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TL Mafia XXXIX - Page 6

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 10:39 GMT
#1524
On May 10 2011 19:15 sandroba wrote:If they had multiple roleblockers they would not waste 2kp on him and only keep roleblocking him.
Makes sense. Also it´s been awfully quiet about roleblocks.

If anyone was roleblocked during night 1 or 2, please come forward with it.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 10:47 GMT
#1525
On May 10 2011 18:34 orgolove wrote:
+3 from voting one of the #2s when a confirmed red was leading
+5 from making the lynch a tie from a red leading lynch
+2 from last minute bandwagon vote switch on a red that is confirmed to be lynched
the +2 came after chaosers DT-claim, so should be ignored. +5 is plain bad luck for voting at the wrong time, and the +3 doesn´t mean much either, unless he KNEW who was scum.

So from +13.5 we end up with +3.5...

I´m not saying that this can´t be usefull data, but it´s too many random factors, like the +/-10 difference between tieing in favor of a green or red. The calculation assume that the players know the alignments, but only scum do, and they will probably not act the way you say scum should act anyway, because it´s dangerous and Town sometimes pick up on it.

Dropbear could be the one anyway, but not because of the data.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 11:11 GMT
#1527
On May 10 2011 19:49 sandroba wrote:
@Forumite So can we please slay EternalMisfit?
His votes look a bit scummy in hindsight, as does his call for a vigi-hit, but I don´t get a scumfeeling from his posts in general. On the other hand he was on chaosers list, and chaoser has had scary accuracy so far, and I´m inclined to trust his scumsense more than my own.

Sure, EM deserve to be looked at as a primary candidate for a lynch.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 14:45 GMT
#1545
@Sandroba
@Impervious
If one of you could do a check on Orgolove, I´d appreciate it. I´ve noticed his voting strategy being to single out strong posters, especially trying to build a lynch against redtooth, and is one of those players that look scummy to me but never crop up when we try to lynch someone.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 15:16 GMT
#1547
Fairly certain of Chaos13, not so much for EM and DB, they could be either scum or town.

_________
Chaos13 - One of the earlier to go for Amber[Light]. Slow poster with sometimes weak arguments, but probably Town.

EternalMisfit - Consistently defending Amber[Light], attacking Cthsazsa, Sandroba, Chaoser and Redtooth. Very focused during day2. Stopped the attack once Amber[Light] flipped.

DropBear - Hard to read, but has one strong scumtell. The slip is that there could of course be 2 roleblockers, but DropBear knows there is only one, who just died.
On May 10 2011 13:16 DropBear wrote:
Good work chaoser. Sorry I accused you

After GGQ's flip we are down to the godfather and 2 goons. More roleblock claims are outright lies.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 15:17 GMT
#1548
@EternalMisfit
Both your linked posts against sinani206 have to do with him not reading the thread enough, they don´t prove he´s scum.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 15:55 GMT
#1555
On May 11 2011 00:47 DropBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 10 2011 23:05 sandroba wrote:
Ok I looked at ilovejonn's posts and the only one that has major content is his acusation on EternalMisfit which I recommend everyone to read:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=42#825
Which is pretty solid. But also kind of contradictory with his option of not voting Amber, given the fact that amber was "appearing to be contruibuting" the same way EM was in his analysis. The main reason I believe ilovejonn to be town is because I believe EM to be scum.

And should I and/or EM flip town, I hope you will lynch him. Look at his voting pattern as well.
You think Sandroba is Scum?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 16:24 GMT
#1561
On May 11 2011 01:03 sandroba wrote:
He's saying ilovejonn.

My bad.

If EternalMisfit is building a case against sinani206, and both are on the list, what does that make those two? Both scum or one of each?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 16:32 GMT
#1563
@DropBear
GGQ doesn´t clear either DropBear, Kitaman or orgolove, he disagrees with them all, but no strong FoS against any of them, at least I didn´t find any. .
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 16:59 GMT
#1570
On May 11 2011 01:39 DropBear wrote:
Yeah I know I said in the post is isn't solid enough. The one closest to an FoS is on me.
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 04:08 GGQ wrote:
On May 06 2011 00:03 DropBear wrote:
On Lyter

Lyter has 3 posts in the thread since the game began properly, 5 overall.

On May 04 2011 23:54 Lyter wrote:
On May 04 2011 16:35 redtooth wrote:

To start off, let's have everybody answer the following question:
What is your mafia experience/backround like?
This can be experience in IRL mafia, approximate # of TL mafia games played, experience playing on mafiascum, "I just arrived from Noobtown", etc. Thanks!


This is my first game of Mafia on a forum, I've played quite a lot of the Mafia custom on SC2 so I know how it works but I'd consider myself a newbie in a big forum game like this.


That's cool, fair enough.

On May 05 2011 17:29 Lyter wrote:
I'm not really buying all these random accusations flying around on day 1, maybe its just me, but I'd much rather see a night through so we actually have something to work with, at this point it is just pure guesswork imo.


On May 05 2011 18:20 Lyter wrote:
On May 05 2011 18:02 Forumite wrote:
It might be guesswork but we still get information out of it, information that will be important once the first lynch flips. Also we don´t have a "no lynch" option, someone HAS to die during day 1.


Ah didn't realise someone had to die, time to do some thinking


Um, lol? This is either really nooby or just plain trying to hide. Take a stance!

On May 05 2011 22:24 Lyter wrote:
##Vote: Irish_Punk13


You obviously did your thinking. You have no other posts after your thinking post though. Please explain? I am not accusing you just yet but I'd like to hear your reasoning.


This post rings some bells in my head. There was no need for a PbP analysis here, you just needed to tell Lyter to post more and explain his vote. Doing a PbP in this instance feels like an attempt to gain townie cred for nothing.

Yes, it is a FoS, a weak one though. PbP analysies are ALWAYS the way to go

On May 11 2011 01:35 DropBear wrote:oh fuck I don't know.
And neither do I.

IMO EM remain a better target than DB
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 17:29 GMT
#1575
On May 11 2011 02:11 DropBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2011 02:08 sandroba wrote:
DropBear, did you read the analysis ilovejonn's made on EM? I posted a link to it some posts ago.

I most certainly have.
So you are saying that it´s like this?
EternalMisfit
Ilovejonn
Elmizzt
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 17:31 GMT
#1576
Ilovejonn only ever voted for Cthsazsa or players that flipped Town.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 17:40 GMT
#1579
I don´t see a point in waiting. Voting until a better target comes up.

##Vote: sinani206
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 19:02 GMT
#1592
It´s still about 32h before night, right?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 19:17 GMT
#1599
On May 11 2011 04:06 sandroba wrote:
Ok I just read my pm and the OP. Nowhere in the op is the word vanilla. I guess I must be wrong about EM.
You refer to his old roleclaim, where he called himself Vanilla Townie?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 19:21 GMT
#1601
On May 11 2011 03:52 ilovejonn wrote:
Wow can you guys not read only one part of a sentence? I am basically role claiming there hello? It's fine if you don't believe you can go ahead and vote for me, but I'd rather not have us mislynch.

If there are still veterans in the mafia, my GF suspects are redtooth and orgolove. If there are only new players in the mafia team left it could be anyone really.
I would unvote but I´d probably be pinged as scum for voteswitching. (bah dum tsh)

Question, why redtooth and orgolove?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 21:46 GMT
#1615
The discussion seems to have died. Come on, we will only find scum by talking.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 22:35 GMT
#1622
On May 11 2011 06:50 sandroba wrote:
Hey forumite, I noticed you promissed to change your vote to amber unless he claimed blue but you didn't do it. What's up with that?
I fell asleep, that´s what was up. It went well anyway.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 23:50 GMT
#1624
On May 11 2011 08:42 Eternalmisfit wrote:In any case, quite a few people are missing from thread completely today and I would like to hear their opinion/take on the discussion. Them being: VarpuliS, Kenpachi, jaminz, Conversion, and sinani.
Staying silent now is the most anti-town thing you can do. Start posting.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 00:35 GMT
#1630
On May 11 2011 09:14 Varpulis wrote:
How's that for posting? btw i got the mods to change my name, so there's no longer a capital "s."

[tyrael] No! Don´t do it! [/tyrael]

@VarpuliS
Good write-up on sinani206.
Looks like a good day 3 lynch
:3
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