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WCS AM - Ro32 Group C Preview (Season 1)

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WCS AM - Ro32 Group C Preview (Season 1)

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
February 25th, 2014 20:16 GMT
2013 GSL Season 2

WCS America 2014
Premier League



Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

VODs on Youtube

Ro32: Group C Preview

by DarkLordOlli

Tonight we'll see the only all-Korean group of the Ro32, one of the little quirks of WCS America's random group draw. It's a group of death simply due to the nationality of the four players, and you have to think (Z)ByuL, (T)TheStC, (Z)Revival, and (Z)HyuN are all ruing their luck.

Odds don't favor lone Terran (T)TheStC against the Zerg trio. While all of the Zergs either won a major championship or reached a final in 2013, TheStC's best result was a Ro16 finish. That's a far way off from the top four finishes he could be relied on to make in the past. His TvT is still very strong, but his vZ and vP matchups have suffered immensely since the release of HotS. TheStC barely even made Premier League this season by taking out Catz 3-2, with the ROOT captain being very vocal about vT being by far his weakest matchup. Neither statistics nor nor the eye-test give us much reason to think TheStC will advance, especially not with his first opponent being Byul. WCS America isn't going to get any easier going forward, so TheStC needs to make a statement right here.

On the other hand, Incredible Miracle's (Z)ByuL is on a roll. He might even be playing the best SC2 of his career. His rise was slow and steady, but all his work finally paid off late last year as the IM Zerg made it all the way to the finals of WCS America Season 3. He's continued to be a formidable player in all three matchups since then, and it's given him the right to be IM's ace player in Proleague. All in all, Byul has become an excellent player that you wouldn't expect to go out in the first round of a tournament. With his vT being ranked highest among his three matchups, Byul will be very happy to face TheStC in his first match.

After getting cheated out of over $20,000 by former team Quantic and being demotivated into near retirement, it's not surprising to notice that (Z)Roccat.HyuN hasn't been playing up to his old standards. HyuN himself admitted that he barely played for some time after the Quantic scandal, and his play at IEM Cologne was mediocre at best. He made it through the open bracket by defeating Leenock 2-0 but subsequently fell to Rain and ForGG while looking outclassed. A new sponsor in Roccat has given him new motivation, but we wonder if he's had enough time to bring himself back up to championship form. Will the passionate HyuN who reached a GSL finals and won Dreamhack have survived the Quantic ordeal intact? I certainly hope he has, because there would be nothing better than to show his new team that he was well worth the investment by maknig it to the live rounds of WCS America.

I always feel really bad for the three ex-EG Koreans Oz, Revival and aLive when I have to preview one of them and realize that they've almost entirely faded from our sight. aLive may have been permanently cursed to invisibility due to his personality, but Revival and Oz seemed to blossom under the EG banner. Who knew they'd be out on the streets after they gave IEM Shanghai a first ever all-EG final? But (Z)Revival's case may be the saddest of those three. The now teamless zerg almost made it to Blizzcon wearing the EG jacket but with the entire world rooting for his opponent, he fell 0-3 to Naniwa. Revival had a fantastic 2013 compared to 99,9% of all other players, making a WCS America finals and winning an IEM event but was cut loose by EG's management nonetheless as the team reallocated their resources. Revival was always an on and off type of player who was capable of showing both great and terrible results but under EG he had the chance to show them. Now, with no team or sponsor sending him to foreign tournaments, he doesn't even have a chance to surprise or disappoint. His only hope of finding a new team is by keeping up his good results in Premier League and any tournaments he can qualify for.

Predictions!

Poor TheStC. If there had been one or two terrans in his group then this might have looked entirely different but as it is I don't see much of a chance for him. I'm expecting Byul to advance because of his consistent good showings in Proleague and the almighty coinflip decided that Revival would advance over Hyun.

TheStC < ByuL
Hyun > Revival
ByuL > Hyun
TheStC < Revival
Hyun < Revival

ByuL and Revival advance.


Writers: DarkLordOlli
Photos: Ghostclaw
Editor: Waxangel
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TL+ Member
ACrow
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany6583 Posts
February 25 2014 20:26 GMT
#2
Thanks for the write up, even though it made me kinda sad. Now I want all of them to advance.
(just for the record, in Naniwa vs Revival, I was not rooting against Revival )
Get off my lawn, young punks
slowbacontron
Profile Joined October 2012
United States7722 Posts
February 25 2014 20:39 GMT
#3
Poor StC indeed. GL to him but we'll see what happens!
Fun fact: Hyun and Revival have played 57 maps against each other in SC2 tournaments. Hyun has the upper hand, at 34 wins to Revival's 23.
Another interesting fact. Aligulac still ranks Hyun really highly. His performance at IEM was all right even though he dropped out relatively early, and his rating's too stable to be dragged down that much.
Here's what Mr. Gulac thinks:
                 Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
--------------------------------------------------------------
HyuN 85.52% 55.18% 30.34% 9.69% 4.79%
ByuL 63.42% 27.08% 36.33% 24.46% 12.12%
Revival 35.83% 12.85% 22.98% 33.62% 30.55%
TheStC 15.23% 4.88% 10.35% 32.23% 52.53%

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.
jjakji fan
FusionSC2
Profile Joined June 2013
Ireland29 Posts
February 25 2014 20:48 GMT
#4
MVP!!! STC!!!
I came, I saw, I conquered
Kasaraki
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
Denmark7115 Posts
February 25 2014 21:00 GMT
#5
On February 26 2014 05:39 slowbacontron wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Poor StC indeed. GL to him but we'll see what happens!
Fun fact: Hyun and Revival have played 57 maps against each other in SC2 tournaments. Hyun has the upper hand, at 34 wins to Revival's 23.
Another interesting fact. Aligulac still ranks Hyun really highly. His performance at IEM was all right even though he dropped out relatively early, and his rating's too stable to be dragged down that much.
Here's what Mr. Gulac thinks:
                 Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
--------------------------------------------------------------
HyuN 85.52% 55.18% 30.34% 9.69% 4.79%
ByuL 63.42% 27.08% 36.33% 24.46% 12.12%
Revival 35.83% 12.85% 22.98% 33.62% 30.55%
TheStC 15.23% 4.88% 10.35% 32.23% 52.53%

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

Whoah 57, that almost has to be a record. O_O
DJWilma
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Canada740 Posts
February 25 2014 21:04 GMT
#6
Waxangel doesn't write it, doesn't match up with my prediction. Hyun and Revival go through, I'm ludicrous but it will happen!
I write stuff on LiquidDota also I own omwproductions.com
TheBatman
Profile Joined January 2011
United States209 Posts
February 25 2014 21:21 GMT
#7
I'm hoping for Revival, I want to see Hyun do well too though.

ByuL also looks pretty strong, I agree with the predictions
NovemberstOrm
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Canada16217 Posts
February 25 2014 21:22 GMT
#8
On February 26 2014 06:00 Kasaraki wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 26 2014 05:39 slowbacontron wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Poor StC indeed. GL to him but we'll see what happens!
Fun fact: Hyun and Revival have played 57 maps against each other in SC2 tournaments. Hyun has the upper hand, at 34 wins to Revival's 23.
Another interesting fact. Aligulac still ranks Hyun really highly. His performance at IEM was all right even though he dropped out relatively early, and his rating's too stable to be dragged down that much.
Here's what Mr. Gulac thinks:
                 Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
--------------------------------------------------------------
HyuN 85.52% 55.18% 30.34% 9.69% 4.79%
ByuL 63.42% 27.08% 36.33% 24.46% 12.12%
Revival 35.83% 12.85% 22.98% 33.62% 30.55%
TheStC 15.23% 4.88% 10.35% 32.23% 52.53%

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

Whoah 57, that almost has to be a record. O_O

that's crazy damn :D
Moderatorlickypiddy
Zealously
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
East Gorteau22261 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-25 21:30:04
February 25 2014 21:29 GMT
#9
Trivia: together, Revival and Hyun have more than 140 combined top 3 placements in EU/NA Playhems.

On February 26 2014 06:22 NovemberstOrm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 26 2014 06:00 Kasaraki wrote:
On February 26 2014 05:39 slowbacontron wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Poor StC indeed. GL to him but we'll see what happens!
Fun fact: Hyun and Revival have played 57 maps against each other in SC2 tournaments. Hyun has the upper hand, at 34 wins to Revival's 23.
Another interesting fact. Aligulac still ranks Hyun really highly. His performance at IEM was all right even though he dropped out relatively early, and his rating's too stable to be dragged down that much.
Here's what Mr. Gulac thinks:
                 Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
--------------------------------------------------------------
HyuN 85.52% 55.18% 30.34% 9.69% 4.79%
ByuL 63.42% 27.08% 36.33% 24.46% 12.12%
Revival 35.83% 12.85% 22.98% 33.62% 30.55%
TheStC 15.23% 4.88% 10.35% 32.23% 52.53%

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

Whoah 57, that almost has to be a record. O_O

that's crazy damn :D


Not nearly a record though I think. Some of the Europeans have 100+ games against each other if I recall correctly.
AdministratorBreak the chains
DifuntO
Profile Joined November 2011
Greece2376 Posts
February 25 2014 21:38 GMT
#10
4 Koreans? I am not watching.
All I do is Stim.
TR
Profile Joined February 2011
2320 Posts
February 25 2014 21:38 GMT
#11
Gogo TheStC! I'm rooting for you!
slowbacontron
Profile Joined October 2012
United States7722 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-25 21:58:06
February 25 2014 21:57 GMT
#12
On February 26 2014 06:29 Zealously wrote:
Trivia: together, Revival and Hyun have more than 140 combined top 3 placements in EU/NA Playhems.

Show nested quote +
On February 26 2014 06:22 NovemberstOrm wrote:
On February 26 2014 06:00 Kasaraki wrote:
On February 26 2014 05:39 slowbacontron wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Poor StC indeed. GL to him but we'll see what happens!
Fun fact: Hyun and Revival have played 57 maps against each other in SC2 tournaments. Hyun has the upper hand, at 34 wins to Revival's 23.
Another interesting fact. Aligulac still ranks Hyun really highly. His performance at IEM was all right even though he dropped out relatively early, and his rating's too stable to be dragged down that much.
Here's what Mr. Gulac thinks:
                 Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
--------------------------------------------------------------
HyuN 85.52% 55.18% 30.34% 9.69% 4.79%
ByuL 63.42% 27.08% 36.33% 24.46% 12.12%
Revival 35.83% 12.85% 22.98% 33.62% 30.55%
TheStC 15.23% 4.88% 10.35% 32.23% 52.53%

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

Whoah 57, that almost has to be a record. O_O

that's crazy damn :D


Not nearly a record though I think. Some of the Europeans have 100+ games against each other if I recall correctly.

Cases in point: Nerchio vs. Kas, with a whopping 110 games (and a very even record!) and Goody vs. Hasuobs with just as many. Also notable is probably the biggest beatdown I've ever seen in SC2, by Nerchio. Poor Goody D:
jjakji fan
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
February 25 2014 22:01 GMT
#13
On February 26 2014 06:38 DifuntO wrote:
4 Koreans? I am not watching.

Everyone is equal parts devastated and glad that you shared that!
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
fishjie
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States1519 Posts
February 25 2014 22:11 GMT
#14
i'm hoping hyun wins just because i feel so bad over how horribly quantic screwed him over

also hope the quantic ceo gets hit by a bus
Josh_Video
Profile Joined August 2013
Canada798 Posts
February 25 2014 22:33 GMT
#15
On February 26 2014 06:57 slowbacontron wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 26 2014 06:29 Zealously wrote:
Trivia: together, Revival and Hyun have more than 140 combined top 3 placements in EU/NA Playhems.

On February 26 2014 06:22 NovemberstOrm wrote:
On February 26 2014 06:00 Kasaraki wrote:
On February 26 2014 05:39 slowbacontron wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Poor StC indeed. GL to him but we'll see what happens!
Fun fact: Hyun and Revival have played 57 maps against each other in SC2 tournaments. Hyun has the upper hand, at 34 wins to Revival's 23.
Another interesting fact. Aligulac still ranks Hyun really highly. His performance at IEM was all right even though he dropped out relatively early, and his rating's too stable to be dragged down that much.
Here's what Mr. Gulac thinks:
                 Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
--------------------------------------------------------------
HyuN 85.52% 55.18% 30.34% 9.69% 4.79%
ByuL 63.42% 27.08% 36.33% 24.46% 12.12%
Revival 35.83% 12.85% 22.98% 33.62% 30.55%
TheStC 15.23% 4.88% 10.35% 32.23% 52.53%

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

Whoah 57, that almost has to be a record. O_O

that's crazy damn :D


Not nearly a record though I think. Some of the Europeans have 100+ games against each other if I recall correctly.

Cases in point: Nerchio vs. Kas, with a whopping 110 games (and a very even record!) and Goody vs. Hasuobs with just as many. Also notable is probably the biggest beatdown I've ever seen in SC2, by Nerchio. Poor Goody D:


Nerchio is a cruel, cruel man.
MKP :D ~ MMA ~ Scarlett ~ Taeja ~ Mvp ~ InnoVation ~ Polt | Prime ( RIP :( ) ~ Acer ~ SK Telecom T1 | I enjoyed the locust war of May 3, 2014.
neptunusfisk
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
2286 Posts
February 25 2014 23:09 GMT
#16
On February 26 2014 06:57 slowbacontron wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 26 2014 06:29 Zealously wrote:
Trivia: together, Revival and Hyun have more than 140 combined top 3 placements in EU/NA Playhems.

On February 26 2014 06:22 NovemberstOrm wrote:
On February 26 2014 06:00 Kasaraki wrote:
On February 26 2014 05:39 slowbacontron wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Poor StC indeed. GL to him but we'll see what happens!
Fun fact: Hyun and Revival have played 57 maps against each other in SC2 tournaments. Hyun has the upper hand, at 34 wins to Revival's 23.
Another interesting fact. Aligulac still ranks Hyun really highly. His performance at IEM was all right even though he dropped out relatively early, and his rating's too stable to be dragged down that much.
Here's what Mr. Gulac thinks:
                 Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
--------------------------------------------------------------
HyuN 85.52% 55.18% 30.34% 9.69% 4.79%
ByuL 63.42% 27.08% 36.33% 24.46% 12.12%
Revival 35.83% 12.85% 22.98% 33.62% 30.55%
TheStC 15.23% 4.88% 10.35% 32.23% 52.53%

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

Whoah 57, that almost has to be a record. O_O

that's crazy damn :D


Not nearly a record though I think. Some of the Europeans have 100+ games against each other if I recall correctly.

Cases in point: Nerchio vs. Kas, with a whopping 110 games (and a very even record!) and Goody vs. Hasuobs with just as many. Also notable is probably the biggest beatdown I've ever seen in SC2, by Nerchio. Poor Goody D:


Wow, that 24 match win streak..
maru G5L pls
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
February 25 2014 23:10 GMT
#17
liquibets say ByuL and HyuN
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
igay
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
Australia1178 Posts
February 25 2014 23:21 GMT
#18
Ahh ZvZ never been a fan. Besides when it was idra or nestea playing.

Hoping for thestc and hyun
MVP <3 MKP <3 DRG <3
Yorkie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States12612 Posts
February 25 2014 23:30 GMT
#19
This group is so hard for me. If Hyun plays his best I predict Byul/Hyun, if not then Byul/Revival (Revival is still pretty damn good). Not much hope for the StC. He said something about considering retirement if he lost to didn't make it to Premier, I wonder if that statement extends to being knocked out so early.

P.S. In the last line of the Hyun paragraph you wrote "maknig" instead of "making" doesn't bother me just wanted to let you know.
Hwang Kang Hooooooooooo. Follow mah boy Shellshock @Shellshock1122
RZAMazz
Profile Joined September 2011
Canada30 Posts
February 26 2014 02:41 GMT
#20
dam I never post but like that game final game between byul and revival
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-26 02:46:55
February 26 2014 02:46 GMT
#21
On February 26 2014 11:41 RZAMazz wrote:
dam I never post but like that game final game between byul and revival

Spoiler that yo.
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
slowbacontron
Profile Joined October 2012
United States7722 Posts
February 26 2014 03:11 GMT
#22
On February 26 2014 11:46 Darkhorse wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 26 2014 11:41 RZAMazz wrote:
dam I never post but like that game final game between byul and revival

Spoiler that yo.

what about yours though

+ Show Spoiler +
hehe, mine's automatically spoilered
jjakji fan
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