I think that the way to test if Xelin is Mafia is to lynch RoyW, and that Quickstriker is just excited/keen to play, so he mass posts, which makes him look suspicious. But that said, I personally will not rule anyone out as Mafia, or say that they definitely are Mafia at this stage, because really, there is not enough info to decide what someones role is.

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 21 2010 23:47 GMT

#329

On January 22 2010 07:29 decafchicken wrote:

edit: and as people analyze who votes for who, we should also be watching at who is abstaining which is equally important.

Of course its a factor to consider, but what do you think abstaining says about someone?

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 22 2010 00:11 GMT

#331

On January 20 2010 20:51 RoyW wrote:
Based on his contribution so far, I'm going to second XeliN in his bid for nomination. It's important that we have someone active in the thread as mayor or sherrif, and also good to have someone providing reasoning behind thier decisions, whether they be good or bad.

because of that post, pretty early on, and that's all he has really said. lol

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 22 2010 00:13 GMT

#332

I don't really think thats the thing to do right now, but again, seeing who supports who is important.

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 22 2010 00:46 GMT

#335

oh lol, maybe hes just dumb then o.o

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 22 2010 05:04 GMT

#357

and isn't it lulzy? ;p
It probably looks a little suspicious, but I'll just say that my two goals are not to have a mafia be mayor, and possibly become mayor myself. Going to bed now, but I'll be interested to see how this turns out (:

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 22 2010 23:24 GMT

#431

I agree with Crescentia, I doubt the Godfather would run, but obviously the Godfather will be someone who has at least voted, even if they haven't posted much in this thread, because of the talk about lynching the completely inactive, and because in order to be elected Godfather, they would probably have needed to talk to the other mafia to convince them to choose the Godfather.

I think the people we should think about lynching are Me, Xelin, Fulgrim, tree.hugger and Crescentia, because I'm pretty sure the Mafia would at least try to get someone elected.

I like the Idea of the DTs making an inner circle.

And last think I can think of right now, If either the mayor/sheriff are DTs, they could tell us, because they can't be killed by the Mafia right? we have to lynch them. for any other role they could just lie (if they were the Mafia), but its not hard to prove your a DT to the public if you have protection.

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 22 2010 23:30 GMT

#433

and also, I think that people who accuse/encourage just for the sake of accusing (no real/reasonable argument, or just because they don't like them for whatever reason) are either dumb, or they are trying to stir people up and get them pissed off at whoever, in order to hurt the town (so they are potentially Mafia). Unlike the Mafia, they are uninformed of who their allies are. So they should stop doing that.

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 22 2010 23:56 GMT

#440

On January 23 2010 08:47 SagaZ wrote:

About some guys under heavy suspicion like QS or Xelin, you are prime targets for the mafia I think, so every aditional night that you survive will make you exponentially more suspect. Not pointing anybody yet but it is a fact.

I strongly disagree with this, anyone under suspicion (assuming they aren't actually Mafia) should be the last person they want to kill: why kill someone if the town will lynch them for you? A better idea for them would be to kill people that would throw suspicion on someone else, rather than taking the suspicion away.

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 22 2010 23:57 GMT

#441

unless I misunderstood what you were saying, and you men't that the town thought think they are Mafia, not that the Mafia want to kill them. If that's the case, then my bad o:

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 23 2010 00:57 GMT

#451

if a Mafia electorate claims DT, they could identify a Mafia and kill them in order to gain confidence. A Townie electorate DT could do the same thing our of luck. the only way to tell if they would be a real DT is for them, like you said, do a double role check, or for the DT to tell people what a blue persons role is, and then to kill them/double check for confirmation.

So maybe it wasn't a good idea

But if our mayor/sheriff is a DT, then its still good. I'm sure that a Mafia and a DT could have the same view on getting one of the electoral roles, the protection would be great, just the side it helps changes o:

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 23 2010 01:39 GMT

#454

But for the electoral roles shockeyy, they have protection from the mafia.

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 23 2010 02:36 GMT

#457

I'm happy that you feel like that, but I'm sure you can understand if we consider the all the possibilities and don't just trust blindly.

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 23 2010 05:30 GMT

#478

I think that there are 1 or 2 mafia that tried out to be elected, then 1 or 2 that are actively posting, then 2 or 3 that are lurking, and maybe 1 or 2 that havent been playing at all.

But i withhold my judgement about who they are for now.

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 23 2010 20:52 GMT

#497

The most obvious trend (possible clue) I see in the Day 2 post, is the murder weapon, a long blade. It seems pretty obvious, I'm sure everyone noticed it, but maybe it is the clue. So watch out for long blades and ninjas o:

And nice choices of killings, Mafia, people who are playing/reading/analyzing, but not making alot of posts. Keeps things active, but kills smart people o: getting vigilantes was probably just luck.

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 23 2010 20:54 GMT

#498

Or on second glance at the clues, it says "he watched almost hypnotically as the man performed some odd formations in the air with his blade."

That sounds like some sort of Magic, maybe suggesting Magic.Man.

I dunno tho, I only spent like 2 minutes on these posts, and haven't really looked at any players profiles/names at all.

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 23 2010 23:20 GMT

#503

Okay, so again looking at fishballs post, the trends I see are quickness in both days, noise/sound/soundwaves in the first day, and the long blade/samurai/ninja in the second day.

The 'Drawing something Technical" bit could also refer to anime, as fishball mentioned a few times, or maybe some sort of artist/architect profession.

It might also make sense if there are the same number of clues in both days. maybe not tho o:

Iaaan

Canada578 Posts

January 23 2010 23:37 GMT

#504

and just because I think it might be relevant, I will post some stuff about the voting.

fulgrim - 3
tree.hugger
itspaul
decafchicken

d3_cresentia - 5
Fishball
Dozko
softer
i10f
johnnyspazz

It could mean nothing, but the Mafia could have killed these people (itspaul and i10f) to show that it wasn't the Mafia voting for Cresentia/fulgrim, when they really were. But that said, The mafia would have been aiming to get someone in the position of mayor, so looking at the votes for tree.hugger:

tree.hugger - 3
d3_cresentia
~opz~
no_re

This is who everyone thought would win, as he had 4 votes before i changed mine. I changed my vote to try to screw things up because like I said, I think the Mafia would have wanted the Mayor position the most, and the Mafia thought tree.hugger would have won (which he did) since he was in the lead. Any more votes for him would have caused a tie for sheriff, and at that point in the game, we didn't know what would have happened in a tie. Again with wanting the position of mayor, the Mafia could have voted for Cresentia in order to put them ahead of their candidate.

So all that said, at this point the people I suspect the most are Softer and Johnnyspazz for bumping up cresentias votes towards the end, ~Opz~ for voting free tree.hugger, tree.hugger for being mayor (again because the mafia would want this position, and the mafia should have thought tree.hugger would win), and Quickstriker for the clues (which Fishball outlined, and I also think the line "Drawing something technical" points to his profile.)

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