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Fantasy GSL May Draft Guide

Blogs > Primadog
Post a Reply
Primadog
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States4411 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-21 00:54:39
April 15 2011 17:19 GMT
#1
[image loading]

FantasyGSL
A fantasy league based on the May 2011 Global StarLeague (GSL 6), playable at http://fantasystarcraft.net/ .


Introduction

A fantasy league is a game where participants act as owners to build a team that competes against other fantasy owners based on the statistics generated by the real individual players or teams of a professional sport.

This guide provides detailed statistics and analysis to maximize your chances for winning season 2 (GSL 6) of Fantasy GSL on http://fantasystarcraft.net/ .


More information

  • Official FantasyGSL teamliquid thread
  • FantasyGSL rules
  • Fantasy NASL Draft Guide
  • FantasyGSL spreadsheet and data
  • GSL format (it's complicated)


Salary cap analysis

+ Show Spoiler [Players salary list] +


500 [image loading]
1 Code S: (P)oGs.MC

350 [image loading]
1 Code S: (Z)ST.July

300 [image loading]
2 Code S:
(P)NSHoSeo.San,(T)oGs.NaDa

250 [image loading]
1 Code S: (P)anypro

225 [image loading]
3 Code S:
(T)Liquid'Jinro, (T)sC.fOu, (T)FOX.Lyn

175 [image loading]
3 Code S:
(P)TSL.Trickster, (T)TSL.Clide, (T)IM.Losira

150 [image loading]
5 Code S:
(P)MarineKingPrime.WE, (Z)IM.NesTea, (P)HongUnPrime.WE, (T)ZeNexByun, (T)oGsSuperNova

125 [image loading]
1 Code S: (P)SlayerS.Alicia

100 [image loading]
5 Code S:
(T)oGsTOP, (Z)ZeNEX.Kyrix, (Z)oGsTheWinD, (Z)CheckPrime.WE, (T)oGsEnsnare
1 Code A:
(T)IM.mvp

50 [image loading]
6 Code S:
(T)TSL_Rain, (P)Liquid.HuK, (P)ST.Virus, (P)TSL.Killer, (T)MVP.Genius, (Z)oGsZenio
2 Code A:
(P)choyafOu, (Z)LeenockfOu

25 [image loading]
4 Code S:
(T)PoltPrime.WE, (P)ST.RainBOw, (Z)TSL.FruitDealer, (P)oGsInCa
29 Code A:
(T)SlayerS.BoxeR, (Z)SlayerS.Min, (Z)ST.Ace, (T)oGsHyperdub, (P)MVP.Luer, (Z)SlayerS.YuGiOh
(T)ST.Bomber, (T)SlayerS.MMA, (T)SlayerS.Ryung, (T)MVP.Noblesse, (T)MVP.Keen, (T)TSL.aLive
(P)IM.Nuts, (T)TheBestfOu, (P)SlayerS.Brown, (Z)ZeNEX.Line, (T)ST.August, (P)MVP.Violet
(P)ST_Squirtle, (P)MVP.finale, (Z)TSL.RevivaL, (P)MVP.Avenge, (T)ZeNEX.Jjun, (P)NSHoSeo.Tassadar
NSHoSeo.vanvanth, (P)CreatorPrime.WE, (T)IM.GanZi, (Z)ZeNEX.CoCa, (P)TopClassfOu

Fantasy GSL has a league-wide salary of 5600 [image loading] for GSL 6, with each fantasy team restricted to a salary cap of 1500 [image loading]. There are 64 players total in the league seperated into two divisions: 32 players in Code S and 32 players in Code A. The salary is distributed as following:

[image loading]

In Code A, 3 points are awarded for each match win and 1 point deducted for each lost in bracket play, with 10 bonus points if the player advanced to Code S in the up-and-down matches. In Code S, 6 points are awarded for each win and 1 point deducted for each lost, with additional points awarded for every round the player advanced (final placement bonus: ro16: +10; ro8: +15; ro4: +18; finals: +21 points). Overall, a Code S player has a possible point range of -2 to +111 points, and a Code A player has a possible final point range of -2 to +46 points.

Between 64 to 97 games will be played in Code A, awarding a total of 128 to 194 points (with up to 80 bonus points for code S advancement). Between 70 to 109 games will be played in Code S, awarding a total of 568 to 763 points (including 218 bonus points). The complete league for GSL 6 is scored at 696 to 1037 points.

The expected value of a 1500 [image loading] fantasy team is between 186 to 278 points. If we use this expected value as a baseline score for an average team, each point is worth about 5.4[image loading] to 8.0[image loading].


Code A analysis
bracket, preview, pick 'em

As a whole, Code A is overall better value than Code S. The entire code A will provide between 128 to 274 point at a total salary of 925 [image loading]. Purchasing the entire Code A is an above average position with points valued between 7.2[image loading] and 3.4[image loading].

+ Show Spoiler [Code A points and salary distribution] +

[image loading]
  • 100 [image loading]: 1 player
  • 50 [image loading]: 2 players
  • 25 [image loading]: 29 players

[image loading]

[image loading]
Salaries and points are evenly distributed across Code-A, with the exception of clear favorites like (T)MVP (100[image loading]), (P)Choya (50[image loading]), and (Z)Leenock (50[image loading]). All other players are valued at 25[image loading], including surprises such as (T)Bomber, (T)TheBest, (T)Hyperdub, and (T)BoxeR. Any Code A player that advanced past the ro32 represent high value points for pickup.

Player needs to reach the following round to meet expectation
  • 25[image loading]: round of 16 (8.3[image loading]~3.6[image loading] per point)
  • 50[image loading]: round of 8 (6.3[image loading]~3.8[image loading] per point)
  • 100[image loading]: ro4 (7.7[image loading]~5.3[image loading] per point) or ro8 & advanced to Code S (5.6[image loading]~4.3[image loading] per point)



Code S analysis
bracket, pick 'em

In contrast to Code A, the points and salary distributions in Code S have an extremely wide range. Players are available from 25[image loading] up to 500[image loading], and the points awarded are also much more lopsided:

+ Show Spoiler [Code S salary distribution] +
  • 500 [image loading]: 1 player
  • 350 [image loading]: 1 player
  • 300 [image loading]: 2 players
  • 250 [image loading]: 1 player
  • 225 [image loading]: 3 players
  • 175 [image loading]: 3 players
  • 150 [image loading]: 5 players
  • 125 [image loading]: 1 player
  • 100 [image loading]: 5 player
  • 50 [image loading]: 6 players
  • 25 [image loading]: 4 players

[image loading]

[image loading]
This wide divergence is further compounded by the group stage of Code S. Each group are allocated two ro16 spots and will score 40 to 50 points each (disregarding subsequent performance). This effectively mean some groups will has more expensive points than others. For example, Group E cost 850[image loading] total while Group F cost 400[image loading]. This makes Group F players much more valuable than Group E players, without regard to their personal merit.

Salaries of each group
  • Group A: 775 [image loading] ( (P)MC 500 [image loading])
  • Group B: 500 [image loading] ( (T)sC.fOu 225 [image loading])
  • Group C: 475 [image loading] ( (T)LosirA 175 [image loading])
  • Group D: 625 [image loading] ( (T)NaDa 300 [image loading])
  • Group E: 850 [image loading] ( (P)San 300 [image loading])
  • Group F: 400 [image loading] ( (T)Lyn 225 [image loading])
  • Group G: 575 [image loading] ( (P)anypro 250 [image loading])
  • Group H: 475 [image loading] ( (Z)July 350 [image loading])


Furthermore, some groups have clear favors that occupies significant portion of the group salary. This made other members of the said group comparably more valuable, since at minimum one other member will reach the ro16. These idiosyncrasies allows for exploitation of the fantasy system beyond the personal merit of each player.

Player needs to reach the following round to meet expectation
  • 500 [image loading]: finals (7.0[image loading]~5.0[image loading])
  • 350 [image loading]: round of 4 (6.6[image loading]~4.7[image loading])
  • 300 [image loading]: round of 8 (8.8[image loading]~5.5[image loading])
  • 250 [image loading]: round of 8 (7.4[image loading]~4.6[image loading])
  • 225 [image loading]: round of 8 (6.6[image loading]~4.2[image loading])
  • 175 [image loading]: round of 16 (9.2[image loading]~5.5[image loading])
  • 150 [image loading]: round of 16 (7.9[image loading]~4.7[image loading])
  • 125 [image loading]: round of 16 (6.6[image loading]~3.9[image loading])
  • 100 [image loading]: round of 16 (5.3[image loading]~3.1[image loading])
  • 50 [image loading]: round of 16 (2.6[image loading]~1.6[image loading])
  • 25 [image loading]: round of 16 (1.3[image loading]~0.8[image loading])


Recommendations

  • Majority of Code A, with exception of those that are near guaranteed to be out in ro32 (for example, (P)Lure)
  • Group F with the lowest total salary
  • Excluding (Z)ST.July, Group H has the lowest cost for a guaranteed ro16 spot at 125 minerals
  • All 25[image loading] and 50[image loading] Code S players


Thank God and gunrun.
Primadog
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States4411 Posts
April 15 2011 17:19 GMT
#2
[reserved for data]
Thank God and gunrun.
Primadog
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States4411 Posts
April 15 2011 17:19 GMT
#3
[reserved for faq]
Thank God and gunrun.
Matk41
Profile Joined September 2010
Canada19 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-04-15 23:13:50
April 15 2011 23:13 GMT
#4
Looking good as always Primadog.

I really like and appreciate the work you're doing with these guides. Great job!
GarB from FantasyStarcraft.net
57 Corvette
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada5941 Posts
April 18 2011 12:21 GMT
#5
Oh crap, now its too late to make a fantasy GSL team?
Survival is winning, everything else is bullshit.
Primadog
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States4411 Posts
April 18 2011 16:14 GMT
#6
Roster-locked yesterday, sorry!
Thank God and gunrun.
Phaint
Profile Joined May 2010
Canada211 Posts
April 20 2011 19:35 GMT
#7
You guys did this fantasy GSL way too short notice. I checked very often for the longest time to set it up and missed the few days before the season started and can't do it... Pretty lame.
slained
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
Canada966 Posts
April 21 2011 20:59 GMT
#8
I was just wondering how I can add myself into a group? the option seems to not be there, I'm in the group but I can't append myself to the list of players
Primadog
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States4411 Posts
April 22 2011 19:48 GMT
#9
As far as I know, currently you can only add your team to a group when creating a new team. I heard they're fixing it.
Thank God and gunrun.
Rayeth
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States883 Posts
April 22 2011 20:56 GMT
#10
I would love to have the points for my Fantasy GSL team displayed next to the team as a whole in the same way as the NASL teams do. That would make checking my score with my friends in a group much easier rather than looking everyone up in a giant list.
The Innocent shall suffer... big time.
zerglingrodeo
Profile Joined September 2010
United States910 Posts
April 24 2011 20:10 GMT
#11
Are the fantasy GSL scores going to be updated?
"This is how philosophers should salute one another: 'Take your time!'' - Wittgenstein
whiterabbit
Profile Joined June 2009
2675 Posts
April 26 2011 09:38 GMT
#12
Are GSL results even getting updated or? I can't see my standing anywhere...
NUTELLA y u no make me skinny?!?
Phaint
Profile Joined May 2010
Canada211 Posts
May 02 2011 06:04 GMT
#13
The first place person in the fantasy NASL clearly hacked as he has nearly triple the salary cap possible spent. Been like this since day 1 and not even banned? Between this and not updating your website as well as opening fantasy GSL rosters 2 days before GSL started... What a joke.
Primadog
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States4411 Posts
May 02 2011 08:36 GMT
#14
I am not part of the FantasyStarcraft staff. I suppose since that my guide is featured, I should be considered "affiliated." Here's what the staff had said:


On April 27 2011 10:39 wattra wrote:
Sorry guys, the team has been busy lately writing finals.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=206530&currentpage=9

The kids there are making this happen on their free time, and sometimes that means Real Life gets in the way. They'll fix it. Stop being a douchebag.
Thank God and gunrun.
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