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NASL betting tips - Page 2

Blogs > rANDY
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I_Love_Bacon
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States5765 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-04-09 00:45:58
April 09 2011 00:44 GMT
#21
If your lowest bet is for 7 units, you should consider changing your unit value since that is just silly.

slight edit: There is no zvt/p that should be at more than +250, if there is there is always value there imo.
" i havent been playin sc2 but i woke up w/ a boner and i really had to pee... and my crisis management and micro was really something to behold. it inspired me to play some games today" -Liquid'Tyler
Insanious
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada1251 Posts
April 09 2011 01:00 GMT
#22
I really hope you can cross book on Sheth, because Sheth is going to HUUUUUUUUUUUURT artosis... surprised you put up 20 units.
If you want to help me out... http://signup.leagueoflegends.com/?ref=4b82744b816d3
kaisr
Profile Joined October 2007
Canada715 Posts
April 09 2011 01:47 GMT
#23
yeh even though i came late and bet on artosis at 7.7, i still got an enormous freeroll. And at the end of the day its a pvz and artosis is a pretty smart guy, wouldn't be ridiculously surprised if he wins
Insanious
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada1251 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-04-09 02:04:03
April 09 2011 02:03 GMT
#24
On April 09 2011 10:47 kaisr wrote:
yeh even though i came late and bet on artosis at 7.7, i still got an enormous freeroll. And at the end of the day its a pvz and artosis is a pretty smart guy, wouldn't be ridiculously surprised if he wins

Go look at Sheth's ZvP statistics Sheth is #1 NA ZvP... its like what, almost 80% win rate ZvP. I believe its the highest ZvP of any pro gamer period.

EDIT: Its an almost 82% win rate
If you want to help me out... http://signup.leagueoflegends.com/?ref=4b82744b816d3
alexhard
Profile Joined May 2010
Sweden317 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-04-09 16:28:59
April 09 2011 02:32 GMT
#25
Interesting thread, pretty cool that a lot of people are betting on sc2. I only started recently but have been doing exceptionally well.

Here are my positions for the first two NASL days:


4 units on Sen @ 1.556
3 units on Adelscott @ 1.649
8 units on Kas @ 1.98
1 unit on Goody +1.5 @ 2.37
5 units on Vibe +1.5 @ 2.04
5 units on Vibe @ 3.5
6 units on Kiwikaki @ 1.324
5 units on white-ra +1.5 @ 1.654
2 units on white-ra @ 2.81
2 units on moman +1.5 @ 2.36
4 units on Sheth @ 1.333
rANDY
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
United Kingdom748 Posts
April 09 2011 08:23 GMT
#26
On April 09 2011 10:00 Insanious wrote:
I really hope you can cross book on Sheth, because Sheth is going to HUUUUUUUUUUUURT artosis... surprised you put up 20 units.



I already did if u see in one of my replies
rANDY
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
United Kingdom748 Posts
April 09 2011 08:48 GMT
#27
On April 09 2011 09:44 I_Love_Bacon wrote:
If your lowest bet is for 7 units, you should consider changing your unit value since that is just silly.

slight edit: There is no zvt/p that should be at more than +250, if there is there is always value there imo.


If you check my other blogs you will notice 7 units would have been quite a high bet there. I can't keep changing the scale with each blog post, otherwise the scale would be meaningless.
DarKFoRcE
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Germany1215 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-04-09 23:31:26
April 09 2011 23:23 GMT
#28
i also bet smallish on artosis and grubby and then crossbooked afterwards. got one unit on morrow (-127) vs rainbow. i think morrow should be favorable due to the delay the koreans have.

also bet small on moman vs qxc due to very good odds and qxc only being good at doing 1 base allins.

still thinking about whether to bet on fenix, mainly due to the very good odds ,but other than that no bet strikes me as obviously +EV

overall its pretty unclear how large the disadvantage of the koreans will be due to delay. if its very large (like it looked to me in TSL) then it could even be worth betting on incontrol for example.
Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/#!/PinDarKFoRcE
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