with. "Strange value" however...could you expand on how his heuristic is useful at discerning OTHER people's alignment, because I don't see it.


I would like to know what motivates you to ask Palmar that question. Are you feeling uncomfortable with the fact that he's giving me a townread? Do you see scum motivation in doing so or do you think I'm scum?

Yes I am uncomfortable with him giving you a townread off of something I read as non-indicative. I also want to know why he suggests there is any value in the heuristic you used because it's nonsense imo.


What I regard as important about your question is that you seem to assume that scumPalmar would give me an easy townread, when it wouldn't serve any purpose for him, unless you know of one and want to talk about it.

Your question's whole purpose seems to be attacking Palmar's townread on me, which makes me curious. Cause town's goal is to find reasons for someone being scum, and not for heuristics to get townreads not being correct, that is mafia's goal cause it reduces the pool of people they could get lynched.

So unless you see me or Palmar as scummy for some reason you aren't citing, I see the question you're asking as something that looks like scum agenda, as you criticize someone for issuing a townread on another guy.

Then, why Palmar specifically? CC called everyone in the thread town at a certain point, and I called everyone posting before me town, yet you deem Palmar most interesting for issuing a single townread.

Palmar's explanation for why he gave you a townread doesn't make sense to me and I want to question it. No one is confirmed fuck-all until they flip, but you throw it around based on the fact that they posted in the thread before you. I'd call that as you being reckless. Not scum, not town. Palmar disagrees and has cited some kind of reasoning. I wish to hear it.


This is the most bothersome quote in Hopeless' filter.

It reads to me as if he already knows Vivax is town, so he's not thinking about the play in every possible scenario.

If Vivax is town: The play is indeed somewhat reckless, but it also has some degree of accuracy. Mafia generally will float towards their QT at the beginning to check out their new toy, and coordinate. This is not fool proof, but is at least grounded in logic, and offers a decent way to focus your search during the first day.

If Vivax is mafia: The play is bad. He's given out several townreads (which always sticks in peoples mind as mafia oriented), and he potentially denies himself opportunities for easy mislynches or he has to go back on his town reads. Whether or not that makes him suspicious to everyone else is moot, because it will make him feel like he's being suspicious and less safe.

If Vivax is third party: This is pretty much the same as if he's town as his main goal is just survival, and scum hunting will help in that survival.

That Hopeless does not seem to ever figure out why Palmar can attach town value to Vivax's statement, and that he does not seem to have mentally played out each situation is suspicious.

There's a more I could write, but as is I would A) like to see more from him so I can see if he follows the same patterns I'm seeing B) I would prefer other lynches over him at this point. When I see more from him I will reevaluate again as to whether he should be more of a priority lynch.

I do consider him a good lynch, and likely mafia, but there are others I would lynch before him.


Here Sharrant is saying: "Hopeless is doing this thing that makes him scummy, I shall watch him and see if he keeps doing it"
Another easy out, telling the person you're "pressuring" exactly what they need to do (or not do in this case) to avoid being pressured more.

On April 22 2013 10:51 Sharrant wrote:
Bill Murray, please get in the thread. Right now almost every single read in this thread runs back to the incident that you sparked, so you best get back into the thread and tell us if you were serious about your claim or not so we can start working things out.


More empty threats and easy outs.

On April 22 2013 10:56 Sharrant wrote:
On April 22 2013 10:44 ShiaoPi wrote:
@ObviousOne:
Which post are you referring to? This one: + Show Spoiler +
On April 20 2013 14:20 ShiaoPi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 20 2013 13:56 Ace wrote:
*looks at player list*

*shakes head in a bored way knowing he will lynch Bill Murray with ease Day 1*


but but....he is EVIL??!!!

or this one: + Show Spoiler +
On March 25 2013 17:59 ShiaoPi wrote:
I actually wanted to /in but then I saw grush and BM in the playerlist.....not again...never again...

/obs or if you want a cohost with an East asian timezone, I'd be up for that too


Still got shittons of catching up to do, just saw that as I scrolled over the last page


ShiaoPi, at your earliest possible convenience I would like you to tell me how you feel about Raynepelikoneet, TheRavensName, Hopeless1nder, and one person of your choosing.

I'll accept as low as one sentence on the first 3, but whoever you choose I'd like you to write something of decent size about.


And more.... Not even indicating any read, just asking for reads from another player.
More of this:
On April 22 2013 11:28 Sharrant wrote:
Oatsmaster, who are your top 2 lynch candidates today and why?

On April 22 2013 11:30 Sharrant wrote:
Also, same thing with Yamato, which two people would you lynch right now?


Just scattershot. Ask everyone for their opinion and you'll get everyone's opinion.
It's not pressure, there is no direction or follow-up with these questions, it's simply a shallow attempt to seem involved.


One other thing I'd like to point out is his consistent "I'm here now, I'm leaving now" updates.
The comments about him cooking, the promises to look over players later or that he's waiting for more information, or this gem:
On April 22 2013 13:33 Sharrant wrote:
On April 22 2013 13:26 Bill Murray wrote:
On April 22 2013 00:30 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Sup guys.

On April 22 2013 00:08 Vivax wrote:
Not sure what to make of BM "claiming" snape like that. If I were to make a crazy guess, he's checking whether the real snape shows up contesting the claim, then say he posted some random shit cause he was drunk (cause that's what his posts look like ). And if the real snape doesn't show up, he will claim he's snape.

That'd be pretty ballsy, but effective scumplay. Let's see what BM has to say regarding this.


What's in your opinion the point of doing this as we can't know how many of each roles are in the game? If there is someone who claims snape, why can't BM be another one?

TRN and Palmar are probably town.

i was making a joke about his stupid sounding name
it wasn't a serious claim whatsoever
this is why the internet is not good for tone.


And with that, I'm going to bed... Good night, everyone.


They all scream insecurity, which is in stark contrast with his "pressure" posts which have an air of misguided authority about them.

All his posts scream "look at me I'm active and contributing" without actually contributing, All his other posts scream insecurity. Sharrant is scum.

##Vote Sharrant



If you want to do something pro-town, lynch Oats. Thx.


Show nested quote +
On April 23 2013 23:49 Vivax wrote:
On April 23 2013 11:39 Clarity_nl wrote:
On April 23 2013 11:34 Bill Murray wrote:
On April 23 2013 10:34 Clarity_nl wrote:
I am here now and catching up, did not expect this game to start so soon, sorry.

one hour later has read the entire game and made a case on sharrant?
his case is really tunnely, and reaching, as well
FoS Clarity


Yeah okay I might have started reading and then figured I would read the last two pages and see palmar talking about possibly being the hammervote so figured I'd show my face. interested why you think my case is reaching, though.


I find this quote interesting. Clarity apparently was afraid of not posting anything before the hammer fell, and here he is admitting that his case on Sharrant was something done in haste, and to "show his face", not cause he found the reasons good enough to post them so quickly.


Show nested quote +
On April 24 2013 00:13 Vivax wrote:
On April 24 2013 00:09 Clarity_nl wrote:
On April 23 2013 23:49 Vivax wrote:
On April 23 2013 11:39 Clarity_nl wrote:
On April 23 2013 11:34 Bill Murray wrote:
On April 23 2013 10:34 Clarity_nl wrote:
I am here now and catching up, did not expect this game to start so soon, sorry.

one hour later has read the entire game and made a case on sharrant?
his case is really tunnely, and reaching, as well
FoS Clarity


Yeah okay I might have started reading and then figured I would read the last two pages and see palmar talking about possibly being the hammervote so figured I'd show my face. interested why you think my case is reaching, though.


I find this quote interesting. Clarity apparently was afraid of not posting anything before the hammer fell, and here he is admitting that his case on Sharrant was something done in haste, and to "show his face", not cause he found the reasons good enough to post them so quickly.


Hi Vivax. When you say interesting, what do you mean? Because pointing out something as interesting and seeing if anyone else jumps on it is interesting.

Erm, yes I wanted to get a couple of posts in before day 1 ended, and I didn't just want it to be "I'm here guys", I do possess some self preservation. I figured if I showed my face maybe people would hold off on hammering and give me a chance to catch up. Turns out palmar wasn't even close to hammering but w/e, I wasn't sure.

And I did find reasons, maybe the case isn't well worded or convincing but it is in essence why I believe he's scum.


When I say interesting, I mean that you seemed to prioritize self-preservation and good-looking stuff over actual involvement and attempts at finding scum.

Your case against Sharrant looks like you bought it at a fastfood-chain. I prefer people who honestly admit that they can't be up to date with the thread information instead of those who cook quick cases which look like they only had the purpose of self-presentation.


Is this more likely to come from mafia!Clarity now that we know Oats flipped town? Why not just agree with your case on Oats?


Well, it's a possibly valid point but it's also connection based. If you're mafia and there are two bandwagons, let's assume both town, then nothing forces you to pick a side, but it makes you look better if you oppose both and go for something no one is going to lynch at that moment.

It's easy for mafia to look like they were on the right side during lynches. I'd prefer using other reasoning to infer if someone is scum than being right or wrong on wagons.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 20:59 GMT
#1216
I'm curious about your motivation to defend clarity, Rayn.

Is there some really strong evidence for him being town that we aren't seeing, or do you feel he's at danger of getting lynched soon?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 21:12 GMT
#1222
Other question:

Why did clarity say that he felt the urge to post something quickly cause he thought his late entrance looked bad?
How was it of any concern to him at that point, and why did he avoid to comment on the points against yamato and Oats and instead called them policy lynches, which is like the laziest, most ineffective way for purposes of getting to a better lynch?

What I picked up as scummy was the fact that he felt so nervous to post a half-baked "this is my big case with a vote at the end" without showing any doubt about what was going on in the thread, like he should have, if he only had one hour to get familiar with the game.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
April 23 2013 21:23 GMT
#1229
On April 24 2013 06:17 Clarity_nl wrote:
I had four hours, you guys just can't read my posts and are making stuff up.
I was caught up with the thread when I made the case, I didn't say I thought I looked bad I said I felt guilty.

Show nested quote +
On April 23 2013 11:39 Clarity_nl wrote:
On April 23 2013 11:34 Bill Murray wrote:
On April 23 2013 10:34 Clarity_nl wrote:
I am here now and catching up, did not expect this game to start so soon, sorry.

one hour later has read the entire game and made a case on sharrant?
his case is really tunnely, and reaching, as well
FoS Clarity


Yeah okay I might have started reading and then figured I would read the last two pages and see palmar talking about possibly being the hammervote so figured I'd show my face. interested why you think my case is reaching, though.


This refers to me saying that I'm here now, not my case post. and because I posted that I felt obliged to post some original thoughts, and I felt on a dealine cause it was 5 am. In fact my case post starts with saying I have no clue about oats.


No, that was your answer to BM asking why you took an hour to cook that case against Sharrant. It wasn't BM saying "why do you post now"? There is a nested quote you're replying to with that.
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