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MLG Betting

Blogs > ChickenLips
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ChickenLips
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
2912 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-03 16:19:08
June 03 2011 16:05 GMT
#1
The MLG lines are in
+ Show Spoiler [Complete lines] +
[image loading]

Lots and lots of bets available, I've decided to bet sparsely on matches where I like the lines and have a sufficient understanding of both the player's skills.


-1.5 means the player has to win by at least a 1.5 match margin. i.e. 3-0, 3-1 but not 3-2. In a BO3 it's a 2-0.


[image loading]

I'm interested in how the foreigners will stack up against the Korean monsters. From what I've seen there's a rather large skill gap between the best in NA and the best in KR. Let's hope that reflects in my winnings

Thoughts?
Did anyone else place some bets?

❤Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ✿
Mattchew
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States5684 Posts
June 03 2011 16:10 GMT
#2
what is the 1.5 mean?
There is always tomorrow nshs.seal.
RPR_Tempest
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Australia7798 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-03 16:11:12
June 03 2011 16:10 GMT
#3
Moon is not bad, bad, bad. He's a good player, but he doesn't show it in GSL. He's been doing extremely well in NASL, and he also came 2nd in IEM.

EDIT: To clarify, I still think Naniwa will win, but give Moon some credit.
Soundwave, Zerg player from Canberra, Australia. @SoundwaveSC
ChickenLips
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
2912 Posts
June 03 2011 16:18 GMT
#4
On June 04 2011 01:10 ditkaordie wrote:
what is the 1.5 mean?



-1.5 means the player has to win by at least a 1.5 match margin. i.e. 3-0, 3-1 but not 3-2. In a BO3 it's a 2-0.

On June 04 2011 01:10 RPR_Tempest wrote:
Moon is not bad, bad, bad. He's a good player, but he doesn't show it in GSL. He's been doing extremely well in NASL, and he also came 2nd in IEM.

EDIT: To clarify, I still think Naniwa will win, but give Moon some credit.



Of course, Moon is a great player yada yada, but compared to some of these other guys I've placed bets on, I think he has yet to practice to get on that same level. He has some solid micro, but his macro is very unrefined, and if it goes into a longer game I don't see him winning.
❤Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ✿
MrCon
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
France29748 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-04 04:33:58
June 03 2011 16:27 GMT
#5
I bet way too much on this weekend xD
TLO +1.5 2.140 3.470
Losira -1.5 1.752 1.332
Losira has a bad vT, TLO always shines in lans, I took the risk with those odds.

SeleCT 2.380
IdrA 1.617
Idra has a very high winrate against Select, a very safe bet with a very good price.

SeleCT 1.885
RET 1.971
Ret has a winning record against Select in recent matches, very easy bet at this price.

Moonan 2.160
SjoW 1.735
I took a little of Sjow (not a big bet), because the price is good. But I nearly bet on Moonan, he's on the rise and Sjow last NASL was awful (but was a vZ) Urg, you got the same@1.926 ><

SLush -1.5 2.030 1.385
Gretorp +1.5 1.833 3.160
Very good price for the handicap, Gretorp should get rolled.

Kiwikaki -1.5 2.360 1.541
Sheth +1.5 1.625 2.570
A fun little bet because of the good odd. Kiwi is a favorite but no by that much, and PvZ is hard nowadays.

Moonan +1.5 2.130 3.570
MMA -1.5 1.758 1.318
Yeah, I love risks.

aquanda
Profile Joined January 2003
United States477 Posts
June 03 2011 16:42 GMT
#6
Haha, I enjoyed reading your comments :D I am not sure MC is as unbeatable as you think, but I agreed with most of what you said. I can't wait to watch the results, either way.
echobong
Profile Joined September 2010
Canada92 Posts
June 03 2011 16:44 GMT
#7
sorry, i do not know this site very well. what is the link to the page you screenshotted? I would like to place my bets as well.
deepfield1
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States373 Posts
June 03 2011 16:44 GMT
#8
loved the comments
MrCon
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
France29748 Posts
June 03 2011 16:53 GMT
#9
On June 04 2011 01:44 echobong wrote:
sorry, i do not know this site very well. what is the link to the page you screenshotted? I would like to place my bets as well.

http://www.pinnaclesports.com/League/E Sports/SC2 MLG/1/Lines.aspx
torgr1
Profile Joined May 2011
36 Posts
June 03 2011 16:58 GMT
#10

I betted way too much on this weekend xD
TLO +1.5 2.140 3.470
Losira -1.5 1.752 1.332
Losira has a bad vT, TLO always shines in lans, I took the risk with those odds.

That's really risky


SeleCT 2.380
IdrA 1.617
Idra has a very high winrate against Select, a very safe bet with a very good price.

According to TLPD, idra a 60% winrate vs Select, that isn't "very high"...

SeleCT 1.885
RET 1.971
Ret has a winning record against Select in recent matches, very easy bet at this price.

Again, ret only has 60%, thats not a "very easy bet", you are severely underestimating Select.



Kiwikaki -1.5 2.360 1.541
Sheth +1.5 1.625 2.570
A fun little bet because of the good odd. Kiwi is a favorite but no by that much, and PvZ is
hard nowadays.

nonsense..


Moonan +1.5 2.130 3.570
MMA -1.5 1.758 1.318
Yeah, I love risks.

NONSENSE

I would have bet the exact same opposite of you :p

ChickenLips
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
2912 Posts
June 03 2011 17:00 GMT
#11
On June 04 2011 01:27 MrCon wrote:
I betted way too much on this weekend xD

haha me too :D

TLO +1.5 2.140 3.470
Losira -1.5 1.752 1.332
Losira has a bad vT, TLO always shines in lans, I took the risk with those odds.

Yeah I agree on the LosirA part. TLO ... I love the guy, but he has just disappointed time and time again when it came to beating good players. He just focuses on the most creative builds. If I were to coach him, I'd just force him to go 1rax CC tank-marine vZ and vT 2 months nonstop, only MM vsP and just focus on mechanics and decision making.

But then there's his CT :/ I feel really bad for him. Tens of thousands of people made him their super-hero when he was just 18 and that can get to your head quite quickly... Get better TLO!


SeleCT 2.380
IdrA 1.617
Idra has a very high winrate against Select, a very safe bet with a very good price.


I agree, but I'm kind of wary betting on IdrA, he's got skill but he's just so inconsistent. Last MLG he went out in 2 really weird games against TLO, then there was that 0-2 against SeleCT where he got insta-cheesed out. If he were to get his head screwed straight-on, I'd be more willing to put money on him ... but as is, there's better players for that

SeleCT 1.885
RET 1.971
Ret has a winning record against Select in recent matches, very easy bet at this price.

Moonan 2.160
SjoW 1.735
I took a little of Sjow (not a big bet), because the price is good. But I nearly bet on Moonan, he's on the rise and Sjow last NASL was awful (but was a vZ)

Yeah Sjow is really bad vZ

Urg, you got the same@1.926 ><


^>^;;


SLush -1.5 2.030 1.385
Gretorp +1.5 1.833 3.160
Very good price for the handicap, Gretorp should get rolled.


I thought about betting here too ... but I don't know how either of these players play, so I refrained from doing so.

Kiwikaki -1.5 2.360 1.541
Sheth +1.5 1.625 2.570
A fun little bet because of the good odd. Kiwi is a favorite but no by that much, and PvZ is hard nowadays.


Yeah Sheth is kinda decent vP and Kiwi pretty cheesy, might turn out a good decision

Moonan +1.5 2.130 3.570
MMA -1.5 1.758 1.318
Yeah, I love risks.


Not such a bad bet, MMA is good at playing from behind, he should take that series without a problem, even if Moonan manages to surprise him.
❤Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ✿
darmousseh
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States3437 Posts
June 03 2011 17:00 GMT
#12
Lol you took the safest bet possible. How much will you win(what ratio) if you get this perfect?
Developer for http://mtgfiddle.com
MrCon
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
France29748 Posts
June 03 2011 17:03 GMT
#13
On June 04 2011 01:58 torgr1 wrote:
Show nested quote +

I betted way too much on this weekend xD
TLO +1.5 2.140 3.470
Losira -1.5 1.752 1.332
Losira has a bad vT, TLO always shines in lans, I took the risk with those odds.

That's really risky

Show nested quote +

SeleCT 2.380
IdrA 1.617
Idra has a very high winrate against Select, a very safe bet with a very good price.

According to TLPD, idra a 60% winrate vs Select, that isn't "very high"...

Show nested quote +
SeleCT 1.885
RET 1.971
Ret has a winning record against Select in recent matches, very easy bet at this price.

Again, ret only has 60%, thats not a "very easy bet", you are severely underestimating Select.


Show nested quote +

Kiwikaki -1.5 2.360 1.541
Sheth +1.5 1.625 2.570
A fun little bet because of the good odd. Kiwi is a favorite but no by that much, and PvZ is
hard nowadays.

nonsense..

Show nested quote +

Moonan +1.5 2.130 3.570
MMA -1.5 1.758 1.318
Yeah, I love risks.

NONSENSE

I would have bet the exact same opposite of you :p


You don't seem to understand we're talking risk/reward here. I don't underestimate select, I just take a 60% win with a 2 to 1 payout.
I think Sheth has a chance to win vs kiwi, at 2.6 to 1 I take it too.
Yes, the TLO bet is risky. I bet he'll be able to take just one game, it seems very possible.
MrCon
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
France29748 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-03 17:09:56
June 03 2011 17:08 GMT
#14
On June 04 2011 02:00 ChickenLips wrote:

Yeah, I love risks.

Not such a bad bet, MMA is good at playing from behind, he should take that series without a problem, even if Moonan manages to surprise him.

Note that I posted my most risky/funny/controversial bets here (except the MMA one)
It's mostly bets against who I think will win because I found the odd to be good. In idra's case, his vT is very solid at the moment, I would perhaps even had bet for him against bomber depending the odds.
(what is the past tense for "bet" ? )

The odds of most MC's matches are too low now, didn't catch them at the good time, so no bet on him.
ChickenLips
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
2912 Posts
June 03 2011 17:11 GMT
#15
On June 04 2011 02:08 MrCon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2011 02:00 ChickenLips wrote:

Yeah, I love risks.

Not such a bad bet, MMA is good at playing from behind, he should take that series without a problem, even if Moonan manages to surprise him.

Note that I posted my most risky/funny/controversial bets here (except the MMA one)
It's mostly bets against who I think will win because I found the odd to be good. In idra's case, his vT is very solid at the moment, I would perhaps even had bet for him against bomber depending the odds.
(what is the past tense for "bet" ? )

The odds of most MC's matches are too low now, didn't catch them at the good time, so no bet on him.


bet
❤Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ✿
LaSt)ChAnCe
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States2179 Posts
June 03 2011 17:20 GMT
#16
games are starting way earlier according to your picture than the mlg website... what's up?
http://pro.majorleaguegaming.com/competitions/17#event_36_event_schedule
ClysmiC
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2192 Posts
June 03 2011 17:22 GMT
#17
I didn't check the odds for all of them, but if we're just talking win-loss, I agree with almost all of your bets. Although, there always seem to be upsets somewhere
Best of luck though!
ChickenLips
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
2912 Posts
June 03 2011 17:27 GMT
#18
On June 04 2011 02:22 ClysmiC wrote:
I didn't check the odds for all of them, but if we're just talking win-loss, I agree with almost all of your bets. Although, there always seem to be upsets somewhere
Best of luck though!



-1.5 means the player has to win 2-0

On June 04 2011 02:20 LaSt)ChAnCe wrote:
games are starting way earlier according to your picture than the mlg website... what's up?
http://pro.majorleaguegaming.com/competitions/17#event_36_event_schedule


Ignore the Pinnacle stuff. They're way incompetent when it comes to listing matches, and sometimes even deciding the lines
❤Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ✿
ChickenLips
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
2912 Posts
June 03 2011 17:28 GMT
#19
On June 04 2011 02:00 darmousseh wrote:
Lol you took the safest bet possible. How much will you win(what ratio) if you get this perfect?


iirc i walk out of this betting round with 350 Euros if I get every one correct.
❤Ƹ̵̡Ӝ̵̨̄Ʒ✿
Soap
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Brazil1546 Posts
June 03 2011 17:34 GMT
#20
On June 04 2011 02:27 ChickenLips wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2011 02:20 LaSt)ChAnCe wrote:
games are starting way earlier according to your picture than the mlg website... what's up?
http://pro.majorleaguegaming.com/competitions/17#event_36_event_schedule


Ignore the Pinnacle stuff. They're way incompetent when it comes to listing matches, and sometimes even deciding the lines


Their times are in PDT.
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