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[Psychology] Overconfidence - Page 6

Forum Index > General Forum
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Aznleeman
Profile Joined November 2007
United States208 Posts
July 31 2009 00:44 GMT
#101
I got none of those right, just as I chose "I'm not getting any of these right."
._.???
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
July 31 2009 01:11 GMT
#102
revealing that the test is for overconfidence is going to render it less meaningful
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Mykill
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Canada3402 Posts
July 31 2009 01:12 GMT
#103
On July 31 2009 09:32 lazz wrote:
10.

was pretty easy, just used wikipedia for most of em.


LOL
the idea was to know them WITHOUT looking it up
these questions are just trivia.... nothing to do with overconfidence. more like a quiz to say whether you can go on jeopardy or not.
[~~The Impossible Leads To Invention~~] CJ Entusman #52 The problem with internet quotations is that they are hard to verify -Abraham Lincoln c.1863
Medzo
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States627 Posts
July 31 2009 01:17 GMT
#104
I was right in all the ones I felt confident in answering, but that was only 8 of them. I think pride has a lot to do with overconfidence in your answers. Since there is no pride related in this experiment, I think it wont show as much. Also our reactions and perceptions to the answers are different since we know its an experiment and what you are testing.
Irrelevant
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States2364 Posts
July 31 2009 01:53 GMT
#105
Only one I didn't know was MLK....the rest were just random info I remember from discovery channel or school.
hcliff454
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Canada127 Posts
July 31 2009 02:13 GMT
#106
I didn't read that we were supposed to guess ranges, so I guessed actual values (I was wrong for all of them), and in total, I was off by 252 787. Thanks for stripping me of my confidence, azndsh
dworn it -lz
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24805 Posts
July 31 2009 03:21 GMT
#107
The test does not measure what it was intended to measure. It would be interesting if it was more balanced (going on what Chill said in the first page).
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
LaLuSh
Profile Blog Joined April 2003
Sweden2358 Posts
July 31 2009 03:40 GMT
#108
On July 31 2009 06:19 Djabanete wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2009 06:17 LaLuSh wrote:
5) 1243-2485 miles


Haha, where did this one come from? I'm curious since the other answers you gave were all nice round numbers

edit: Maximum estimate = (minimum estimate x2) - 1? I'm so confused.


Unit conversion km to miles. Used wolframalpha.

In kilometers it was x2
SonuvBob
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
Aiur21552 Posts
July 31 2009 03:43 GMT
#109
On July 31 2009 12:21 micronesia wrote:
The test does not measure what it was intended to measure. It would be interesting if it was more balanced (going on what Chill said in the first page).

This thread definitely measures something, and the results sadden me.
Administrator
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24805 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-31 03:55:15
July 31 2009 03:52 GMT
#110
On July 31 2009 12:43 SonuvBob wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2009 12:21 micronesia wrote:
The test does not measure what it was intended to measure. It would be interesting if it was more balanced (going on what Chill said in the first page).

This thread definitely measures something, and the results sadden me.

Can you elaborate on what you mean? In the spirit of this thread I won't pretend I know what you are getting at.

edit: do you just mean that many people didn't understand what was expected of them when they should have?

edit2: like the way they would say "oh let me just use huge ranged and then I'll do really well on this quiz which proves I don't fit the negative stereotype..."
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
Xusneb
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Canada612 Posts
July 31 2009 04:07 GMT
#111
This thread measures reading comprehension and a lot of people failed?
If you want to be happy, be. - Leo Tolstoy
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24805 Posts
July 31 2009 04:08 GMT
#112
On July 31 2009 13:07 Xusneb wrote:
This thread measures reading comprehension and a lot of people failed?

The problem seems to be a bit deeper than reading comprehension.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
fusionsdf
Profile Blog Joined June 2006
Canada15390 Posts
July 31 2009 04:17 GMT
#113
On July 31 2009 00:18 Boblion wrote:

0 and 0 lol


same

thought mlk was 43 but wasnt really confident
SKT_Best: "I actually chose Protoss because it was so hard for me to defeat Protoss as a Terran. When I first started Brood War, my main race was Terran."
SonuvBob
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
Aiur21552 Posts
July 31 2009 04:20 GMT
#114
On July 31 2009 12:52 micronesia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2009 12:43 SonuvBob wrote:
On July 31 2009 12:21 micronesia wrote:
The test does not measure what it was intended to measure. It would be interesting if it was more balanced (going on what Chill said in the first page).

This thread definitely measures something, and the results sadden me.

Can you elaborate on what you mean? In the spirit of this thread I won't pretend I know what you are getting at.

edit: do you just mean that many people didn't understand what was expected of them when they should have?

edit2: like the way they would say "oh let me just use huge ranged and then I'll do really well on this quiz which proves I don't fit the negative stereotype..."

Nah, they at least understood the idea behind it. I mean the ones who didn't grasp it at all (look at the poll results =/).
Administrator
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24805 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-31 04:22:51
July 31 2009 04:22 GMT
#115
On July 31 2009 13:20 SonuvBob wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2009 12:52 micronesia wrote:
On July 31 2009 12:43 SonuvBob wrote:
On July 31 2009 12:21 micronesia wrote:
The test does not measure what it was intended to measure. It would be interesting if it was more balanced (going on what Chill said in the first page).

This thread definitely measures something, and the results sadden me.

Can you elaborate on what you mean? In the spirit of this thread I won't pretend I know what you are getting at.

edit: do you just mean that many people didn't understand what was expected of them when they should have?

edit2: like the way they would say "oh let me just use huge ranged and then I'll do really well on this quiz which proves I don't fit the negative stereotype..."

Nah, they at least understood the idea behind it. I mean the ones who didn't grasp it at all (look at the poll results =/).

Reminds me of the penis length poll.... that is... if 40% of tl was female.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
Xusneb
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Canada612 Posts
July 31 2009 04:26 GMT
#116
This is the most confusing thread I've ever stumbled upon.

How the hell am I supposed to assign a percentage value (quantitative) to my confidence (qualitative)? "Um... yea, this range feels 90%." I cannot reconcile this!
If you want to be happy, be. - Leo Tolstoy
ActualSteve
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States627 Posts
July 31 2009 04:33 GMT
#117
On July 31 2009 00:58 Chill wrote:
This is stupid because the answers in themselves are shocking. Sure you should account for that in your interval, but the test is pitted against you. If they were questions with reasonable answers in everyday things this would hold a lot more weight for me.


Yes. Agreed 100%.
I was perplexed by many of these answers.
The test seems to be overly tricky to be conclusive.
You are now breathing manually.
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24805 Posts
July 31 2009 04:33 GMT
#118
On July 31 2009 13:26 Xusneb wrote:
This is the most confusing thread I've ever stumbled upon.

How the hell am I supposed to assign a percentage value (quantitative) to my confidence (qualitative)? "Um... yea, this range feels 90%." I cannot reconcile this!

Ideally the trends in our inability to do this will have meaning... but it's actually somewhat difficult to analyze this properly...
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
Probe.
Profile Joined May 2009
United States877 Posts
July 31 2009 05:39 GMT
#119
I am 90% confident the OP is asian
meow
Etherone
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States1898 Posts
July 31 2009 06:03 GMT
#120
wow 40% of TL does not know how to read.


And no i am not overconfident.
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