• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EST 22:21
CET 04:21
KST 12:21
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
Behind the Blue - Team Liquid History Book1Clem wins HomeStory Cup 287HomeStory Cup 28 - Info & Preview13Rongyi Cup S3 - Preview & Info3herO wins SC2 All-Star Invitational14
Community News
Weekly Cups (Jan 26-Feb 1): herO, Clem, ByuN, Classic win2RSL Season 4 announced for March-April7Weekly Cups (Jan 19-25): Bunny, Trigger, MaxPax win3Weekly Cups (Jan 12-18): herO, MaxPax, Solar win0BSL Season 2025 - Full Overview and Conclusion8
StarCraft 2
General
Behind the Blue - Team Liquid History Book Clem wins HomeStory Cup 28 How do you think the 5.0.15 balance patch (Oct 2025) for StarCraft II has affected the game? HomeStory Cup 28 - Info & Preview Stellar Fest "01" Jersey Charity Auction
Tourneys
HomeStory Cup 28 $5,000 WardiTV Winter Championship 2026 RSL Season 4 announced for March-April PIG STY FESTIVAL 7.0! (19 Feb - 1 Mar) StarCraft Evolution League (SC Evo Biweekly)
Strategy
Custom Maps
[A] Starcraft Sound Mod
External Content
Mutation # 511 Temple of Rebirth The PondCast: SC2 News & Results Mutation # 510 Safety Violation Mutation # 509 Doomsday Report
Brood War
General
[ASL21] Potential Map Candidates Gypsy to Korea StarCraft player reflex TE scores Can someone share very abbreviated BW cliffnotes? 2024 BoxeR's birthday message
Tourneys
[Megathread] Daily Proleagues Escore Tournament StarCraft Season 1 Small VOD Thread 2.0 KCM Race Survival 2026 Season 1
Strategy
Zealot bombing is no longer popular? Simple Questions, Simple Answers Current Meta Soma's 9 hatch build from ASL Game 2
Other Games
General Games
Opel 1.7 DTI Y17DT Engine Diablo 2 thread Battle Aces/David Kim RTS Megathread EVE Corporation Nintendo Switch Thread
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
Mafia Game Mode Feedback/Ideas Vanilla Mini Mafia
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread YouTube Thread The Games Industry And ATVI Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine
Fan Clubs
The herO Fan Club! The IdrA Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
[Manga] One Piece Anime Discussion Thread
Sports
2024 - 2026 Football Thread
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
TL Community
The Automated Ban List
Blogs
Play, Watch, Drink: Esports …
TrAiDoS
My 2025 Magic: The Gathering…
DARKING
Life Update and thoughts.
FuDDx
How do archons sleep?
8882
James Bond movies ranking - pa…
Topin
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 1361 users

Winrates since WCS S3 (Mostly since October) - Page 7

Forum Index > SC2 General
Post a Reply
Prev 1 5 6 7 8 Next All
BakedButters
Profile Joined November 2011
United States748 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-12-09 15:02:30
December 09 2013 14:50 GMT
#121
I expect Terrans to stop doing MMMM, and go into mech to balance out TvZ.

TvP seems balanced, but the oracle is still broken, because any unit with high damage that can obliterate mineral lines gives the game another luck factor, (like DTs, pre-nerfed hellbats, banshees during 1/1/1) and the game is already heavily luck based as is.

I only expect Protoss to continue to win more against T and Z in the future
Snute <3 Bomber <3 Parting <3 Life <3
mihajovics
Profile Joined April 2011
179 Posts
December 09 2013 15:04 GMT
#122
I flipped a coin a couple of times and heads won with 115 out of 216 that's a 53.2% winrate for HvT.
Than I flipped some again and now tails won 102 out of 195, that's a 52.3% winrate for TvH.

OMG T got better after patch!!!
blah, blah, imba, imba, redesign the game, remove forciefieldstimcolossusswarmhost give us back the reaver.
Noonius
Profile Joined April 2012
Estonia17413 Posts
December 09 2013 16:03 GMT
#123
terran just needs warhound back and all will be well
Terran forever | Maru hater forever
VieuxSinge
Profile Joined February 2011
France231 Posts
December 09 2013 16:26 GMT
#124
On December 09 2013 23:50 BakedButters wrote:
I expect Terrans to stop doing MMMM, and go into mech to balance out TvZ.


One can still hope.

Sorry for being disillusional but I don't think it will happen :-p
Another clue to my existence.
NovemberstOrm
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Canada16217 Posts
December 09 2013 16:33 GMT
#125
Thanks for posting the winrates!
Moderatorlickypiddy
sage_francis
Profile Joined December 2006
France1823 Posts
December 09 2013 16:35 GMT
#126
Sure thing is the game was more balanced before the patch.
As expected, this patch is a failure and illustrates the fact that most of the changes were not necessary.
deepfield1
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States373 Posts
December 09 2013 16:39 GMT
#127
so 2400 total games.. how many of those are PVT?

I think the sample size is way too small considering the amount of metagaming that goes on in these tournaments. Also the korean vs foreigner skill gap.

Is there any tool available to look at ALL korean GM games?
Orek
Profile Joined February 2012
1665 Posts
December 09 2013 18:22 GMT
#128
Smaller sample size, then some people complain about it.
Bigger sample size, then others complain about the quality of the games.

No matter how big or small sample sizes are, people find a way to discredit it. Maybe we should kidnap all those top Korean players and have them play millions of games in a basement so that we can finally have a huge quality sample size.
Dingodile
Profile Joined December 2011
4139 Posts
December 09 2013 18:28 GMT
#129
On December 10 2013 03:22 Orek wrote:
Smaller sample size, then some people complain about it.
Bigger sample size, then others complain about the quality of the games.

No matter how big or small sample sizes are, people find a way to discredit it. Maybe we should kidnap all those top Korean players and have them play millions of games in a basement so that we can finally have a huge quality sample size.

Without Top5 player each race is the best. A top5 player is winning against everyone until he mets a top5 player from other race.
Grubby | ToD | Moon | Lyn | Sky
Qwerty85
Profile Joined June 2012
Croatia5536 Posts
December 09 2013 18:32 GMT
#130
On December 10 2013 01:39 deepfield1 wrote:
so 2400 total games.. how many of those are PVT?

I think the sample size is way too small considering the amount of metagaming that goes on in these tournaments. Also the korean vs foreigner skill gap.

Is there any tool available to look at ALL korean GM games?


205 TvP games after the patch.
428 games before the patch.

Btw. If I am doing my math correctly, there is around 350 game discrepancy between the sample size stated on the image and the actual games listed in the google doc.

Not sure where those games disappeared, I asked the OP about it, but so far no response from him.
deepfield1
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States373 Posts
December 09 2013 19:05 GMT
#131
On December 10 2013 03:22 Orek wrote:
Smaller sample size, then some people complain about it.
Bigger sample size, then others complain about the quality of the games.

No matter how big or small sample sizes are, people find a way to discredit it. Maybe we should kidnap all those top Korean players and have them play millions of games in a basement so that we can finally have a huge quality sample size.


all of korean GM would be a good place to start.

Who is complaining about a large sample size? and quality of games? lol
ZenithM
Profile Joined February 2011
France15952 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-12-09 19:07:19
December 09 2013 19:06 GMT
#132
Still pretty good, but I fear a long fall toward an End-of-2012-like abyss for Terran.
larse
Profile Blog Joined March 2012
1611 Posts
December 09 2013 19:24 GMT
#133
On December 10 2013 03:32 Qwerty85 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 10 2013 01:39 deepfield1 wrote:
so 2400 total games.. how many of those are PVT?

I think the sample size is way too small considering the amount of metagaming that goes on in these tournaments. Also the korean vs foreigner skill gap.

Is there any tool available to look at ALL korean GM games?


205 TvP games after the patch.
428 games before the patch.

Btw. If I am doing my math correctly, there is around 350 game discrepancy between the sample size stated on the image and the actual games listed in the google doc.

Not sure where those games disappeared, I asked the OP about it, but so far no response from him.


Sorry the data set was not updated since the mistake. It is now updated.

Pre patch TvP has a sample size of 509

post patch TvP has a sample size of 205
Wingblade
Profile Joined April 2012
United States1806 Posts
December 09 2013 19:31 GMT
#134
On December 10 2013 04:05 deepfield1 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 10 2013 03:22 Orek wrote:
Smaller sample size, then some people complain about it.
Bigger sample size, then others complain about the quality of the games.

No matter how big or small sample sizes are, people find a way to discredit it. Maybe we should kidnap all those top Korean players and have them play millions of games in a basement so that we can finally have a huge quality sample size.


all of korean GM would be a good place to start.

Who is complaining about a large sample size? and quality of games? lol


Sure let's use blind, random bo1s online to determine our balance. I never really figured this out, no one has ever before pointed to ladder as legitimate balance evidence until now and anyone that tried was basically mocked. A race that relies more on tricks and gimmicks(Protoss) will naturally be better on ladder.
PartinG fanboy to the max, Rain/Squirtle/Dear/Scarlett/Bbyong are cool too. I don't always watch Dota2 but when I do I have no clue what's going on. GOGO POWER RANGERS
dyDrawer
Profile Joined September 2012
Canada438 Posts
December 09 2013 20:09 GMT
#135
That Oracle/Mine patch made things worse. It was more balanced before that it is now.
Dear, Rain, PartinG, Trap - "Glory to the Firstborn"
MadeInEarth
Profile Joined May 2013
United States1 Post
December 09 2013 21:34 GMT
#136
yes , David Kim destroyed the game
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
December 09 2013 23:20 GMT
#137
Does Fragbite Masters count in this tally?
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
zyce
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States649 Posts
December 14 2013 01:35 GMT
#138
Thanks for the interesting statistics. Balance is looking great.
Beauty is not the goal of competitive sports, but high-level sports are a prime venue for the expression of human beauty. The relation is roughly that of courage to war.
ManicMarine
Profile Joined April 2011
Australia409 Posts
December 14 2013 06:00 GMT
#139
Seems pretty close to perfect balance. The differences between pre-patch and post-patch winrates is probably statistical fluctuation.

OP can you give us p-values for the changes? I'd like to see how statistically significant the changes in winrate before and after the patch are.
Manic by name, Manic by nature.
yokohama
Profile Joined February 2005
United States1116 Posts
December 14 2013 07:06 GMT
#140
Looks like the balance in PvT could be tuned just a tiny bit, but other than that it looks surprisingly close.
Prev 1 5 6 7 8 Next All
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Replay Cast
00:00
PiGosaur Cup #63
Liquipedia
The PiG Daily
20:50
Best Games
Maru vs Solar
Reynor vs TriGGeR
herO vs Solar
Clem vs TriGGeR
Maru vs TBD
PiGStarcraft658
LiquipediaDiscussion
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
PiGStarcraft658
RuFF_SC2 185
NeuroSwarm 132
Nina 82
PiLiPiLi 8
StarCraft: Brood War
Shuttle 235
NaDa 62
Hyuk 39
Icarus 10
Dota 2
monkeys_forever422
League of Legends
C9.Mang0432
Counter-Strike
m0e_tv537
Foxcn209
Super Smash Bros
hungrybox566
Mew2King98
Other Games
tarik_tv7173
summit1g6791
JimRising 608
WinterStarcraft271
ViBE138
Maynarde125
KnowMe61
ZombieGrub28
Organizations
Other Games
gamesdonequick2004
BasetradeTV121
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 16 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• davetesta60
• iHatsuTV 4
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• RayReign 26
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Dota 2
• masondota22210
League of Legends
• Doublelift5084
• Scarra1656
Upcoming Events
RongYI Cup
7h 40m
herO vs Maru
Replay Cast
20h 40m
uThermal 2v2 Circuit
1d 8h
OSC
1d 20h
Replay Cast
2 days
Wardi Open
2 days
Monday Night Weeklies
2 days
Sparkling Tuna Cup
3 days
The PondCast
5 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Acropolis #4 - TS4
HSC XXVIII
Underdog Cup #3

Ongoing

CSL 2025 WINTER (S19)
KCM Race Survival 2026 Season 1
Rongyi Cup S3
Nations Cup 2026
IEM Kraków 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter Qual
eXTREMESLAND 2025
SL Budapest Major 2025
ESL Impact League Season 8

Upcoming

Escore Tournament S1: W8
Acropolis #4
IPSL Spring 2026
HSC XXIX
uThermal 2v2 2026 Main Event
Bellum Gens Elite Stara Zagora 2026
RSL Revival: Season 4
WardiTV Winter 2026
LiuLi Cup: 2025 Grand Finals
FISSURE Playground #3
IEM Rio 2026
PGL Bucharest 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 1
BLAST Open Spring 2026
ESL Pro League Season 23
ESL Pro League Season 23
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.