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TL Mafia XLII - Page 2

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aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 16 2011 22:40 GMT
#455
I agree that looks pretty bad from hiro protagonist. I definitely consider it a scumslip to say, "suspicious of Y, gonna vote for X who I think is town". I'll consider him as a target tomorrow though.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 16 2011 23:57 GMT
#473
@viscera, if you are a townie, you think the two lynch candidates are town, and you found a scum, what do you do?

On the other hand, I've been reading hiro's posts and holy shit he is scummy. If I thought that ILJ was innocent, I would be pushing hiro right now, I don't care if it's three hours to lynch. And you're right viscera, the huge scumslip is not the most, much less the only scummy thing he's done. Sandroba, you get +town cred if you make a real case on him.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 17 2011 00:09 GMT
#476
seriously, you trying to look like scum rol?
a) claiming DT
b) timing
c) claiming DT
d) claiming DT...
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 17 2011 01:14 GMT
#490
OpZ, switching to shraft seems dumb. if you and jonn switch to hiro, you'll have a real counterwagon going, personally I'd love to see the lynch between jonn/hiro, instead of grass giraffe. Grassgiraffe was always the copout lynch, and should have been abandoned long ago.

ILJ, you want to find scum, that's the list you should be looking at.
BloodyC0bbler, LandenC, Jacinto, VisceraEyes, hiro protagonist
Lurkers, including hiro, plus viscera, who tried to make sandroba look scummy for pushing hiro.

You five on the GG list, switch to hiro or provide a reason why you don't think he's scum. There's absolutely no evidence for/against GG right now, it's an easy copout lynch and a way for you to skate by today without taking a stance on anyone.

I'm staying on ILJ because I don't care if it's him or hiro that gets lynched today.

BTW, i'm pleased with the collective non-response to RoL's bullshit.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 17 2011 01:48 GMT
#499
ILJ:
your list becomes suspicious if/when you flip town. There are, in my opinion, good reasons to vote for you. There are no good reasons to vote for GG.
Shraft has been making posts that are easy to make as a scum, but they aren't NECESSARILY scummy, and certainly if you flip red he'll look a lot better.

Visc, I see what you're saying now.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 17 2011 02:00 GMT
#523
ILJ settle down bro, this is what i mean:
On June 15 2011 04:07 Shraft wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 14 2011 22:35 youngminii wrote:
Quelling any form of discussion is terrible, if not scummy. The best way to analyse people is if said people are making discussion, it's very tough to analyse something that's not there.

In any case, RoL's plan makes absolutely no sense to me. Who knows, maybe you'll find a scum or two, good luck with whatever you're trying to do.

aidnai, you can have my spot on the list if you wish, I don't wish to be there at all. I agree with you in that BC shouldn't have told the medics not to save people on the list, leaving that opportunity open (and unspoken) gives scum wifom as to whether or not they should kill us. Instead, BC's taken this away and is hoping that they won't kill us in case they look suspicious(??). I don't even understand why it's suspicious to kill us, if I was scum I'd kill the vets straight away knowing they wouldn't be protected.


Quelling discussion during N0 isn't necessarily a bad thing. In fact, there is nothing we can accomplish with discussion now that we can't do during D1. With this in mind, we should refrain from posting so that we don't accidentally give away any blue roles to the Mafia.

Anyway, I had my graduation today and I am going out with some friends. I will be back to read the thread tomorrow evening.


On June 15 2011 04:07 Shraft wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 14 2011 22:35 youngminii wrote:
Quelling any form of discussion is terrible, if not scummy. The best way to analyse people is if said people are making discussion, it's very tough to analyse something that's not there.

In any case, RoL's plan makes absolutely no sense to me. Who knows, maybe you'll find a scum or two, good luck with whatever you're trying to do.

aidnai, you can have my spot on the list if you wish, I don't wish to be there at all. I agree with you in that BC shouldn't have told the medics not to save people on the list, leaving that opportunity open (and unspoken) gives scum wifom as to whether or not they should kill us. Instead, BC's taken this away and is hoping that they won't kill us in case they look suspicious(??). I don't even understand why it's suspicious to kill us, if I was scum I'd kill the vets straight away knowing they wouldn't be protected.


Quelling discussion during N0 isn't necessarily a bad thing. In fact, there is nothing we can accomplish with discussion now that we can't do during D1. With this in mind, we should refrain from posting so that we don't accidentally give away any blue roles to the Mafia.

Anyway, I had my graduation today and I am going out with some friends. I will be back to read the thread tomorrow evening.

Does shraft say anything here? no, just excuses for not saying anything. This is easy for a scum to do. BUT, a townie could easily make this post too...I know townies that don't like posting at night (i'm actually one of them), and I know people have other things that keep them from the thread...so it's null. Pretty much all of Shrafts posts are the same as this for me...easy posts for scum to make, but not necessarily scummy.

oh shit it's time...
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 17 2011 06:31 GMT
#566
On June 17 2011 15:01 FudgeMunkey wrote:
Show nested quote +
I want an explanation. KP = KenPachi or Kill power? why are you calling people Jackasses? Why did you quote my post? Hysteria!


KP means Kill power!
For every kill power the Mafia has they can kill each night...
Mafia currently have 3 KP so they can kill 3 people per night...
Hope that cleared it up.


Are you sure? i think it could mean kenpachi...
And why are you laughing RoL? that's a serious business accusation against you...

+ Show Spoiler +
trollolol


on a serious note, I'm going on vacation for a couple days, will only have my kindle to post on. So I'm gonna do my heavy lifting now, I normally don't like posting at night, but what the hey...
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 17 2011 08:19 GMT
#569
hiro protagonist

Here is my case against hiro.
1) He hides his true agenda with his posts, and does not follow through with his "townie" lines of thought or actions, proving that they are for show only.
2) He is afraid of looking suspicious.
3) He made two posts that are bad enough to be considered scum slips, i.e. he let his true colors shine through.
4) Comparison to his scum play in SNMM II shows important similarities.
There are other points that could be brought up, but this should suffice. And maybe other people will find them too anyway...

1. No follow through/hidden agenda
On June 14 2011 11:53 hiro protagonist wrote:
anyone up for a little night time scum hunting...

He never in any sense followed through with this idea.
So, what could possibly be the agenda here? It appears that hiro protagonist desires night time discussion of lynch targets, correct?

Wrong, look at this post of his later:
On June 16 2011 14:11 hiro protagonist wrote:
...
@OpZ: I agree that some of those players look scummy. I am curtain that Mafia has all ready posted in fact. but after going though the thread, I dont see that many scum tells. There is just not enough for me to go on right now. Lets keep up the pressure on those three. [edit: he means ILJ/sinani/aidnai trio]

FoS on Sandroba:
Maybe I am reading this wrong, but Sandroba is know for Sticking his neck out with plans like the one he said. He is also really good at wiggling out of suspicion. It would make sense for scum to bate out talk on night one that would give them info on players, so they can better aim there hits. His plan did just that. So Sandroba, may I ask why you would say this on night zero? Would it not be better to wait till day 1 to bring this up? are you still interested in applying you plan?

depending on his answers, I might vote for Sandroba. Otherwise, I think lynching one of the lurkers might be a good idea.


He never followed through with pressuring anybody, including sandroba. He instead went with a 'safe' vote on GG, until he had to save himself.

Furthermore, he FoSes Sandroba for "bating out" discussion on night 0? That completely contradicts his first post...
So what did he hope to accomplish himself with that first post? Simple, he wanted to post like a townie.

2. Afraid
There is a decided lack of 'risky' posting from hiro. He votes for a total lurker, he shoots down an obviously horrible plan; but everything else he does he is reluctant about.
Look at the posts that hiro is comfortable making:
+ Show Spoiler [safe posts] +
On June 14 2011 13:05 hiro protagonist wrote:
Yeah, lets not put all our eggs in one basket. Lets not do any plans like this. I am sure anyone with a brain can see why this is a god awful plan.
Shoots down a plan that is already dead.
On June 14 2011 13:10 hiro protagonist wrote:
EBWOP: I know its night time, and thats when we talk about blue roles, but lets not focus all of our energy into "what should blues do, and mansion me plz!!!" come day, lets focus on getting to know one another.
This is so vague and 'safe' it's hard to say whether or not he failed to follow through...
On June 14 2011 13:22 hiro protagonist wrote:
hell, even if you are town, Mafia is simply gonna spam you with PMs claiming there DTs and messing with you. There are so many ways this could go wrong...

Its night fucking Zero! Do not claim. No plans. That is all.
Beating a dead horse...


It is obvious at this point that hiro is comfortable with shooting down sandroba's plan. That's an issue where it is clear what a townie should think, therefore those are easy posts for him to make. How about when asked for his opinion of aidnai/ILJ/sinani, who were the current vote leaders?

On June 16 2011 14:11 hiro protagonist wrote:

@OpZ: I agree that some of those players look scummy. I am curtain that Mafia has all ready posted in fact. but after going though the thread, I dont see that many scum tells. There is just not enough for me to go on right now. Lets keep up the pressure on those three.

FoS on Sandroba:
Maybe I am reading this wrong, but Sandroba is know for Sticking his neck out with plans like the one he said. He is also really good at wiggling out of suspicion. It would make sense for scum to bate out talk on night one that would give them info on players, so they can better aim there hits. His plan did just that. So Sandroba, may I ask why you would say this on night zero? Would it not be better to wait till day 1 to bring this up? are you still interested in applying you plan?


He is completely unable to give an opinion on us, and instead goes back to discussing Sandroba! Best explanation? He was unable to accuse us townies because he knew it was BS, thus he was scared.
One more point to prove his fear:
In his defense against sandroba, hiro says two things:
1) your accusations are not worth responding to
2) here is a response to each of your accusations
This doesn't make sense: if he is a townie and honestly did not think the accusations had "maret", why respond? I think he is a scum that got spooked.

3) Scumslips
This post has already been brought up, but I have to include it for completeness
+ Show Spoiler [scumslip] +

On June 17 2011 06:28 hiro protagonist wrote:
yeah, thing is Mig, BC is calling out those lurkers to post. It worked too. So step it up guys if you want to play.

As for the lynch targets, sinani, and ILJ still look suspicious to me. ILJ more so, because his slip into lurker mode. I want to see him scum hunt, cus right now the only contribution I see from him is defending himself. However, I wont vote for him because he is under the gun, We have ample opportunity to see if he slips up, or scum tells.

One person that is really flying under the radar is Impervious. So far all his post have had little substance, and smell sightly of scum.

As for the lurkers, One stands out and thats grassgiraffe. The others have yet to post much but grass last post SCREAMS out "I made my vote, and I'm out". I know, because that sounds exactly like some of the lurkers in SNMMII. They would simply come in once or twice during the day and say,"yep, I agree with so and so, vote: name here". I am 90% sure he is town, and 100% sure we dont need him. come prove me wrong grass.

##Vote: grassgiraffe
"Y is scummy, I'm voting for Z who I think is town"

and his other scumslip (imo)
On June 16 2011 14:11 hiro protagonist wrote:
Ok, I should have said hat I was gonna be gone most of the day due to the Stanly Cup finals. My bad. Would have been home sooner+ Show Spoiler +
but I had to avoid the fucking riots -__- God dammit Vancouver


@OpZ: I agree that some of those players look scummy. I am curtain that Mafia has all ready posted in fact. but after going though the thread, I dont see that many scum tells. There is just not enough for me to go on right now. Lets keep up the pressure on those three.

FoS on Sandroba:
Maybe I am reading this wrong, but Sandroba is know for Sticking his neck out with plans like the one he said. He is also really good at wiggling out of suspicion. It would make sense for scum to bate out talk on night one that would give them info on players, so they can better aim there hits. His plan did just that. So Sandroba, may I ask why you would say this on night zero? Would it not be better to wait till day 1 to bring this up? are you still interested in applying you plan?

depending on his answers, I might vote for Sandroba. Otherwise, I think lynching one of the lurkers might be a good idea.


I've gone over this post a bit already, but there's more in here:
in this post, hiro
a) apologizes for activity, when he was doing better than half the town
b) fails to give an opinion on aidnai/ILJ/sinani, despite not being directly asked (OpZ asked everyone) (why did he bring it up at all, right? scum WANT to contribute, they WANT to blend in, but it's so fucking hard for them!)
c) "let's keep up pressure" -> do nothing about it
d) goes back to easy mode discussion on sandroba
e) "not enough to go on" "i think" "might be" general wishy-washiness

4) Similar scum play in SNMM II
Check out these posts from hiro as scum in surprisingly nomal mini mafia II.

On May 17 2011 02:58 hiro protagonist wrote:
Its true that lurking round is a good place for scum to hide, as there is little evidence to indict them. how ever all but 3 of us have posted and I doubt that ALL of the inactives will be scum...

best bet is a scum has already posted, so we should try to sniff em out! If we don't have a good lead by tomorrow, then we should ask the lurkers to step up and explain themselves...

Does this sound familiar?
a) sure scum has posted
b) we should find them! with no follow through of course


+ Show Spoiler +
On May 17 2011 12:23 hiro protagonist wrote:
Ok, here are my thoughts so far,

the first two people I gonna talk about are the ones i have the most read on/talked the most o far:

VisceraEyes: He was the most active in the first few pages, with most of his post wanting simply for all active players to say hi. Also mentioning not to take suspicions of one another as a bad thing. I can agree with this line of logic, as it will foster a more friendly town, and get in on the scum hunting. His FoS of Mataza looks more like a call for discussion then an actual accusation. my worry is that he is almost TOO town, and is a likely prime hit for Mafia, unless of course he IS Mafia.

Mataza: considered the most suspicious as of right now, and with good reasoning. His first post was one of feinting a cop role. and Has been very Defensive initially when VisceraEye ask a question. Then he points the finger right back at VisceraEyes. after that he claims that he "just wanted to see how you would react". However he made a good post about how he wants to talk about what everyone else thinks, and his post are in the vein of scumhunting (when his not busy defending himself). not sure what to think of him tbh.

Next up GiygaS, nord, Palmar,:

These 3 have the most posts with the least amount of Analysis. most likely town wanting to hang low or wait and see before going into to much discussion. GiygaS has done the most in getting discussion going, expesialy around what VisceraEye and Mataza have been saying. not alot to go on.

prplhz: quite at first but then a solid post with good analysis.

Deepblue, Steff, Karshe: still need to here more from them. deepblue has gotten in pretty late with just a one liner. gonna watch to see if he is gonna just slide under the modkill, as there are still some inactives, and is laying low(as in acting scummy)

thats it for now.


TLDR: a whole bunch of analysis where he doesn't find anyone that scummy.

+ Show Spoiler +
On May 18 2011 09:05 hiro protagonist wrote:
Ok, LOTS to go on here, gonna give my take on things:

The General feeling for the first day started like this: the town began giving intro post that most had no content. the exception to this is of course Mataza, who kinda claimed Cop, and then retracted it.( I still do not like is explanation). the first three people to really get the ball rolling where ViscaraEyes, GiygaS, and Mataza. Of the three, I liked VisEyes approach the most, and Mataza's the least. but these 3 started talking, there still talking, and its leading somewhere. the way I feel about it is the longer they talk, the long one will slip up, and for me that does not make them A high priority lynch.

Is one of them Mafia? man it sure looks like it.

the next list of people include me: Hiro, Karshe, Palmar, Prplhz, and nard. Of this group, Prplhz and Karshe have had the most helpful post in my eyes. Palmar and nard mostly made some general post about the situation. Im leaving me out because thats a job for someone else.

Where does this leave me? I starting to look at inactives to vote for. but which one?

The only one I feel right now that would be an ok vote would be Skrammen, and heres why. the only post by Skrammen is one of agreeing with Mataza, apparently for no reason, ether he is a terrible Maffia, or a terrible townie.

Mataza, I want to believe your town, but the way you go about playing just rubs me a bit. I LOVE that you are taking swings at people, but as soon as some one wants to have a disscusion, you ether turn your finger on them, or call them a Bandwaggoner. I also dont like that almost every defense you say "I just wanted to see how you would react." that might be true, but it leaves me with no read on you...

what would we get if we voted Skrammen? if he flips town, we got a good reason to trust Mataza. If he flips scum, well, Mataza has some explaining to do...

will decide in a bit, to give more inactives time to post


He's given a list of three possible scum. He says there is probably scum in there somewhere, BUT that the lynch should go elsewhere. Guess where?
+ Show Spoiler +
On May 18 2011 09:48 hiro protagonist wrote:
gonna stay with my line of logic, and vote skrammen. I cant believe more people are not on him given his VERY little content, and insta bandwagon vote.

Best case scenario: town votes GiygaS, and he flips scum. We got reason to trust one another and the hunt is in full swing.

worst case: GiygaS flips green, and we have lots of suspicions. Very good chance of Mafia breaking up trust and getting us to turn on one another.

good no mater what: voting Skrammen. we get ride of a terrible player, and we get a possible read on Mataza. I chose this one.

Eather way, Im happy with day one.

##Vote: Skrammen

He votes for a lurker, a "terrible player" a burden to town blah blah blah. This should sound pretty familiar to us now...

In Summary:
hiro is trying to play safe, hide his true intentions, and avoid suspicion, but he slipped hard. He is scum.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 17 2011 10:18 GMT
#578
On June 17 2011 18:59 FudgeMunkey wrote:
Show nested quote +
I want an explanation. KP = KenPachi or Kill power? why are you calling people Jackasses? Why did you quote my post? Hysteria!


Show nested quote +
KP means Kill power!
For every kill power the Mafia has they can kill each night...
Mafia currently have 3 KP so they can kill 3 people per night...
Hope that cleared it up.


Show nested quote +
Are you sure? i think it could mean kenpachi...
And why are you laughing RoL? that's a serious business accusation against you...

on a serious note, I'm going on vacation for a couple days, will only have my kindle to post on. So I'm gonna do my heavy lifting now, I normally don't like posting at night, but what the hey...


Oh sorry KP may mean KenPachi, I didn't read the posts before...
but for those of you who are unsure then i may have cleared something up about Kill Power.

Oh yeah, fudgemunkey, you're scum too.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 17 2011 23:45 GMT
#620
On June 17 2011 01:26 DeMorcerf wrote:
...

@mataza, I see that you posted while I am writing this; aidnai already said the exact same thing about me. I am very new, and in my night post I asked a couple questions and rhetorical questions; (I'll try to avoid the '?' key in the future; my earlier day post had none.)


Dude :D
I was pretty amused by mataza saying the same thing as me too. So... you're obviously around and reading the thread right?

Tell me who is scum.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 17 2011 23:47 GMT
#621
BTW shraft, I agree with what you were saying earlier that commenting on lists is ez mode for scum.
sandroba is silly, but we knew that already. Visceyes is silly too I guess.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 18 2011 04:02 GMT
#662
^^hell, you wrote most of 'em amirite?
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 18 2011 04:16 GMT
#664
Been reading Mig's posts to look for any crumbs. Mostly, it seems like he's just giving thoughts, only person I think he possibly crumbed is sandroba (innocent) in this post
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 16 2011 14:47 Mig wrote:
Thoughts

aidnai - aidnai posted in n0 that medics should ignore what BC said and protect the people on the zodiac list. Mafia then proceeded to blue snipe with 2 of their shots and shoot kita, someone unlikely to get medic protection on the Z list. Obviously this isn't even close to hard evidence but people should remember that aidnai pushed for a plan that was what the mafia either wanted or took advantage of n0. Besides that though I don't really have any problem with his posts, and he is active enough that I think he would be a bad day 1 lynch.

ilj - I am suspicious of. I played with him last game where he was scum. He seems a lot more outspoken right now in defending himself than he did then. But he said repeatedly at the end of the game how bad he played etc. I am sure he planned on changing his meta for the next time he was scum. So I find it very suspicious when he tells youngminii don't try to meta me because I may just be trying to play differently. If he is trying to play differently it is much much more likely that he would be trying to adjust his scum play and not his town play. Still though he has been decently active and outspoken in defending himself so he is not my preferred lynch for day1.

sinani - my preferred day 1 lynch. I played with sinani when he was scum in XXXIX. One of the main things sinani did that game was try to look like he was contributing without actually helping at all. He posted a list on inactives without commenting on it and he posted an extremely half-assed and nonsensical analysis of his thoughts on all the current players. He is doing the exact same thing here. He has posted several times criticizing other people's thoughts and telling various people to step up and start scum hunting without actually doing a single thing to contribute himself. His play to me seems consistent with his scum play in XXXIX

So I am voting sinani.

Brief thoughts on a couple other players

Sandroba - bad plan day 1 but I am not suspicious of him. It is more likely for townies to introduce large/risky plans at the start of the game than it is for mafia since it draws a lot of attention and scrutiny to the player. Also just feels to me like he had town's best interests in mind but didn't completely think through the possible risks.

node/impervious/ggq - I know all 3 of these players can contribute actively and be very pro town. The game is still early but people should keep their eyes on them if they don't become more active.

Not even sure about that, because I would not have been checking sandroba if I was DT...maybe another pair of eyes would be good.

Random stuff:
On June 15 2011 03:17 syllogism wrote:
The only plan the town needs is everyone contributing, relentless analysis and focus on the most suspicious players. As noted, this is a standard game, the mason mechanic aside, so there's no way to break the game.


Would love to see you follow your own advice a bit more dude.

Jacinto/GG get awards for most hardcore lurking--won't be shocked if they get modkilled sooner or later.

Fudgemunkey has not weighed in on a single relevant issue. look at his posts: they are all in regards to either game mechanics or RoL's hare-brained ideas. ILJ/sinani/aidnai debate? nope. hiro? nope. nothing about night kills, night actions, no interaction AT ALL. yet, he's around to answer questions nobody asked or defend himself. This dude is very suspicious, to say the least.

I want to hear from Mataza and demorcerf what they think of hiro/fudgemunkey or any other scum target they have.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 19 2011 05:46 GMT
#717
I'm back :D
RoL did indeed make me kill my internet connection. I also had a mini vacation. But I'm back now, and caught up.

LYNCHING ROL IS DUMB. I'm masoned with him, you can take my townie credit for what it's worth on this one.

We don't lynch to punish bad behaviour. (Vigis should do that). We lynch to kill scum.

The reason this is so important is that if we policy lynch RoL, we aren't forcing anyone town or scum to do analysis, defense, etc. People like to say we don't lynch for information--I think it's more accurate to say we certainly do lynch for information--you just don't get any information UNLESS you are lynching to kill scum.

I'm going to drop my case against Hiro for the moment. I have a number of reasons for this, the biggest among them being the assessment that he actually believes and stands by what he posts. Even though his scumslip is, frankly, ridiculously bad coming from a townie, he seems to actually believe that it was justifiable, which means he is not hiding.

I'm going to agree with RoL (and scamp!) that syllogism should be our scum target today. Scamp makes his suspicion known via this post
On June 17 2011 07:47 Scamp wrote:
I need to go and I won't be back before the deadline. As stated earlier, I don't think either ILJ or GG are scum so I won't be voting for them. However, I do like aidnai's case against him as outlined a few posts before this one. Also my read on GG is null but I'm suspicious of a few people that are voting for him.

You can treat my vote as an abstain vote but it's going on someone who I will be looking at more closely on the next day.
coupled with his vote on Syllogism.

Reading syllogisms posts, what I see is that he flings suspicion on multiple people without ever pushing for a lynch or following through. Coupled with the fact that the lynch he DID push (ILJ's) he was wishywashy on, I'm pretty convinced we found our first scum here.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
June 20 2011 04:48 GMT
#816
fml... well maybe scum woulda killed me tonight anyway.... wasnt even trying to nnja vote, im just not around any computers and i have to be rude to the people im with to make time for this...
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