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Lord of the Rings Mafia - Page 3

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OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 01:23 GMT
#1671
On September 24 2011 10:18 iGrok wrote:
Heist hit the nail on the head.

When picking a target last night, I had to think to myself: who could Saruman be?

To me, the only two people who fit the description were ON and Pyo. Not too active, not too inactive, but definitely capable of playing above their current level.

I picked ON.

I'm also going to need to know who to shoot tonight. There's no way scum lets me live again tonight if I still have a shot.


Kill this lying bastard.

I am Èowyn the Shieldmaiden of Rohan.

Completely Vanilla.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 01:28 GMT
#1672
Also look how he claims that he checked the only person to really recieve any attention at all when he posts it.

His check is bullshit, his kill is a mafia kill, there is no reason to suspect somebody who has already probably lied, sure he abides by his so called "claim" but what reason do we have to believe it. In my eyes iGrok is completely scum regardless of team or otherwise and has to go today.

Lying or not its one less KP in the game.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 02:46 GMT
#1674
On September 24 2011 11:17 iGrok wrote:
You respond instantly, twice, yet you have fewer posts than anyone this game. Nice.


I probably also have the least amount of time during the week to post. Your problem?
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 02:47 GMT
#1675
On September 24 2011 11:46 OriginalName wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2011 11:17 iGrok wrote:
You respond instantly, twice, yet you have fewer posts than anyone this game. Nice.


I probably also have the least amount of time during the week to post. Your problem?


Also in case you havent noticed ive been around this time of day nearly everyday, post count should not be brought into this scummyscumscum. Try harder plz.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 02:52 GMT
#1677
On September 24 2011 11:48 iGrok wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2011 11:47 OriginalName wrote:
On September 24 2011 11:46 OriginalName wrote:
On September 24 2011 11:17 iGrok wrote:
You respond instantly, twice, yet you have fewer posts than anyone this game. Nice.


I probably also have the least amount of time during the week to post. Your problem?


Also in case you havent noticed ive been around this time of day nearly everyday, post count should not be brought into this scummyscumscum. Try harder plz.

Not me you have to convince broski


No but discrediting you is fun.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 03:55 GMT
#1679
On September 19 2011 08:45 iGrok wrote:
Ok, lets review. Who of the following are the scummiest?

Palmar - Not doing much so far
Radfield - Has been active. Pulled wagons off GreyMist and WBG, onto Errandor. Suspicious.
Syllogism - Was active early on in Ring discussions.
prplhz - Leaving this until later
kitaman27 - No great analysis, but decent reasons for voting and has worked to pressure
OriginalName - After watching him play in Resurrection, he's playing the same way. Minimum contribution to avoid focus.
Vain - 1 liners except to defend prplhz
Erandorr - somehow appeared on his own vote list?
TranceStorm - I see a connection between TranceStorm and Radfield forming when I filter him. TS often references Radfield's arguements. TS also attacked prplhz early on


Bullshit List +1

On September 21 2011 11:28 iGrok wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2011 05:07 syllogism wrote:
I'm off, iGrok you better have defended yourself by the time I come back tomorrow. Perhaps even claim.


I've been thinking about this. And I think it is, in fact, time for me to claim.

So, as my meta, this is my incredibly huge post.



Ok, I've come under a lot of fire lately for lurking. And it's true, I have been. But trying to use meta arguments (other than lack of a monster post, which is never on D1 anyways) on me is stupid - I dare you to find two games in which I've played similar styles as similar roles. And in this game, I'm a role I've never been before.

I am the Balrog.

I am a Survivor.

I have a number of powers, but I'll start with my wincon: I win when any faction wins and Gandalf is dead. So, the second part of my wincon has been conveniently fulfilled. Gandalf probably wasn't supposed to die this early - I've got a few powers that would have aided me in my quest for Gandalf.
  • I can investigate a player each night and discover if they are Maia. Gandalf, Saruman, Sauron, and Radagast are Maia (I am told these 4 names - more on this after my full claim).
  • I have one unblockable nightkill.


But that only helps me kill Gandalf. I still need to survive. Fortunately, I have a passive power:
  • I know what happens when I get the ring. I become Bulletproof.



I'll take a quick breather to let you all think about everything I've just said. When you're ready, scroll down.










It's time for my favorite! Setup Analysis time! In a closed setup, its difficult - but as a 3rd party role, and with all the recent flips, I think I can figure a few things out.

I'll start with my role, as it is the most complicated.


Survivors suck. You have to somehow survive to endgame, against a mafia team who doesn't know not to kill you. So you have to be as non-threatening as possible, while avoiding lynch. This leads you to lurk hardcore. This is no fun.

But my role is a little different. I have a goal, and tools at my disposal. And I think I've figured out how Curu intended for Balrog to be played - Investigate people, when you find a Maia, use the thread to figure out what kind. Then get them lynched. Use the oneshot to get the ring once it pops up somewhere, and then go into heavy pro-town action to win the game.

With the death of Gandalf though, I can change things up a bit. After all, it's in my best interest to survive. And for me, the choice seems clear: Get the ring.

With this in mind, I have a proposal for the town. 2 Maia have died (Gandalf and Sauron). One, maybe two are left. Saruman definitely, lets be honest he's going to be in here. He's kind of a big deal in LotR. Radagast on the other hand...+ Show Spoiler +
If he's in the game, he's probably a miller or traitor with some sort of bonus power. He was a good guy who aided Saruman in Lotr lore. He's pretty obscure though, so idk if he's in the game.

Anyways, my proposal - give me the ring, and I'll trade you an unblockable KP, Saruman checks, and I'll actually contribute useful analysis. Who decides on the KP? Well, if you're a DT I'll give it to you - when you check me you'll get my role PM, If you want to use my power, post the first word in the name of my Checking ability in one of your posts. I'll use it on the next name that appears in your post. Also, I'll check whoever got the second-most votes each night to see if they are Saruman or Radagast.

Why should you trust me? Because this forces me to act pro-town. I'm basically saying, I'm 3rd party but with your help I can be a Bullet-proof Vigilante. Think about that. If I get the ring, I can still be lynched - so if I don't hold up my end, you can lynch me.

So thats the deal. I want to win. Give me the ring, and I hunt the other White Wizard, while scumhunting the best I can. As a sign of good faith, I'll include an analysis later on, and I'll tell you that Radfield is neither Saruman nor Radagast (I thought he might be Gandalf).



On to the rest of the analysis, what little I can do. Take it or leave it, but I've been known to perfectly guess setups before. I won't attempt to do so, but lets see...

First, look at Gandalf's Powers. He's called a Jack of all Trades, but he's not actually that strong. He has 4 powers, but he can't even combine them. Gandalf is supposed to be the strongest damn being in the lotr universe. But he's a purely information role.

In contrast, Sauron's Role: He, too, has investigative powers. He also has an unblockable kill, AND is godfather. Sauron just seems like a more powerful role than Gandalf. But what can we take from this?

Mafia seem to be pretty heavily loaded. Supporting this are the existence of a Jailkeeper and Messenger - Messengers are awesome for confirming players, and Jailkeepers are excellent on offense or defense against mafia.

So, with heavily loaded mafia AND at least one 3rd party, Town has to have some serious firepower and/or protection. I expect Aragorn to have KP (Curu if you make him and Legolas Trackers I will not forgive you - and if GIMLI doesn't have kp... They're the fucking heroes!) I don't forsee there being more than two medics (Eowyn and Galadriel are my guesses), but combined with a Jailkeeper and a vet or two we're starting to talk about some high-power games.

My final note about setup: Pippin (Peregrin Took). The existence of pm-oriented roles is cool, and I highly doubt there's just one. I wouldn't be terribly surprised if Merry was a clone of Pippin's role.




So now its time for some sample analysis.

And my focus today is Palmar.

Show nested quote +
On September 18 2011 08:24 Palmar wrote:
hey guys, I'm in a good mood so I'm not gonna ruin it by reading the thread. See you tomorrow

This was his first post. Nothing scummy here, but it sets the mood for everything else he posts.

Now, here's a list of his opinions since then.
Radfield, WBG, Errandor
prplhz
DrH
Radfield, himself, Sandroba, Pyo

Pause. Next post.

Show nested quote +
On September 20 2011 19:05 Palmar wrote:
On September 20 2011 19:02 Palmar wrote:
On September 20 2011 19:02 Palmar wrote:
prplhz should probably give the ring away to his strongest townread. I'd go with one of Radfield, Sandroba, myself and pyo.


Derp... prplhz said he doesn't actually have the ring.


In any case, if you're lying, you should consider giving it away.

btw, Sandroba is almost definitely town, but only if he takes his vote off me. I'm basically confirmed town from my exchanges with DrH, but only people like sandroba/syllo etc will see it.

We need to keep an eye on syllo... yarly.

chaoser is also very likely town. I don't like the smell of iGrok and Kita...

Here, minimal interaction with DrH is played off as enough to auto-confirm him. This post sets off alarm bells in my head. Palmar contributed 4 posts before DrH died, 2 of which were "Herp I'm not reading the thread" (He was obviously reading the thread). Its his fourth post that interests me: "DrH is giving me really bad vibes." At the time, it looked like just another throwaway post. But post DrH's death, this post looks more like DrH new he was going to be modkilled and Palmar jumped out early to get a townie point.

For the rest of the game, two things are going on. He puts faith in Radfield, and he continues to stress Sandroba town. (yes theres other shit but those're the important parts)

Palmar already feels scummy. So lets continue on that assumption, and introduce possibilities.
1)Radfield and Sandroba are both town. If this is true, then Palmar is trying to gain town cred when they flip. With sandroba acting scummy and a possible lynch, and Radfield a good mafia target, thats two points for him. Fits with calling DrH scum.
2)Radfield is town, Sandroba is scum. This is using Radfield's town cred to make Sandroba look better. Even those who don't trust Palmar will subliminally put them on closer levels. If sandroba didn't look so damn scummy, it might work.
3)Radfield is scum, Sandroba is town. I just... don't see this as possible.
4)Both are scum. I don't know what this would mean actually







Alright guys, well you've heard me out. Give me the ring, and I'll start working a hell of a lot harder this game, hunt down Saruman, and give a DT an unblockable shot. Otherwise, I'll basically keep doing what I've done so far. Your move.




Bullshit Claim +100


On September 21 2011 14:41 iGrok wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2011 14:39 syllogism wrote:
igrok it sure is taking long to post that pm, you are dangerously close to being dead

Just making sure I won't be modkilled. Since Mig's answers break rule 6.


BASICALLY CLAIMS THAT HE IS BARELY SKIRTING MODILL REQUIREMENT.
also apoligetic, town doesnt need to be apoligetic and grok know this.


On September 24 2011 05:12 iGrok wrote:
Oh and I found a Maia last night lol. Which means I found Saruman. But no way in hell am I telling you guys.

You're going to kill me.


Why would a townie withold a claim in this manner. Seriously, stop tunneling my ass and read and realize that this dude is a class A bullshitter with a PhD in Lying. Except, he failed that last class ya know.

Get to your senses Pyo, or are you scum along with him, I honestly wouldnt be surprised if Radfield had the balls to implicate a lurking scumbuddy for town cred if he got pushed to death. Hell look what he did with DrH.

The fact that you think iGrok is not the scummiest man alive in this game at the moment is a monumental blunder on your part and may only be solved by stating that your wishy washiness is almost scum motivated.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 15:27 GMT
#1696
You guys can lose game idgaf.

Go listen to wishy washy pyo and bad logic heist all you want see if I really give a shit anymore.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 18:33 GMT
#1710
On September 25 2011 03:26 Cyber_Cheese wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2011 03:14 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On September 25 2011 02:58 Cyber_Cheese wrote:
I don't think killing iGrok is the optimal source of information when if we kill someone likely to be scum we can draw links between that person and others. We let him off yesterday, I don't really get why it's suddenly a huge mistake to have done that.

Go back and look at the claims of chaoser and igrok, if we must kill a neutral party, chaoser is the optimal choice.

However, keeping the third party for now might be better because any serial killers within it have a reasonable chance of hitting more of the remaining mafia.

Ideally, I would lynch Palmar today for being entirely useless and acting very scummy. I don't see that happening, so I'm going to
##Unvote

I'm going to vote ON because he was one of the people that followed both of Radfield's vote swings, among other previously listed reasons that convinced me.
##Vote OriginalName


Why do you prefer chaoser lynch over iGrok, given the facts;

1) chaoser shot scum
2) iGrok didn't shoot anyone, instead he comes up with a Saruman over OriginalName.

iGrok was wierdly enough checking ON night 2, when he was pretty sure Palmar is scum (at least he stated so). Why did he check ON over Palmar? The only reason i can think of is that he checked Palmar night 1. Is that so iGrok?

Also he comes with this "ON being Saruman" thing just after heist and Pyo have accused ON. Don't you find it suspicious?


Bottom line first, of course it's suspicious, that doesn't make it impossible. That claim wasn't one of the things that convinced me, because it likely was convenient lie. I wouldn't even put it past him to have found the real Saruman and lied about who rather than be forced out of that information so far from the lynch.

Chaoser attacked the person who was leading the town best, The fact Radfield flipped scum doesn't necessarily excuse that. I'm not sure about iGrok's reasoning, but learning he could be blocked changed things.
The rest of the difference between the two of them in my eyes is related to their claims. Chaoser used a claim that sounded relatively safe, but had many mistakes like Boromir as a neutral party when he was party of the fellowship and a 'win with town' victory condition. iGrok's is nothing near safe and is relatively more believable.


So because its completely outlandish and he just tacks on the word survivor instead of Mafia/SK makes it completely believable in your eyes?

The fact is I am not anti town in anyway, iGrok is.

Pyo still really scummy in my eyes, the fact that he voted Radfield before he died means jack shit, He could have just tried to distance himself from his team. At the risk of sounding OMGUS but seriously Hes so wishy washy about me that he claims sticks to me only after IGROK of all peopl claims that I am Sarumon (Which i am not). Personally I would enjoy seeing him hang greatly tommorrow.

Most of my prior analysis still stands. Heist probably not scum just being silly. Thats most of what I have to say at the moment.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 18:34 GMT
#1714
I worded that second paragraph badly, His vote only sticks after shitty claim.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 18:38 GMT
#1715
Also do note that iGrok has completely dropped off the face of the earth.

again.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 18:54 GMT
#1718
On September 25 2011 03:50 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2011 03:38 OriginalName wrote:
Also do note that iGrok has completely dropped off the face of the earth.

again.


Do you think igrok is scum ON?


Yes.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 20:55 GMT
#1723
On September 25 2011 05:54 Pyo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2011 05:50 Drazerk wrote:
iGrok's claim is far to convenient.

Kill him now we can have a real DT ( I hope we have one left ) check ON depending on the flip.


because that DT would be anymore believable than iGrok... stop saying stupid things.


More believeable then scum?

Yeah they would be bro.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 21:28 GMT
#1730
On September 25 2011 06:20 GMarshal wrote:


I love this game.


SHUSH YOU.

YOUR POPCORN IS DEFILING THE SANCTITY OF THIS GAME!
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 23:12 GMT
#1764
I personally think Pyo is scum over Heist but thats just me.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 23:25 GMT
#1772
On September 25 2011 08:14 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2011 08:12 OriginalName wrote:
I personally think Pyo is scum over Heist but thats just me.


Why do you think so? Just curious becouse i can't find a reason to believe so.


The only reason I suspect Pyo I think is becasue he just had more thread presence yesterday, while heist did a sort of accuse then run away tactic. Inherently Heists way of doing the accusation was scummy. On the other hand Pyo was following heists case which basically came out of nowhere while he completely ignored iGrok.

When I think about it now it was almost clearly an attempt by heist to get heat of iGrok again. Pyo buying it confuses me which is why ive been hesitant to call heist scum. The fact is Pyo picked it up almost too easily as if hes trying to go LYNCH ON LYNCH ON to buy Grok another day of life from a case a townie made up.

But theres clearly a contradiction in that line of thought, as why would Heist want heat off iGrok, one explanation is they're both scum which is imo entirely possible likely maybe not as much but we cant completely ignore that it might have occured.

TLDR: Both scummy as fuck spend tommorrow lynching one of the two imo.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 23:26 GMT
#1773
On September 25 2011 08:19 Palmar wrote:
game solved.

pyo, heist and cheesekid are the remaining scum


Doubt it, i doubt scum is stupid enough to out all 3 of their members. Definitly one or two on my wagon though.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 23:27 GMT
#1774
On September 25 2011 08:24 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2011 08:19 Palmar wrote:
game solved.

pyo, heist and cheesekid are the remaining scum


care to explain why Pyo is scum?


read some of my posts about him and read his recent posts especially.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 24 2011 23:34 GMT
#1778
On September 25 2011 08:33 prplhz wrote:
who the hell dayhit syllo on day2?

i have the ring and i've had it all game and i might need some sort of protection tonight

also, there are 6 scum so you're missing someone on your list palmar

@chaoser

who are you going to hit tonight? can you pick your target yourself?


why would you claim that now...

Pass it someone you dont think will die tonight and who you think is not scum.
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 25 2011 01:56 GMT
#1804
On September 25 2011 09:23 Pyo wrote:
I don't care that iGrok flipped scum... ON is still scum. As far as I'm concerned, iGrok named him as a way "confirm" another scum as town since his lynch was a fargone conclusion.


[image loading]
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
September 25 2011 03:10 GMT
#1809
On September 25 2011 12:01 chaoser wrote:
Palmer and ON, thanks for helping me vote correctly for mafia. A debt that I will hold with me. And I always pay my debts.


Now im scared.

+ Show Spoiler +
No seriosuly. This is fucking terrifying T_T
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