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Taiwan Open 2014 Preview - The Next ZvZerg Bonjwa

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Taiwan Open 2014 Preview - The Next ZvZerg Bonjwa

Text bySoularion
Graphics bylichter
August 7th, 2014 07:20 GMT

Taiwan Open


The Next ZvZerg Bonjwa
A ZvZ Power Rank

Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

The Next ZvZerg Bonjwa

by Soularion



The Taiwan Open for 2014 is rapidly approaching, with an insane amount of.. non-hype. It's understandable: everyone's favourite matchup ZvZ has crowded the bracket to the absolute limit and a lot of fan favourite Koreans failed early in the qualifiers. Still, it boasts an impressive prize pool and a surprising amount of great players. In attendance is the King of Summer, TaeJa, alongside a strong zerg lineup of Leenock, HyuN, Jaedong and TRUE with Red Bull Bomber as supporting cast.

The eight invited TeSL players are probably the most interesting. (P)Has, being the only protoss, actually managed to gain a respectably high amount of hype. He almost beat Sen, falling in a back-and-forth series that went seven games. Combined with his infamous victory over Jaedong, Has might just be one of the favorites to make a deep run, aided by his position as the only protoss. (Z)Cheetos, (Z)AK, (Z)Slam, (Z)Fist and (Z)Python on the other hand all earn the title of "Meh". They're all part of the never-ending line of Taiwanese zergs who have earned somewhere between negative and decent success in TeSL, but with nothing notable between them, they're all lumped together as filler. (Z)Ian, a player that used to be part of the brand of 'Taiwanese Zerg Filler', has actually risen to be a bit more. He made WCS AM Challenger, only to get crushed by HerO 3-0, and got a respectable fourth place in the TeSL. It's clear that he's elevated himself above the meager middle of Taiwanese zergs, but he's still far from the top.

Sitting at the top of the Taiwanese zerg ladder is (Z)Sen himself. Sen has been relevant practically forever, and his decently inconsistent ZvZ (he took Scarlett to a close 5-game set, plus beat Check 4-2) is certainly the biggest x-factor in the entire tournament. At his best? He was crushing through lesser Taiwanese zergs, almost but not quite reaching up to the level of big foreign stars and Koreans. At his worst? He was losing to Suppy and XiGua to fail out of WCS America. With Sen's ZvZ being his worst, but really not that awful, of a matchup, it's likely going to make or break his performance. His ZvT, on the other hand, is absolutely unknown. He's played 9 games of it throughout all of 2014, mostly against lesser players who he beat up on. Sen comes into this as the soO of Taiwan, taking three 2nd places in a row to protosses in TeSL (twice to San, once to Daisy), and he's hoping for a first place to take home for once.

Joining this cast of eight misfits are four qualified players. Now, normally in qualifiers, you expect a couple upsets. Yeah, in the TWOP Qualifier, that didn't happen. Rather, we got treated to one of the most insane series of upsets we've seen in quite a while, earning the hilarity of viewers everywhere. Just a quick highlight reel before we go over the victors of bizzaro-qualifiers..

- Nado 2-1 Maru
- TerrOr 2-1 Hurricane
- Pet 2-1 Shine
- Terminator 2-1 Life
- Pet 2-1 Jim
- DeParture 2-1 Cure
- Pet 2-1 sOs

The eventual four to come out were (Z)Pet, (Z)DeParture, (Z)Leenock and (Z)TRUE. TRUE did what TRUE does best, cruising through a relatively easy bracket while everything exploded around him. Leenock was similar, doing what was expected of him while not really reaching for the stars nor falling to the ground below. However, Pet and DeParture are not the two zergs you'd expect to come out of a Korean qualifier. Really, this one had Solar, Life, sOs and Maru. Yet these guys got through? Well, DeParture had to fight through a decently difficult bracket. Wins over Avenge, Terminator and Cure were highlights in a performance that showed he was more than just a Proleague punching bag. Pet was even better, starting off his run with an upset over the king of upsets, Shine. Continuing it by beating Chinese superstar Jim and knocking out fan favorite $o$, Pet is not one to be underestimated going into the main event.

Joining this band of 12 weirdos are the four invites, consisting of (Z)Jaedong, (Z)HyuN, (T)TaeJa and (T)Bomber. Which is surprisingly stacked for a roster that, otherwise, managed to stay as non-stacked as humanly possible. These four have attended so many tournaments that there's really no point in talking further about them. They're the absolute favorites to take victory here and anything other than one of these four winning would be considered an upset to many.

While many a weekender has gone through the Power Rank treatment, this one will be a bit special: I'll be doing a 'ZvZ Power Rank'. This power rank will be in order of ZvZ winrates since April, roughly four months. It's not meant to be an accurate representation of ranking in the matchup, but rather a fun look at how a majority of these players will fare in the matchup we'll easily see the most of.

10. (Z)Python : 2-10 (17%)
Python hasn't had a good time against zergs. In the qualifiers before he got a seed via everyone higher in TeSL rankings than him retiring (no, seriously), he lost 1-2 to ntddt. (Who? is the accepted response here). So, where do his two wins come from? One is against this ntddt, while the other is against Cheetos. In a Bo7. Yeah, I'm sorry Python, but you're screwed.

9. (Z)AK : 18-23 (44%)
AK's ZvZ hasn't been completely without success (he did 3-2 Ian in the WCS America qualifiers, albeit placed pretty terribly), but it is hard to call it anything near good. The fleeting wins against Ian from time to time are countered by stuff like losing a Bo3 to Cheetos, or dropping a game to JoJo.

8. (Z)Cheetos : 13-16 (45%)
Speaking of Cheetos, it's not very surprising to see him this low. While in a power rank of best name, he'd probably be sitting pretty at #1, in ZvZ he's resorted to be pretty low. Still, he hasn't been without (limited) success. He lost 0-4 to Ian in TeSL, but has taken a game off NesTea since. A majority of his wins come from Rex (who didn't even make it here) and Python, with a Bo3 win against AK and Fist as icing to the relatively unimpressive cake.

7. (Z)Sen : 22-20 (52%)/(Z)Ian : 33-30 (52%)
Sitting at our (first of many..) ties is Sen and his lieutenant, Ian. Because there's no fair way to separate 'good' results against bad players and 'bad' results against good players, these two have suffered a majority of their losses while making their occasional wanderings into the international scene. However, in the TeSL, both of these guys have actually held somewhat impressive, albeit sloppy, ZvZ. Overall, this is around where people's ZvZ starts getting to the point where upsets are possible.

6. (Z)DeParture : 10-7 (59%)
As the only Korean under 60%, DeParture has to be pretty satisfied. Sure, he's gotten 2-0'd by both Leenock and hyvaa, but he's avoided narrow embarrassments by both PenguiN -and- TerrOr! Overall, all we know about DeParture's ZvZ is that it isn't absolutely awful but isn't great either. Not bad for a Code B Korean, I suppose.

5. (Z)Leenock : 40-26 (61%)
Leenock's ZvZ is, once more, much better than indicated. He's beaten the likes of Golden, RagnaroK, Sleep and VortiX recently, but his numerous losses to Life, plus recent losses to Sacsri and EffOrt, stand out just a bit more. Leenock is not to be underestimated, and he's just waiting for the perfect time to transform into the leenocktopus once more and- Wait, he drew TaeJa in the first round? Well, sorry, Leenock. Maybe another time.

4. (Z)Slam : 26-16 (62%)/(Z)Fist : 8-5 (62%)
This duo of decent Taiwanese zergs have managed to rake up a decent amount of ZvZ wins. What has managed to help Slam out the most is his habit of -CLEANLY- beating his opponents. Whenever he faces off against Python, Fist or JoJo, or Cell, or the numerous amateur zergs in Taiwan, he actually just demolishes them 2-0 instead of dropping games randomly. He's also put out a decent amount of international results recently, scoring big wins over Golden in the ATC and recently MaSa in WCS AM, earning him a place in Premier League. Fist, on the other hand, has barely played ZvZ or anything outside of the TeSL. However, he did 4-1 AK, plus he took a game off of Sen. So, a work in progress, maybe?

3. (Z)Pet : 15-7 (68%)/(Z)TRUE : 21-10 (68%)
Coming in third is the third tie, between Pet and TRUE. In reality, these guys could not be more different. Pet's accomplishments in ZvZ are, for the most part, based on beating players he should beat (mainly in Australia..), while losing to good ZvZers such as Action, Life and.. TRUE. Yeah, TRUE beat this guy 2-0 in the qualifiers to the event. On most power rankings, that would grant him a tiebreaker. But not on this one! Speaking of the wonderboy himself, TRUE's ZvZ is a strange, strange thing indeed. Sure, he beat soO in Proleague, and has historically been 4-5 with the Emperor of Kongs. However, he's also dropped a game to TerrOr and lost to Snute. It's impossible to say where he's really at in foreign events, but it's not impossible to say that he's a threat to anyone here in ZvZ.

2. (Z)Jaedong : 38-16 (70%)
In Brood War, Jaedong was known for his ZvZ. In Starcraft 2, it's been the same thing. His understanding of his own race over a decade long career has given him insight into the mirror that few have. Overall, he's boasting a 70%+ winrate in his imperial matchup and that hasn't dropped off recently. He's actually been near unbeatable, only losing to Life, HyuN and Impact in Bo3s or higher over the past few months. Still, his biggest weakness in ZvZ is his inability to close out series without looking a bit sloppy. Against Snute, Solar, Scarlett, Golden and even Stephano recently he's dropped a couple of games. Sure, this isn't embarrassing, but it puts an asterisk beside an otherwise godly ZvZ.

1. (Z)HyuN : 93-34 (73%)
In the land of zergs, there is only one true king. HyuN is an absolute monster in the year of 2014, or at least in WCS America. Outside of it, he hasn't looked nearly as impressive, yet still boasting 70%+ winrates in ZvT and ZvZ through the year. He's played almost FOUR HUNDRED games since April. Seriously. That's more professional games than some have played ladder games, for god's sake. He's sitting pretty at an insane 73% winrate in over 120 games, although he's in a bit of a rut over the past few days. He lost to roof, KangHo and Life in one-sided series, handing him 8 of his 34 losses. Despite that, his ability to crash his way through practically any opponent not worthy of his regal nature is by far the biggest thing going into this tournament. He doesn't just win inferior tournaments, he -demolishes- them. Looking through his match history is like looking through a cemetery of poor, poor European zergs, thinking they could earn a bit of money at a go4sc2 cup or something similar. Wrong. The big, bad wolf is here. And he's here to stay.

Overall, this tournament boasts an impressive amount of up-and-coming talent, combined with a couple of players itching for wins such as HyuN and Jaedong. While it might not be the most respected tournament, I'm sure HyuN/Jaedong/Leenock would be more than ecstatic to earn a victory in Taiwan. And they just might get one.

Oh, who am I kidding, we all know (T)TaeJa's gonna win this anyway.

[Editor's note: For those who don't know, the phrase "next zerg bonjwa" is jokingly thrown around for players suddenly doing well out of nowhere. We don't actually believe any of these players are next zerg bonjwas.]

Writers: Soularion.
Graphics: lichter.
Photo: TWOP.
Editor: lichter.
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Writermaru pls
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
August 07 2014 07:26 GMT
#2
This is going to be 'interesting'.
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
August 07 2014 07:30 GMT
#3
I don't think I've ever seen a more ridiculous tournament bracket.
Hadronsbecrazy
Profile Joined September 2013
United Kingdom551 Posts
August 07 2014 07:36 GMT
#4
Taejaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
No need Build Orders, Only Micro,Favourite Players: Maru, Zest, soOjwa , CJherO
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-07 07:40:04
August 07 2014 07:39 GMT
#5
On August 07 2014 16:30 Dodgin wrote:
I don't think I've ever seen a more ridiculous tournament bracket.


Mohammad Ali vs Flash. Never forget
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
TW
Profile Joined March 2012
Poland255 Posts
August 07 2014 07:52 GMT
#6
Oh, who am I kidding, we all know (T)TaeJa's gonna win this anyway.


The prize is 10k for the win so its even more likely that Taeja got this
noobPride
Profile Joined June 2013
Spain333 Posts
August 07 2014 08:21 GMT
#7
actually i like it... finals has - jaedong would be very funny to watch
\m/__dò.ób__\m/
setaGuelB
Profile Joined June 2014
Taiwan34 Posts
August 07 2014 08:30 GMT
#8
go go TWOP!!
I want some awesome zvz
Never say Never
Morbidius
Profile Joined November 2010
Brazil3449 Posts
August 07 2014 09:19 GMT
#9
Taeja ezpz, just watch out for Hyun's cheeses!
Has foreign StarCraft hit rock bottom?
Lorning *
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgica34432 Posts
August 07 2014 09:23 GMT
#10
So, anyone want to make the LR thread for this? :p
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=22704746
Community News
TL+ Member
Pangpootata
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
1838 Posts
August 07 2014 09:41 GMT
#11
On August 07 2014 16:39 lichter wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2014 16:30 Dodgin wrote:
I don't think I've ever seen a more ridiculous tournament bracket.


Mohammad Ali vs Flash. Never forget

Guy didn't even show up. Such a let down.
Daswollvieh
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
5553 Posts
August 07 2014 09:47 GMT
#12
Oh God, so much ZvZ, wake me up when Taeja plays the finals.
Evil_Sheep
Profile Joined September 2010
Canada902 Posts
August 07 2014 10:41 GMT
#13
Wow this looks to to be like the worst tournament ever. It also seems custom designed for Taeja to triumph. All tvz? Check. Abundant foreign tank fodder? Check. His favourite punching bags, like JD, Hyun, and Leenock? Check. 10K prize? Check. Please.
SuperHofmann
Profile Joined September 2013
Italy1741 Posts
August 07 2014 10:51 GMT
#14
JvZ!
Vasacast always in my <3
Sharkken
Profile Joined October 2012
Jordan141 Posts
August 07 2014 11:09 GMT
#15
Taeja will win for sure, he only needs to practice one match up.
HYPE
Liquid HerO Best Toss in the World
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
August 07 2014 11:55 GMT
#16
Haha, lovely, so much TvZ.
Varroth
Profile Joined April 2014
Sweden471 Posts
August 07 2014 13:11 GMT
#17
Jaedong will fall to Taeja once again RIP in pieces
Top10 favorite players: 1. Jaedong 2. Naniwa 3. Maru 4. ThorZaIN 5. Taeja 6. HerO 7. MC 8. Hyun 9. Soulkey 10. herO
Rocket-Bear
Profile Joined July 2014
3070 Posts
August 07 2014 13:38 GMT
#18
Leenock getting knocked out by Taeja? lol no

This is how Leenock vs Taeja will look like:

[image loading]
Favorite players: Gh and Zai
TheDougler
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada8302 Posts
August 07 2014 13:47 GMT
#19
Not only are there a gazillion zergs but the Koreans are all crammed into one side of the bracket :/ oh well, it'll be awesome to see bomber and Taeja try to fight through the endless swarm
I root for Euro Zergs, NA Protoss* and Korean Terrans. (Any North American who has beat a Korean Pro as Protoss counts as NA Toss)
astray71
Profile Joined February 2012
United States325 Posts
August 07 2014 15:42 GMT
#20
Yeah... Taeja's got this. gg
There is no victory without the blessing of god, and there is no god but Madlife.
LockeTazeline
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
2390 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-07 16:38:11
August 07 2014 16:37 GMT
#21
Actually very good writeup! Go Bomber!

Edit: Lol, that bracket. Taiwan guaranteed a player in the semifinals
xserod
Profile Joined June 2014
11 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-07 17:06:16
August 07 2014 17:03 GMT
#22
Only 1 protoss in round of 16. Strange... Teaja got this
Where's My Chicken?
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17631 Posts
August 07 2014 17:43 GMT
#23
WCS Predictor 2014

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [TaeJa, Leenock in 2014 TWOP] +
2014 TWOP
- kr TaeJa is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 54.62 % of the time kr TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 45.38 % of the time kr TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Leenock is at ~ 0.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 45.38 % of the time kr Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.2 %.
~ 54.62 % of the time kr Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.05 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [HyuN, AK in 2014 TWOP] +
2014 TWOP
- kr HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 88.56 % of the time kr HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 11.44 % of the time kr HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- tw AK is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 11.44 % of the time tw AK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 88.56 % of the time tw AK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Ian, DeParture in 2014 TWOP] +
2014 TWOP
- tw Ian is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 56.61 % of the time tw Ian wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 43.39 % of the time tw Ian loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr DeParture is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 43.39 % of the time kr DeParture wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 56.61 % of the time kr DeParture loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Jaedong, Pet in 2014 TWOP] +
2014 TWOP
- kr Jaedong is at ~ 94.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 60.57 % of the time kr Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.53 %.
~ 39.43 % of the time kr Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 86.94 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Pet is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 39.43 % of the time kr Pet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.
~ 60.57 % of the time kr Pet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Bomber, TRUE in 2014 TWOP] +
2014 TWOP
- kr Bomber is at ~ 99.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 51.46 % of the time kr Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 48.54 % of the time kr Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.99 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr TRUE is at ~ 2.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 48.54 % of the time kr TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 3.41 %.
~ 51.46 % of the time kr TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.9 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Sen, cheetos in 2014 TWOP] +
2014 TWOP
- tw Sen is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 77.92 % of the time tw Sen wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.
~ 22.08 % of the time tw Sen loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- tw cheetos is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 22.08 % of the time tw cheetos wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 77.92 % of the time tw cheetos loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Has, Python in 2014 TWOP] +
2014 TWOP
- tw Has is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 77.32 % of the time tw Has wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 22.68 % of the time tw Has loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- tw Python is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 22.68 % of the time tw Python wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 77.32 % of the time tw Python loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Slam, Fist in 2014 TWOP] +
2014 TWOP
- tw Slam is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 70.62 % of the time tw Slam wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.05 %.
~ 29.38 % of the time tw Slam loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- tw Fist is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 29.38 % of the time tw Fist wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 70.62 % of the time tw Fist loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Winning Chances
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +

2014 TWOP
kr HyuN has a ~ 24.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Jaedong has a ~ 14.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 94.56 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr TaeJa has a ~ 14.74 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 10.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 %
kr TRUE has a ~ 9.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.63 % to ~ 6.49 %
kr Leenock has a ~ 6.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 0.61 %
kr Pet has a ~ 6.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.06 %
tw Sen has a ~ 5.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.13 %
tw Has has a ~ 3.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
tw Slam has a ~ 2.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 0.15 %
tw Ian has a ~ 0.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr DeParture has a ~ 0.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %


Winning Gains
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

2014 TWOP
kr Jaedong would gain ~ 5.44 % if they win, with a ~ 14.9 % chance to win, going from ~ 94.56 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr TRUE would gain ~ 3.86 % if they win, with a ~ 9.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.63 % to ~ 6.49 %
kr Leenock would gain ~ 0.49 % if they win, with a ~ 6.9 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 0.61 %
tw Slam would gain ~ 0.11 % if they win, with a ~ 2.72 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 0.15 %
tw Sen would gain ~ 0.11 % if they win, with a ~ 5.43 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.13 %
kr Pet would gain ~ 0.05 % if they win, with a ~ 6.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.06 %
tw Has would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 3.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
tw Ian would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 0.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr Bomber would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 10.51 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 %
kr HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 24.36 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr TaeJa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 14.74 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr DeParture would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.43 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %

"Expert" mods4ever.com
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
August 07 2014 18:18 GMT
#24
Bomber wins this. You heard it here first.
kiss kiss fall in love
neoghaleon55
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7435 Posts
August 07 2014 19:12 GMT
#25
what the hell,
they're all Zergs
lol
moo...for DRG
danbel1005
Profile Joined February 2008
United States1319 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-07 19:18:16
August 07 2014 19:18 GMT
#26
This is going to be so much fun, there is a GOD!
"EE HAN TIMING" Jaedong vs Stork [22 December, 2007] 2set @ Finals EVER OSL.
TTBest
Profile Joined September 2013
Germany74 Posts
August 07 2014 19:50 GMT
#27
One TaeJa to rule them all
Mistakes
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1102 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-07 21:41:25
August 07 2014 21:41 GMT
#28
BOMBERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


On August 08 2014 03:18 IntoTheheart wrote:
Bomber wins this. You heard it here first.



You heard it here second.
StarCraft | www.psistorm.com | www.twitter.com/MistakesSC | www.twitch.tv/MistakesSC | Seattle
Shuffleblade
Profile Joined February 2012
Sweden1903 Posts
August 07 2014 21:51 GMT
#29
To be honest the bracket is extremely unfair, whoever wins in TRUE vs Bomber is basically in the finals baring a HUGE upset. Well if its Sen then its only a "very big" upset =P He is probably the only one with a speck of hope vs TRUE or Bomber.

My bet is on Bomber taking that first series and thus it being Bomber vs whoever can run that insane gauntlet of an upper bracket. Probably Taeja or Jaedong. In the end I think Bomber will win this, second most likely winner would be Jaedong and fi I am to mention a dark horse: Pet!
Maru, Bomber, TY, Dear, Classic, DeParture and Rogue!
Lorning *
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgica34432 Posts
August 07 2014 21:54 GMT
#30
Has will take this and will finally become the bonjwa he was meant to be
Community News
TL+ Member
RookUK
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
United Kingdom283 Posts
August 07 2014 22:17 GMT
#31
As Shuffleblade says, TRUE vs Bomber has got to be the most important match. As much as I like the Bomberman, I'd love to see TRUE take him out and have a real shot at taking this tournament down.
Serinox
Profile Joined August 2011
Germany5224 Posts
August 07 2014 22:25 GMT
#32
The seeding is so incredibly bad. That or it was on purpose, but I don't want allege that kind of fixing.
SNSeigifried
Profile Joined April 2013
United States1640 Posts
August 08 2014 01:15 GMT
#33
Sorry to disappoint but according to Artosis this true is not jin air true.... so bomber in finals http://scdojo.com/taiwan-open-artosis-preview-predictions/
Icebound Esports
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
August 08 2014 01:20 GMT
#34
Eh? Is it ex IM True?
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
SNSeigifried
Profile Joined April 2013
United States1640 Posts
August 08 2014 01:21 GMT
#35
i would have to guess but all ik is that its not jin air which disappoints me so much now cause the bottom bracket is now like guarantee for bomber to make top 2...
Icebound Esports
Yhamm
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
France7248 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-08 01:35:06
August 08 2014 01:21 GMT
#36
On August 08 2014 10:20 lichter wrote:
Eh? Is it ex IM True?

yeah that's right
TeSL wrote his name "TRUE" so I supposed it was the Jinair player, but they actually posted a photo of True (ex IM), but I didn't really pay attention to that : http://www.esports.com.tw/news_detail.php?id=7048

edit: or maybe not... I'm not even sure who is on the photo now :D

this is this True : http://kr.battle.net/sc2/ko/profile/1137433/1/True/ (True.345)
LiquipediaWe will have only each other at the last
MysteryMeat1
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States3291 Posts
August 08 2014 01:25 GMT
#37
Hasjwa!
"Cause ya know, Style before victory." -The greatest mafia player alive
LockeTazeline
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
2390 Posts
August 08 2014 01:30 GMT
#38
On August 08 2014 10:20 lichter wrote:
Eh? Is it ex IM True?


Oh wow. That's realllly out of nowhere.
Soke
Profile Joined September 2012
United States790 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-08 01:36:37
August 08 2014 01:34 GMT
#39
It has to be TRUE, right? 2-0 Byul, 2-0 Nado, 2-1 Terror, 2-0 Pet (in the qualis) Could EX-IM true produce those results?
Edit: The picture on the site Yhamm linked is definitely TRUE :/
Djsoke
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
August 08 2014 01:35 GMT
#40
I just checked their website and the pic looks like TRUE, and TRUE did compete in TeSL. Wtf Artosis
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12062 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-08 01:36:57
August 08 2014 01:35 GMT
#41
On August 08 2014 10:21 Yhamm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2014 10:20 lichter wrote:
Eh? Is it ex IM True?

yeah that's right
TeSL wrote his name "TRUE" so I supposed it was the Jinair player, but they actually posted a photo of True (ex IM), but I didn't really pay attention to that : http://www.esports.com.tw/news_detail.php?id=7048

edit: or maybe not... I'm not even sure who is on the photo now :D


Looks like TRUE to me, I don't know...

http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/TRUE
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/True

edit: I might also want to mention he wears the same vest in both pics ~~
"It is capitalism that is incentivizing me to lazily explain this to you while at work because I am not rewarded for generating additional value."
Yhamm
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
France7248 Posts
August 08 2014 01:37 GMT
#42
http://www.esl-asia.net/asia/sc2/masters/14_wc_qualifier/player/7923718/ is the ESL Profile of True.345 and its looks to be Jinair TRUE...
LiquipediaWe will have only each other at the last
SNSeigifried
Profile Joined April 2013
United States1640 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-08 01:40:30
August 08 2014 01:38 GMT
#43
i hope artosis is wrong...
The only thing is artosis is the caster there so i would be pretty messed up for him not to know who is playing xD
Icebound Esports
Soke
Profile Joined September 2012
United States790 Posts
August 08 2014 01:39 GMT
#44
At this point, I think Artosis is very wrong.
Djsoke
Soke
Profile Joined September 2012
United States790 Posts
August 08 2014 01:40 GMT
#45
On August 08 2014 10:38 SNSeigifried wrote:
i hope artosis is wrong...
The only thing is artosis is the caster there so i would be pretty messed up for him not to know who is playing xD

JinAir TRUE is definitely the one who played in TeSL though.
Djsoke
Yhamm
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
France7248 Posts
August 08 2014 01:41 GMT
#46
http://www.esports.com.tw/news_detail.php?id=7264

that's totally Jinair TRUE lol
LiquipediaWe will have only each other at the last
vult
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United States9400 Posts
August 08 2014 01:43 GMT
#47
Woah so many good Zergs!
I used to play random, but for you I play very specifically.
Soke
Profile Joined September 2012
United States790 Posts
August 08 2014 01:45 GMT
#48
On August 08 2014 10:41 Yhamm wrote:
http://www.esports.com.tw/news_detail.php?id=7264

that's totally Jinair TRUE lol

Yep, Like I said TRUE is also for sure the one who played in TeSL, so IDK what Artosis is on about? http://www.esports.com.tw/news_detail.php?id=5937
Djsoke
Serinox
Profile Joined August 2011
Germany5224 Posts
August 08 2014 02:26 GMT
#49

Yeah, I don't know who Artosis first got the info from, but now he apparently got the message

Is the Ex-IM True even still playing anymore?
LockeTazeline
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
2390 Posts
August 08 2014 02:40 GMT
#50
Okay, okay. =D

(and how in the world does this article have more views than the Proleague finals preview? 0.o)
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
August 08 2014 02:58 GMT
#51
On August 08 2014 11:40 LockeTazeline wrote:
Okay, okay. =D

(and how in the world does this article have more views than the Proleague finals preview? 0.o)


ZvZ best mirror matchup maybe
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
CosmicSpiral
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States15275 Posts
August 08 2014 03:02 GMT
#52
On August 08 2014 11:40 LockeTazeline wrote:
Okay, okay. =D

(and how in the world does this article have more views than the Proleague finals preview? 0.o)


Everyone eagerly awaits Pet's first premier tournament win.
WriterWovon man nicht sprechen kann, darüber muß man schweigen.
sm1995
Profile Joined July 2014
Korea (South)69 Posts
August 08 2014 04:51 GMT
#53
Who is pet? He beat sos and life and maru?? Maybe kespa pulled them not to go this tornamant...
h
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
August 08 2014 05:11 GMT
#54
+ Show Spoiler +
On August 07 2014 16:20 Soularion wrote:
Oh, who am I kidding, we all know (T)TaeJa's gonna win this anyway.


Welcome to the TL writing staff, Soularion.
The world is better when every background has a chance.
Kimb3r
Profile Joined April 2010
Germany744 Posts
August 08 2014 20:46 GMT
#55
Crappiest tournament 2014, fo sure!! The bracket and race distribution is just a big joke.
Maru | Dark | Zest | Reynor | Scarlett
twndomn
Profile Joined September 2010
400 Posts
August 11 2014 19:58 GMT
#56
On August 09 2014 05:46 Kimb3r wrote:
Crappiest tournament 2014, fo sure!! The bracket and race distribution is just a big joke.


Above is non-sense. They invited Primer Koreans. That automatically placed TW Open better than a lot of other smaller tournaments. You can't blame players or tournament organizer who are favoring certain race over other.
"If MC wins this, his name would not be SK MC, it would be ST MC, ST for Saint, performing miracles." - Artosis.
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