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I read through the filters of Rewok, ShiaoPi, et al, and didn't find enough to push any of them into scum territory.
I also looked through BM's filter and I found him conspicuously absent during the SnB wagon. He didn't even mention SnB until after the lynch was over. All he did was pressure Hopeless1der, who, as we know, dropped the hammer on SnB and should be considered town.
While it doesn't push my read on him clearly into scum territory, it is the first clear read he's given out all game long, since the rest of his filter consists of trolling.
Hence,
##FoS Bill Murray
If Toad dies tonight, I'm going to push for a lynch on him.
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On September 16 2012 05:01 slOosh wrote:Show nested quote +On September 14 2012 12:14 slOosh wrote: Guhh ... why do you guys wait until now to play properly?
What Maverick did just now was a very very town thing. Feigning activity and making cases is easy. Calling the runner up lynch candidate town when you have the most votes is not. The only motivation to do that is that you are town, and you think this person is town. You can see that he doesn't value his specific survival over the town's interests. His case really shows his thinking process and also clarifies past contradictions (e.g. he left out Graven from his scum reads) - consistency like this is hard to setup as scum.
Gravan ... it's really weird with him. As Maverick points out he is playing consistently (regardless of quality). I remember thinking he was newbie town making lots of mistakes, and it could be he is scummy because of this. Also strange is the nature of the maverick counter wagon. Still thinking this one through.
ShiaoPi: his treatment of Mav is townish. Timezones are timezones. Select stuff in his filter make me think he is town and explain his actions but will not divulge unless there is a large enough body of evidence against him.
This leaves me with two people: SnB has not cared at all about the past two lynches. You can see from his filter that he jumps on the Forumite lynch with little to contribute while also discrediting Rewok. He jumps on the maverick lynch with little to add and also makes sure people know that everyone could be scum ("MMT made the case on Mav but you never know maybe he is scum"). His latest posts are pure setup speculation. He treats Toad very strangely - I'm not sure if he thinks Toad might be scum and hunting for reactions or he is pretending to engage in meaningful conversation.
Toad is someone who has flared up upon a proper reread of the Z-Boson mad hatter business. I originally thought him town after our little spat at the start of the game. However if you reread his filter carefully, you will notice that he uses "vet balance" to get Forumite lynched, but after that he says "oh I guess I was wrong, oh well". He seemed to taunt Z-boson near deadline and called for vig shots on him even if he was town because he would die anyway. I know I said mafia wouldn't kill a potential mad hatter but I forgot that there is a very good chance of a roleblocker in the game, as we still don't know about austin's 2nd shot. I find the explanations for his dismissal of SnB and BM to be beyond just strange, as he is ignoring possible scum on raw setup speculation.
Thoughts please, we need to get this lynch right. Show nested quote +On September 14 2012 20:13 Shady Sands wrote: These are my top lynch candidates at the moment:
Gravan Maverick
I also have a strong townread on SnB, and my previous townread on sloosh is slipping into null territory after his weak list above. Yea I dunno how you gonna backtrack on this one Shady. "weak list" you say? It's not something you can really respond to that well, so here's the followup question. Show nested quote +On September 15 2012 08:06 Shady Sands wrote: Since I thought at the time that Gravan was scum, anyone who came out before a lynch was inevitable on Gravan and made noises about lynching him earned town points in my book. Now that S&B has flipped scum, I retract that and I think Gravan is just a bad town who other scum tried to latch upon. Grav's behavior, in particular, over the past few hours has been very townie and returns my read on him to null.
Can you point out said posts, and how they are "very townie", and only return him to null? Cause I think you're bluffing. And scum. And tomorrow's lynch. Sloosh, like I said, I misread what SnB wrote to be an endorsement of a Grav lynch. Hence my read shifted towards town. After rereading his post, it's clear he didn't even mean that. Had I read it correctly my read on him would have been null, at the most.
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On September 16 2012 06:30 Toadesstern wrote:Show nested quote +On September 16 2012 06:16 Shady Sands wrote: I read through the filters of Rewok, ShiaoPi, et al, and didn't find enough to push any of them into scum territory.
I also looked through BM's filter and I found him conspicuously absent during the SnB wagon. He didn't even mention SnB until after the lynch was over. All he did was pressure Hopeless1der, who, as we know, dropped the hammer on SnB and should be considered town.
While it doesn't push my read on him clearly into scum territory, it is the first clear read he's given out all game long, since the rest of his filter consists of trolling.
Hence,
##FoS Bill Murray You consider me to be mafia. If that's the case: Why should I die tonight? I'm not going to kill myself if I'm mafia. Unless of course you believe my claim is true and there really is a 2nd vig, which you just told me a couple of hours ago is almost impossible according to you. So if there's no 2nd vig and I'm mafia, how am I supposed to die tonight? When did I say there was no 2nd vig?
I said that your roleclaim is untestable since we don't know whether there is or there isn't a 2nd vig. Hence my above statement:
If Toad dies tonight, I'm going to push for a lynch on him.
Note the word "If".
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Also nice job selectively editing that line out of your quotation of my post. Real slick Toad.
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FYI things have been super busy as of late. I likely won't be able to return to the thread in time for my inevitable green flip, but until then here is what I have to say:
First, I am vanilla town.
Second, I supported SnB because, again, I thought he was supporting my effort to lynch Grav, who I thought was scum. I found it unlikely at the time that scum would bus a partner when the outcome of the lynch was still very much up in the air, so that's why I got a townread off SnB.
Third, I'd like town to take a good look at two people who supported me on the Grav lynch as possible suspects.
ShiaoPi Darthpunk
All of them have soft defended my scummy behavior in the prior days, and tried to redirect town around while remaining scummy and quiet. Now both are bussing me quick after ImAllinson started the wagon on me.
Fourth, town please take a look at Allinson's filter as well.
These are the flipped scum whose interactions might be useful for town to read through: GK SnB (Mattchew doesn't count as I think all the scum were trying not to interact with him until after Palmar came down with his ruling--then they probably bussed him like crazy.)
Sorry I can't be more of a help this game--work/IRL stuff has caught up. Gotta show my mom around Chicago later this afternoon and celebrate my birthday tonight, then spend most of the later evening using my primary school Mandarin skills to talk to potential investors during China daylight hours.
Good luck town.
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Aecta est fabula, plaudite.
glhf town =)
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