On February 16 2014 13:09 Lord Tolkien wrote:
I really do need to watch Arrested Development.

im not mafia gaiz, pls no lynch

Also, don't we get a mod post on the innocent child? Or are there none.

That's something mafia say !

##VOTE Lord Tolkien

Beneather

Canada451 Posts

February 16 2014 06:14 GMT

#82

On February 16 2014 13:48 Lord Tolkien wrote:

Show nested quote +

##vote Beneather

Which part?

The part with " im not mafia gaiz, pls no lynch " seems scummy to me.

Beneather

Canada451 Posts

February 16 2014 07:28 GMT

#86

So anyone who claims town is town ? :O

Beneather

Canada451 Posts

February 16 2014 17:47 GMT

#90

On February 17 2014 01:37 Valenius wrote:
So, out of the group that are playing now.. Who's played on these forums before?

I have but a really long time ago so I'm pretty much a newbie.

Beneather

Canada451 Posts

February 17 2014 04:49 GMT

#145

##UNVOTE As of right now I don't think Lord Tolkien is scum. However this post,

On February 17 2014 08:16 Lord Tolkien wrote:
I'm not entirely convinced that Amiko is red, but I don't think at this point it matters.

##vote Amiko

Depending on the flip:
1) Die scum die
2) Sorry mang, but take one for the town

makes it seem he just wants to end the day with a lynch on Amiko without any further discussion. His mind is made up it seems and does not want to pressure any other players.

On February 17 2014 12:28 Lord Tolkien wrote:

Show nested quote +

I meant that if I were a blue. There's no reason for a cop or somesuch to be forward/active in Day 1, because it draws attention to themselves for a night kill from mafia. The only blue role (if I am a blue) that leads you to think I would be is a Veteran because I can soak a night shot.

Assuming I'm not vanilla town or mafia, which are the other logical possibilities. I'm willing to bet the same thing generally with OnceKing, and probably Caval as well. Green, veteran, or mafia are the likely choices.

Let's say we don't lynch Amiko on this day, and Tolkien would be killed on the night or is actually a veteran and takes a shot. That would mean Amiko would be scum, since Tolkien is pushing for an Amiko lynch on d1. I still do not understand why Tolkien feels that Amiko is scummy.

Right now I don't have any good reads on anyone and I will do some further reading, sorry for the absence, will report later with more analysis.

Beneather

Canada451 Posts

February 18 2014 01:45 GMT

#239

As the deadline comes closer, the scummiest person that I have read so far is Valenius, he doesn't contribute anything to town's efforts of deciding on a scum and just posts nothing of actual value. He brings up IamRobik and votes him but does not bring any reasons except that IamRobik has a problem with Valenius' posts, which is not a solid argument. I believe that Valenius might be scum because he is just posting things that look like it has contributions but in all honesty have no value. They are just restating the post and not providing any information and also has a lot of side tracking in it. As far as right now I believe that Valenius is mafia.

A lot of his posts are just him defending himself but not bring any value to the discussion. That seems very scummy, just showing up for the occasional defending but then disappear before attracting too much attention and just sit back and watch town try to lynch each other.

##VOTE Valenius

Beneather

Canada451 Posts

February 20 2014 20:54 GMT

#338

On February 20 2014 12:47 Amiko wrote:
I am still unsure about this so I want to have a few questions for Beneather to answer if/when he shows up.

@Beneather:
I asked this one yesterday which I don't think he answered (in the one post he made since then).

Show nested quote +

Here are three questions I want to start with:
1) Would you support a vote on n1k0 today?
2) Would you support a vote on Valenius todday?
3) What is your current read on Tolkien?

Sorry for being inactive, had some rl stuff to do.

First off, N1k0 seems to be most likely scum as he even stated that he has just backpacked on other people's opinions, that is rather scummy as mafia will try to stay in the shadows and just follow other people's and bandwagon a townie lynch. N1k0 is a big candidate and is probably the lynch for today. How he turns will decide the outcome of how this game will play.

@Valenius seems scummy to me as well. He points out that I am a scum candidate but doesn't provide any evidence except that all my reads can be turned to myself. Well yes, it can be as I have not been playing the best town due to my inactivity and lack of contribution. All my reads on other people can be turned against me and make myself looks scummy, however i know that I am town so why would I make reads on myself that I am mafia, that doesn't help anyone and is not the point of this game. I am suppose to give my reads on everyone else that is playing the game. You calling me scum seems like a retaliation for voting for you on day one and putting some spotlight on you.

On February 20 2014 07:51 Valenius wrote:

Show nested quote +

Are those the words that came out of my mouth? Let's run this through logically.

Let's say i'm 50/50 town/mafia on both on LT and Amiko. (Probably slightly biased either side, but for this 50/50 is good enough.)

I have what I believe to be a reasonable read on Cavalinho as Town. I have at the time a reasonably strong read on Robik as mafia. I believe enough in my read to leave it on Robik. If I had a stronger read on either of the other two, I switch it. Switching without having a significantly higher read on either side is me flipping a coin. Do you disagree? There's a 5 in 7 (or 4 in 7) chance that either of them are town. Those odds aren't good enough for me to flip that coin.

You say that you have a strong read on Cavalinho being town but you keep your vote on Robik instead of trying to save the obvious town Cavalinho. It still doesn't make sense to me( I think someone brought this up but whatever).

On February 21 2014 04:46 Valenius wrote:
OnceKing, Whilst the lack of .. anything.. has been happening: I've been thinking through various theories that could explain the inactivity.

1) Mafia are feeling safe because n1k0 is a mislynch, and that vote's almost sealed with this amount of activity.
2) Mafia don't have any faith in n1k0 avoiding a lynch, and are just distancing themselves from him.
3) They've emigrated to mars.

I also have another (slightly reaching) theory.

IF we have 3 mafia: There are currently 3 votes on n1k0, 1 vote on me, and 3 unaccounted for.

If it gets to the end of the day and the votes stay the same; 3 mafia moving their votes to me gets me lynched. theDragoon, who I still have a town read on has his vote on me, which allows for an additional 3 votes, leading to a 4-vote majority. I die, mafia wins, gg.

I know it's an unlikely theory, but I think it should at least be considered. My question leading out from this is: theDragoon, do you believe your vote on me is better than a majority vote on n1k0? If this theory is correct, solidarity between town votes is needed.

Everyone else (incl OnceKing): What do you think about these above theories? Obviously the last one is very.. hypothetical. Just consider it.

This is also a very good scum post. You are trying to put fear of the town losing if they do lynch you I like it! Scare town so they don't lynch mafia awesome ! You have one vote on you as of right now and you think it can simply change to you and are frightened by that chance. Why are you scared of being lynched? There is only one vote on you as of right now and you even brought up that it would be unlikely for it to be changed from n1k0 due to activity.

On Tolkien his read is very town to me and I would be shocked if he was scum. He has been the most active and his posts have a lot of content in them.