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notrangerjoe
110 Posts
On August 25 2009 15:06 Raydog wrote: so its over right now... anyone receive a key? The rules say that: Within one (1) week following the Deadline, Sponsor shall randomly choose five hundred (500) qualified entrants So it might be a while. | ||
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blue_arrow
1971 Posts
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Zelniq
United States7166 Posts
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Weasel-
Canada1556 Posts
On August 25 2009 15:13 Zelniq wrote: as of right now, if the contest ends with this many people you have a 3.7% chance to get a beta key I'm curious as to how you figured that out, how do you see how many entries there are in total? | ||
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KingFool
Canada428 Posts
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blue_arrow
1971 Posts
if so, the people who signed up the earliest have way better chances as apparently the number of entries didn't pick up until a couple days ago | ||
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blade55555
United States17423 Posts
On August 25 2009 15:26 KingFool wrote: with 13,397 Followers, you have to assume that the geeks who signed up before hand have followed the story from the crack and entered. So that leaves a person to conclude that 99% or so of that 13,397 are all your competition for the 500 prize winners Don't forget that you have to be in the USA/Canada (excluding quebec) I doubt all 13,397 are all usa/canadian. | ||
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Savio
United States1850 Posts
I hate twitter | ||
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dOofuS
United States342 Posts
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shindigs
United States4795 Posts
On August 25 2009 15:06 Raydog wrote: so its over right now... anyone receive a key? They said they'd have results within a week. | ||
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floor exercise
Canada5847 Posts
On August 25 2009 15:26 KingFool wrote: with 13,397 Followers, you have to assume that the geeks who signed up before hand have followed the story from the crack and entered. So that leaves a person to conclude that 99% or so of that 13,397 are all your competition for the 500 prize winners They had 9000 followers when they said "if the contest ended today everyone who entered would get a key" and since then it went up to 13000. So I'd put the number of entrants at around 5 or 6000 | ||
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onmach
United States1241 Posts
Out of 21 I chose before I got bored, only 7 actually entered. It seems like a lot of people following are foreigners who don't speak english, wow people who subscribed to all of blizzard's usernames but didn't enter, people who seem to have not entered or mentioned starcraft at all for some unknown reason, either they didn't know or they didn't care or there is some other force causing people to autosubscribe, like possibly new users are subscribed sometimes? There were also a lot of people who didn't do it right by putting @StarCraft in their messages, but who knows blizzard may take pity on them. I thought the submission rate would be much higher at the end, but damn it was only 3 or 4 per hour on the last day in the middle of the day. So if that info I got holds up, you have a 500 in 4000 chance, or about 12% chance. Given that they didn't even give out keys at blizzcon of all places, there may not be another chance to win as good as that one, although presumably you would imagine the blizzard beta opt in would have similar submission rate, so there's always that to look forward to. Good luck. | ||
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Ideas
United States8179 Posts
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Fastinyoh
United States29 Posts
About 13.5% chance of a SC2 beta key is... well, amazing! Good luck all. | ||
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blue_arrow
1971 Posts
On August 26 2009 11:11 onmach wrote: I also thought most of the followers would enter, but I did a spot check of followers of starcraft... I counted by randomly picking a follower page and then randomly clicking on an entry with my eyes closed. My science teacher would be proud. Out of 21 I chose before I got bored, only 7 actually entered. It seems like a lot of people following are foreigners who don't speak english, wow people who subscribed to all of blizzard's usernames but didn't enter, people who seem to have not entered or mentioned starcraft at all for some unknown reason, either they didn't know or they didn't care or there is some other force causing people to autosubscribe, like possibly new users are subscribed sometimes? There were also a lot of people who didn't do it right by putting @StarCraft in their messages, but who knows blizzard may take pity on them. I thought the submission rate would be much higher at the end, but damn it was only 3 or 4 per hour on the last day in the middle of the day. So if that info I got holds up, you have a 500 in 4000 chance, or about 12% chance. Given that they didn't even give out keys at blizzcon of all places, there may not be another chance to win as good as that one, although presumably you would imagine the blizzard beta opt in would have similar submission rate, so there's always that to look forward to. Good luck. wait what do you mean putting @StarCraft in your message was wrong... i c that like 98 - 90% of the ppl have @starcraft in their messages... don't freak me out dude | ||
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onmach
United States1241 Posts
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Imbu
United States903 Posts
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Tsagacity
United States2124 Posts
On August 26 2009 11:25 Fastinyoh wrote: Apparently people are still using the tag too or something. 4 more came up while I was doing my search According to http://www.hashtweeps.com/search/index , running a search for #sc2fan gives 3716 results. Assuming those are all correctly formatted, that's still a 500/3716ish chance of winning. About 13.5% chance of a SC2 beta key is... well, amazing! Good luck all.  Some bots in there too http://search.twitter.com/search?q=from:Clarahotnight #sc2fan | ||
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ShivaN
United States933 Posts
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drivec
United States354 Posts
On August 26 2009 11:55 Tsagacity wrote: Apparently people are still using the tag too or something. 4 more came up while I was doing my search Some bots in there too http://search.twitter.com/search?q=from:Clarahotnight #sc2fan does it count each submission or each different person who has submitted. because i know i wasnt the only one who submitted like 5 times just to make sure my thing went through. edit:never mind i went so it was 3700 something ppl.. thats good chance anyday 13.5% is alot better then the 3% i was predicting | ||
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