Wildcard Group

Symbol
      Expected score: 2.80-1.20 (sets: 2.80-1.20)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 80.29%
      Most likely place: 2nd (62.51%)

Jaedong
      Expected score: 2.78-1.22 (sets: 2.78-1.22)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 78.03%
      Most likely place: 1st (61.72%)

Byun
      Expected score: 2.20-1.80 (sets: 2.20-1.80)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 38.28%
      Most likely place: 3rd (61.72%)

Center
      Expected score: 1.22-2.78 (sets: 1.22-2.78)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 3.40%
      Most likely place: 4th (77.89%)

Shine
      Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 1.00-3.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 5th (100.00%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
         Shine:  100.00%                                    
        Symbol:             1.41%   18.30%   62.51%   17.78%
          Byun:                     61.72%   17.78%   20.50%
        Center:            77.89%   18.71%    3.40%         
       Jaedong:            20.70%    1.27%   16.31%   61.72%

Match score

                     0-4      1-3      2-2      3-1      4-0
         Shine:           100.00%                           
        Symbol:                     20.50%   79.50%         
          Byun:                     79.50%   20.50%         
        Center:            77.63%   22.37%                  
       Jaedong:                     22.37%   77.63%         

Set score

                      -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4
         Shine:                    100.00%                                                      
        Symbol:                                       20.50%            79.50%                  
          Byun:                                       79.50%            20.50%                  
        Center:                     77.63%            22.37%                                    
       Jaedong:                                       22.37%            77.63%

Shinobi1982

1605 Posts

January 11 2013 11:39 GMT

#885

The Dong goes through if he wins now :D

00Visor

4337 Posts

January 11 2013 11:39 GMT

#886

Possibilities
JD + Byun win: JD + Byun advance
JD + Symbol win: JD + Symbol advance
Center + Byun win: Byun advances, 3way Center/JD/Symbol
Center + Symbol win: Symbol + Byun advance

(that means if Center wins, Byun already advances and doesnt need to win vs Symbol ...)
(if JD wins, Byun and Symbol fight directly for the last spot)

skYTosS

United States188 Posts

January 11 2013 11:39 GMT

#887

What happens if 4 players tied at 2-2?

Seeker

Where dat snitch at?37065 Posts

January 11 2013 11:40 GMT

#888

Oo;; once again Shine won even though he can't advance.

paradoxOO9

United Kingdom1123 Posts

January 11 2013 11:40 GMT

#889

Come on Center!

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

January 11 2013 11:40 GMT

#890

Center vs. Jaedong

Center wins (22.37%):
1-0: 22.37%

Jaedong wins (77.63%):
1-0: 77.63%

Most likely winner: Jaedong (77.63%)
Median outcome: Center 0-1 Jaedong