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MLG Betting Day 1

Blogs > rANDY
Post a Reply
1 2 Next All
rANDY
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
United Kingdom748 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-03-31 21:26:41
March 31 2011 21:26 GMT
#1
Odds...
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Bet on quite a few of these matches, here are my picks:

IdrA vs Socke
4 units on Socke @ 2.01

This bet kind of ties in with IdrA vs Kiwikaki, I got odds of over evens for both of them, and I can't see IdrA winning two PvZ vs top class protoss players, I feel he may be the underdog in both these matches.

qxc vs Ret
7 units on Ret @ 1.606

A bet here on Ret more than a bet against qxc, I feel Ret is going to be hard to stop this MLG until he runs into a top protoss, and the feeling I get from Ret is, like in BW, the ZvT/TvZ matchup is his speciality.

Kiwikaki vs Socke
5 units on Kiwikaki @ 2.445

A match and race matchup that I feel is very close and pretty much a coinflip, therefore a bet on whichever player was going to be over ~2.2

Tyler vs Machine
8 units on Tyler @ 1.680

Tyler and PvZ is a combination I feel very safe betting on. Good value here I believe.

SeleCT vs Ret
7 units on Ret @ 1.676

Same as Ret vs qxc

PainUser vs iNcontrol
5 units on iNc @ 2.380

Two players just below the "elite" group, in my opinion. I give iNc the edge here due to the current trends in the PvT matchup and that I think the players will be similar in terms of skill and preparation.

SLush vs TLO
4 units on SLush @ 2.860

I feel the true odds here are around SLush at ~2.3-2.4, this is a matchup zergs have been having more joy in recently and I think SLush has a better chance that these odds give him credit for.

IdrA vs Kiwikaki
4 units on Kiwikaki @ 2.360

See IdrA vs Socke

Drewbie vs Machine
5 units on Machine @ 2.500

What I believe will be a close match, the bookies have Drewbie as a sizeable favourite, so going to go with Machine, despite no really strong tournament performances yet.



Give me your thoughts on my picks and any bets you've made, and ofcourse good luck

****
Noxie
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2227 Posts
March 31 2011 21:31 GMT
#2
wish XL Bet was still around... You can't actually bet on the games anymore can you?
DiaBoLuS
Profile Joined September 2010
Germany1638 Posts
March 31 2011 21:39 GMT
#3
youre wrong with drewbie, slush, select and painuser.

drewbie/select/painuser will win their matches, slush will lose to tlo
European Ranking: http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/viewblog.php?topic_id=182293
rANDY
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
United Kingdom748 Posts
March 31 2011 21:41 GMT
#4
On April 01 2011 06:31 Noxie wrote:
wish XL Bet was still around... You can't actually bet on the games anymore can you?


http://www.pinnaclesports.com/default.aspx

On April 01 2011 06:39 DiaBoLuS wrote:
youre wrong with drewbie, slush, select and painuser.

drewbie/select/painuser will win their matches, slush will lose to tlo


I agree SLush is an underdog but not as much as the odds suggest... the rest we will have to wait and see, you have any bets on?
Thrill
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
2599 Posts
March 31 2011 21:42 GMT
#5
TL needs a liquibet for every tournament :>
rolfe
Profile Joined September 2010
United Kingdom1266 Posts
March 31 2011 21:44 GMT
#6
are there any overall winners odds out yet?

those odds on machine seem pretty crazy, seems like machine is being seriously underrated there.

i generally think your betting looks solid but not so sure about ret - select. i think they're flattering ret a little and it'll be a lot closer than the odds make out. both very strong players ofcourse
life will not be contained. Life breaks free, it expands to new territories and crashes through barriers, painfully, maybe even dangerously but there it is. Life finds a way
kaisr
Profile Joined October 2007
Canada715 Posts
March 31 2011 21:50 GMT
#7
you bet on the world gsl tourney or w/e? July v MVP line has been moving like crazy. I got july at -108 then caught MVP at +124 for a nice little freeroll on july winning.
rANDY
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
United Kingdom748 Posts
March 31 2011 22:22 GMT
#8
Had a few bets on GSL World tourney so far

July > Nada @ 1.599 (Win)
TTOne > Moonglade @ 2.170 (Win)
MC > MorroW @ 1.319 (Win)
Sen > MKP @ 2.180 (Loss)

None on for tomorrow's games yet.
Vequeth
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United Kingdom1116 Posts
March 31 2011 22:30 GMT
#9
I dunno man, I have faith that Idra will come out of his slump against these protoss in the big stage environment. Im actually surprised at the TTOne odds.
Aspiring British Caster / Masters Protoss
Xtal
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Haiti385 Posts
March 31 2011 22:33 GMT
#10
Machine finished 6th ....
Have you ever heard the story, about the Zergling and the Probe? The Probe didn't make it across the creep.
rANDY
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
United Kingdom748 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-03-31 22:41:28
March 31 2011 22:40 GMT
#11
Maybe I'm being harsh but I consider a player of his calibre to be disappointed with his best sc2 acheivement so far being a 6th place finish at an MLG, its a good results yes, not a great one.
Vequeth
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United Kingdom1116 Posts
March 31 2011 22:49 GMT
#12
Machine hasnt done anything since the last MLG, which is a long long time in sc2 terms.
Aspiring British Caster / Masters Protoss
VForce
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany90 Posts
April 01 2011 00:58 GMT
#13
I betted on Tyler winning both games (betted more vs Machine), Socke vs Idra (win for Socke), and I am quite sure that qxc has a decent chance vs Ret so I betted quite a bit on qxc @2.4 . Not quite sure yet wether to bet on Select vs Ret as well .... I am quite a fan of Ret even before TSL 2 and it feels kinda wrong to bet against him both games bot I am not confident enough in his TvZ to bet on him at those odds
Zlasher
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States9129 Posts
April 01 2011 01:50 GMT
#14
Dont think I'm allowed to bet from the US, otherwise I would lol.
Follow me: www.twitter.com/zlasher
rANDY
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
United Kingdom748 Posts
April 01 2011 21:29 GMT
#15
covered myself on iNc vs PainUser with 6 units on PU @ 2.000 since the odds changed so much in this match, guarenteed 1 unit profit ;p
VForce
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany90 Posts
April 01 2011 23:15 GMT
#16
On April 01 2011 10:50 Zlasher wrote:
Dont think I'm allowed to bet from the US, otherwise I would lol.


Out of curiosety? What would you have betted on ?
VForce
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany90 Posts
April 02 2011 10:17 GMT
#17
Ok thats went not really as I expected but not horribly thanks to the bet on qxc ... are there bets out for the other days? Anyone has a good guess wether there will be some?
Liquid`Zephyr
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
United States996 Posts
April 02 2011 12:55 GMT
#18
im guessing usa people cant bet on this site? still cool to see the lines though
Team LiquidPoorUser
VForce
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany90 Posts
April 02 2011 17:51 GMT
#19
mhh seems that pinnacle for some reasons is only counting the first set from the games from yesterday.
+ Show Spoiler +
Recieved money for the Tyler vs Machine match although I bettet on Tyler and he lost the series but won the first game afaik. pinnacle has it listed as 1-0


btw betted on SWL Playoffs SKT vs OZ as well on OZ@2.71 seemed to be good value as well
+ Show Spoiler +
Unfortunately Bisu>Jaedong in the Ace game
JingleHell
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States11308 Posts
April 02 2011 18:10 GMT
#20
What's the current odds of them getting the HQ stream to work before the end of the event? That's the one I want to see...
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