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Paranoia Mafia - Page 12

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 05 2012 17:11 GMT
#1649
Wait Laser why Keir????
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 05 2012 17:59 GMT
#1652
On December 06 2012 02:23 Lazermonkey wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 06 2012 02:11 debears wrote:
Wait Laser why Keir????
What?


You said present ur read on keir

Like do you mean scumread?
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 05 2012 18:41 GMT
#1656
Very well fine sir
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 05 2012 22:23 GMT
#1662
^^^If so, I would like the log from the start of d1
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 05 2012 23:18 GMT
#1683
This is crazy setup if all claims are true with

vig, detective, watcher, 4 masons

7/13 players???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

the fuck?
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 05 2012 23:19 GMT
#1684
7/15
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 05 2012 23:21 GMT
#1688
yeah....idk this is weird.

Do you notice the disconnect from the opening lines of bh's thing right to the marv claim?

There's a bunch of shit missing in there.
Idk though that's a lot to fake.....

off the top of my head I'd say lynch sandroba and see where that gets us with your claim austin
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 05 2012 23:22 GMT
#1689
Xata

I would like some insight

Why would austin claim and say he knows sandro is scum and he is watcher if scum?

He's watcher and sandro scum - he wants to make sure we lynch mafia
He's scum and sandro scum - bus sandro for town cred
he's scum and sandro town - get a mislynch and a 1 for 1 trade

point 3 is just dumb
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 05 2012 23:23 GMT
#1691
So, the way I see it, if we lynch sandro, we get a scum no matter what
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 06 2012 00:45 GMT
#1708
On December 06 2012 08:33 Xatalos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 06 2012 08:31 Xatalos wrote:
On December 06 2012 08:23 debears wrote:
So, the way I see it, if we lynch sandro, we get a scum no matter what


Are you honestly convinced by austin's claim? And are you okay with us losing 2 confirmed townies if we mislynch Sandroba? I don't know why you're so indifferent towards this lynch.


Might I add: 2 confirmed townies + 1 non-confirmed town for 1 scum. That's a REALLY bad trade...!!!


Wait 2 confirmed townies?

huh???

we trade sandro for austin if austin is scum

if austin is watcher we get scum for free
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 06 2012 01:00 GMT
#1710
Ok here are my thoughts on the situation

1. Austin lying and we lynch him:
We get a scum
Sandro most likely confirmed town

2. Austin telling the truth and we lynch him:
We lost our watcher
Sandro scum confirmed

3. Austin lying and we lynch Sandro:
Austin confirmed scum
We lose an inactive townie

4. Austin telling the truth and we lynch Sandro:
We get a scum
Austin most likely watcher

Results in which we kill scum first attempt: 1,4
Results in which we get confirmed scum as other after killing a townie: 2,3

So I think the question is which out of 2 or 3 is more favorable for town? The answer is 3

Austin has been active, he has made reads. If he is the watcher it gives the mafia someone to kill as priority
Sandro has not been active. He has not made much in terms of read. Scum wouldn't be inclined to nk him quickly

Based on the above, from a purely neutral view, lynching sandro is the better choice based purely on how much we lose if austin is telling the truth and we lynch him first. I will ponder the claim and how austin acted n2.

But I would like to share this. As of now I would rather lynch Sandro first
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 06 2012 16:14 GMT
#1737
On December 07 2012 01:01 sandroba wrote:
@austin yes. That's because you are most likely traitor. Then you don't need to be stupid.


I love it when people condemn others based off pure speculation of what exists in a closed setup

Great analysis
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 06 2012 16:29 GMT
#1741
On December 07 2012 01:23 sandroba wrote:
He is either that or scum, which one makes more sense?
It is not speculation it's behavior analysis ty.


he is either town or scum. We don't know if there are traitors. There have only been normal roles so far. How are you so sure there is a traitor? Are you the traitor?

You are coming up with reasons for voting him. I don't like that one bit
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 06 2012 16:32 GMT
#1742
EBWOP

Making up reasons for voting him
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 06 2012 16:45 GMT
#1744
On December 07 2012 01:39 sandroba wrote:
You must not have taken your pills today. I know for a fact that he is either scum or traitor. Traitor is a normal role, just like millers, masons, watchers. He is either complete bonkers scum or traitor, I'll go with traitor because I have a brain. Watch the flip and then apologize thx.


How about you show me how his posting this whole game is solely/largely scum motivated?

If you can do that successfully, then I'll vote him
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 06 2012 17:35 GMT
#1746
All I know at this point is that there is some crazy fishy studd happening

A cop, a vig, two masons, two more masons, and a watcher have claimed

That's 7 power roles in a 15 player game. And from a guess there isn't a scum roleblocker based on the fact that dyhs vig shotwent through

The cop vig and one mason are confirmed. I'm treating keir as confirmed.

That's 4 blues.

We have 3 possible fakeclaims in the group above. Idk if we would even have 6 power roles with no scum rb qt this point
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 06 2012 20:34 GMT
#1753
Ausin, I remember after GSL III you mentioned that you love setup speculation when I asked you about it. I would like to know that why you wouldn't push BH/MrZ as scum based on setup speculation.

If they're claim was false, then there'd be a vig, cop, 2 masons, and a watcher. That's 5 blues. I would think you would be super suspicious that there would be 2 more masons.

In other words, with the knowledge that sandro is scum if you are watcher, the game would be pretty much over.

I don't see there being 7 blues. So it's either you or BH and MrZ imo.

Combine that with that fact that you watched BH last night for some reason when DYH/Keir would be the obvious nks. Especially with the fact that you should be suspicious of BH and Mrz.

WHY WOULD YOU WATCH BH AND NOT KEIR OR DYH WHEN A BH/MRZ CLAIM TRUE WITH YOURS WOULD MAKE 7/15 PLAYERS BLUE AND 4/15 THAT COULD CONFIRM THEMSELVES??????

##Vote Ausin
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 06 2012 20:35 GMT
#1754
wow. I forget the t twice in Austin
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 07 2012 02:56 GMT
#1801
Wait.

What if paranoia of this game is too many blues? Holy shit. Jingles whole plan has been made.


He's want town to lose from mislynching so many blues!!!!!!!
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
December 07 2012 06:56 GMT
#1816
forever alone drone
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