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[Code S] Ro4: sOs vs ByuL - A Game of Chance

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[Code S] Ro4: sOs vs ByuL - A Game of Chance

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byshiroiusagi
June 17th, 2015 04:32 GMT
2015 GSL Season 1

SBENU GSL
Season 2 Code S Ro8



A Game of Chance
sOs vs ByuL

Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

A Game of Chance


by The_Templar and Soularion

sOs, The Hand of Discord


In uncharted waters, those able to take advantage of the unknown are the most successful. With no one ever needing to consider whatever new reality there now is, the creative thrive. Those capable of playing in whatever way suits them best aren’t bothered too much by the shifting of the metagame. With a recent lack of world-altering balance changes or structure, energetic players like (P)sOs have found themselves stagnating in the still Starcraft waters. Jin Air’s top Protoss started 2014 in stride with an IEM WC victory (and a GSL playoffs finish), he's slowly lost his creative edge. While missing out on the GSL quarterfinals over multiple seasons, sOs strung together a poor set of runs at IEM Toronto, Red Bull Washington, and the first KeSPA cup, losing to inferior players like First and Trap. More importantly, innovations that sOs brought to the table—ideas that few others would even consider—faded away from existence. His KeSPA cup run indicated that his spark of madness wasn’t completely lost, but he could no longer win solely with his usual surprise and creativity.

While players like MC and Has waited for an opportunity to shine or attempted something even more ridiculous than their previous antics, sOs slowly adjusted to rely more on strategic flexibility and less on gimmicks. His few tournament runs near the end of the year indicated that his ploy was successful. After winning the Hot6iX cup by blindsiding MarineKing, sOs qualified for the GSL this season and blended in with his surroundings. While his Proleague games didn’t anticipate it, sOs played far more risk-averse than his history predicted. His play was far from standard, but cheese was reserved for the appropriate situations and he played out series whenever he was plainly superior in mechanics. Strangely, his weakness this GSL has been reflections of his old reckless self. Bbyong and Curious exposed this vulnerability with creative counter-tactics whenever sOs actually attempted something unusual.

sOs’s Ro8 opponent was MyuNgSiK but similarly to his games against Heart and MMA, the Jin Air Protoss waited for his opponent to play worse instead of seizing the initiative. ByuL is a much different opponent and he may coerce sOs into uncomfortable scenarios. Even so, sOs is familiar with gambling, and may reintegrate elements of his crazier past when times get tough.

ByuL, The Hand of Fate


It happened so long ago that it's hard to remember, but (Z)ByuL was once part of a foreign team. Before he ever reached Code A, ByuL was on Fnatic, and the most defining moment of this era for him came after his team upset New Star HoSeo during the last GSTL of 2012. Not because of his 2-kill—which saw the rare Tassadar macro game—but because of his interview afterwards. In it, he described the problems he faced as bad luck. Not being able to transition from online success into offline success is a common story but for ByuL, luck goes a lot further than just a one-time brush.

As his answer to the problem all zergs face right now—trying to combat the swarm host nerf—ByuL has chosen a playstyle that verges on gambling. His standard play remains solid but it's not his current claim to fame. Rather, ByuL best succeeds best at picking apart his opponents by utilizing a combination of various tricky builds (the infamous ByuL build, proxy spire, fast mutas, etc.) and early aggression. It seems that ByuL has given up trying to play the seemingly impossible ZvP macro game, and has instead worked on refining his gimmicks. Trying to figure out exactly what he can do to tear a protoss apart. Much like sOs, the tough part about beating ByuL isn't knowing that he's gonna cheese you—it's figuring out which trick he's pulling out of the bag.

Even in his infamously dominant head-to-head record against Maru, ByuL rarely wins by demolishing him in a macro game. Rather, ByuL abuses the prodigy's greed and picks him apart, just like any other opponent. This is hiss greatest strength, his lack of reliance on the macro game. ByuL understands there is no honor in war, only victory and defeat, and punishes greedy players to no end. It's almost as if he's the ultimate balance—the embodiment of Libra. If you decide to play greedy, sometimes you die to ByuL. It's only fair.

Yet, by going up against a player like sOs, who is incredibly flexible and possesses a seemingly endless repertoire of strategies, the CJ Entus zerg faces an interesting dilemma. Can he overcome the very embodiment of coinflips, or will he just be another victim of the Trickster's tactics? If ByuL goes for his regular tactics, this series is likely to devolve into unadulterated chaos. It might result in a great, fun series or a repetition of sOs' last time in the GSL Ro4 (where he almost reverse-killed his teammate, Soulkey) is hard to predict, but in an exciting way. However, ByuL is favored in the actual macro game. Over the past year, ByuL has displayed straight up better mechanics than sOs and his grasp of long games and the decision-making involved seems superior, which leaves him with an interesting choice. Will he bet his life on the greed-punishing style that got him this far, or will he risk being tricked? Only time, and/or a couple of thumb flicks, will tell.

Prediction:

With these two players, anything is possible. sOs continues to baffle as much as he amazes, and ByuL has had a tendency to play this matchup with an increasing disdain for the standard. On the one hand, this could become a transcendent series full of new strategies and uncertain endings. On the other hand, this could be a dud surpassing sOs vs MarineKing. So, in decreasing order of likelihood:

ByuL 4-3 sOs
ByuL 2-4 sOs
ByuL 1-4 sOs
ByuL 4-0 sOs
ByuL 3-4 sOs
ByuL 0-4 sOs
ByuL 4-2 sOs
ByuL 4-1 sOs

Writers: The_Templar, Soularion.
Editors: CosmicSpiral
Graphics: shiroiusagi.
Photo: GOMeXP.
Stats: Aligulac
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TL+ Member
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
June 17 2015 04:44 GMT
#2
Hoping for an sOs stomp. ByuL is definitely a good player though so it won't be easy for sOs
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
swissman777
Profile Joined September 2014
1106 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-06-17 04:47:15
June 17 2015 04:46 GMT
#3
Good. TL cursed Byul. Now sOs will rise as the s2 champ!

E: ok, it's about break even. I am bad at maths right now.
banjoetheredskin
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States744 Posts
June 17 2015 05:00 GMT
#4
We have the same predictions
Writer#1 CJ fan | http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/508947-wcs-dreamhack-austin-interviews
Roadog
Profile Joined May 2012
Canada1670 Posts
June 17 2015 05:04 GMT
#5
Go sOs

(P)sOs 4-1 (Z)ByuL
sOs fan. Zerg just seem to have the most...potential. Dubbo Robo Colo! Why I play Protoss: Stalkers, bacon, toilets and mama -- Chelsea FC
Phredxor
Profile Joined May 2013
New Zealand15076 Posts
June 17 2015 05:07 GMT
#6
sOs 4-0 gogo.
Ja.Y.
Profile Joined February 2015
United States253 Posts
June 17 2015 05:16 GMT
#7
If sOs takes a page out of Classic's book, he should win. But, ByuL, who is a smart player but I'm not a big fan of, should have practiced enough to make this a close series: ByuL 3 - 4 sOs.
MMA will reign supreme once again // MaSa is gawd
Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States13988 Posts
June 17 2015 05:32 GMT
#8
Lame, need to say who has what prediction
Chain 1 Arthalion Chain 2 Urgula Chain 3 Mululu Chain 4 Lukias
Soularion
Profile Blog Joined January 2014
Canada2764 Posts
June 17 2015 05:35 GMT
#9
On June 17 2015 14:32 Cricketer12 wrote:
Lame, need to say who has what prediction

Hint : Soularion's prediction is whatever will come true.
[and Templar's is the opposite of that]
Writermaru pls
althaz
Profile Joined May 2010
Australia1001 Posts
June 17 2015 05:53 GMT
#10
On June 17 2015 13:46 swissman777 wrote:
Good. TL cursed Byul. Now sOs will rise as the s2 champ!

E: ok, it's about break even. I am bad at maths right now.

According to the above predictions, TL have, on-average, picked sOs to win, not Byul .
The first rule we don't talk about race conditions. of race conditions is
AxiomBlurr
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
786 Posts
June 17 2015 06:26 GMT
#11
I got sOs winning 4-2. Byul will be baffled.
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
June 17 2015 06:36 GMT
#12
I completely disagree that Byul is more likely to sweep than sOs.
The world is better when every background has a chance.
wstubzi
Profile Joined February 2015
New Zealand224 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-06-17 06:43:25
June 17 2015 06:43 GMT
#13
sOs is a champion, he has that extra something that allows him to win the biggest tournaments in the world.
sOs will take this.
swag_bro
Profile Blog Joined July 2014
Japan782 Posts
June 17 2015 07:04 GMT
#14
sOs never won by pure luck so I am saying sOs will win.
They hate us 'cause they ain't us.
HellHound
Profile Joined September 2014
Bulgaria5962 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-06-17 07:12:38
June 17 2015 07:12 GMT
#15
On June 17 2015 16:04 swag_bro wrote:
sOs never won by pure luck so I am saying sOs will win.

Is this suppose to be arguable?
Classic GosoO |sOs| Everyone has to give in, let Life win | Zest Is The Best | Roach Cultist | I recognize the might and wisdom of my Otherworldly overlord | Air vs Air 200/200 SC2 is best SC2 | PRIME has been robbed | Fuck prime go ST | ROACH ROACH ROACH
SC2Toastie
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
Netherlands5725 Posts
June 17 2015 07:15 GMT
#16
sOs 4 - 2 Byul

This is soS's
Mura Ma Man, Dark Da Dude, Super Shot Sos!
Stress
Profile Joined February 2011
United States980 Posts
June 17 2015 07:23 GMT
#17
sOs 4-1 Byul

As long as sOs can hold position the zealot he will win.
"Touch my gosu hands." - Tastosis | | fOrGG // MC // Jaedong
EvilsPresley
Profile Joined December 2014
France132 Posts
June 17 2015 07:28 GMT
#18
Whaaaat are those predictions? :-D

Gogo sOs, beat Byul and avenge your team mates in finals.
Rogue | Maru
Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States13988 Posts
June 17 2015 07:50 GMT
#19
On June 17 2015 16:04 swag_bro wrote:
sOs never won by pure luck so I am saying sOs will win.

WE got Swag_GoDDdddd
Chain 1 Arthalion Chain 2 Urgula Chain 3 Mululu Chain 4 Lukias
SpunXtain20
Profile Joined January 2014
Australia554 Posts
June 17 2015 08:11 GMT
#20
Man i really appreciate these writeups from TL staff, but I cannot get over how many of these are just really poorly written. Shame on CosmicSpiral mainly, attrocious editting.

There were so many sentence structure failings in this one. But even more appalling was the fact that the sOs writeup basically was all about how he hasn't been gimmicky lately and then the Byul writeup was predicated entirely on how gimmicky sOs is. I'm not entirely sure if he read the two halves at all.

Constructive criticism aside, I do think Byul will take this one. sOs hasn't lit any worlds lately, and he had a pretty fortunate run to get here (albeit he did tame his enemies with good play).

Byul 4-2.
*Hugs all* | I came here to drink milk and kick asses, and I've just finished my milk.
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
June 17 2015 08:59 GMT
#21
$O$ needs a payday, $O$ wins season 2
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
TojoSCO
Profile Joined June 2015
24 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-06-17 10:23:49
June 17 2015 10:22 GMT
#22
God, sOs is so good at securing expansions against zerg

Edit: nevermind - ByuL 2 strong
I never sleep, 'cause sleep is the cousin of death. sOs, ByuL, Maru, Rogue, herO <3
AbouSV
Profile Joined October 2014
Germany1278 Posts
June 17 2015 12:00 GMT
#23
On June 17 2015 13:32 TeamLiquid ESPORTS wrote:So, in decreasing order of likelihood:

ByuL 4-3 sOs
ByuL 2-4 sOs
ByuL 1-4 sOs
ByuL 4-0 sOs
ByuL 3-4 sOs
ByuL 0-4 sOs
ByuL 4-2 sOs
ByuL 4-1 sOs


Could have been worse!

Great games though, at no point this would have been more predictable anyway.
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
June 17 2015 12:02 GMT
#24
7 wrong predictions for only one match.
GG TL writers, that's a record (;
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Jer99
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Canada8158 Posts
June 17 2015 12:19 GMT
#25
On June 17 2015 21:02 OtherWorld wrote:
7 wrong predictions for only one match.
GG TL writers, that's a record (;


They weren't predictions, they were chances of likelihood in descending order
StrategyTaeJa #1 || @TL_Jer99 || "seeker seeked out his seeking"
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
June 17 2015 12:23 GMT
#26
On June 17 2015 21:19 Jer99 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 17 2015 21:02 OtherWorld wrote:
7 wrong predictions for only one match.
GG TL writers, that's a record (;


They weren't predictions, they were chances of likelihood in descending order

Neither Soularion or I got it right though.
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
WonnaPlay
Profile Joined September 2010
Netherlands912 Posts
June 17 2015 12:38 GMT
#27
On June 17 2015 21:02 OtherWorld wrote:
7 wrong predictions for only one match.
GG TL writers, that's a record (;


I count 6?
Khalum
Profile Joined September 2010
Austria831 Posts
June 17 2015 14:49 GMT
#28
On June 17 2015 21:38 WonnaPlay wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 17 2015 21:02 OtherWorld wrote:
7 wrong predictions for only one match.
GG TL writers, that's a record (;


I count 6?


No you don't.
Deleted User 132135
Profile Joined December 2010
702 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-06-18 00:01:28
June 17 2015 23:26 GMT
#29
On June 10 2015 17:56 LSN wrote:
Byul 3:2,

he is gonna win the event or be runner up. I only see him lose in final zvz or vs. Maru!

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/487380-code-s-ro8-day-1-aim-for-the-stars-s2-2015?page=2


He wins ZvP finals or loses ZvZ.


Further predictions:

1. If byul wins the ZvZ finals, then he is going to get worse in upcoming ZvT/ZvP matches.

2. If byul loses the ZvP finals, he is going to be good in upcoming ZvZ matches.


mierin
Profile Joined August 2010
United States4943 Posts
June 18 2015 01:13 GMT
#30
Definitely didn't see this coming...as a Z player at heart I do have a weird mancrush on sOs, but I'm still happy about how things turned out. I'm not happy at the fact that I'm going to have to cheer for a ZvZ on friday....
JD, Stork, Calm, Hyuk Fighting!
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