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[Code S] Groups A & B Preview - GSL Season 1 2017

Forum Index > SC2 General
18 CommentsPost a Reply

[Code S] Groups A & B Preview - GSL Season 1 2017

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byshiroiusagi
January 3rd, 2017 22:04 GMT

GSL Season 1 Ro32
Group A
Group B
Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

Welcome Back, GSL!



It seems like an eternity has passed since (T)ByuN’s triumph at BlizzCon. Online tournaments and other events have somewhat sated the community’s appetite, but have, in reality, mostly served as appetizer for the main course. The GSL is finally back.

Group A



The Resurgence of Keen

To loosely quote the infamous rant of former American football coach Denny Green, “(T)KeeN is who we thought he is!”
The community has seen a lot of Keen in 2016. In December alone he played 50 matches in a variety of tournaments, beating groupmates (P)Zest and (T)Bunny along the way. At the same time, he has also lost to top tier players like (P)Classic, (P)herO, (Z)Solar, (Z)soO and (T)INnoVation.

So, what is one to make of these muddled results? The simple truth is this, KeeN plays a lot of games. He is capable of going toe to toe with anyone, but historically he has not been the most successful player in offline events. In fact he failed to reach Code S during either season of the GSL last year.
KeeN’s last televised match against Protoss was against the player he will start his GSL campaign against – Zest.

And even though, at first glance, you would count him out against one of the all-time Protoss greats, KeeN stands a chance here. He's been on and off the radar for years now, but rarely has he been on it as strongly as he is now.

The Thing With Terrans

Like all of the Koreans recently freed into the wild, (P)Zest has played a lot of games in online events during the latter portion of 2016. His first match is against a Terran, a matchup he played 12 times in December, posting a 4-8 record, a far cry from his dominance in the matchup during earlier parts of the year. His matches against Keen, GuMiho and also Bunny, who he could very well also face in Group A, show a number of things. He still appears to feel comfortable in the lategame, regardless of whether or not his results indicate that he should.

It wasn’t so long ago that Zest reached the finals of Homestory Cup, defeating (T)aLive, (T)TY and (Z)Rogue along the way, but some of the luster has come off as of late. He’s often looked bad even in victory, giving his fans a reason to doubt if he can live up to his deified reputation.

His PvT matchup tells the story of his perceived struggle. After the first GSL Season of last year, Zest's winrate against Terrans was absurdly high. Now, at 4-8 against arguably weaker opposition compared to then, he's far from the dominant player he used to be. But that's the thing with Terrans—you either dominate them, or keep losing to them. Zest needs to find his rhythm again, and a staple matchup, as his PvT used to be, would be a good start.

A New Era

(T)Bunny is someone who has always existed at the periphery. He posted a 5-12 record with CJ Entus during the final season of Proleague and, despite making it to Code S for the first time during Season 1 of 2016, he bowed out quickly.

But things appear to be turning around for him. The second Still Making Korea Great Again qualifier and the subsequent main events were a big sign that after a year riddled with struggle, Bunny may have gotten a grasp on the new patch quite fast. In those events, he faced off against two Zerg titans, (Z)soO and (Z)Solar, both of whom he dispatched with flawless macro play and effective use of aggressive reaper builds on Echo. Against (P)Zest he was able to capitalize on Zest’s negligence to score a quick win with widow mines as well as winning a prolonged affair against Zest’s colossus based army. Both these matches point towards favorable results for Bunny who faces a Zerg in his opening match, with the possibility of a rematch against Zest looming.

When CJ Entus disbanded their StarCraft II division, all signs pointed towards Bunny being one of the next players to retire. He had neither fame, nor the flair to appeal to a foreign team—or so you would have thought. Instead, he became one of the first to be signed by a new team, DuSt Gaming. But to stay a sustainable investment for his team, he now needs to come up with results and show that he is indeed worth the money. So far he seems to be on the right path.

Predictions: Group A

Zest 2 - 1 Keen
Bunny 2 - 0 Rogue
Zest 2 - 1 Bunny
Keen 0 - 2 Rogue
Bunny 2 - 1 Rogue

Group B



The New Kid on the Block

And here we thought we were running out of new blood in the scene. Group B features a player who has never appeared in the GSL before. NightMare, a Protoss newcomer, defeated Hurricane twice to qualify for Code S. And even though Hurricane has not been a world beater in recent times, there are absolutely worse players than him.

For a new face to come in now is quite exciting. NightMare was a B-teamer on CJ Entus before the team shut its doors. Whatever madness made NightMare decide to continue on with StarCraft II, it has paid off for him. In the form of 2520$, to be exact. For all the talk of an unstable and declining scene in Korea, the retirement of many of the game's best players does open up new avenues for young talent to succeed, and NightMare's existence alone is proof of that, and is excited.

Now, what are his chances of going even further? Wins vs Bunny, (P)Trust and (P)Hurricane can only be considered encouraging, but losses to (T)GuMiho (who he may face in the group), (P)Stats, (P)Classic and (T)Dream show that NightMare still has a long way to go.

But nobody will be expecting him to dominate right away. Reaching Code S is a first, important step on his potential journey towards the top. And who knows? Maybe years from now we'll look back on this moment as the start of something great.

The Old Kids on the Block

Maru, herO and GuMiho have been staple players of Code S for years. Maru is the only one of them currently on a team, as Jin Air have stood firm as the only KeSPA team not to disband their StarCraft II division. While NightMare is the obvious underdog in this group, every one of these three might be favored to advance in one of the other groups. But, unfortunately for them, they're pitted against one another and only two can advance.

GuMiho has been the most active of them, participating in online tournaments as always. The other two have kept quiet for a while, but that might prove to be an advantage for them.

Predictions: Group B

herO 2 - 0 NightMare
Maru 2 - 1 GuMiho
herO 2 - 0 Maru
Nightmare 1 - 2 GuMiho
Maru 2 - 1 GuMiho

Credits:
Writers: Mizenhauer, Olli.
Editors: Olli.
Graphics: shiroiusagi.
Stats: Aligulac

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TL+ Member
Cosmos
Profile Joined March 2010
Belgium1077 Posts
January 03 2017 22:28 GMT
#2
Liquidbets please?
http://www.twitch.tv/becosmos
Elentos
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
55594 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-03 22:35:47
January 03 2017 22:32 GMT
#3
On January 04 2017 07:04 TeamLiquid ESPORTS wrote:
In fact he failed to reach Code S during either season of the GSL last year.

And in 2015. And in 2014.

Is there a reason there's not even a single complete sentence dedicated to Rogue in the group A preview? Until the prediction it wasn't even acknowledged he's in the group at all.
On January 04 2017 07:04 TeamLiquid ESPORTS wrote:
It wasn’t so long ago that Zest reached the finals of Homestory Cup, defeating (T)aLive, (T)TY and (Z)Rogue along the way, but some of the luster has come off as of late.

I mean you could have at least made it "and Rogue, with whom he finds himself in a group on Wednesday..."

Predictions are pretty hard with the current state of the game and the scene, but I don't expect herO to 4-0 and I'm not confident in Zest advancing in first (even advancing at all is gonna be a challenge). Also I do like that the previews for both groups are bundled into one article.
Every 60 seconds in Africa, a minute passes.
Argonauta
Profile Joined July 2016
Spain4967 Posts
January 03 2017 22:35 GMT
#4
That predcition about group A...... My boy Rogue is going to get 1st fo the group 4-1, defeating Bunny 2-1 and Zest 2-0. You will see ^^
Rogue | Maru | Scarlett | Trap
TL+ Member
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
January 03 2017 22:45 GMT
#5
I don't think Zest can beat Bunny. Since the patch Terrans have been shredding colossus playstyles, and Zest seems like the type of guy who will stick to his guns. The only Protoss who has any measure of success in the match-up is Classic, and he does so by going for pylon rushes and proxy oracles.
Gwavajuice
Profile Joined June 2014
France1810 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-03 23:02:23
January 03 2017 23:01 GMT
#6
On January 04 2017 07:45 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
I don't think Zest can beat Bunny. Since the patch Terrans have been shredding colossus playstyles, and Zest seems like the type of guy who will stick to his guns. The only Protoss who has any measure of success in the match-up is Classic, and he does so by going for pylon rushes and proxy oracles.


Not true, Stats had excellent results using his fast colo build. In fact, his 0-4 against INno in IEM geonggy were 4 games where he opened stargate.

Colo are still viable as a mid comp that evolves to disruptors/tempest in the late game...
Dear INno and all the former STX boys.
Gwavajuice
Profile Joined June 2014
France1810 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-03 23:01:45
January 03 2017 23:01 GMT
#7
pff dbl post

Dear INno and all the former STX boys.
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
January 03 2017 23:24 GMT
#8
On January 04 2017 08:01 Gwavajuice wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2017 07:45 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
I don't think Zest can beat Bunny. Since the patch Terrans have been shredding colossus playstyles, and Zest seems like the type of guy who will stick to his guns. The only Protoss who has any measure of success in the match-up is Classic, and he does so by going for pylon rushes and proxy oracles.


Not true, Stats had excellent results using his fast colo build. In fact, his 0-4 against INno in IEM geonggy were 4 games where he opened stargate.

Colo are still viable as a mid comp that evolves to disruptors/tempest in the late game...


It's still viable, but post patch I've seen it lose a lot more often than not.
verecunda
Profile Joined July 2015
Korea (South)121 Posts
January 04 2017 03:31 GMT
#9
Interesting groups, hard to predict how they'll turn out. I'm hoping for the newer faces (like Bunny and NightMare) to make it through.
LockeTazeline
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
2390 Posts
January 04 2017 05:17 GMT
#10
Wooh, Code S is back!!
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18752 Posts
January 04 2017 08:08 GMT
#11
herO advancing in first place? Damn you TL writers. I wanted him to get out of the group...
TheOneAboveU
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Germany3367 Posts
January 04 2017 08:27 GMT
#12
On January 04 2017 17:08 sharkie wrote:
herO advancing in first place? Damn you TL writers. I wanted him to get out of the group...


Mizenhauer is relatively new, the curse might not have affected him... yet. ^_^
Moderatoralias TripleM | @TL_TripleM | Big Dark Energy!
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28536 Posts
January 04 2017 08:35 GMT
#13
I'm already ready already!

On January 04 2017 07:28 Cosmos wrote:
Liquidbets please?


yeah, BW has them

Seeker pls

I Protoss winner, could it be?
darwinisms
Profile Joined October 2016
2 Posts
January 04 2017 09:44 GMT
#14
No liquibets for this one? =(

I'm going to guess Keen over Zest, Bunny over Rogue, Bunny over Keen, and Keen over Zest.
Ziggy
Profile Blog Joined June 2013
South Korea2107 Posts
January 04 2017 09:49 GMT
#15
Yeah, Bunny beating Rogue, keep dreaming
WriterDefeating a sandwich only makes it tastier. @imjustziggy
Olli
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
Austria24422 Posts
January 04 2017 09:53 GMT
#16
Hehehe
Administrator"Declaring anything a disaster because aLive popped up out of nowhere is just downright silly."
Argonauta
Profile Joined July 2016
Spain4967 Posts
January 04 2017 14:37 GMT
#17
That was unexpected and painful.. Well played by Bunny tho
Rogue | Maru | Scarlett | Trap
TL+ Member
IArako
Profile Joined June 2015
Germany195 Posts
January 04 2017 16:13 GMT
#18
liquibet pls
and yes definitely not the expected outcome
Special Tactics
darwinisms
Profile Joined October 2016
2 Posts
January 04 2017 21:06 GMT
#19
On January 04 2017 18:44 darwinisms wrote:

I'm going to guess Keen over Zest, Bunny over Rogue, Bunny over Keen, and Keen over Zest.


Well I almost guessed it right. I had Bunny and Keen making it out.
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