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Cosmic Horror Mafia - Page 2

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
August 27 2011 18:07 GMT
#399
Lol, wtf?

##Vote: JeeJee

Scum caught trolling?
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
August 28 2011 17:54 GMT
#474
Finding EA on day 1 is sub-optimal. It's a lot better to try to find him from now on, but only if we are very certain of his flip, and have a good target for a mafia lynch as well. I'm pretty sure I said something about this on Day 1, that finding the EA on the first day is the least optimal day to lynch him on, as we have the least information available, and thus can make the least use of the extra lynch.

Why so scummy, JeeJee? Hiding behind "eliminating a town threat" rhetoric, when it was the worst time to kill the horror and the day we would be most likely to mislynch anyways.

Also, to keep track:

#Of insane people 0-1/12
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
August 29 2011 17:39 GMT
#534
Psychologist visit Jackal.

If Jackal is the Psychologist, visit Chaos13.
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
August 29 2011 17:40 GMT
#535
Also, there's nothing wrong with analysis during the night, just release it a couple minutes before the day post, if you can. That way, if you get shot, your analysis still gets released, and if you don't get shot, then whatever, it doesn't hurt to have your thoughts out there.
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
August 30 2011 18:59 GMT
#572
Chaos, do you have any other analysis/reasoning to believe that Jackal is the EA besides that he found the breadcrumb? Can you relate his thread behaviour and posting in general to how he is the EA?

I'm wondering if you actually have anything stronger than just that he found the breadcrumb. Also, try to write it from an objective stand-point, and not one where you begin with the thought that he's already the EA.

Number of insane players: 1-3/10
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
August 30 2011 19:37 GMT
#575
On August 31 2011 04:22 chaos13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 31 2011 03:59 Mr. Wiggles wrote:
Chaos, do you have any other analysis/reasoning to believe that Jackal is the EA besides that he found the breadcrumb? Can you relate his thread behaviour and posting in general to how he is the EA?

I'm wondering if you actually have anything stronger than just that he found the breadcrumb. Also, try to write it from an objective stand-point, and not one where you begin with the thought that he's already the EA.

Number of insane players: 1-3/10


Yes, I'll actually write a proper analysis later this afternoon that covers everything. I have to head out the door in a minute or two, so I don't have time to do it right now. # of insane players could actually be 0, if psych and EA visited the same person each night. EA's action goes through first, meaning the player is already insane once the pysch visits them, so they're cured of their insanity the same night it happens.


I know that, but EA counts as insane, so the minimum is 1.
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
August 31 2011 00:54 GMT
#587
On August 31 2011 09:28 chaos13 wrote:


General consensus seems to be that I'm wasting time. So be it. Jackal is no longer a suspect. I'll start looking elsewhere.
Wait, what? So, you think Jackal is scum, most likely EA, but because other people don't agree (before you've even posted an actual analysis), you just drop it?

The point of analysis is to convince people to agree with you, and show them your reasoning for your reads. Even if you made an analysis, and came to the conclusion that Jackal is actually town, that's still useful for town.

Dropping your suspicion so easily because people don't initially agree with your read, and without even trying to convince them, just makes it seem like you thought your case was weak to begin with, meaning you were just looking to start a bandwagon on someone.

##Vote: Chaos13
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
August 31 2011 20:12 GMT
#618
On August 31 2011 23:29 chaos13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 31 2011 09:54 Mr. Wiggles wrote:
On August 31 2011 09:28 chaos13 wrote:


General consensus seems to be that I'm wasting time. So be it. Jackal is no longer a suspect. I'll start looking elsewhere.
Wait, what? So, you think Jackal is scum, most likely EA, but because other people don't agree (before you've even posted an actual analysis), you just drop it?

The point of analysis is to convince people to agree with you, and show them your reasoning for your reads. Even if you made an analysis, and came to the conclusion that Jackal is actually town, that's still useful for town.

Dropping your suspicion so easily because people don't initially agree with your read, and without even trying to convince them, just makes it seem like you thought your case was weak to begin with, meaning you were just looking to start a bandwagon on someone.

##Vote: Chaos13


I was frustrated yesterday. I've since gotten over it. If you really want to vote for me, tell me what mafia objectives I have been pushing this game. What does a mafioso have to gain by making such an outspoken accusation against Jackal, then backing off, and then continuing again? You can see from my games as scum that I like to lurk and lay low. Real analysis won't come from me for a few days, and then it will only be a result of becoming a major town suspect for not contributing. Show me how all my posts represent a mafia agenda. Pressure me today. Ask me questions and decide if my responses are still scummy. Address my analysis on Jackal and see what you think of it.

Cyber_Cheese, where are you? You voted for me and left. Not very town-like.
Well, your response seemed very odd to me, at least. You say yourself, "Ask me questions and decide if my responses are still scummy.", so I ask, "What are your reasoning for Jackal being the EA?". You respond to this, by promising me and the rest of town a future analysis of Jackal.

Then, shortly thereafter, you go back on your suspicions, and say, "General consensus seems to be that I'm wasting time. So be it. Jackal is no longer a suspect. I'll start looking elsewhere."

This sticks out like a sore thumb. Until recently, you had an absolute conviction that Jackal was the EA, even to the point of asking the Psychologist to not visit him, because you believed he would die if he visited Jackal. So, I ask you for reasons about why you think he's EA, and you say you'll tell me later. Then, later, instead of telling me you reasoning, you just give up on your case. Now, this wouldn't be too unusual, if for example, you had said something along the lines of, "I looked back through Jackal's posts, and after re-reading, I believe him to be town", but instead you entirely gave up your case, because the rest of town wasn't supporting you without reasons.

This looks scummy to me, because it seems like you mostly wanted to attack Jackal for finding out JeeJee, but when asked for other reasons for why he's the EA, you quickly go back on your accusations, using the lame excuse of "General consensus seems to be that I'm wasting time.". It shouldn't matter to a townie if he's being controversial, or going against majority opinion when he thinks someone's scum. It's his job to convince the rest of town that that person is scum, not just roll over and give up. By laying the blame on the rest of town not supporting you, you escape responsibility for not actually following through and posting an analysis. In fact, I doubt you would have actually posted the Jackal analysis if I hadn't pressured you to do so. This seems reinforced by the fact that you said you were writing an analysis on Jackal and that it should be done within an hour or two, but then after giving up, you don't actually post anything until 12 hours later, implying that you had no analysis started in the first place, and weren't planning on writing one either.

So, after you actually post the analysis, you say the following
Let me preface this by saying I am no longer at all sure that Jackal is EA. There's evidence for it, but when the whole town starts questioning you there comes a point where you begin to wonder if you're sniffing down the wrong trail.
So, what is it? Is Jackal the EA because of the evidence for it? Or do you think he's not the EA because people don't agree with you? Evidence is objective, and the town's opinion doesn't influence it. Again you go back on what you were saying, shrugging off any responsibility you might have had if a mislynch happens, but still being able to post an analysis to satisfy the people asking you for one.

So, do you believe Jackal is the EA or not? I also want your opinion, not what you think because of what town thinks.

On September 01 2011 02:18 Forumite wrote:
I´ve been doing voting analysis, and one thing looks weird, JeeJee, confirmed Scum, didn´t buss at all, he put his vote on Cyber_Cheese, and left it there even after the others abandoned trying to lynch Cyber.
Do you mean bandwagoning? We don't know if he was bussing or not, because we don't know who his team mates are. Or maybe you do?
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
August 31 2011 21:52 GMT
#622
That's because I had to go to sleep. -_-

If you look at the vote count ~4 hours before lynch, there were 5 votes on tnkted, 3 on me, and 3 on palmar.

Either a Palmar or Wiggles lynch were equally valid at that point, it's just that people decided to bandwagon on me, instead of Palmar, for those unvoting tnkted. I was also asleep at that point, so as votes came off of Palmar, I wasn't able to switch to tnkted if I needed too.

However, the day actually ended with three votes on tnkted, and three votes on Palmar, so at what point did tnkted become a "more likely candidate" than Palmar?

Nice logic.
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-09-01 23:14:11
September 01 2011 23:14 GMT
#665
Gee, I got lynched. -_-

Well, GG, and GL scummy. :p
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
September 07 2011 19:53 GMT
#771
Haha, I actually figured you were the ferryman, just because of the Reaper pictures you always put into your posts at the beginning of games.

The funny thing too, is that my post that you jumped on, wasn't made with any anti-town motive in mind. I actually just wrote out a plan of action, decided it was bad, but to post it anyways to "promote discussion", and look pro-town. I might've actually done the same thing as a green. :p

At that point, nobody was talking, so I figured I'd give something for town to talk about.
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
September 07 2011 19:53 GMT
#772
Mafia QT: http://www.quicktopic.com/46/H/TKs39r9bM6UM3
you gotta dance
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
September 07 2011 21:44 GMT
#782
Haha, yeah. :D

And thanks to Hesmyrr for hosting, I had fun, and it was the first time a townie tried to beat me to death with analysis, too. :p
you gotta dance
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