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[ASL10] Ro24 Preview Pt 1: Welcome to the Jungle

Forum Index > BW General
23 CommentsPost a Reply
1 2 Next All

[ASL10] Ro24 Preview Pt 1: Welcome to the Jungle

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
September 6th, 2020 00:57 GMT
ASL Season 10 Banner
We're back again for yet another season of ASL in what has been an incredible series of solo tournaments! Between the newcomers that impressed us last season, Flash's switch to random, and the return of Bisu, there's a lot to look forward to this season.

In addition, we also have a few very interesting maps in this season's map pool, including the infamous Plasma, which reminds us that ASL is not just here to show players grinding games to show off mechanics, it's a display of a far wider array of skills. With any luck, we'll see some heartbreaking upsets or maybe even a surprise championship run, but whatever the case, it's bound to be entertaining!
Group A by BLinD-RawR
Certainty

(P)Bisu - (T)Leta - (Z)Shine - (T)JyJ

Another ASL and another Group A start for Bisu, what are the odds? Well the only odds that matter are that he's 100% making it out of this group in first place. The Terrans Leta and JyJ are unlikely to pose a threat to him, which leaves us with one of his greatest foes, the slayer of all of Bisu’s fans, Shine himself. Although everything points to him taking a game off Bisu or even meeting him in the group as unlikely...but still, destiny arrives all the same.


So glad I got to reuse this, would be funny if I got to reuse this again

(P)Bisu <(Wiki)Ringing Bloom> (T)Leta

Bisu has great stats on Ringing Bloom, with an overall winrate at about 66%, and most of his losses in TvP come from Light, who is no slouch in the matchup (so weird to say this). It's not surprising that Bisu is doing well on this map because it has been very good to Protoss in both non mirror matches on the whole.

Leta’s chances are very slim here. His TvP isn’t anything to write home about, and on this map, it's a 1-10 record so far, Bisu may be winding down as a competitor but unless Leta is getting serious as one. There is nothing more Leta can do than mentally prepare for his next opponent in the losers match

(Z)Shine <(Wiki)Ringing Bloom> (T)JyJ

Neither player here has a particularly good record on this map. It favors Terran, so that's a point to JyJ. Shine has a better win/loss record on the map than JyJ, but JyJ’s wins were against better opponents (ZerO and Soulkey) compared to Shine’s wins mostly against Sharp. I’d still give the edge to Shine for experience and probably pulling something off from his bag of builds.

(P)Bisu <(Wiki)Eclipse> (Z)Shine

Zergs love playing on Eclipse. It's definitely their map for the season. Neither Shine nor Bisu have played much on the map publicly, but from what we’ve seen, Bisu as usual does really well against Zerg on the map, and Shine conversely has been doing a whole lot worse. You can never tell what's going to happen between these two, but honestly it looks very unlikely that Shine could pull off a victory.

Either Bisu ends the game by constantly harassing and denying Shine from mining his third or Shine wins with a 3 Hatch Hydra to prove to us that nothing ever really changes.


(T)Leta <(Wiki)Eclipse> (T)JyJ

JyJ is the better player right now among the two, so I don't see much hope in Leta in this TvT. JyJ should be able to go to the final game without much issue.

(Z)Shine <(Wiki)Polypoid> (T)JyJ

For JyJ, this is a much better map than their earlier match for him. It's one that he's played and won more on, and based on his sponbbang results, he looked like he was well prepared for the eventuality of playing on this map. Shine hasn't been doing particularly well on Polypoid too.

JyJ should be able to dispatch Shine and secure the second Spot in the Ro16 alongside Bisu.

(P)Bisu and (T)JyJ to advance!
Group B by BLinD-RawR
Snowstorm

(P)Snow - (Z)Yoon - (Z)Soulkey - (T)sSak

Theres a lot to be excited for in this group, Snow coming off his ASTL MVP run, ACS Winner Yoon, sSak’s first season since ASL3, and Soulkey hopefully having made his great escape from Stork.

(P)Snow <(Wiki)Ringing Bloom> (Z)Yoon

Snow’s PvZ has been pretty good on Ringing Bloom, rocking a 60% winrate and even having wins against Yoon on it. While I would like to see a good game from Yoon, Snow should make quick work of the ACS winner.

(Z)Soulkey <(Wiki)Ringing Bloom> (T)sSak

For as great of a run as Snow had in the ASTL, Soulkey had the exact opposite experience. On paper Soulkey is great with his overall winrate of 60% with wins against Light and Flash, but there seems to be a huge mental block when it comes to his offline performance. sSak makes his ASL return after his military service. While not as active as before and still a bit rusty, he’s a very capable Terran and can deal with other players at an ASL level.

Soulkey has wins on this map and sSak doesn’t really. If sSak does take this, I’d be seriously worried about Soulkey as a competitor.

(P)Snow <(Wiki)Eclipse> (Z)Soulkey

This is the match of the day, at least the one that most people would want to see in this group, and Eclipse is a good map for it. The map is Zerg favored with an overall winrate of 55% in favor of Zerg in ZvP, and on the player level Snow is at a 60% win rate compared to Soulkey's 50%. Snow also has two wins on the map against Soulkey too, so he is definitely still the favorite going into this match.

Eclipse is a pretty high gas map for a two player map. Every expansion has a gas geyser, so there is a lot of potential for some great late game armies in this match. Both players are solid macro players, and I do believe it could come to it.

Snow should win, but expect a solid match.

(Z)Yoon<(Wiki)Eclipse> (T)sSak

Eclipse so far has been a Terran favored map in the matchup, but sSak’s TvZ has not been up to the mark compared to his mirror or TvP. If Yoon has something prepared, he can totally catch sSak off guard, but I’m a bit skeptical on how Yoon will perform at this level of pressure. I’m going to put experience over skill for this match and say sSak should still win.

(Z)Soulkey <(Wiki)Polypoid> (T)sSak

Same story as their opening game. Soulkey has really good ZvT, and sSak’s weakest matchup is TvZ. If sSak couldn’t pull off the win on Ringing Bloom, he wouldn’t be able to pull it off on familiar territory like Polypoid.

(P)Snow and (Z)Soulkey Advance to Ro16!
Writers: Blind-Rawr
Editor: AllyssaGrey
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TL+ Member
whylessness
Profile Joined November 2010
United States376 Posts
September 06 2020 01:07 GMT
#2
hype
srj
Profile Joined July 2010
Canada134 Posts
September 06 2020 01:09 GMT
#3
I'm so hyped for this. ASL has been missing from my life
unit
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States2621 Posts
September 06 2020 01:19 GMT
#4
Hyped, Bisu/Shine and Snow/Soulkey
QOGQOG
Profile Joined July 2019
834 Posts
September 06 2020 01:21 GMT
#5
Very excited for both of these groups, we'll see if Bisu manages to impress more than his last Ro24. Though I think I'm most interested in seeing if Yoon can pull something off, perhaps taking advantage of SoulKey's ZvZ.
Brainojack
Profile Joined March 2018
Canada195 Posts
September 06 2020 01:49 GMT
#6
Finally starting up...hold on to your butts.
MinixTheNerd
Profile Joined July 2019
200 Posts
September 06 2020 02:13 GMT
#7
omg so hyped bring it on ASL
Freezard
Profile Blog Joined April 2007
Sweden1011 Posts
September 06 2020 02:55 GMT
#8
Great design on this article

Rooting for my SKT bois Bisu and... sSak (ok sorry but not really).

Just excited for a new season and to see Leta finally flood the skies with Wraiths again.
Cush
Profile Joined September 2010
United States646 Posts
September 06 2020 04:05 GMT
#9
Finally! Been waiting for this since the day it was announced.
"That's not your main base Stardust.....Stardust.....that's not your main" Sayle
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4188 Posts
September 06 2020 04:50 GMT
#10
can't wait... hope this season will be at least as good as the last one!

H-Y-P-E
odi profanum vulgus et arceo
Me_ToKa
Profile Joined September 2009
Bulgaria309 Posts
September 06 2020 05:15 GMT
#11
Bisu,Leta
Snow,sSak
Zeronova
Profile Joined September 2020
54 Posts
September 06 2020 05:36 GMT
#12
Group A: Heart says Bisu Shine. Head says Jyj Shine. Bisu really struggled qualifying

Group B: Snow Soulkey. Soulkey has been off but sSak didn’t look good in a best of 9 Vs Hero. Give Soulkey BoD
ShowTheLights
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
Korea (South)1683 Posts
September 06 2020 05:40 GMT
#13
Rain not playing makes this tournament so much worse

Fucking waste of talent Miss that dude so much already
•••Acer.MMA••• <> KT_Puzzle <> JinAir•GreenWings_CoCa <> CJ_herO <> Axiom CranK & Ryung <> IM_Seed <> IM_Squirtle <> le' ToD <> Innovation <> ROOT_CatZ <> inuh! <> Chobra <> SKT1_Fantasy
thislooksgreat1
Profile Joined January 2020
59 Posts
September 06 2020 06:28 GMT
#14
NICE
Dante08
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
Singapore4126 Posts
September 06 2020 07:05 GMT
#15
HYPE
Grouhh
Profile Joined May 2019
56 Posts
September 06 2020 08:00 GMT
#16
Guaranteed 1st place for Bisu seems a bit optimistic to me, to say the least
But I really hope your prediction is correct :-)
AttackZerg
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States7454 Posts
September 06 2020 08:22 GMT
#17
Thank you for the write-up and the reminder that something I love is just a few hours away.

I have always been bothered that Bisu's PvT has the reputation it does. I can remember so many times that he played pvt with the same flair and bisu-only-possible multi-tasking that he used to bring to PvZ. And while I nearly always root for zerg, I will be shocked and saddened if Shine is able to beat Bisu again.

If there ever was a USEAST zerg-style represented at the pro level it is Shine. If I want to see 'clever builds' I'll watch Soma or Soulkey and if I want to see 2 hat - 3 hat hydra all-in's I can just rewatch Jaedongs last year in tournaments.

Fuck I can't believe I am saying this - PROTOSS HWAITING! BISU HWaiting~!
A.Alm
Profile Joined September 2012
Sweden515 Posts
September 06 2020 08:27 GMT
#18
Nice new article design. I love these writeups.
KobraKay
Profile Joined March 2010
Portugal4231 Posts
September 06 2020 08:39 GMT
#19
Nice write-up but I will have to give a little more credit to Yoon. I think he will advance with Snow.
CJ Fighting! (--.--)
ZZZero.O
Profile Joined July 2011
Poland1506 Posts
September 06 2020 09:33 GMT
#20
Bisu and Shine FTW !
https://www.patreon.com/Bombastic || https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/Bombastic_StarLeague || https://linktr.ee/bombastic
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