Power rank recap: DH day1

archonOOid

1983 Posts

April 27 2013 01:13 GMT

So dreamhack day 1 has now been completed and some of the competitors have been knocked out. I had some extra energy left after watching dreamhack and decided to compile TL power ranking's predictability although it's not designed to measure the likelihood of placements but rather present skill. With TL's power ranking notes aside i'll go ahead with those notes not in mind.

Players that made it to GS #3 could be said to have reached ro32 or placements 17-32. With that in my players who exited the tournament in GS #3 and were ranked in that range were given a fair rank.

Match and map score in final GS
#32: Mill.Dayshi Out in GS #2 0-3, 1-6 = Below expectation

#31: Mill.Feast Out in GS #2 2-1, 4-4 = Below expectation

#30 Acer.Bly Out in GS #2 1-2, 2-4 = Below expectation

#29: Acer.Nerchio Out in GS #3 1-2, 3-5 = Expected position

#28: Empire|Kas In ro16 = Above expectation

#27: Liquid`Ret Out in GS #3 1-2, 2-4 = Expected position

#26 K3.VortiX Not in competition

#25: WW.SortOf In ro16 = Above expectation

#24: Empire|Happy Out in GS #3 0-3, 1-6 = Below expectation

#23: Liquid`Zenio Out in GS #3 1-2, 4-4 = Expected position

#22: Quantic.Center Out in GS #3 0-2, 1-4 = Expected position

#21: FnaticSaSe In ro16 = Above expectation

#20: EG.ThorZaIN.RC Out in GS #3 1-2, 4-4 = Expected position

#19: CoCa In ro16 = Above expectation

#18: Puzzle In ro16 = Above expectation

#17: Liquid`Snute Out in GS #2 0-3, 2-6 = Below expectation

#16: Definitely-not-EG.NaNiwa In ro16 = Expected position

#15: EG.Stephano.RC In ro16 = Expected position

#14: EG.Jaedong.RC In ro16 = Expected position

#13: Quantic.HyuN In ro16 = Expected position

#12: mouz.MaNa Out in GS #2 1-2, 3-5 = Below expectation

#11: ROOT.YugiOh Out in GS #3 1-2, 3-4 = Below expectation

#10: ROOT.Sage Out in GS #3 0-3, 0-6 = Below expectation

#9: K3.LucifroN Out in GS #2 2-1, 5-3 > TB1 > TB2 > Coin flipped

#8: EG.Oz.RC Out in GS #3 1-2, 3-5 = Below expectation

#7: Mill.ForGG Out in GS #3 0-3, 2-6 = Below expectation

#6: EG.JYP.RC Out in GS #2 1-2, 2-4 = Below expectation

#5: Liquid`HerO In ro16 = Expected position

#4: FXO.Leenock In ro16 = Expected position

#3: FXO.GuMiho In ro16 = Expected position

#2: SK_MC Out in GS #3 0-3, 1-6 = Below expectation

#1: CMStorm_Polt Out in GS #3 1-2, 2-3 = Below expectation

Overall, 13 players finished below expectations, 5 (+ 4 unranked players) finished above expectations and 12 players finished accordingly to their power ranking.

Players who made it to ro16 but for some reason weren't ranked. Overachievers or bad scouting?

Grubby won over #1 and #27 to succeed to ro16
Kas won over #5, #23 ad #31 to succeed to ro16
Verdi won over #12 and #20 to succeed to ro16
Huk won over #1 and #32 to succeed to ro16
TLO won over #6, #7, #21 and #29 to succeed to ro16

Comments:
Mc and especially Polt has to be the biggest loser of this tournament as he lost to guys not even ranked top 32.

TLO has beaten 4 ranked players and thus 4 higher ranked players than himself which strongly suggests that the power ranking overlooked the capacity of TLO. Thus, he deserves to be ranked higher in upcoming competitions.

JYP was the highest ranked player who had the earliest finish and failed against players who weren't even in the top 32.

Lucifron position might have gone to the round of 16 but YugiOh and Strelok didn't. He would have had better chances than those two if the power ranking was correct. The coin flip scenario gives me no chances to determine if he performed to the expectations.

With the variability of the tournament format, players shifting shape and current balance to really determine each players skill you can say that power ranking was rather well put together. I give it a B-