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On liquibetting

Blogs > boxerfred
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boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-09-22 10:06:57
September 22 2014 09:46 GMT
#1
Hello there, and welcome to a spontaneous blog.

Some weeks ago, I realized I was top10 in liquibets. I was running around rank 7, always staring on FFW_Rude since he was either some points ahead or tied with me. To be honest, I started using liquibets because that number at the top left annoyed me. a lot. that's why I'm also guessing randomly on bw liquibets, I hate those numbers popping up.

But - once I had realized that I am actually not too bad at guessing (because I placed my bets on feelings, supported with a bit of knowledge about the players and the tournaments), I really wanted to climb that liquibet ladder. I still did not do any research about the players, and lately, as Code S ro8 started, I managed to climb a bit further: + Show Spoiler +
[image loading]

hello, jake!


Seeing Zest vs. soO, the decision was rather easy: Zest is on fire lately, and while soO is one hell of a good Zerg, I feel like he won't be able to beat a KT protoss that can focus on his single tournament. Then I took into consideration that currently, SKT is letting go of great protosses, and PartinG, who'd still be a great guy for preparation, is off the road, getting his ass kicked in RBBG.
Easy choice (but let's see, those 5 points might bite me at the end).

Then my eyes fell on Innovation vs. Cure. And this was the point where I decided to blog. Up to this point, liquibet placings were a "hm, I think this guy's better" or "hm, I think I like this guy more than the other one" (obviously I'm a bandwagoner? :D). Then, only minutes ago, I found myself on aligulac, checking for Innovation's TvT rate. So, what did I do in the end?

+ Show Spoiler [my placing] +
I went with Innovation. Though TvT is and always will be his Achilles heel, he's in Korea, he's focusing on GSL, and he's on fire. Cure was abroad in RBBG, losing roughly 3 or 4 days of training and showing some flaws in his TvT. He also gave away a TvT series to Bunny (not saying bunny's bad, but he's at no point Code S Ro4 material) and lost to Innovation 0-2 before. In the meantime, Innovation pretty much wrecked his terran opponents, having lost only a single bo1 in ATC to Axiom's Heart.


At this point, I am really eager to get top1. I might be top3, but ever since I am checking the stats, there's that BeateR guy who's really good at it! As such, my relationship to starcraft is way too emotional. I got myself into two mod notes at the RBBG LR thread, and at that point I realized that the TL.net community is really something that's accomodating me for a lot of things that went wrong in my life. Don't get me wrong - I have a decent life, a decent job, a wonderful daughter - it's just that I always get at that point where I realize that I can do more, that I can be way better than this - and then I stop doing anything and go down the rabbit hole, because - well, I don't know why.

I started laddering - and I'm 46-5 in plat. Oh well, and since I am not being promoted instantly, I stopped it again. This blog might go deep into some self-reflection, so I'll end this right here . Just hoping that I'll get top2 or even top1 on liquibets.

#FIGHTING

***
GumBa
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
United Kingdom31935 Posts
September 22 2014 10:05 GMT
#2
5/5 for INnoVation victory. And emotions just show you care about this hobby and thats a good thing.
Boxerfred fighting! :D
To all the haters: you deserve to witness many, many more Serral victories, worthy of the godlike player he is.
Skynx
Profile Blog Joined January 2013
Turkey7150 Posts
September 22 2014 10:31 GMT
#3
Predicting soO not advancing to finals is a bold bold one my friend
"When seagulls follow the troller, it is because they think sardines will be thrown into the sea. Thank you very much" - King Cantona | STX 4 eva
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
September 22 2014 10:32 GMT
#4
On September 22 2014 19:31 Skynx wrote:
Predicting soO not advancing to finals is a bold bold one my friend

Neither is predicting Zest.
Skynx
Profile Blog Joined January 2013
Turkey7150 Posts
September 22 2014 10:33 GMT
#5
Oh btw forgot to say you can turn those numbers off from profile settings :p
"When seagulls follow the troller, it is because they think sardines will be thrown into the sea. Thank you very much" - King Cantona | STX 4 eva
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
September 22 2014 11:48 GMT
#6
Ah damn, i have the same liquibets for the semis, can't overtake you then -.-
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
September 22 2014 13:55 GMT
#7
I also picked Zest and INnoVation. This way I can be disappointed if Cure wins, or impressed if soO wins, or annoyed if Cure and soO win.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
jakethesnake
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada4948 Posts
September 22 2014 14:06 GMT
#8
Now that I know how you are voting, I can guarantee that I will still be tied with you after all of this

And hopefully tied for first!
Community Newsjjakji || jjakji || jjakji || jjakji || jjakji || jjakji || jjakji nshoseo.jpg
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
September 22 2014 14:44 GMT
#9
On September 22 2014 23:06 jakethesnake wrote:
Now that I know how you are voting, I can guarantee that I will still be tied with you after all of this

And hopefully tied for first!

I guess I need password protected spoilers in the future. I plan to continue those liquibet blogs.
jakethesnake
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada4948 Posts
September 22 2014 15:43 GMT
#10
On September 22 2014 23:44 boxerfred wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2014 23:06 jakethesnake wrote:
Now that I know how you are voting, I can guarantee that I will still be tied with you after all of this

And hopefully tied for first!

I guess I need password protected spoilers in the future. I plan to continue those liquibet blogs.

haha. Don't worry, I'm not going to just follow your picks. If you don't make calculated risks, you'll never take the lead. But we do need to take BeaTer down. He has been on top for far too long.

Before RBBG I would have gone with Zest/Cure, but I just can't bring myself to bet on Cure after watching his TvT there
Community Newsjjakji || jjakji || jjakji || jjakji || jjakji || jjakji || jjakji nshoseo.jpg
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
September 22 2014 17:17 GMT
#11
On September 23 2014 00:43 jakethesnake wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2014 23:44 boxerfred wrote:
On September 22 2014 23:06 jakethesnake wrote:
Now that I know how you are voting, I can guarantee that I will still be tied with you after all of this

And hopefully tied for first!

I guess I need password protected spoilers in the future. I plan to continue those liquibet blogs.

haha. Don't worry, I'm not going to just follow your picks. If you don't make calculated risks, you'll never take the lead. But we do need to take BeaTer down. He has been on top for far too long.

Before RBBG I would have gone with Zest/Cure, but I just can't bring myself to bet on Cure after watching his TvT there

I don't feel like it's especially shaky, but Inno got a lot of games to study.
Cam Connor
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Canada786 Posts
September 22 2014 22:07 GMT
#12
one time i was #1 in liquibet2 for like over half the thing
then in the last tournament i shit the bed and got 20th or some shit i was so mad
+ Show Spoiler +
i still am
post to be
TL+ Member
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
September 23 2014 00:28 GMT
#13
I'm garbage at liquibets partially because I often forget to do it.

WP sir
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
September 23 2014 08:15 GMT
#14
On September 23 2014 09:28 Darkhorse wrote:
I'm garbage at liquibets partially because I often forget to do it.

WP sir

That's what happened to me all the seasons since 2011 or so. Maybe I should've added to my blog that my motivation to win liquibets also comes from a "let's do ALL the bets" mentality.
FFW_Rude
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France10201 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-10-21 09:12:42
October 21 2014 09:08 GMT
#15
I just saw this. I never played Liquidbets (or maybe during WOL beta). So i don't think i could be ahead of you

Also don't worry with emotion and starcraft. I'm literally requesting my bans before they get to me :p I cried during SPL when Flash's parents cried and i screamed so loud and kicked my desk so strong that i bruised myself when i saw the Nexus going down during TY's game.

Watching Starcraft is a passion. If you have emotion, then you are pationate.
#1 KT Rolster fanboy. KT BEST KT ! Hail to KT playoffs Zergs ! Unofficial french translator for SlayerS_`Boxer` biography "Crazy as me".
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