On September 10 2015 01:08 Die4Ever wrote:
In Group D we have ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow all fighting for a spot at Blizzcon. Jaedong is also already confirmed to be going to Dreamhack Stockholm, but I would expect Lilbow and ForGG to be going as well. iaguz can make still make it too, but winning WCS would still only put him at 7.59%, and a 2nd place would put him at 0%. Any player that loses in Group D is going down to 0%.

Lilbow is at 15.38% Blizzcon Chances with 1925 WCS Points. He needs a 4th place or better just to get over 1%, while a 1st place would put him at 99.99%. A 2nd in WCS with a 16th in Dreamhack would put him at 73.17%, but a 2nd in WCS with no points from Dreamhack puts him down to 40.62%.

ForGG is at 12.32% with 1825 WCS Points. A 4th place in WCS for ForGG would mean just 0.96%, and a 2nd place would still just be 3.42%. A 2nd in WCS and a 16th in Dreamhack puts him at 58.3%.

Jaedong is at 10.3% with 1775 WCS Points, and he's already confirmed for Dreamhack Stockholm. A 4th place in WCS puts him at 5.67%, but if he gets 4th in WCS and no points from Dreamhack then he's out at 0%. A 4th place in WCS means Jaedong needs a 2nd place at Dreamhack to have any chance at all, and it would put him at 40.78%. A 2nd place in WCS would mean Jaedong needs at least a 16th in Dreamhack to have any chance, and it would put him at 37.75%.

WCS Predictor 2015
WCS Premier Season 3 Ro16 Day 2

Elazer, Hydra, Polt, and viOLet in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
This is the Group of Death!
Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.35% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.89% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.5% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
viOLet is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose.

ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbow in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow must win this match!
This is the 2nd place Group of Death!
ForGG is at 12.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.64%, or 0% if they lose.
iaguz is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.38%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong is at 10.3% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.6% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.1%, or 0% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 15.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 26.05%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Day 3] +

Zanster, MarineLorD, elfi, and MaNa in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
MarineLorD must win this match!
Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.
---------------
elfi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.62% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose.
MarineLorD is at 4.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.79% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.12%, or 0% if they lose.
MaNa is at 0.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.59% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.93%, or 0% if they lose.

Sen, Snute, Petraeus, and GunGFuBanDa in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
Snute must win this match!
Sen is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.49% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
Petraeus is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances.
---------------
Snute is at 8.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.61% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.32%, or 0% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.9% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Winning Chances] +

ForGG, Lilbow, Jaedong, Snute, and MarineLorD must win this tournament!

Hydra has a 18.48% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.

ForGG has a 11.77% chance to win
----going from 12.32% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.62% if they don't.

Lilbow has a 11.43% chance to win
----going from 15.38% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 4.45% if they don't.

Petraeus has a 10.74% chance to win
----going from 0.1% to 0.98% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

Zanster has a 8.86% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

Polt has a 7.86% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.

Jaedong has a 7.4% chance to win
----going from 10.3% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 3.13% if they don't.

Snute has a 6.83% chance to win
----going from 8.82% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 2.14% if they don't.

MarineLorD has a 5.1% chance to win
----going from 4.29% to 83.8% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.

viOLet has a 3.97% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

MaNa has a 2.69% chance to win
----going from 0.26% to 9.59% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

iaguz has a 1.43% chance to win
----going from 0.11% to 7.59% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

GunGFuBanDa has a 1.13% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.35% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

elfi has a 0.82% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.1% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

Elazer has a 0.78% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.6% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

Sen has a 0.7% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Placements Table] +