• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EST 16:12
CET 22:12
KST 06:12
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
[ASL22] Finals Preview: Sweet Victory!12[ASL22] Ro4 Preview: Mirror Mirror6[ASL22] Ro8 Preview: Within Reach5[ASL22] Ro8 Preview: In A Tizzy11[ASL22] Ro16 Preview: Holy Diver5
Community News
Dark completes military service, returns to SC29[BSL23] RO16 Group Stage19Weekly Cups (Nov 2-8): herO back on top?2Weekly Cups (Oct 26 - Nov 1): MaxPax, herO, Solar win0Weekly Cups (October 19-25): Clem triples first in 5.0.175
StarCraft 2
General
Greetings.. Dark completes military service, returns to SC2 No more SC2 streamers on team liquid? Serral's getting trashed by New Catsle's Mind Weekly Cups (Nov 2-8): herO back on top?
Tourneys
Sea Duckling Open (Global, Bronze-Diamond) Dark returns! GSL CK #7 4v4 Team Battle (Nov 19) soO & FanTaSy return! SC2 Kevin Scrim 4v4 (Nov 16) RSL goes to London! 2026 Offline Finals Nov 21-22 Tasteless Time Warp: SC Evo Showmatch (May 25)
Strategy
[H] ZvP Mid-Late Game: Stalkers Collossi HT
Custom Maps
[G] How to playtest arcade maps Starcraft 2 Advance [D] the control group Simple Questions/Answers
External Content
The PondCast: SC2 News & Results Mutation # 551 Robotic Revival Mutation # 550 Graveyard Shift Mutation # 549 Endless Sparkles
Brood War
General
List of top players active on ShieldBattery BW General Discussion Recommended BW Settings for Mouse and Video Starcraft:Brood War Discord Servers [BSL23] RO16 Group Stage
Tourneys
[$1250] International ShieldBattery League Bisu's Team vs Shuttle's Team 2026-11-14 2v2v2v2 Tournament Stage 1: Community Poll [BSL23] Ro16 Group C - Sunday 21:00 CET
Strategy
Pluto's TvP 5Marine 2Medic Push Simple Questions, Simple Answers Infested Terran strategies in 2026 Nuke strategy worked in K-League 2026-11-09
Other Games
General Games
Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Nintendo Switch Thread Free Space RTS Game, optimised f. Phone/Tablet etc List of Game Threads The PlayStation 5
Dota 2
League of Legends
[TL LoL EUW IHs] Teemo shall perish
Heroes of the Storm
Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Community Thread
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Artificial Intelligence Thread Trading/Investing Thread European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread
Fan Clubs
Fan Club Resource Thread Reynor Fan Club The Flash Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Movie Discussion! Anime Discussion Thread [Manga] One Piece
Sports
TeamLiquid Health and Fitness Initiative For 2023 Football (Soccer) Thread MLB/Baseball 2023
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
The Automated Ban List Recent Gifted Posts
Blogs
The time I organised my…
AssyrianKing
Why I built Repalyzer (1.1.…
BlueStar
Innovate or Game Over?
TrAiDoS
ShieldBattery on Mac
Kraekkling
Can Bots Beat Pros?? Starcr…
namkraft
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 11227 users

Code S Groups Announced - Page 8

Forum Index > SC2 General
530 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 6 7 8 9 10 27 Next All
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97277 Posts
January 14 2013 09:44 GMT
#141
On January 14 2013 18:43 Caihead wrote:
I don't see Huk making it out of his group -_-

I don't see Huk winning a map unless he pulls off a lucky all in
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
AdrianHealey
Profile Joined January 2011
Belgium480 Posts
January 14 2013 09:44 GMT
#142
Any pictures of the new maps?
I love.
vthree
Profile Joined November 2011
Hong Kong8039 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-14 09:49:06
January 14 2013 09:45 GMT
#143
On January 14 2013 18:40 Thurken wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 14 2013 18:37 vthree wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:34 Thurken wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:30 Waxangel wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:29 Thurken wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:21 Waxangel wrote:
how is stephano so lucky?!

HuK made it so Sniper took him as the default pick, and then I guess HyuN didn't want to take Stephano because of the old TSL connection?

Why do you say he is so lucky?
If you have the opportunity to pick Stephano or Huk. To choose between an always volatile ZvZ or a more reliable ZvP, you pick HuK and the ZvP. About Hyun, I don't see why an old connection would help Stephano. On the other hand they trained together and their match were always close. I understand he picks someone else if he feels strong against him.
Getting DRG, maybe top2 in the world right now is not being lucky. It's not bad but it's not being in Losira's or Roro's position.


he's lucky that HuK made it for one

it's extremely unlikely BOTH sniper and HyuN pass him over without huk


Look at Huk, or BBongBBong's group. It wouldn't change a thing for Stephano: one strong zerg, and two hard but beatable opponents


Kind of. But the order of play matters. Stephano gets to play a T first. So he cannot get knocked out by 2 ZvZs (it would have been possible if he was in HuK or B4's position).

I think it is debatable and it depends. Here I doubt DRG would lose one serie for example.
With the GSL format, I'd rather play against the hardest opponent first. Otherwise, it may be like WCS where Stephano was 3-2 versus HerO but was eliminated.


No, but it still opens up for the possibility. And why open with the hardest opponent first? It is always better to win your first match in the GSL format.

Maybe TheBB could crunch the numbers for if it was DRG v Stephano, Bogus v Hack setup.
Incomplet
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United Kingdom1419 Posts
January 14 2013 09:45 GMT
#144
a. life / byul
b. leenock / mc
c. sniper / bomber
d. hyun / yoda
e. parting / ryung
f. mvp / marineking
g. taeja / nestea
h. drg / bogus
Bow down to the sons of Aiur...SKT1_Rain, CreatorPrime, ST_Parting, Liquid_Hero.
Hylirion
Profile Joined March 2012
Netherlands968 Posts
January 14 2013 09:47 GMT
#145
On January 14 2013 18:40 TheBB wrote:
+ Show Spoiler [Group A] +
Group A

      Life: 94.23%
      Symbol: 45.35%
      Creator: 33.94%
      ByuL: 26.48%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Creator: 33.78% 32.28% 23.16% 10.78%
ByuL: 34.79% 38.73% 22.03% 4.45%
Symbol: 29.07% 25.57% 33.81% 11.54%
Life: 2.36% 3.41% 21.00% 73.22%

Probability of each pair advancing

Creator ByuL Symbol Life
Creator: 0.12% 1.64% 9.03%
ByuL: 0.41% 0.77% 3.27%
Symbol: 1.57% 1.26% 8.70%
Life: 21.17% 20.64% 31.41%


+ Show Spoiler [Group B] +
Group B

      Leenock: 57.12%
      BaBy: 55.11%
      MC: 45.27%
      Curious: 42.51%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Leenock: 20.50% 22.38% 27.23% 29.89%
BaBy: 22.05% 22.84% 26.35% 28.75%
Curious: 30.21% 27.29% 22.31% 20.19%
MC: 27.24% 27.49% 24.11% 21.17%

Probability of each pair advancing

Leenock BaBy Curious MC
Leenock: 9.76% 9.70% 10.43%
BaBy: 9.83% 8.06% 10.86%
Curious: 8.45% 8.92% 2.82%
MC: 8.94% 7.67% 4.55%


+ Show Spoiler [Group C] +
Group C

      Sniper: 67.59%
      GuMiho: 66.37%
      Bomber: 63.19%
      HuK: 2.85%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Sniper: 1.65% 30.76% 32.83% 34.76%
HuK: 74.67% 22.47% 1.96% 0.89%
Bomber: 4.95% 31.85% 39.98% 23.22%
GuMiho: 18.72% 14.91% 25.23% 41.13%

Probability of each pair advancing

Sniper HuK Bomber GuMiho
Sniper: 1.24% 16.54% 16.99%
HuK: 0.12% 0.22% 0.55%
Bomber: 14.92% 0.61% 7.69%
GuMiho: 17.80% 0.12% 23.22%


+ Show Spoiler [Group D] +
Group D

      HyuN: 77.50%
      Squirtle: 61.52%
      BBoongBBoong: 40.34%
      YoDa: 20.64%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
HyuN: 9.11% 13.39% 30.10% 47.41%
BBoongBBoong: 26.64% 33.03% 24.49% 15.85%
YoDa: 49.57% 29.79% 12.30% 8.35%
Squirtle: 14.69% 23.79% 33.12% 28.40%

Probability of each pair advancing

HyuN BBoongB YoDa Squirtl
HyuN: 14.13% 7.29% 25.99%
BBoongBBoong: 7.74% 2.51% 5.60%
YoDa: 5.07% 1.75% 1.52%
Squirtle: 17.29% 8.61% 2.50%


+ Show Spoiler [Group E] +
Group E

      PartinG: 91.55%
      LosirA: 62.53%
      Ryung: 39.10%
      Byun: 6.81%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Ryung: 16.06% 44.84% 27.21% 11.90%
LosirA: 9.65% 27.82% 45.50% 17.03%
Byun: 70.85% 22.34% 4.30% 2.51%
PartinG: 3.44% 5.01% 22.99% 68.56%

Probability of each pair advancing

Ryung LosirA Byun PartinG
Ryung: 1.32% 1.15% 9.42%
LosirA: 3.28% 1.89% 11.86%
Byun: 0.33% 0.48% 1.70%
PartinG: 23.61% 43.70% 1.26%


+ Show Spoiler [Group F] +
Group F

      MarineKing: 59.93%
      RorO: 55.46%
      Mvp: 42.63%
      Keen: 41.98%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
MarineKing: 16.35% 23.73% 30.48% 29.45%
RorO: 21.54% 23.00% 26.96% 28.50%
Keen: 32.24% 25.78% 20.69% 21.29%
Mvp: 29.87% 27.50% 21.87% 20.76%

Probability of each pair advancing

MarineK RorO Keen Mvp
MarineKing: 6.55% 11.73% 11.16%
RorO: 14.89% 5.73% 7.88%
Keen: 7.43% 11.04% 2.83%
Mvp: 8.16% 9.37% 3.23%


+ Show Spoiler [Group G] +
Group G

      TaeJa: 82.55%
      Noblesse: 51.94%
      Soulkey: 51.87%
      NesTea: 13.63%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Soulkey: 17.40% 30.73% 30.88% 20.99%
Noblesse: 17.37% 30.69% 31.74% 20.20%
NesTea: 58.85% 27.52% 8.46% 5.17%
TaeJa: 6.38% 11.07% 28.91% 53.64%

Probability of each pair advancing

Soulkey Nobless NesTea TaeJa
Soulkey: 4.79% 2.20% 14.01%
Noblesse: 5.37% 2.16% 12.67%
NesTea: 1.47% 1.46% 2.24%
TaeJa: 24.04% 25.49% 4.10%


+ Show Spoiler [Group H] +
Group H

      DongRaeGu: 85.02%
      Stephano: 61.67%
      INnoVation: 27.56%
      Hack: 25.75%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
INnoVation: 40.30% 32.14% 16.34% 11.22%
Stephano: 13.53% 24.80% 42.57% 19.10%
Hack: 39.06% 35.20% 16.09% 9.66%
DongRaeGu: 7.11% 7.87% 25.00% 60.02%

Probability of each pair advancing

INnoVat Stephan Hack DongRae
INnoVation: 0.83% 1.58% 8.80%
Stephano: 2.82% 5.93% 10.36%
Hack: 2.04% 1.78% 5.84%
DongRaeGu: 11.48% 39.96% 8.58%


So, in short:

A: Life, Symbol
B: This one is completely open
C: Gumiho, Sniper and Bomber all have good chances
D: Hyun, Squirtle
E: Parting, Losira
F: Roro, MarineKing
G: Taeja first, Noblesse or Soulkey second
H: DRG, Stephano


Poor Huk with his 2.85%.
Zeon0
Profile Joined September 2010
Austria2995 Posts
January 14 2013 09:48 GMT
#146
Stephano playing on my birthday
Hater of MKP since GSL Open Season 2 | Fanboy of: NesTea Stephano IdrA DIMAGA MorroW ret DongRaeGu Snute SaSe Mvp ThorZaIN DeMusliM
asdfOu
Profile Joined August 2011
United States2089 Posts
January 14 2013 09:48 GMT
#147
leggo byun creator mkp and mvp!
rip prime
TAMinator
Profile Joined February 2011
Australia2706 Posts
January 14 2013 09:48 GMT
#148
Are people picking F because Stephano is in it?

PresenceSc2
Profile Joined February 2011
Australia4032 Posts
January 14 2013 09:49 GMT
#149
On January 14 2013 18:40 TheBB wrote:
+ Show Spoiler [Group A] +
Group A

      Life: 94.23%
      Symbol: 45.35%
      Creator: 33.94%
      ByuL: 26.48%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Creator: 33.78% 32.28% 23.16% 10.78%
ByuL: 34.79% 38.73% 22.03% 4.45%
Symbol: 29.07% 25.57% 33.81% 11.54%
Life: 2.36% 3.41% 21.00% 73.22%

Probability of each pair advancing

Creator ByuL Symbol Life
Creator: 0.12% 1.64% 9.03%
ByuL: 0.41% 0.77% 3.27%
Symbol: 1.57% 1.26% 8.70%
Life: 21.17% 20.64% 31.41%


+ Show Spoiler [Group B] +
Group B

      Leenock: 57.12%
      BaBy: 55.11%
      MC: 45.27%
      Curious: 42.51%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Leenock: 20.50% 22.38% 27.23% 29.89%
BaBy: 22.05% 22.84% 26.35% 28.75%
Curious: 30.21% 27.29% 22.31% 20.19%
MC: 27.24% 27.49% 24.11% 21.17%

Probability of each pair advancing

Leenock BaBy Curious MC
Leenock: 9.76% 9.70% 10.43%
BaBy: 9.83% 8.06% 10.86%
Curious: 8.45% 8.92% 2.82%
MC: 8.94% 7.67% 4.55%


+ Show Spoiler [Group C] +
Group C

      Sniper: 67.59%
      GuMiho: 66.37%
      Bomber: 63.19%
      HuK: 2.85%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Sniper: 1.65% 30.76% 32.83% 34.76%
HuK: 74.67% 22.47% 1.96% 0.89%
Bomber: 4.95% 31.85% 39.98% 23.22%
GuMiho: 18.72% 14.91% 25.23% 41.13%

Probability of each pair advancing

Sniper HuK Bomber GuMiho
Sniper: 1.24% 16.54% 16.99%
HuK: 0.12% 0.22% 0.55%
Bomber: 14.92% 0.61% 7.69%
GuMiho: 17.80% 0.12% 23.22%


+ Show Spoiler [Group D] +
Group D

      HyuN: 77.50%
      Squirtle: 61.52%
      BBoongBBoong: 40.34%
      YoDa: 20.64%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
HyuN: 9.11% 13.39% 30.10% 47.41%
BBoongBBoong: 26.64% 33.03% 24.49% 15.85%
YoDa: 49.57% 29.79% 12.30% 8.35%
Squirtle: 14.69% 23.79% 33.12% 28.40%

Probability of each pair advancing

HyuN BBoongB YoDa Squirtl
HyuN: 14.13% 7.29% 25.99%
BBoongBBoong: 7.74% 2.51% 5.60%
YoDa: 5.07% 1.75% 1.52%
Squirtle: 17.29% 8.61% 2.50%


+ Show Spoiler [Group E] +
Group E

      PartinG: 91.55%
      LosirA: 62.53%
      Ryung: 39.10%
      Byun: 6.81%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Ryung: 16.06% 44.84% 27.21% 11.90%
LosirA: 9.65% 27.82% 45.50% 17.03%
Byun: 70.85% 22.34% 4.30% 2.51%
PartinG: 3.44% 5.01% 22.99% 68.56%

Probability of each pair advancing

Ryung LosirA Byun PartinG
Ryung: 1.32% 1.15% 9.42%
LosirA: 3.28% 1.89% 11.86%
Byun: 0.33% 0.48% 1.70%
PartinG: 23.61% 43.70% 1.26%


+ Show Spoiler [Group F] +
Group F

      MarineKing: 59.93%
      RorO: 55.46%
      Mvp: 42.63%
      Keen: 41.98%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
MarineKing: 16.35% 23.73% 30.48% 29.45%
RorO: 21.54% 23.00% 26.96% 28.50%
Keen: 32.24% 25.78% 20.69% 21.29%
Mvp: 29.87% 27.50% 21.87% 20.76%

Probability of each pair advancing

MarineK RorO Keen Mvp
MarineKing: 6.55% 11.73% 11.16%
RorO: 14.89% 5.73% 7.88%
Keen: 7.43% 11.04% 2.83%
Mvp: 8.16% 9.37% 3.23%


+ Show Spoiler [Group G] +
Group G

      TaeJa: 82.55%
      Noblesse: 51.94%
      Soulkey: 51.87%
      NesTea: 13.63%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Soulkey: 17.40% 30.73% 30.88% 20.99%
Noblesse: 17.37% 30.69% 31.74% 20.20%
NesTea: 58.85% 27.52% 8.46% 5.17%
TaeJa: 6.38% 11.07% 28.91% 53.64%

Probability of each pair advancing

Soulkey Nobless NesTea TaeJa
Soulkey: 4.79% 2.20% 14.01%
Noblesse: 5.37% 2.16% 12.67%
NesTea: 1.47% 1.46% 2.24%
TaeJa: 24.04% 25.49% 4.10%


+ Show Spoiler [Group H] +
Group H

      DongRaeGu: 85.02%
      Stephano: 61.67%
      INnoVation: 27.56%
      Hack: 25.75%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
INnoVation: 40.30% 32.14% 16.34% 11.22%
Stephano: 13.53% 24.80% 42.57% 19.10%
Hack: 39.06% 35.20% 16.09% 9.66%
DongRaeGu: 7.11% 7.87% 25.00% 60.02%

Probability of each pair advancing

INnoVat Stephan Hack DongRae
INnoVation: 0.83% 1.58% 8.80%
Stephano: 2.82% 5.93% 10.36%
Hack: 2.04% 1.78% 5.84%
DongRaeGu: 11.48% 39.96% 8.58%


So, in short:

A: Life, Symbol
B: This one is completely open
C: Gumiho, Sniper and Bomber all have good chances
D: Hyun, Squirtle
E: Parting, Losira
F: Roro, MarineKing
G: Taeja first, Noblesse or Soulkey second
H: DRG, Stephano

you couldn't even give HuK 3%? T_T
Stephano//HerO//TaeJa//Squirtle//Bomber
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97277 Posts
January 14 2013 09:49 GMT
#150
On January 14 2013 18:48 TAMinator wrote:
Are people picking F because Stephano is in it?


F is MKP, Mvp, Roro, and Keen. Stephano is in H
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-14 09:57:36
January 14 2013 09:54 GMT
#151
On January 14 2013 18:45 vthree wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 14 2013 18:40 Thurken wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:37 vthree wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:34 Thurken wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:30 Waxangel wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:29 Thurken wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:21 Waxangel wrote:
how is stephano so lucky?!

HuK made it so Sniper took him as the default pick, and then I guess HyuN didn't want to take Stephano because of the old TSL connection?

Why do you say he is so lucky?
If you have the opportunity to pick Stephano or Huk. To choose between an always volatile ZvZ or a more reliable ZvP, you pick HuK and the ZvP. About Hyun, I don't see why an old connection would help Stephano. On the other hand they trained together and their match were always close. I understand he picks someone else if he feels strong against him.
Getting DRG, maybe top2 in the world right now is not being lucky. It's not bad but it's not being in Losira's or Roro's position.


he's lucky that HuK made it for one

it's extremely unlikely BOTH sniper and HyuN pass him over without huk


Look at Huk, or BBongBBong's group. It wouldn't change a thing for Stephano: one strong zerg, and two hard but beatable opponents


Kind of. But the order of play matters. Stephano gets to play a T first. So he cannot get knocked out by 2 ZvZs (it would have been possible if he was in HuK or B4's position).

I think it is debatable and it depends. Here I doubt DRG would lose one serie for example.
With the GSL format, I'd rather play against the hardest opponent first. Otherwise, it may be like WCS where Stephano was 3-2 versus HerO but was eliminated.

No, but it still opens up for the possibility. And why open with the hardest opponent first? It is always better to win your first match in the GSL format.

Maybe TheBB could crunch the numbers for if it was DRG v Stephano, Bogus v Hack setup.

Sure thing. According to "me," he's still favoured to get out in second place, but not nearly by as much.

The first round pairings can have a pretty big impact. You always want to open against the weakest opponents, because there's a chance the presumed strongest opponent can fail to win his game. Remember that the strongest opponent against you doesn't have to be strongest against others (since matchups matter).

+ Show Spoiler [Group H] +
Group H

      DongRaeGu: 85.02%
      Stephano: 61.67%
      INnoVation: 27.56%
      Hack: 25.75%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
INnoVation: 40.30% 32.14% 16.34% 11.22%
Stephano: 13.53% 24.80% 42.57% 19.10%
Hack: 39.06% 35.20% 16.09% 9.66%
DongRaeGu: 7.11% 7.87% 25.00% 60.02%

Probability of each pair advancing

INnoVat Stephan Hack DongRae
INnoVation: 0.83% 1.58% 8.80%
Stephano: 2.82% 5.93% 10.36%
Hack: 2.04% 1.78% 5.84%
DongRaeGu: 11.48% 39.96% 8.58%


+ Show Spoiler [Group H*] +
Group H*

      DongRaeGu: 90.99%
      Stephano: 42.12%
      Hack: 34.57%
      INnoVation: 32.32%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
INnoVation: 37.90% 29.77% 17.66% 14.66%
Hack: 33.18% 32.25% 19.45% 15.12%
Stephano: 25.86% 32.02% 34.94% 7.18%
DongRaeGu: 3.05% 5.96% 27.95% 63.04%

Probability of each pair advancing

INnoVat Hack Stephan DongRae
INnoVation: 1.05% 1.37% 12.24%
Hack: 1.54% 1.36% 12.21%
Stephano: 1.72% 1.97% 3.49%
DongRaeGu: 14.40% 16.44% 32.20%
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
deathabene
Profile Joined August 2011
Denmark83 Posts
January 14 2013 09:56 GMT
#152
how come bomber cant ever get rid off gumiho? they have to play like evry season
are u ready for bombing?
Mackus
Profile Joined January 2011
England1681 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-14 09:58:02
January 14 2013 09:56 GMT
#153
Did Hyun really pick BBoongBong? - Runners up get a pick too.
Group H is obviously the most balanced of the groups

Really not liking the new Map pool - Antiga showed some really great games.
Noizhende
Profile Joined January 2012
Austria328 Posts
January 14 2013 09:57 GMT
#154
Those groups look actually pretty close in how hard it would be to get through, i don't think there's a real group of death.
Die neuen Tempel haben schon Risse - künftige Ruinen - einst wächst Gras auch über diese Stadt - über ihre letzte Schicht
kochanfe
Profile Joined July 2011
Micronesia1338 Posts
January 14 2013 09:57 GMT
#155
SIIIIIIIIIIICK!
"The flame that burns twice as bright burns half as long." - Lao Tzu
vthree
Profile Joined November 2011
Hong Kong8039 Posts
January 14 2013 10:00 GMT
#156
On January 14 2013 18:54 TheBB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 14 2013 18:45 vthree wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:40 Thurken wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:37 vthree wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:34 Thurken wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:30 Waxangel wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:29 Thurken wrote:
On January 14 2013 18:21 Waxangel wrote:
how is stephano so lucky?!

HuK made it so Sniper took him as the default pick, and then I guess HyuN didn't want to take Stephano because of the old TSL connection?

Why do you say he is so lucky?
If you have the opportunity to pick Stephano or Huk. To choose between an always volatile ZvZ or a more reliable ZvP, you pick HuK and the ZvP. About Hyun, I don't see why an old connection would help Stephano. On the other hand they trained together and their match were always close. I understand he picks someone else if he feels strong against him.
Getting DRG, maybe top2 in the world right now is not being lucky. It's not bad but it's not being in Losira's or Roro's position.


he's lucky that HuK made it for one

it's extremely unlikely BOTH sniper and HyuN pass him over without huk


Look at Huk, or BBongBBong's group. It wouldn't change a thing for Stephano: one strong zerg, and two hard but beatable opponents


Kind of. But the order of play matters. Stephano gets to play a T first. So he cannot get knocked out by 2 ZvZs (it would have been possible if he was in HuK or B4's position).

I think it is debatable and it depends. Here I doubt DRG would lose one serie for example.
With the GSL format, I'd rather play against the hardest opponent first. Otherwise, it may be like WCS where Stephano was 3-2 versus HerO but was eliminated.

No, but it still opens up for the possibility. And why open with the hardest opponent first? It is always better to win your first match in the GSL format.

Maybe TheBB could crunch the numbers for if it was DRG v Stephano, Bogus v Hack setup.

Sure thing. According to "me," he's still favoured to get out in second place, but not nearly by as much.

The first round pairings can have a pretty big impact.

+ Show Spoiler [Group H] +
Group H

      DongRaeGu: 85.02%
      Stephano: 61.67%
      INnoVation: 27.56%
      Hack: 25.75%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
INnoVation: 40.30% 32.14% 16.34% 11.22%
Stephano: 13.53% 24.80% 42.57% 19.10%
Hack: 39.06% 35.20% 16.09% 9.66%
DongRaeGu: 7.11% 7.87% 25.00% 60.02%

Probability of each pair advancing

INnoVat Stephan Hack DongRae
INnoVation: 0.83% 1.58% 8.80%
Stephano: 2.82% 5.93% 10.36%
Hack: 2.04% 1.78% 5.84%
DongRaeGu: 11.48% 39.96% 8.58%


+ Show Spoiler [Group H*] +
Group H*

      DongRaeGu: 90.99%
      Stephano: 42.12%
      Hack: 34.57%
      INnoVation: 32.32%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
INnoVation: 37.90% 29.77% 17.66% 14.66%
Hack: 33.18% 32.25% 19.45% 15.12%
Stephano: 25.86% 32.02% 34.94% 7.18%
DongRaeGu: 3.05% 5.96% 27.95% 63.04%

Probability of each pair advancing

INnoVat Hack Stephan DongRae
INnoVation: 1.05% 1.37% 12.24%
Hack: 1.54% 1.36% 12.21%
Stephano: 1.72% 1.97% 3.49%
DongRaeGu: 14.40% 16.44% 32.20%


Thanks. Yes, it makes sense that it would only make a slight difference because DRG is big favorites over Hack and Bogus. So it is Stephano's most likely path would be beating Bogus and Hack anyways. But it does make a difference.

I think in cases where the racial strength of a player is very skewed (like previous JYP vZ, vT etc), and you have 2-3 players like that in one group. Then you will see huge variations due to order.
Sumahi
Profile Blog Joined January 2012
Guam5609 Posts
January 14 2013 10:00 GMT
#157
I feel bad about this, but I want Squirtle and Parting to lose in the Round of 32.

I'm hoping that Bomber performs well. I have a feeling both him and Life will do well in this GSL.
Startale <3, ST_July <3, HongUn <3, Savior <3, Gretorp <3, Nada <3, Rainbow <3, Ret <3, Squirtle <3, Bomber <3
CloudMage
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada221 Posts
January 14 2013 10:04 GMT
#158
HuK Fighting!!!! is it just me or are these groups seriously lacking in Protoss rep lol oh well terran OP zerg OP n all dat
HuK <3 WhiteRa <3 Grubby <3 TLO <3 Day[9] <3
vthree
Profile Joined November 2011
Hong Kong8039 Posts
January 14 2013 10:05 GMT
#159
On January 14 2013 19:04 CloudMage wrote:
HuK Fighting!!!! is it just me or are these groups seriously lacking in Protoss rep lol oh well terran OP zerg OP n all dat


Yeah. Only 5 protosses made it to Code S this season.
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54785 Posts
January 14 2013 10:06 GMT
#160
On January 14 2013 18:56 Mackus wrote:
Did Hyun really pick BBoongBong? - Runners up get a pick too.
Group H is obviously the most balanced of the groups

Really not liking the new Map pool - Antiga showed some really great games.

yeah, hyun picked bboong
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
Prev 1 6 7 8 9 10 27 Next All
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
BSL
05:00
S23 - Ro16 Group A
TerrOr vs OyAji
UltrA vs Gosudark
ZZZero.O243
LiquipediaDiscussion
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
mouzHeroMarine 115
EmSc Tv 25
StarCraft: Brood War
ZZZero.O 243
Dewaltoss 52
soO 19
LuMiX 1
Dota 2
420jenkins755
League of Legends
gofns7852
JimRising 908
Counter-Strike
pashabiceps1384
zeus652
Heroes of the Storm
Liquid`Hasu493
Khaldor227
Other Games
tarik_tv4569
Grubby2324
B2W.Neo795
XaKoH 250
mouzStarbuck157
EnDerr1
fpsfer 1
Organizations
Other Games
gamesdonequick1854
StarCraft 2
EmSc Tv 25
EmSc2Tv 25
angryscii 21
[ Show 17 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• printf 82
• StrangeGG 56
• Shameless 14
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• Migwel
StarCraft: Brood War
• Pr0nogo 10
• Michael_bg 8
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
League of Legends
• Jankos5034
Other Games
• imaqtpie643
• Shiphtur294
• tFFMrPink 18
Upcoming Events
Sparkling Tuna Cup
12h 49m
WardiTV Invitational
14h 49m
IPSL
19h 49m
Art_Of_Turtle vs KameZerg
Radley vs George
BSL
22h 49m
Artosis vs Dewalt
Ret vs Tech
SOOP
1d 12h
soO vs FanTaSy
WardiTV Weekly
1d 14h
Monday Night Weeklies
2 days
PiGosaur Cup
3 days
The PondCast
3 days
GSL
4 days
[ Show More ]
Replay Cast
5 days
KCM Race Survival
5 days
RSL Revival
6 days
BSL
6 days
eOnzErG vs StRyKeR
Cross vs JDConan
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Proleague 2026-11-12
Blizzard Classic Cup 2026
HCC Season 3

Ongoing

Acropolis #5
KCM Race Survival 2026 Season 4
International ShieldBattery League
Individual League
BSL Season 23
IPSL Winter 2026-27
Calamity Cup Div. A Season 8
Underdog Cup 2026 Div 2-3
BLAST Rivals Fall 2026
IEM Beijing 2026
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 5
1win Private Club #2
Thunderpick World Champ. '26
ESL Pro League Season 24
Stake Ranked Episode 4
1win Private Club #1
Logitech G Play Connect 2026
SL StarSeries Fall 2026
FISSURE Playground #3
BLAST Open Fall 2026

Upcoming

YSL S4
Sector 591
SC4ALL II: Brood War
BSL 23: Non-Korean Championship
HSC XXX
Stellar Fest 2: Lunar Cup
StarCraft2 Weekly Open Tournament 2026 Grand Finals
SC4ALL II: StarCraft II
Kung Fu Cup 2026 Grand Finals
RSL Offline Finals
IEM Kraków 2027
PGL Bucharest 2027
BLAST Bounty Winter 2027
PGL Major Singapore 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 6
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.