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Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 09 2012 02:27 GMT
#1211
##Vote: VisceraEyes
+ Show Spoiler +
On August 09 2012 10:00 VisceraEyes wrote:
VisceraEyes Thoughts, And Lack Thereof


I'm gonna open with the important stuff.

talismania, Zephirdd, Toadesstern

Yes, that's right - THREE names. Not Five. Why? Because in my opinion, the last 2 scums can be found in the pool of players who haven't been posting, like, at all. There have been too many town flips of active players for me to entertain the notion that ALL of the scum are playing visibly. Therefor, at least 40% of the scum team can, by my estimation, be found in that group.

Now, my reads.

talismania has been very confusing to me over the course of the game. After D1 I agreed with slOosh's points on talismania - lots of questions that seemed to go nowhere, very little what I would consider actual scum hunting. However, D2 talis turned on the town with a bright and shiny case on me. Generally speaking, I automatically think "SCUM!" in cases like that, as many of you are well aware - however this time it was different. This time, talismania had valid concerns about my activity and my case against him…and considering my main contention with him was about the whole questions that go nowhere thing, I decided to assent to masoning him.

That's where things changed, for me. Over the course of those conversations, I was left with the feeling that he wasn't REALLY after information at all - that he was looking for something specific…something that I'd referenced earlier in the game.

All Talismania was interested in during the WHOLE of our conversations was my read on Zephirdd.

Why? What about Zephirdd was so important for me to comment on? What about my Zephirdd read intrigued him so? So I tried something out…

I intentionally avoided talking about Zephirdd at all.

:OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Here is the result of this experiment.
+ Show Spoiler +
On August 07 2012 12:06 talismania wrote:
VE you out there? waiting for a pm reply.

On August 08 2012 02:38 talismania wrote:
The extent of my communication with VE. Yes I wanted to more or less interrogate him about every player in the game, I think he's scum. Never really got to though. If he's innocent he shouldn't have a problem with that and should also probably want to interrogate me about a lot of things. He never responded to my zephirdd question despite posting in the thread after I had sent it, so I asked him in the thread.

+ Show Spoiler +

Removed per request of host - for full logs in text form see this post: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=352668&currentpage=57#1127


On August 08 2012 03:24 talismania wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 01:33 VisceraEyes wrote:
Talis we're done in PMs - I've wasted enough time in PMs and now people think I'm scum for it. No longer.


How is this a town attitude, toad?

Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 01:50 VisceraEyes wrote:
TBH I'm not sure - at first I thought he was town, but as the PMs dragged on it felt more like an inquisition - like his mind was made up already and that he was just like...gathering ammo or something. He never shared HIS thoughts on the people he asked about, simply asked me about them and then freaked out in-thread when I was a little late with response.

I'm leaning town - just misguided, really really WRONG town.


He writes this, but do you see it in the logs? He asked me about erandorr, I responded. I asked him about zephirdd after he brought zephirdd's name up... and nothing. If he had asked what I thought about zeph I would have gladly answered. He only showed interest in picking my brain about erandorr. The "people" I asked about? I only asked about one, and he never answered. I asked a grand total of two questions of him in PMs as they "dragged on".

On August 08 2012 06:28 talismania wrote:
ah sorry. I would argue that they are all around the same level of interest to be honest.

Whatever happened to your thoughts on xsebt and zephirdd? You said in PMs you were going to look into them yesterday.



WHO CARES?! He's barely playing and is probably scum! But if he doesn't do scummy things then I can't lynch him!

talismania, in an attempt to distract town, has focused on my read of Zephirdd for almost an entire cycle. If he thinks I'm scum and Zeph is town, what could he possibly want to know what I think of Zephirdd for?

Here's my theory: that he and Zephirdd are scum TOGETHER. I think he was interested in getting my read on Zephirdd in the thread to either vilify me for thinking an "obvious townie" is scum, or to solidify sentiment that he's town when I died D2 and flipped town by me stating a town-read on him.

My guess is that scum roleblocked someone they killed N1 and talis claimed it in an attempt to gain town-cred.




Zephirdd has spent the whole of the second cycle being pressured by CD. The result of this pressure, I think, speaks for itself - but I'll speak for it for those of you who are wondering what I'm talking about.

He reacted BADLY. REALLY badly. Like, as a townie, how would you react to someone continually calling you scum based on nothing and trolling you?

If your answer is anything but "ignore it and hunt scum" then you're scum. I'm sorry, but that's my opinion. Zeph's answer would apparently be "FREAK THE FUCK OUT AND RAGE IN-THREAD AND OMGUSSSSSSSSS"…if he were town. However, I think he's scum that can't handle pressure.

And golly gee, he didn't vote for me, talismania's "#1 scum read". Hmmmm, I wonder what's going on here. :/




Toadesstern is on this list because he's a mason, and because I'm town the pool of possible scum masons is shrinking. Ultimately he's null, but I'm thinking scum probably have a mason and I don't think it's JH - especially after reading his logs with talismania. It's possible there ARE no scum masons and BC threw in a ton of town masons to fuck with town - but I find it really unlikely, and if that's what's going on here then BC is truly a bastard.

So my lynch-order preference would be:

1. talismania/Zephirdd (I'm equally sure on both and would support either lynch equally.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
2. Toadesstern.

I don't want to lynch Toad tomorrow, but I will if town wants to because he's a mason that's not JH or myself. Pretty much no other reason. :/


Those cases are atrocious.


TALIS
- Talis has consistently been following up on his reads and his 'questions that go no where'. His constant attempts to get you to respond to his questions are scummy? WTF? That's bullshit. He tunneled you when you refused to answer him and I think such a move is completely justified. I have a hard time believing you tried to set up such a shitty trap when the results are not all that damning against talis anyways.

- He constantly drones on about the setup and wants character names?

From the pm log between Toad and SnB:
(SnB)
I also think anyone who's played a game or two with talismania should know that his trying to get setup information and character name claims isn't alignment indicative, he always pushes some kind of plan like that as any alignment.


(Toad)
2) Yeah I agree on Talis. There's some things I don't like about him but pushing those weird plans is not alignment indicating at all. The amount of "effort" he's putting in this game however made me reconsider a bit. He wasn't that much talkactive when we both played mafia in PYPoison. He's strange alright but he usually enjoys the "trying to understand the game" way more than "trying to figure out mafia"either way, so that's normal.


Not really the most conclusive scumtell on talis you had there.



ZEPH
You're baseline suspicions of Zeph stem from Day 1 due to his list of lurkers, or so it seems. The main point of you thinking he's scum now is his response to CountDropula. Guy literally lurks the shit out of the game, had more posts in the voting thread than the actual thread at one point in time and then completely out of the blue tunnels into zeph like a goddamn freight train. His posts are so obnoxious I'd have either responded similarly to how zeph did, or not at all.

Zeph didn't vote in line with talis - TEHY MUST BE SCAMS TOGETHURR.
Meanwhile, Zeph actually sheeped your vote on Erandorr (so did I for that matter) because he felt you and bugs were producing better arguments.
Does this mean the two of you **le GASP** created a bandwagon together on Erandorr to save yourself?!


TOAD
Obviously the weakest part of your case, but Toad is maybe kind of scum according to you because SOME of the masons have to be scum right? Well you're just as likely to be scum as any of the others at this point, including JH. None of this WIFOM 'vets must be scum' garbage for me. I'm reading town from Toad through his mason logs with snb. The same can't be said for you from your logs with bugs and talis, at least in my opinion.


RAILROADING TOWN, DO WHAT I SAY, KILL SO AND SO, BLAH BLAH FREAKING BLAH

There's plenty more to dissect if you want to start connection theories and confirmation bias. Your case alone however, is more than enough for me to vote you today VE.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 09 2012 19:07 GMT
#1240
I would pretty much say hes absolutely a smurf. Every one of his posts are in this game. It also seems like this puppet master routine was planned, but I can't make heads or tails of his affiliation based on that nonsense. His shitty tunnelling on the other hand is very suspicious and I think that the tunnelling is the core of the case against him. Still, I find VE's latest post/case to be worse than what Dropula has done so far. Dropula will be my second choice of lynch if my case against VE doesn't get any more support.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 09 2012 22:06 GMT
#1275
So now what, you hold the logs until tomorrow, or give them out so we can make our reads on the claim and let the scum WIFOM the shot vs the medic(s)?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 09 2012 23:00 GMT
#1289
"The play" obviously.
Jingle, whats your current take on VE?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 01:01 GMT
#1337
That breadcrumb needs more bread. Or crumb. Or something. That was pretty useless imo. I hope to be back in 3ish hours to check back on the thread.
Unless we get some direction from BC/Rasta on what the hell just happened this discussion needs to be tabled for later imo.

Reads, cases, all that good stuff. Let's get back on course here.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 01:29 GMT
#1350
On August 10 2012 10:16 Toadesstern wrote:
now I can't sleep
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2012 10:01 Hopeless1der wrote:
That breadcrumb needs more bread. Or crumb. Or something. That was pretty useless imo. I hope to be back in 3ish hours to check back on the thread.
Unless we get some direction from BC/Rasta on what the hell just happened this discussion needs to be tabled for later imo.

Reads, cases, all that good stuff. Let's get back on course here.


Well the message emphasizes d1 3 times, and it has "default scum" in quotation marks after talis' name.
Why did he say he's a "default scum" read instead of just saying Talis is one of his mafia reads? Why the quotation marks out of nowhere?
Check is filter and you'll see that he starts tunneling Talis like CRAZY ever after that post and does nothing besides voting him.

Read the spoiler.
+ Show Spoiler +
On August 05 2012 18:33 talismania wrote:
summary thoughts after re-reading:

toad has moved from scummy to townie in my head. many small things that suggest more effort than I see him putting in as scum.

VE I think is scum both from his attitude, his lack of promised scumhunting, and the reason he picked for voting me.

Hassybaby I think is scum for being too cautious sounding and not actually contributing novel stuff. He also gets baited by my setup talk.

xsebt is default scum in my mind until he does something besides show up and make one incredibly wishy-washy post near deadline.

wbg has an outside chance of being scum and wanting to sacrifice himself for some reason but I actually think he's more likely to be town.

strongandbig and jinglehell both need to stop digging their tunnels and talk about other stuff for a while. jingle in particular has moved from town to neutral for his odd persistence.

hopeless1der makes scummy posts but overall seems townie to me. Like his post composition soudns like scum, but what he's doing seems townlike. In particular the part where he said he was going to check into zephirdd and then he actually did.

synystyr I think is scum until proven innocent for his excitement/activity discrepancy.

I have my eye on glasse/dropula even though both are sort of loosely in my neutral/town category in my mind. I'm eager to see their promised activity in the future. From glasse, his promised read on toad. And from dropula, living up to this call to action for a more active thread.

I think that's it, time for bed.


On August 05 2012 21:00 XsebT wrote:
I agree that countdropula's voting pattern and reasoning during d1 is pointing towards scum. He is all over the place with his accusations. Lazermonkey's analysis points this out quite well.
Talismania, I was too inactive during d1, so a "default scum" accusation is probably in its place. If you keep having concerns, just ask me more direct questions. I'm not quite able to keep up with you guys when it comes to posting. I will be brief and to the point when posting.
That said, I don't know why you would throw out so many scum accusations so early on, while already in the spotlight with wbg from d1. You should fear for your own survival in this game. If you're town, I consider the accusations a bad move.


Does that seem like an acceptable reason for the phrase "default scum"?

Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 02:01 GMT
#1365
Cheating, Rule 9.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 16:43 GMT
#1397
I have yet to see a post from xsebt verifying any of this dt business. I can think of a situation where scum could conceivably come across the mis-spelt name through other roles referring to his character.

Considering Xsebt might have had a scum read on talis, he's been surprisingly quiet about it. I have a really hard time buying into this lynch with one pm worth of evidence. I have a town read on talis based on his responses to the DT claim.
I'm leaving my vote on VE until we see something a little more credible.

Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 17:07 GMT
#1402
On August 11 2012 01:54 BroodKingEXE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2012 01:43 Hopeless1der wrote:
I have yet to see a post from xsebt verifying any of this dt business. I can think of a situation where scum could conceivably come across the mis-spelt name through other roles referring to his character.

Considering Xsebt might have had a scum read on talis, he's been surprisingly quiet about it. I have a really hard time buying into this lynch with one pm worth of evidence. I have a town read on talis based on his responses to the DT claim.
I'm leaving my vote on VE until we see something a little more credible.


-_- He knows Talis' PM name. This has been confirmed.


That isn't proof. I have another player's character name in my PM since there is a relationship between them in the show. If the scum are trying to fake a dt claim, I'd expect them to put some solid effort into making it believable, including copying the names from the pms. Talis posted his character's name to the thread. They knew what to look for.

My scenario is extremely convoluted. Occam's razor says talis is either miller or scum due to the red check. But the red check is secondary information and I dont trust it coming from toad. Xsebt has not posted yet. At this rate he's getting modkilled. He's pretty much outed already. Why continue to hide?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 17:16 GMT
#1407
He could have gotten it from his own pm if 'Francais' is referred to by character flavor. Quickly searching the wiki,
IF this is an insane scum ploy, one of them is Betty Draper and their role pm has Francis' misspelt name in it.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 17:17 GMT
#1408
On August 11 2012 02:15 BroodKingEXE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2012 02:07 Hopeless1der wrote:
On August 11 2012 01:54 BroodKingEXE wrote:
On August 11 2012 01:43 Hopeless1der wrote:
I have yet to see a post from xsebt verifying any of this dt business. I can think of a situation where scum could conceivably come across the mis-spelt name through other roles referring to his character.

Considering Xsebt might have had a scum read on talis, he's been surprisingly quiet about it. I have a really hard time buying into this lynch with one pm worth of evidence. I have a town read on talis based on his responses to the DT claim.
I'm leaving my vote on VE until we see something a little more credible.


-_- He knows Talis' PM name. This has been confirmed.


That isn't proof. I have another player's character name in my PM since there is a relationship between them in the show. If the scum are trying to fake a dt claim, I'd expect them to put some solid effort into making it believable, including copying the names from the pms. Talis posted his character's name to the thread. They knew what to look for.

My scenario is extremely convoluted. Occam's razor says talis is either miller or scum due to the red check. But the red check is secondary information and I dont trust it coming from toad. Xsebt has not posted yet. At this rate he's getting modkilled. He's pretty much outed already. Why continue to hide?

Where's his name? I cant find it


On August 04 2012 05:13 talismania wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2012 04:43 slOosh wrote:
On August 04 2012 04:41 talismania wrote:
@sloosh
+ Show Spoiler +
I put things in spoiler tags when they aren't pertinent to the most important stuff happening in the thread. my reply to toad was about theory of the game setup, when at that point we already had actual game shit happening that was more important (wbg calling out VE).

First, could you stop spoilering stuff unless they are big posts?
Second, what is your actual read on Toad then? Did your discussion with him give you any insights?


But I was being cute!

My actual read of toad is "ugh". If I had to pick I'd say scum. It seems weird that I got the all red letter designation but I honestly can't remember sitting here now why. I think it was just because he disagreed with me about my thoughts on the masons. Oh and also it was that my post wasn't like my early game post in pyp et al. Which is true it wasn't but I was scum that game and I've kinda gotten lynched in two games since then for doing the same shit (and toad should know that from hosting ssb64) so no crazy plans or ideas from me this time. But I think that honestly you could say I was scum just as much as you could say VE was scum, yet toad has VE in alternating letters and me in all red.

_________________

ps can people post their character names? I just want to satisfy my curiosity to find out who is in the game - I know that they don't mean anything since I'm VT with Henry Francis. Although I will LOL if scum has Ted Chaugh and Putnam, Powell, Lowe etc. And if WBG is veteran since Roger comes back from a heart attack in the first season.


Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 17:20 GMT
#1412
##Unvote
##Vote: talismania
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 17:21 GMT
#1413
durr my insanity convinced someone lol
##Unvote
I want to hear it from Xsebt before I'll vote.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 17:41 GMT
#1417
I have no intention of voting xsebt. Its either you or VE at this point. Lynching into a dt is insane, confirmed or not.

1) If they're both scum of course they do
2) This is completely true and probably why I'll vote for you by the end of this.
3) Again, if they're scum no rules were broken.

You keep feeding us info that we can use to try to win later, but insist we kill you. I'm all but convinced your town, but we can't risk it going into LYLO. I'm still not voting until xsebt gets his ass in here and gives some semblance of an explanation for this shitshow.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 18:50 GMT
#1434
That's infuriating Glasse...

@Marv,
Lynching into Xsebt is insane to me because no one has counterclaimed and giving up a dt for a scum in that order is not the way to go about doing things.
Talis presumably is not blue given his arguments this past day. If he flips VT, THEN I'd want to lynch xsebt. If Talis were to flip miller or scum, xsebt is pretty much confirmed.
I'd like to believe we'd be significantly better off lynching talis today if it were between xsebt and talis.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 18:56 GMT
#1436
No, Glasse, you're lurking the shit out of the game, same as 4 or 5 others on whom we have very poor reads due to inactivity. Scum gets to hide now and are likely to continue to do so into the endgame. You are a massive hindrance to town.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 19:06 GMT
#1439
You couldn't have pushed for a lynch lurkers policy? There's nothing that can be done anymore perhaps, but that's the whole point. You're effectively useless to town. You've given us no reads, no insight, not even enough info to mark you as town or scum. You're a random statistic. How in the hell does that help town?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 21:08 GMT
#1460
##Vote: Zephirdd
Oh wait can I play too?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 21:23 GMT
#1487
@Jingle, we have effectively the same scenario on either side:

1)Talis vs. Toad/Xsebt

2) Zeph vs. CD/Lazer

If either of talis or zeph flip town (not miller) the 'dt' is a liar and will be killed. I have yet to get any input from xsebt and toad has disappeared. CD and Lazer have actively tried to confirm each other. Lynching the #2 redcheck gives a much more apparent conclusion on how to proceed tomorrow.

We do need to lynch one of our redchecks. I'd rather it be zeph. In addition, you're just itching to believe talis is a miller due to your town read of him. We're in LYLO unless we hit scum anyways, lets kill the scummier looking of the redchecks first. The other will still be there tomorrow.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 10 2012 21:34 GMT
#1505
Scum magically knowing the roles of two otherwise unknown players is statistically probably?! What are you smoking?
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