Good job Blizzard, please keep wasting money on this retarded tournament format. Either you make region lock or you let everyone participate. This is so bad.

Instead of one great tournament with all Koreans we now have Koreans split over 3 tournaments and foreigners still dont win shit. Yay!

Circumstance

United States11403 Posts

June 12 2014 23:45 GMT

#606

The Aligulac prediction:

                    Win    Top 2    Top 4    Top 8    
------------------------------------------------------
         San     27.94%   20.82%   18.67%   32.57%    
       ForGG     17.54%   19.80%   32.03%   30.63%    
    StarDust     16.14%   14.57%   22.46%   46.83%    
      VortiX     13.50%   11.02%   43.43%   32.05%    
       First     10.58%   12.37%   23.88%   53.17%    
          MC      9.81%   10.77%   11.99%   67.43%    
       Welmu      2.44%    6.56%   21.63%   69.37%    
      Golden      2.04%    4.09%   25.92%   67.95%

Median Outcome Bracket
+ Show Spoiler +

          MC 2 ┐ 
               ├───────── San 3 ┐ 
         San 3 ┘                │ 
                                ├───────── San 4 ┐ 
      Golden 2 ┐                │                │ 
               ├────── VortiX 2 ┘                │ 
      VortiX 3 ┘                                 │ 
                                                 ├─ San
       ForGG 3 ┐                                 │ 
               ├─────── ForGG 2 ┐                │ 
       Welmu 2 ┘                │                │ 
                                ├──── StarDust 3 ┘ 
       First 2 ┐                │                  
               ├──── StarDust 3 ┘                  
    StarDust 3 ┘

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

Beastgief

United States34 Posts

June 12 2014 23:57 GMT

#607

Welmu has best shot to win WCS EU for a foreigner.

Vortix has no shot to make it to finals. San will beat him free and he doesn't even have guaranteed win vs Golden. Welmu is quite bad, he can beat forGG because it's TvP, but these are best of 5's and he can't get lucky vs 2-3 koreans in a row.

Overall, foreigners have about a .03% shot at winning WCS EU. Koreans dominate as usual. Move on to the next tourney.

Circumstance

United States11403 Posts

June 13 2014 00:18 GMT

#608

On June 13 2014 08:57 Beastgief wrote:
Welmu has best shot to win WCS EU for a foreigner.

Vortix has no shot to make it to finals. San will beat him free and he doesn't even have guaranteed win vs Golden. Welmu is quite bad, he can beat forGG because it's TvP, but these are best of 5's and he can't get lucky vs 2-3 koreans in a row.

Overall, foreigners have about a .03% shot at winning WCS EU. Koreans dominate as usual. Move on to the next tourney.

Let's see...ZvZ is Golden's worst matchup statistically, MC has a better chance of beating San than he does of beating Vortix, Welmu tore through Yoda in the Round of 16, and his best matchup is PvP by far.

Certainly sounds like there's a good chance for a foreigner in the finals to me. And the Top 2 players, regardless of nationality, get to play in an offline tournament in Korea. That's what I'm looking for.