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I'm back. We didn't hit 950, we didn't even get to 900. I'm rather disappointed.
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On October 27 2014 07:11 The_Templar wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2014 07:10 dangthatsright wrote:On October 27 2014 07:00 y0su wrote:On October 27 2014 06:59 dangthatsright wrote:bracket generated by isolating the last few head-to-head games between players (as recorded on aligulac)
Bomber 2 ┐
├───── Jaedong 0 ┐
Jaedong 3 ┘ │
├───────── MMA 1 ┐
StarDust 2 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 3 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├──────── herO 1 ┐
MC 1 ┐ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┐ │ │
herO 3 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 1 ┘ │
Classic 2 ┘ │
├─ Zest
San 3 ┐ │
├───────── San 0 ┐ │
jjakji 0 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 1 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 4 ┘
soO 1 ┐ │
├─────── TaeJa 1 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
├── INnoVation 0 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 3 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
soO vs TaeJa - took the most likely outcome
San vs Zest - extrapolated from Zest 2-0 San
MMA vs herO - took the most likely outcome
what if you exclude online matches? bracket generated by isolating the last few head-to-head offline games between players (as recorded on aligulac) + Show Spoiler +
Bomber 3 ┐
├────── Bomber 3 ┐
Jaedong 1 ┘ │
├────── Bomber 1 ┐
StarDust 0 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 2 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├──────── herO 0 ┐
MC 1 ┐ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┐ │ │
herO 3 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 2 ┘ │
Classic 2 ┘ │
├─ TaeJa
San 3 ┐ │
├───────── San 0 ┐ │
jjakji 1 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 1 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 1 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 4 ┘
soO 1 ┐ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 1 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
soO vs TaeJa - took the most likely outcome
StarDust vs MMA - extrapolated from MMA 2-0 StarDust
San vs jjakji - extrapolated from San 2-1 jjakji
HyuN vs INnoVation - extrapolated from INnoVation 2-0 HyuN (excluding WoL)
San vs Zest - extrapolated from Zest 2-0 San
herO vs TaeJa - extrapolated from TaeJa 1-0 herO (excluding WoL)
I can get behind this
I dont think it will be *that* one sided but overall this is likely to occur...
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On October 27 2014 07:10 dangthatsright wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2014 07:00 y0su wrote:On October 27 2014 06:59 dangthatsright wrote:bracket generated by isolating the last few head-to-head games between players (as recorded on aligulac)
Bomber 2 ┐
├───── Jaedong 0 ┐
Jaedong 3 ┘ │
├───────── MMA 1 ┐
StarDust 2 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 3 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├──────── herO 1 ┐
MC 1 ┐ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┐ │ │
herO 3 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 1 ┘ │
Classic 2 ┘ │
├─ Zest
San 3 ┐ │
├───────── San 0 ┐ │
jjakji 0 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 1 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 4 ┘
soO 1 ┐ │
├─────── TaeJa 1 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
├── INnoVation 0 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 3 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
soO vs TaeJa - took the most likely outcome
San vs Zest - extrapolated from Zest 2-0 San
MMA vs herO - took the most likely outcome
what if you exclude online matches? bracket generated by isolating the last few head-to-head offline games between players (as recorded on aligulac) + Show Spoiler +
Bomber 3 ┐
├────── Bomber 3 ┐
Jaedong 1 ┘ │
├────── Bomber 1 ┐
StarDust 0 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 2 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├──────── herO 0 ┐
MC 1 ┐ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┐ │ │
herO 3 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 2 ┘ │
Classic 2 ┘ │
├─ TaeJa
San 3 ┐ │
├───────── San 0 ┐ │
jjakji 1 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 1 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 1 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 4 ┘
soO 1 ┐ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 1 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
soO vs TaeJa - took the most likely outcome
StarDust vs MMA - extrapolated from MMA 2-0 StarDust
San vs jjakji - extrapolated from San 2-1 jjakji
HyuN vs INnoVation - extrapolated from INnoVation 2-0 HyuN (excluding WoL)
San vs Zest - extrapolated from Zest 2-0 San
herO vs TaeJa - extrapolated from TaeJa 1-0 herO (excluding WoL)
this one is much better
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On October 27 2014 07:12 Cricketer12 wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2014 07:11 The_Templar wrote:On October 27 2014 07:10 dangthatsright wrote:On October 27 2014 07:00 y0su wrote:On October 27 2014 06:59 dangthatsright wrote:bracket generated by isolating the last few head-to-head games between players (as recorded on aligulac)
Bomber 2 ┐
├───── Jaedong 0 ┐
Jaedong 3 ┘ │
├───────── MMA 1 ┐
StarDust 2 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 3 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├──────── herO 1 ┐
MC 1 ┐ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┐ │ │
herO 3 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 1 ┘ │
Classic 2 ┘ │
├─ Zest
San 3 ┐ │
├───────── San 0 ┐ │
jjakji 0 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 1 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 4 ┘
soO 1 ┐ │
├─────── TaeJa 1 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
├── INnoVation 0 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 3 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
soO vs TaeJa - took the most likely outcome
San vs Zest - extrapolated from Zest 2-0 San
MMA vs herO - took the most likely outcome
what if you exclude online matches? bracket generated by isolating the last few head-to-head offline games between players (as recorded on aligulac) + Show Spoiler +
Bomber 3 ┐
├────── Bomber 3 ┐
Jaedong 1 ┘ │
├────── Bomber 1 ┐
StarDust 0 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 2 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├──────── herO 0 ┐
MC 1 ┐ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┐ │ │
herO 3 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 2 ┘ │
Classic 2 ┘ │
├─ TaeJa
San 3 ┐ │
├───────── San 0 ┐ │
jjakji 1 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 1 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 1 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 4 ┘
soO 1 ┐ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 1 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
soO vs TaeJa - took the most likely outcome
StarDust vs MMA - extrapolated from MMA 2-0 StarDust
San vs jjakji - extrapolated from San 2-1 jjakji
HyuN vs INnoVation - extrapolated from INnoVation 2-0 HyuN (excluding WoL)
San vs Zest - extrapolated from Zest 2-0 San
herO vs TaeJa - extrapolated from TaeJa 1-0 herO (excluding WoL)
I can get behind this I dont think it will be *that* one sided but overall this is likely to occur...
"herO vs TaeJa - extrapolated from TaeJa 1-0 herO (excluding WoL)"
lol
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On October 27 2014 07:12 IntoTheheart wrote:
I'm back. We didn't hit 950, we didn't even get to 900. I'm rather disappointed.
There's probably some hesitation with what might become of this thread...
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your Country52798 Posts
On October 27 2014 07:17 Die4Ever wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2014 07:12 Cricketer12 wrote:On October 27 2014 07:11 The_Templar wrote:On October 27 2014 07:10 dangthatsright wrote:On October 27 2014 07:00 y0su wrote:On October 27 2014 06:59 dangthatsright wrote:bracket generated by isolating the last few head-to-head games between players (as recorded on aligulac)
Bomber 2 ┐
├───── Jaedong 0 ┐
Jaedong 3 ┘ │
├───────── MMA 1 ┐
StarDust 2 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 3 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├──────── herO 1 ┐
MC 1 ┐ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┐ │ │
herO 3 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 1 ┘ │
Classic 2 ┘ │
├─ Zest
San 3 ┐ │
├───────── San 0 ┐ │
jjakji 0 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 1 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 4 ┘
soO 1 ┐ │
├─────── TaeJa 1 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
├── INnoVation 0 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 3 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
soO vs TaeJa - took the most likely outcome
San vs Zest - extrapolated from Zest 2-0 San
MMA vs herO - took the most likely outcome
what if you exclude online matches? bracket generated by isolating the last few head-to-head offline games between players (as recorded on aligulac) + Show Spoiler +
Bomber 3 ┐
├────── Bomber 3 ┐
Jaedong 1 ┘ │
├────── Bomber 1 ┐
StarDust 0 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 2 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├──────── herO 0 ┐
MC 1 ┐ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┐ │ │
herO 3 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 2 ┘ │
Classic 2 ┘ │
├─ TaeJa
San 3 ┐ │
├───────── San 0 ┐ │
jjakji 1 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 1 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 1 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 4 ┘
soO 1 ┐ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 1 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
soO vs TaeJa - took the most likely outcome
StarDust vs MMA - extrapolated from MMA 2-0 StarDust
San vs jjakji - extrapolated from San 2-1 jjakji
HyuN vs INnoVation - extrapolated from INnoVation 2-0 HyuN (excluding WoL)
San vs Zest - extrapolated from Zest 2-0 San
herO vs TaeJa - extrapolated from TaeJa 1-0 herO (excluding WoL)
I can get behind this I dont think it will be *that* one sided but overall this is likely to occur... "herO vs TaeJa - extrapolated from TaeJa 1-0 herO (excluding WoL)" lol
Once you win one, you've won them all
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Oh shit sorry Temp. Will be on in like 20 mintues
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On October 27 2014 07:17 Die4Ever wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2014 07:12 Cricketer12 wrote:On October 27 2014 07:11 The_Templar wrote:On October 27 2014 07:10 dangthatsright wrote:On October 27 2014 07:00 y0su wrote:On October 27 2014 06:59 dangthatsright wrote:bracket generated by isolating the last few head-to-head games between players (as recorded on aligulac)
Bomber 2 ┐
├───── Jaedong 0 ┐
Jaedong 3 ┘ │
├───────── MMA 1 ┐
StarDust 2 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 3 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├──────── herO 1 ┐
MC 1 ┐ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┐ │ │
herO 3 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 1 ┘ │
Classic 2 ┘ │
├─ Zest
San 3 ┐ │
├───────── San 0 ┐ │
jjakji 0 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 1 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 4 ┘
soO 1 ┐ │
├─────── TaeJa 1 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
├── INnoVation 0 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 3 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
soO vs TaeJa - took the most likely outcome
San vs Zest - extrapolated from Zest 2-0 San
MMA vs herO - took the most likely outcome
what if you exclude online matches? bracket generated by isolating the last few head-to-head offline games between players (as recorded on aligulac) + Show Spoiler +
Bomber 3 ┐
├────── Bomber 3 ┐
Jaedong 1 ┘ │
├────── Bomber 1 ┐
StarDust 0 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 2 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├──────── herO 0 ┐
MC 1 ┐ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┐ │ │
herO 3 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── herO 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 2 ┘ │
Classic 2 ┘ │
├─ TaeJa
San 3 ┐ │
├───────── San 0 ┐ │
jjakji 1 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 1 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 1 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 4 ┘
soO 1 ┐ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 1 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
soO vs TaeJa - took the most likely outcome
StarDust vs MMA - extrapolated from MMA 2-0 StarDust
San vs jjakji - extrapolated from San 2-1 jjakji
HyuN vs INnoVation - extrapolated from INnoVation 2-0 HyuN (excluding WoL)
San vs Zest - extrapolated from Zest 2-0 San
herO vs TaeJa - extrapolated from TaeJa 1-0 herO (excluding WoL)
I can get behind this I dont think it will be *that* one sided but overall this is likely to occur... "herO vs TaeJa - extrapolated from TaeJa 1-0 herO (excluding WoL)" lol
kinda defeats the generating method of choice to fall back on probability unless absolutely necessary :b
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your Country52798 Posts
On October 27 2014 07:19 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Oh shit sorry Temp. Will be on in like 20 mintues
I'm down for "silly 1v1s". When GumBa and I tried that he went 1 base tank drop, and... uh.. 30 minutes later, it was 1 base vs 1 base... and he managed to turtle to mass ravens before I could get anything done with void rays >.>
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On October 27 2014 07:21 The_Templar wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2014 07:19 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Oh shit sorry Temp. Will be on in like 20 mintues I'm down for "silly 1v1s". When GumBa and I tried that he went 1 base tank drop, and... uh.. 30 minutes later, it was 1 base vs 1 base... and he managed to turtle to mass ravens before I could get anything done with void rays >.>
I'm on EU but could switch over if you guys are doing something
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so, will there be a "DongRaeGu" Award if he makes it to 15/20 Code S appearances? He holds the record at I believe 13 right now...
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United States97277 Posts
He got lucky cause he fucked up during the OSL season so he got a freebie
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On October 27 2014 07:43 Shellshock wrote:
He got lucky cause he fucked up during the OSL season so he got a freebie
that doesnt answer the question 
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United States97277 Posts
He doesnt deserve one is what I was hinting at. He got a freebie instead of an award
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Bracket generated from Poll 71910: Heart: Who will be the WCS 2014 Champion?
+ Show Spoiler +
Bomber 1 ┐
├───── Jaedong 3 ┐
Jaedong 3 ┘ │
├───── Jaedong 3 ┐
StarDust 0 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 1 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├───── Jaedong 2 ┐
MC 3 ┐ │ │
├────────── MC 2 ┐ │ │
herO 2 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── Polt 1 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 3 ┘ │
Classic 0 ┘ │
├─ soO
San 2 ┐ │
├────── jjakji 0 ┐ │
jjakji 3 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 0 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 2 ┘ │ │
├───────── soO 4 ┘
soO 3 ┐ │
├───────── soO 3 ┐ │
TaeJa 0 ┘ │ │
├───────── soO 3 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 1 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
for a given match, the ratio of the players' probabilities of winning the match is computed
as the ratio of the numbers of votes for them, and the median* outcome is then determined
*TIL it is mathematically impossible for a unique maximum probability elementary event in a BoX
(X > 1 odd) to be a full series
I should probably get back to doing actual school work now
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On October 27 2014 07:48 Shellshock wrote:
He doesnt deserve one is what I was hinting at. He got a freebie instead of an award
lol you just jealous cause DRG too stronk
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On October 27 2014 07:48 dangthatsright wrote:Bracket generated from Poll 71910: Heart: Who will be the WCS 2014 Champion? + Show Spoiler +
Bomber 1 ┐
├───── Jaedong 3 ┐
Jaedong 3 ┘ │
├───── Jaedong 3 ┐
StarDust 0 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 1 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├───── Jaedong 2 ┐
MC 3 ┐ │ │
├────────── MC 2 ┐ │ │
herO 2 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── Polt 1 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 3 ┘ │
Classic 0 ┘ │
├─ soO
San 2 ┐ │
├────── jjakji 0 ┐ │
jjakji 3 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 0 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 2 ┘ │ │
├───────── soO 4 ┘
soO 3 ┐ │
├───────── soO 3 ┐ │
TaeJa 0 ┘ │ │
├───────── soO 3 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 1 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
for a given match, the ratio of the players' probabilities of winning the match is computed
as the ratio of the numbers of votes for them, and the median* outcome is then determined
*TIL it is mathematically impossible for a unique maximum probability outcome in a BoX (X > 1 odd)
to be a full series
I should probably get back to doing actual school work now
I doubt people want MC and jjakji to win...
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On October 27 2014 07:49 Cricketer12 wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2014 07:48 Shellshock wrote:
He doesnt deserve one is what I was hinting at. He got a freebie instead of an award lol you just jealous cause DRG too stronk
DRG getting an award for 15 straight GSL Code S seasons would make about as much sense as Maru being an OSL royal roader
take that how you will
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On October 27 2014 07:49 Cricketer12 wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2014 07:48 dangthatsright wrote:Bracket generated from Poll 71910: Heart: Who will be the WCS 2014 Champion? + Show Spoiler +
Bomber 1 ┐
├───── Jaedong 3 ┐
Jaedong 3 ┘ │
├───── Jaedong 3 ┐
StarDust 0 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 1 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┘ │
├───── Jaedong 2 ┐
MC 3 ┐ │ │
├────────── MC 2 ┐ │ │
herO 2 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── Polt 1 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 3 ┘ │
Classic 0 ┘ │
├─ soO
San 2 ┐ │
├────── jjakji 0 ┐ │
jjakji 3 ┘ │ │
├──────── Zest 0 ┐ │
Zest 3 ┐ │ │ │
├──────── Zest 3 ┘ │ │
Life 2 ┘ │ │
├───────── soO 4 ┘
soO 3 ┐ │
├───────── soO 3 ┐ │
TaeJa 0 ┘ │ │
├───────── soO 3 ┘
HyuN 0 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 1 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┘
for a given match, the ratio of the players' probabilities of winning the match is computed
as the ratio of the numbers of votes for them, and the median* outcome is then determined
*TIL it is mathematically impossible for a unique maximum probability outcome in a BoX (X > 1 odd)
to be a full series
I should probably get back to doing actual school work now I doubt people want MC and jjakji to win...
I can see MC, and maybe a pity vote for Jjakji.
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United States97277 Posts
On October 27 2014 07:49 Cricketer12 wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2014 07:48 Shellshock wrote:
He doesnt deserve one is what I was hinting at. He got a freebie instead of an award lol you just jealous cause DRG too stronk
no it would just be the biggest farce since pre-Kespa sc2 tournaments. if DRG is so stronk how come he never wins anything anymore? He's mid tier at this point
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EPT
