EPTSleeper Cell Mafia - Page 3
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
Guys..... Even if you don't trust bum's analysis and his check, at least lets get Ace tomorrow..... Have you not seen his recent posting? | ||
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
We're on a tightrope right now, as the town..... We have very little room for error, so if there happens to be a vigi left, plz make a good hit. If there's a doc, plz pick the right person. If there's a vet, plz attract enough attention to absorb a hit. | ||
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
I thought Ace was playing a little weird before. His "plan" to get the list of players we all consider to be useful scumbuddies led to no surprise, which is a pretty useless play from a player like him. And with how he was pushing for a lynch of bum, I'm 95% sure he's scum. Not sure about GF, but definitely red. | ||
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Impervious
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Impervious
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Impervious
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Unless we've got a better option, Jackal seems to be the next best lynch. | ||
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
I'm less convinced that Ace is red now. Not 100% sure he's telling the truth, but more convinced that Jackal is really scum than Ace right now. | ||
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
So, even if you don't believe him, leaving him alive for the night is far more useful to us than killing him..... We'll get more information either way. | ||
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
On April 29 2011 11:31 Impervious wrote: Statistically, it's a far better choice to lynch anyone who got "insufficient analysis" than to try to check them again. I say we go for it. Right now. Maybe get Ace tomorrow? Although, bum, I don't like how you're already revealing yourself..... I don't think you were in any danger yet, so it seems unnecessary at this point. On April 30 2011 00:53 Impervious wrote: Ok, for those of you who are skeptical of bum, what do you think about lynching him to prove it, to satisfy your curiosity? If he really is the DT, his list and reasoning seems pretty solid, and I haven't seen any better ideas..... Note - sarcasm isn't expressed well over the internet. On April 30 2011 09:08 Impervious wrote: Guys, if bum is in fact the analyst, while there is only a ~25% chance that he's actually the cell leader, there is a ~50% chance of getting a red. That is a pretty damn good chance at the moment. While it is stupid (imo) that bum claimed already, if he is the DT, he'll be a high priority target for the mafia, so they'll take him out at night. I don't see the reasoning for a red claiming as DT. It seems like such a dumb move. It instantly paints a giant target on them when he's still alive the next day. And if the mafia don't eliminate him tonight, then they risk him actually finding a mafia (assuming that Jackal is green). And, of course, if he's green, it could be an interesting play, if you really had a strong read on someone. I don't think it's a good idea to lynch him. Voting for someone other than Jackal, based on some kind of analysis, would be fine if you don't believe bum, but lynching him is really fucking dumb right now. Plz tell me where I said I believed him? I simply couldn't see a good reason to lynch him yet..... And his plan wasn't a bad one, nor was his analysis. What else should I have done? Oh, I could have always done what you did. Which was actually lynch the fucking DT..... I guess lynching a blue role is the smart town play. | ||
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
On May 02 2011 02:56 Ace wrote: why are you playing the result? You sure seemed convinced he was a DT before he popped. Oh my bad, I guess posts like this don't mean you believe bum but that everyone else is stupid. Yes, everyone who is town that bandwagoned him is stupid. There, I said it. For reasons stated above. We would have had a lot more useful information right now had he been spared. Regardless of what his actual role was. | ||
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
Either you think that sandroba and Ace are both mafia, or you think neither are at this point. I am leaning towards "neither". | ||
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
However, do we have a decent chance of finding the 3rd? Possibly. You're one of the candidates for that 3rd. There's a few others as well. We can always go after them today, rather than Ace and sandroba. However, why would the mafia want someone who can intercept messages to survive for another night? If Ace becomes useless tomorrow, or dies tonight, we'll have our answer. And if sandroba dies tonight as well, we'll know enough as well. | ||
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
On May 03 2011 03:19 Jackal58 wrote: No change. I'm reverting to the tunneling aggressive asshole. You're fucking scum. Bums check is not a 50/50 proposition. It's 75% town 25% scum. Only scum use scummy numbers Those messages are bullshit and you know it scummy. I switched because I wasn't getting lynched due to bums incompetence. Not my problem scummy. Fuck, man, go learn something about probabilities please. Stop it with spreading this bullshit. | ||
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Impervious
Canada4200 Posts
On May 03 2011 03:28 Ace wrote: I was actually waiting to see if something else happened as I recognized we're pretty much "stuck" here if we screw this up. Still think our best bet is to cut dead weight and see how the night ends up. I would have been up for a switch to darmousseh, however, he's been replaced. I'm waiting to see how active BB is going to be before I do anything like that. I still think Jackal is our best bet at the moment. Especially with how he's been acting recently. | ||
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